Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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Los Angeles has lost three straight road games.
The point total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings.
Boston has covered the spread in five straight games when facing the Lakers.


Dallas has failed to cover the spread in six of seven games as the underdog.
Phoenix has won the first half in six of seven games.
Phoenix has won 10 straight games.
The underdog has covered the spread in three straight meetings.
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 19
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


GS at DET 07:00 PM
GS -2.0
U 201.5

+500 +500

IND at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA -1.0
U 216.0
+500 +500

LAL at BOS 07:30 PM
LAL +2.0
O 213.0
+500 +500

ORL at BK 07:30 PM
ORL +9.5
O 210.0

+500 +500

OKC at MIL 08:00 PM
MIL -12.5
U 215.5
+500 +500

LAC at NO 08:00 PM
LAC -4.0
U 214.5
+500 +500

CHI at DEN 09:00 PM
CHI +1.5
U 208.5

+500 +500

TOR at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -3.5
U 220.5
+500 +500

DAL at PHO 10:00 PM
DAL +8.5
U 211.0
+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/19/2021.......10-8-0.........55.55%..........+6.00
11/18/2021.........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
11/17/2021.......8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/16/2021.........4-2-0.........66.67%..........+9.00
11/15/2021........12-9-0.........57.14%........+10.50
11/14/2021..........5-9-0........35.71%..........-24.50
11/13/2021..........4-9-1........30.76%..........-29.50
11/12/2021........8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/11/2021.........3-3-0..........50.00%..........- 1.50
11/10/2021......15-10-1..........60.00%.........+20.00
11/09/2021..........2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%..........-18.50
11/07/2021..........6-4-1..........60.00%..........+ 8.00
11/06/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%..........-29.00
11/05/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
11/03/2021..........7-4-0..........63.64%.........+13.00
11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%............-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%............-2.00

TOTALS:........119-125-3..........48.77%..........- 92.00


BEST BETS:

11/19/2021..........9-2-0..........81.81%.....+34.00
11/18/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.......+8.50
11/17/2021..........4-8-0..........33.33%.......-24.00
11/16/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%......+ 4.00
11/15/2021..........9-5-0..........64.28%......+17.50
11/14/2021..........4-6-0..........40.00%.......-13.00
11/13/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.......-18.00
11/12/2021..........7-9-0..........43.75%.......-14.50
11/11/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%.........-6.50
11/10/2021 B E S T B E T S N O T P O S T E D
11/09/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%........- 6.50
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%........-18.50
11/07/2021..........4-3-0..........57.14%........+3.50
11/06/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%........-18.00
11/05/2021..........3-4-0..........42.85%.........-.7.00
11/03/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%.........- 1.50
11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:............74-77-0..........49.00%.........-53.50


UPDATED 11/19/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

NBA players who run the most per game:
— Fred VanVleet, 2.90 miles
— Harrison Barnes, 2.85
— Tyrese Maxey, 2.85
— Miles Bridges, 2.81
— Scottie Barnes, 2.78
— Dejounte Murray, 2.76

NBA uses player-tracking technology to figure all this out; Alex Kennedy wrote an interesting article about all this on basketballnews.com

Quote of the Day
“It’s incredible to watch, but you sort of expect it.”
Warriors’ coach Steve Kerr, talking about Steph Curry’s excellence

Saturday’s quiz
Tom Crean is the basketball coach at Georgia; he was Dwyane Wade’s coach at Marquette. Which NFL head coach is Crean’s brother-in-law?

Friday’s quiz
After leaving UNLV, Jerry Tarkanian went 9-11 coaching the San Antonio Spurs for part of one season.

Thursday’s quiz
Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

*******************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday……..

13) Here are some SEC football games for Saturday:
— Charleston Southern @ Georgia
— Prairie View @ Texas A&M
— Tennessee State @ Mississippi State

Are you bleepin’ kidding me? The week before Thanksgiving, and they’re playing I-AA teams? You play those teams in August/September; actually, you should never play them. Play cruddy teams from the Sun Belt or the MAC or schedule New Mexico State.

SEC spends 51 weeks a year promoting themselves as the best football conference in the country (“It just means more”) then they do this on November 20. It is ludicrous and absurd.

Georgia is #1 in the country, and they’re playing Charleston Southern? Give me a break…….

12) Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good; actually, it is best to be both lucky and good.

Davidson College is located in a suburb of Charlotte, NC; Bob McKillop is their basketball coach, and he is a very good coach. Back in the late 90’s, coach McKillop’s son played Little League, where one of his teammates was a kid named Steph Curry, whose dad Dell Curry played for the NBA’s Charlotte Hornets.

Jump ahead a few years, and Steph Curry winds up playing ball for McKillop at Davidson- they go 29-7, make the Elite 8, and you know the rest of the story. Davidson was in the Southern Conference back then; now they’re in the Atlantic 14, a much better league.

If McKillop’s son hadn’t played Little League with Steph Curry, chances are Davidson would still be in the SoCon.

11)

10) Marquette 82, West Virginia 71:
Shaka Smart’s team is #350 in experience, #338 in continuity, but they’re already 5-0, with wins over West Virginia, Illinois, Ole Miss. Excellent start.

Of the eight players who played 12:00+ for Marquette in this game, five are freshmen- they were down 14 late in first half, but made 12-26 on the arc and will play St Bonaventure in the tourney final on Sunday.

9) Utah State 85, New Mexico State 58:
— Ryan Odom is Utah State’s new coach; he was the UMBC coach whose team upset Virginia in the only #1-16 upset in NCAA Tournament history.
— Aggies went 42-13 in Mountain West the last three years, then their coach bolted to Utah.
— Utah-Utah State don’t play this year, they haven’t played in four years. Whats up with that?

Utah State-Oklahoma is the final of this tournament in Conway, SC on Sunday.

8) Arizona 82, Wichita State 78 OT:
— Arizona blew 15-point lead in second half.
— Wichita is #309 in experience, but #107 in continuity; they fought back.
— Three Shockers fouled out.

7) Lions’ QB Jared Goff (oblique) hasn’t practiced this week, isn’t expected to play against the Browns Sunday. Tim Boyle is Detroit’s backup QB: he’s thrown four NFL passes in 11 games as Aaron Rodgers’ backup in Green Bay.

Boyle threw one TD, 13 INT’s in 19 games over three years at UConn, then transferred to I-AA Eastern Kentucky, where he threw 11 TD’s with 13 INT’s in a 4-7 season.

I’d expect Boyle to spend lot of time handing off Sunday.

6) By my count, 15 of 32 NFL teams have started the same QB in every game this season.

5) Celtics 130, Lakers 108:
— Lakers were minus-4 in 32:00 that Lebron James played.
— Lakers were minus-18 in 16:00 that Lebron James didn’t play.

Lakers are 8-9, 1-4 on road. They’ve got some work to do to make the playoffs.

4) Was encouraging to watch Utah State this week; one of their guys went 10-10 on the foul line in a double overtime win Thursday. If you work hard and practice a lot, you can make yourself a good shooter, all of which makes the Ben Simmons experience frustrating to think about.

Guy is supposed to make $31,590,000 this year; he is a career 59.7% shooter on the foul line. Guards shouldn’t shoot 60% on the foul line. High school guards should be better than that.

3) After watching a ton of college basketball for the last 10 days, I was reminded that teams who run the Princeton offense spend seven minutes at every practice working on different kinds of layups. They do lot of cutting off the ball, and often find themselves at odd angles near the hoop, so practicing those shots is smart.

Every team should do that; nothing more depressing than missing layups.

2) NFL stuff:
— Dallas WR Amari Cooper tested positive for COVID, will miss next two games.
— Baker Mayfield is expected to start at QB for Cleveland.
— Cam Newton is expected to start at QB for Carolina.

1) I am told that this is the toughest tongue twister in the English language:

“The sixth sheik’s sixth sheep’s sick”

Say that three times fast.
 

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NEW ORLEANS are 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 39-17 ATS (20.3 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 69-43 ATS (21.7 Units) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more since 1996.

MINNESOTA is 12-30 ATS (-21 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

ORLANDO is 48-69 ATS (-27.9 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, November 20


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston @ New York
Houston
Houston is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing New York
Houston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston

Miami @ Washington
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

New Orleans @ Indiana
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games

Oklahoma City @ Boston
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games
Boston
Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City

Charlotte @ Atlanta
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Orlando @ Milwaukee
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

Memphis @ Minnesota
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Utah @ Sacramento
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games

Philadelphia @ Portland
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Portland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 20
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

HOU at NY 05:00 PM
HOU +11.0
O 211.5
+500 +500

MIA at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +1.5
U 210.5

+500 +500

NO at IND 07:00 PM
NO +7.5
U 213.5

+500 +500

CHA at ATL 07:30 PM
CHA +6.0
O 227.0

+500 +500

OKC at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -10.5
U 205.5
+500 +500

MEM at MIN 08:00 PM
MEM +1.5
U 218.5
+500 +500

ORL at MIL 08:00 PM
ORL +11.5
O 212.5

+500 +500

UTA at SAC 10:00 PM
UTA -7.0
O 223.5
+500 +500

PHI at POR 10:00 PM
POR -6.0
O 217.5

+500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/20/2021.......10-8-0.........55.56%.........+6.00
11/19/2021.......10-8-0.........55.55%..........+6.00
11/18/2021.........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
11/17/2021.......8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/16/2021.........4-2-0.........66.67%..........+9.00
11/15/2021........12-9-0.........57.14%........+10.50
11/14/2021..........5-9-0........35.71%..........-24.50
11/13/2021..........4-9-1........30.76%..........-29.50
11/12/2021........8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/11/2021.........3-3-0..........50.00%..........- 1.50
11/10/2021......15-10-1..........60.00%.........+20.00
11/09/2021..........2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%..........-18.50
11/07/2021..........6-4-1..........60.00%..........+ 8.00
11/06/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%..........-29.00
11/05/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
11/03/2021..........7-4-0..........63.64%.........+13.00
11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%............-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%............-2.00

TOTALS:........129-133-3..........49.23%..........- 86.00


BEST BETS:

11/20/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/19/2021..........9-2-0..........81.81%.....+34.00
11/18/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.......+8.50
11/17/2021..........4-8-0..........33.33%.......-24.00
11/16/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%......+ 4.00
11/15/2021..........9-5-0..........64.28%......+17.50
11/14/2021..........4-6-0..........40.00%.......-13.00
11/13/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.......-18.00
11/12/2021..........7-9-0..........43.75%.......-14.50
11/11/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%.........-6.50
11/10/2021 B E S T B E T S N O T P O S T E D
11/09/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%........- 6.50
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%........-18.50
11/07/2021..........4-3-0..........57.14%........+3.50
11/06/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%........-18.00
11/05/2021..........3-4-0..........42.85%.........-.7.00
11/03/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%.........- 1.50
11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:............82-81-0..........50.30%.........-35.50


UPDATED 11/20/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in rushing yardage:
937— Derrick Henry Tenn/Jonathan Taylor Ind
721— Nick Chubb, Clev
663— Ezekiel Elliott, Dal
648— Dalvin Cook, Minn
646— Najee Harris, Pitt
639— Lamar Jackson, Balt

Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to place Tom Brady at the top of the NFL. Even though he’s won a lot of championships. There are almost 70 players on each team, so is he playing on every side of the football? Is he on kickoff? Is he on the punt returns? Because if he ain’t playing all them roles, then he got to give credit to his team.”
Retired NBA star Scottie Pippen

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Detroit Lions’ QB, last time they won a playoff game?

Saturday’s quiz
Tom Crean is the basketball coach at Georgia; he was Dwyane Wade’s coach at Marquette. He is also John Harbaugh’s brother-in-law.

Friday’s quiz
After leaving UNLV, Jerry Tarkanian went 9-11 coaching the San Antonio Spurs for part of one season.

*************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Cincinnati 48, SMU 14:

— Pollsters will probably drop Cincinnati for running up the score.
— First time in five games that Cincinnati covered the spread.
— SMU is 8-3, so this is a solid win.
— Total yardage was 544-199, Cincinnati.

12) Alabama 42, Arkansas 35:
— Any pollsters dropping Alabama in rankings for this score?
— Bryce Young was 31-40/559 passing for Alabama, with 5 TD’s.

11) Utah 38, Oregon 7:
— Spot opens up in the top 4 nationally.
— Utah led 28-0 at halftime.- they’ll be in Pac-12 title game.
— Utes converted 11-14 third down plays.

10) Baylor 20, Kansas State 10:
— Baylor outgains K-State 402-263, improves to 9-2.
— Baylor QB Bohanon got hurt; his backup Blake Shapen, was 16-21/137 passing, and added 37 rushing yards.
— Shapen is the nephew of Hal Sutton, the great golfer.

9) Air Force 41, Nevada 39 OT:
— Air Force led this game 17-3 at halftime.
— Falcons ran for 476 yards, needed overtime to win.
— Nevada scored two fourth-quarter TD’s to force OT.

8) College football upsets this week:
— Southern Miss (+15.5) 35, Louisiana Tech 19
— Missouri (+9) 24, Florida 23 OT
— South Carolina (+7) 21, Auburn 17
— Colorado (+6.5) 20, Washington 17
— Eastern Michigan (+6) 22, Western Michigan 21

7) UCLA 62, USC 35:
— USC’s administration fired Clay Helton in September, still hasn’t replaced him.
— If they were going to act this slowly, they should’ve kept Helton all season.
— UCLA gained 609 yards; only nine of their 66 plays came on third down.
— USC intercepted UCLA’s first two passes, still gave up 15.9 yards/attempt.

6) Tex-San Antonio 34, UAB 31:
— 11-0 Roadrunners scored TD with 0:03 left to keep their perfect season going.
— UAB led 24-17 at halftime, outgained the Roadrunners 474-375.

5) Ohio State 56, Michigan State 7:
— Buckeyes scored first six times they had ball, led 49-0 at halftime.
— Wonder if the Spartans still want to give Mel Tucker a $95M contract extension?

4) Missouri 24, Florida 23 OT:
— Florida lost their last four I-A games.
— Gators beat a I-AA team 70-52 last week.
— I’m guessing they’ll be making a coaching change in a few weeks.

3) College basketball upsets:
— Bethune-Cookman (+18) 81, Bryant 75
— Austin Peay (+13.5) 87, Dayton 81
— Colgate (+11) 100, Syracuse 85
— St Thomas (+8.5) 76, Niagara 67

2) Purdue 93, North Carolina 84:
— Purdue shot 63.2% inside the arc.
— Tar Heels shot 12-29 on arc, still lost by nine.
— Game was tied with 9:03 left.
— Purdue scored 52 points in second half.

1) Colgate 100, Syracuse 85:
— Syracuse led this game 22-5 early on.
— Colgate made 18-43 on arc, 14-27 inside arc.
— Red Raiders scored 1.37 ppp, a really good night.
 

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DALLAS are 492-399 ATS (53.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game since 1996.

DETROIT is 76-51 ATS (19.9 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game since 1996.

PHOENIX is 56-38 ATS (14.2 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.

TORONTO is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) off an upset win of 15 points or more as a road underdog since 1996.




NBA

Sunday, November 21


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ LA Clippers
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

LA Lakers @ Detroit
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 14 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

New York @ Chicago
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New York

Denver @ Phoenix
Denver
Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Golden State
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 21
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


DAL at LAC 03:30 PM
LAC -3.0
U 211.5

+500 +500

LAL at DET 06:00 PM
DET +7.5
U 209.0
+500 +500

DEN at PHO 08:00 PM
PHO -8.0
U 209.5
+500 +500

NY at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI -5.0
U 208.5
+500 +500

TOR at GS 08:30 PM
GS -9.0
O 217.5

+500 +500
 

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Hoop Trends for Sunday, November 21
Vince Akins

ATS Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Dallas at L.A. Clippers (NBATV, 3:30 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 10-0 ATS since 2020-21 when they are coming off a game where they were favored by less than 8 points and scored no more than 100 points.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Detroit (NBA League Pass, 6:10 p.m.)

-- The Lakers are 0-12-1 OU since January 5, 2018 when the total is between 209 and 226 and they lost by 18+ points last game. These games have gone under by an average of 17.1 ppg.

Choice Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Denver at Phoenix (NBA League Pass, 8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Suns are 7-0 ATS since February 14, 2018 with a day of rest and the total under 211.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/21/2021.........7-3-0........70.00%........+18.50
11/20/2021.......10-8-0.........55.56%.........+6.00
11/19/2021.......10-8-0.........55.55%..........+6.00
11/18/2021.........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
11/17/2021.......8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/16/2021.........4-2-0.........66.67%..........+9.00
11/15/2021........12-9-0.........57.14%........+10.50
11/14/2021..........5-9-0........35.71%..........-24.50
11/13/2021..........4-9-1........30.76%..........-29.50
11/12/2021........8-14-0.........36.36%..........-37.00
11/11/2021.........3-3-0..........50.00%..........- 1.50
11/10/2021......15-10-1..........60.00%.........+20.00
11/09/2021..........2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%..........-18.50
11/07/2021..........6-4-1..........60.00%..........+ 8.00
11/06/2021..........3-8-0..........27.27%..........-29.00
11/05/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
11/03/2021..........7-4-0..........63.64%.........+13.00
11/02/2021..........5-5-0..........50.00%............-2.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%............-2.00

TOTALS:........136-136-3..........50.00%..........- 67.50


BEST BETS:

11/21/2021..........5-2-0..........71.42%.....+14.00
11/20/2021..........8-4-0..........66.66%.....+18.00
11/19/2021..........9-2-0..........81.81%.....+34.00
11/18/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.......+8.50
11/17/2021..........4-8-0..........33.33%.......-24.00
11/16/2021..........3-2-0..........60.00%......+ 4.00
11/15/2021..........9-5-0..........64.28%......+17.50
11/14/2021..........4-6-0..........40.00%.......-13.00
11/13/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%.......-18.00
11/12/2021..........7-9-0..........43.75%.......-14.50
11/11/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%.........-6.50
11/10/2021 B E S T B E T S N O T P O S T E D
11/09/2021..........2-3-0..........40.00%........- 6.50
11/08/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%........-18.50
11/07/2021..........4-3-0..........57.14%........+3.50
11/06/2021..........3-6-0..........33.33%........-18.00
11/05/2021..........3-4-0..........42.85%.........-.7.00
11/03/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%.........- 1.50
11/02/2021..........5-3-0..........62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........4-4-0..........50.00%..........-2.00

TOTALS:............87-83-0..........51.17%.........-21.50


UPDATED 11/21/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting college football spreads this week:
— Ole Miss @ Mississippi State (-1.5)
— Boise State (-3) @ San Diego State
— Washington (-2) @ Washington State
— Ohio State (-7.5) @ Michigan
— Kentucky @ Louisville (-2)
— BYU (-7) @ USC

Quote of the Day
“Obviously disappointing night for us in many ways. Responsibility is completely mine; every head coach should always do that. And then the other side is there a lot to play for, a lot. A lot of our goals, most of our goals are still ahead of us and we’ve got to get ready for them quickly by going back to work and they ain’t going to fix themselves. Certainly not the standard tonight. Credit to them, really good football team. They played really well.”
Oregon football coach Mario Cristobal

Monday’s quiz
Who was the Chargers’ QB, the one time they played in a Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
Erik Kramer was the Detroit Lions’ QB, last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

Saturday’s quiz
Tom Crean is the basketball coach at Georgia; he was Dwyane Wade’s coach at Marquette. He is also John Harbaugh’s brother-in-law.

*******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Minnesota 34, Green Bay 31:

— Green Bay’s first 4 drives: 26 plays, 120 yards, 3 points.
— Green Bay’s last 4 drives: 29 plays, 318 yards, 28 points.
— Packers tied game with 75-yard TD pass with 2:08 left.
— In Rodgers’ last four starts, Green Bay converted 26-51 on third down.

— Vikings drove 64 yards in 2:06, kicked GW FG with 0:00 left.
— Minnesota was 9-13 on third down, Packers 7-11.
— Nine of Vikings’ ten games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.

Indianapolis 41, Buffalo 15:
— Colts won/covered six of last eight games, after an 0-3 start.
— Taylor ran ball 32 times for 185 yards, four TD’s.
— Colts were plus-4 in turnovers (4-0).
— Indy is 11-7-1 ATS last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Last seven weeks, Colts outscored opponents 129-61 in first half.

— Colts in first half: 4 series- 32 plays, 182 yards, 24 points.
— Indy ran ball for 264 yards, threw for only 106.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Bills are 2-3 in last five games, after a 4-1 start.

Houston 22, Tennessee 13:
— Texans end their 8-game losing streak.
— Houston won despite being outgained, 420-190.
— Texans had 13-yard edge in field position.
— Under is 6-2 in Texans’ last seven games.

— Tennessee had its 6-game winning streak end.
— When you’re minus-5 in turnovers, you always lose.
— Tannehill threw INTs on three of last four possessions.
— Last four years, Tennessee is 8-11 ATS as home favorites.

Cleveland 13, Detroit 10:
— Detroit is winless, but is 6-4 vs spread.
— Lions threw for exactly 77 yards two games in a row.
— Last seven games, Lions were outscored 104-32 in first half.
— Seven of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.

— Browns outgained Detroit, 349-245
— Browns are 5-8 ATS last 13 games as home favorite.
— Cleveland outscored foes 48-15 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in five of last six games.

San Francisco 30, Jacksonville 10:
— First five drives: 52 plays, 324 yards, 27 points.
— 49ers outgained Jacksonville, 333-200.
— Four of their five wins have come on the road.
— Last two years, 49ers are 5-2 ATS as road favorites.

— Jaguars lost 23 of their last 25 games.
— Last three years, Jaguars are 6-11 ATS as home underdogs.
— Nine of their last ten games stayed under the total.
— Jacksonville already has six losses by 10+ points.

Miami 24, NJ Jets 17:
— Dolphins scored TD on first drive of each half.
— Miami won its last three games, giving up 12 ppg.
— Last four Dolphin games stayed under the total.
— Miami has given up 60 plays of 20+ yards, has only 38 themselves.

— Jets lost seven of last eight games; last five games, they used four QB’s.
— Last four years, Jets are 2-10 ATS in AFC East home games.
— Jets lost nine of last 11 games against Miami.
— Last four years, Jets are 13-26 ATS coming off a loss.

Washington 27, Carolina 21:
— Washington kicked two FG’s in last 4:13 for winning margin.
— Washington had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Washington was 6-13 on third down, Carolina 2-9.
— Washington ran ball for 190 yards, outgained Panthers 369-297.

— Carolina lost six of last eight games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-6 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Newton threw for 180 yards, ran for 46 more in first ’21 start.
— Panthers are 4-8 ATS last 12 games as home favorites.

Baltimore 16, Chicago 13:
— Backup QB Huntley drove Ravens 72 yards in 1:19, scored winning TD with 0:22 left.
— On first 10 drives, Ravens managed only three Tucker FG’s.
— Ravens converted 7-15 on third down, Chicago 2-11
— Last five games, opponents are 20-76 on third down

— Five drives with Fields at QB: 29 plays, 152 yards, no points.
— Five drives with Dalton at QB: 24 plays, 186 yards, 13 points.
— Bears outgained Baltimore, 353-299.
— Chicago lost last five games, last two by total of five points.

Philadelphia 40, New Orleans 29:
— Saints lost last three games, after a 5-2 start.
— Last three weeks, New Orleans was outscored 50-13 in first half.
— New Orleans has 30 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 44.
— Down 34-7 after three quarters, Saints scored 22 points in garbage time.

— Eagles converted 12-21 third down plays.
— Last four games, Philly ran ball for 217 ypg (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Four of last five Philly games went over the total.
— Eagles won three of last four games to even record at 5-5.

Cincinnati 32, Las Vegas 13:
— Bengals in 2nd half: 5 drives- 37 plays, 187 yards, 22 points.
— Cincinnati scored 31+ points in four of last five games.
— Bengals are 5-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
— Cincy was 8-16 on third down, Raiders were 1-7

— Raiders lost last three games, outscored 59-17 in second half.
— Raiders converted only 13 of last 48 third down plays.
— Las Vegas is 12-17-1 ATS in last 30 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Since moving to Las Vegas, Raiders are 5-9 SU at home (6-8 ATS)

Arizona 23, Seattle 13:
— Cardinals had TD drives of 82-92 yards on two of first three drives.
— Arizona outgained Seahawks, 413-266.
— Arizona has 48 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 26.
— Cardinals are 8-3 ATS this season.

— Last two games with Wilson back at QB, Seattle has one TD on 18 drives.
— In those two losses, Seattle was outgained, 806-474.
— Seahawks lost seven of their last nine games overall.
— Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Seattle.

Kansas City 19, Dallas 9:
— Dallas went 3/out on six of 12 drives.
— Cowboys averaged only 4.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Dallas is 5-10 ATS last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.

— First three drives: 21 plays, 154 yards, 16 points.
— Chiefs allowed only 11.8 ppg in last four games.
— Kansas City is 5-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Five of Chiefs’ last six games stayed under the total.
— Kansas City is 16-6-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less.

LA Chargers 41, Pittsburgh 37:
— Steelers scored 27 points in 4th quarter, still came up short.
— Pittsburgh had TD drives of 3-11 yards; they blocked a punt.
— Chargers outgained the Steelers, 533-300.
— Last five years, Steelers are 13-4 ATS as road underdogs.

— Herbert hit Mike Williams for 53-yard TD with 2:09 left.
— Chargers’ first five drives: 49 plays, 355 yards, 27 points.
— Chargers averaged 8.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four years, LA is 5-17-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Eight of their ten games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
 

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BROOKLYN is 78-39 ATS (35.1 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

ATLANTA is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 142-200 ATS (-78 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game since 1996.

PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Monday, November 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Charlotte @ Washington
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games

Brooklyn @ Cleveland
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games

Houston @ Boston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Houston

Oklahoma City @ Atlanta
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Indiana @ Chicago
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Indiana

Orlando @ Milwaukee
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Orlando's last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games at home

Minnesota @ New Orleans
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games

Phoenix @ San Antonio
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games at home
San Antonio is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Memphis @ Utah
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Memphis

Philadelphia @ Sacramento
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Philadelphia is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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Brooklyn has won 10 of its last 12 games.
Cleveland has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
Cleveland has gone UNDER the point total in seven straight home games.


Sacramento has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
Philadelphia has won five straight games when facing Sacramento.
Sacramento has gone UNDER the point total in seven of its last nine home games.
 

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