Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

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47FLORIDA -48 DALLAS
DALLAS are 2-12 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

49BOSTON -50 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.6 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the current season.

51WINNIPEG -52 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 12-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

53CHICAGO -54 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 1-8 ATS (-9.9 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.

55OTTAWA -56 TORONTO
OTTAWA is 14-59 ATS (-32.9 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the last 3 seasons.

57DETROIT -58 CAROLINA
DETROIT is 4-39 ATS (-38.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

59TAMPA BAY -60 NASHVILLE
TAMPA BAY is 43-20 ATS (13.7 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

61MINNESOTA -62 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 3-12 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

65LOS ANGELES -66 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 11-16 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

83EDMONTON -84 CALGARY
EDMONTON is 20-4 ATS (15.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
 

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Dunkel

Saturday, April 10


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Saturday, April 10


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Trend Report
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Florida @ Dallas
Florida
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Florida

Boston @ Philadelphia
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Columbus
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games at home

Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Winnipeg is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Ottawa @ Toronto
Ottawa
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Tampa Bay @ Nashville
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ St. Louis
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Edmonton @ Calgary
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing Edmonton

Los Angeles @ San Jose
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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Sunday’s 6-pack
Updated odds to win The Masters:

Even— Hideki Matsuyama
9-2— Xander Shauffele
10-1— Will Zalatoris, Justin Rose, Marc Leishman
17-1— Jordan Spieth
25-1— Corey Conners
80-1— Brian Harman

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“Golf is harder than baseball. In golf, you have to play your foul balls.”
Anonymous

Sunday’s quiz
What team did Alex Rodriguez begin his major league career with?

Saturday’s quiz
Joe Musgrove is a life-long Padres’ fan who wears #44 to honor former San Diego pitcher Jake Peavy.

Friday’s quiz
NBA’s Rockets were an expansion team in 1967; they played their first four seasons in San Diego, before moving to Houston.

**************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) This is very random, because it is 2:50am and my mind is wandering, but think back to a Giants-Eagles game in 1978, November 19 to be exact.

Giants were 5-6, Eagles 6-5, both teams fighting to become playoff contenders. Giants led 14-0 early, 17-6 after three quarters- they led 17-13 and were killing the clock when QB Joe Pisarcik tried to handoff to a running back, but the exchange was fumbled, the Eagles ran the fumble in for the game-winning TD that propelled them to their first playoff game in 18 years.

This game was unusually relevant for many reasons:

— Teams didn’t take a knee back then; this game started teams taking a knee.
— This was the first of four straight playoff years for the Eagles; they won the NFC in 1980.
— Eagles’ DB who scored the winning TD? Herman Edwards.
— Guy who coached the Giants that day? John McVay, Sean McVay’s grandfather.

— John McVay was fired after that season, replaced by Ray Perkins. Perkins coached the Giants for four years, then replaced Bear Bryant as the coach at Alabama.
— Eagles’ coach that day was Dick Vermeil, who had gone 9-19 his first two years in Philly; this game was the turning point for his program.
— Vermeil left the Eagles after the ’82 season, went on TV for 14 years, then returned to the NFL with the Rams in 1997— he won the Super Bowl there, in his third season as head coach.

You just wonder how many careers would’ve been different had that fumble never happened.

Major league leaders after nine days:
12) batting average:
.556— Yermin Mercedes, CWS
.471— Ryan Zimmerman, Wsh
.462— Ketel Marte, Ariz
.458— Nelson Crux, Minn

11) runs scored:
11— Jose Altuve, Hst
10— Mark Canha, A’s
9— Castellanos, Moustakas, Senzel, all on the Reds
8— Mike Trout LAA, Garrett Hampson Colo, Adam Eaton CWS

10) RBI’s::
14— Tyler Naquin Cin/Nate Lowe Tex
12— JD Martinez Bos
11— Kyle Tucker Hst, Jonathan India Cin

9) Mike Trout has been on base 22 of 39 times this season; he’s already walked 10 times.

8) Tampa Bay 4, New York 0— Why does Aaron Hicks bat third? He isn’t a good hitter.

— he’s a career .234 hitter, .331 OB%. For his CAREER
— he’s hitting .147 this year.
— He’s hit more than 15 homers once in his career.
— You put this guy between Judge and Stanton in the lineup? Why?

7) Arizona 8, Cincinnati 3— Reds are fun to watch; they have some guys who can hit, not sure how good their infield defense is. Suarez should be playing third. They have lot of outfielders; not sure what happens when Akiyama comes off the IL.

6) Manager AJ Hinch got suspended for a year because of the Astros’ cheating thing, then he went to Detroit— the Astros didn’t hire him back after his suspension.

Alex Cora got suspended for a year for the same thing, but the Red Sox brought him back as manager after the suspension was up. Whats the difference?

5) Alex Rodriguez and billionaire Marc Lore are teaming up to buy the Minnesota Timberwolves of the NBA; Mr Lore used to be the CEO of Walmart eCommerce.

4) Candidate for Bad Beat of the Week: If you had A-Rod’s Timberwolves (+8.5) Friday night, you went to bed a bit queasy- they lost 145-136, in overtime to the Celtics in Boston.

3) Colorado Rockies’ OF Raimel Tapia walked Saturday, his first walk in his last 131 at-bats, which may explain why he got dropped from leadoff to the 6-spot in the order Saturday.

Tapia is hitting .258 this year, with a .281 on-base %age. That ain’t good enough to bat leadoff.

2) Marlins 3, Mets 0— Jacob deGrom has allowed one run in 14 IP this season, striking out 21 guys, but he doesn’t have a win, because the Mets usually don’t hit when he pitches. Guy is the best pitcher in baseball, with a 2.75 ERA, 1.05 WHIP in 184 career starts, but his record is only 70-51.

1) Happy 85th birthday to the great football coach John Madden, who became way more famous later on, as a TV analyst/pitch man. Had the pleasure of meeting coach Madden in St Louis in 1995, after a Rams’ game; good guy, very big guy, pretty much like he seems on TV.
 

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67BUFFALO -68 PHILADELPHIA
BUFFALO is 9-37 ATS (-31.7 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

69ARIZONA -70 VEGAS
ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS (13.5 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

71PITTSBURGH -72 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 0-9 ATS (-9.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

73NY RANGERS -74 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 12-2 ATS (9.4 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

77COLORADO -78 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

79DALLAS -80 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 12-1 ATS (12 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

85WASHINGTON -86 BOSTON
WASHINGTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite in the current season.
 

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Sunday, April 11


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Trend Report
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Buffalo @ Philadelphia
Buffalo
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Arizona @ Vegas
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
Vegas
Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona

Colorado @ Anaheim
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Anaheim is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

Pittsburgh @ New Jersey
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
New Jersey is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Pittsburgh

NY Rangers @ NY Islanders
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games

Washington @ Boston
Washington
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Boston's last 24 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games

Dallas @ Nashville
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Nashville
Nashville is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas


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Monday’s 6-pack
Teams that have scored the most runs:

66— Cincinnati
58— Boston
57— Dodgers
56— Houston
55— Minnesota
51— White Sox
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“I’d keep playing. I don’t think the heavy stuff’s going to come down for quite a while.”
Carl Spackler, Caddyshack

Monday’s quiz
When Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, what famous athlete was his team’s center?
Hint: He isn’t a football player now

Sunday’s quiz
Alex Rodriguez began his major league career with the Seattle Mariners.

Saturday’s quiz
Joe Musgrove is a life-long Padres’ fan who wears #44 to honor former San Diego pitcher Jake Peavy.

********************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Phillies 7, Braves 6— Brutal non-reversal by the replay guys in New York City, as Phillies scored winning run in top of the 9th. Replays clearly showed Alec Bohm never touched the plate when he slid, but after a review, the safe call wasn’t overturned. Not good.

They need to announce, before the game, who the replay umpires are in NYC, make them more accountable. Only time I’ve heard it spoken during a game was Gary Cohen did it on a Mets’ game once.

12) Red Sox 14, Orioles 9:
— JD Martinez hit three homers, Rafael Devers hit two; Boston has won six in a row, after the Orioles swept them in Fenway to start the season.

11) Royals 4, White Sox 3 (10):
— Loss snaps Chicago’s 17-game win streak against lefty starting pitchers, one short of the record.
— Carlos Santana tied the game with a 9th-inning homer.

10) Arizona 7, Cincinnati 0:
— Luke Weaver had a no-hitter thru six innings.
— Eduardo Escobar has homered in four straight games.

9) In the major leagues, the home team controls whether a game starts or not; once the game starts, then the umpires run things.

Mets decided that it was OK to start their game Sunday, but it started pouring a few minutes later and the umpires stopped the game, which was later postponed, after only nine pitches.

Marcus Stroman is the Mets’ 2nd-best pitcher; he threw nine pitches, and now won’t pitch again until this weekend in Denver. This isn’t a good way to run a major league franchise.

For what it is worth, the game will be picked up from the spot where it stopped.

8) Seattle 8, Minnesota 6:
— Twins led 6-0 after five innings; Twins starter Matt Shoemaker got tossed in the 6th inning, for arguing balls/strikes while a batter who had homered off him circled the bases.
— Kyle Seager hit a 3-run homer in the ninth inning for the dramatic comeback win.

7) Baseball injuries:
— Dodgers put OF Cody Bellinger (calf) on IL
— Detroit put 1B Miguel Cabrera (biceps) on IL
— Angels lost OF Dexter Fowler (torn ACL) for the year.

6) White Sox DH Yermin Mercedes has 29 big league at-bats, but his batting gloves are already headed to the Hall of Fame. Mercedes had hits in his first eight AB’s this season, which is why his batting gloves will be in Cooperstown soon.

5) It is surprising how few major league catchers there are who can hit.

4) A’s/Astros had Sunday scheduled off; vert strange not to watch the A’s on a Sunday.

3) Hofstra named former NBA guard/Hofstra alum Speedy Claxton its new basketball coach; he’s been an assistant at Hofstra since 2013. Claxton played in the NBA for nine years.

2) Portland big guy Enes Kanter had 24 points, 30 rebounds in the Blazers’ 118-103 win over Detroit Saturday night. Portland was +19 in the 37:00 he played, -4 in the 11:00 he sat out.

1) Random but fairly amazing fact:
— Since 1969, Pittsburgh Steelers have had three head coaches. Three.
— Since 2004, Cleveland Browns have had eleven head coaches.
 

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1WINNIPEG -2 OTTAWA
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days in the current season.

3TORONTO -4 MONTREAL
TORONTO is 11-1 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

5DETROIT -6 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the last 3 seasons.

7CHICAGO -8 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 1-9 ATS (-10.9 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp in the current season.

9ST LOUIS -10 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the current season.

11VANCOUVER -12 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

13ARIZONA -14 COLORADO
ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS (13.5 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

15VEGAS -16 LOS ANGELES
VEGAS are 26-6 ATS (17.3 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

17ANAHEIM -18 SAN JOSE
ANAHEIM is 6-19 ATS (-12.6 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.
 

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Monday, April 12


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Trend Report
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Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Chicago @ Columbus
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games

Toronto @ Montreal
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games

Winnipeg @ Ottawa
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games

St. Louis @ Minnesota
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona

Vegas @ Los Angeles
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games

Anaheim @ San Jose
Anaheim
Anaheim is 16-2 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Anaheim is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games at home
San Jose is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim


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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Teams that have scored the fewest runs:

16— Mets
17— Nationals
24— Marlins
26— Cubs
29— Tigers
31— Giants

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 562,428
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“[Doug Pederson] was ridiculed and criticized for every decision. If you won by three, it wasn’t enough. If you lost on a last-second field goal, you’re the worst coach in history.”
An unnamed source, telling The Athletic how the Eagles’ front office gave Doug Peterson a hard time during his tenure as head coach

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA, who has made the most 3-point shots?

Monday’s quiz
When Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, his team’s center was Clayton Kershaw. Now both of them are playing ball in Los Angeles.

Sunday’s quiz
Alex Rodriguez began his major league career with the Seattle Mariners.

****************************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Maryland passed a sports betting bill Monday; the law will allow as many as 60 online operators and 30 retail sportsbooks between casinos, professional sports stadiums, small businesses and lot of other organizations.

They’re hoping to kick off sports betting in Maryland before football season season starts.

12) Warriors 116, Nuggets 107:
— Steph Curry scored 53 points, made 10-18 shots on the arc, 14-16 on foul line, even grabbed six rebounds. It is a pleasure to watch him play.

11) Chicago Cubs have two coaches on the COVID list, including their bullpen coach; they also put three relief pitchers on the list, for contact tracing.

10) Best fried chicken ever? Church’s Fried Chicken; I had it in South Carolina long time ago, very, very good. Church’s is also in Las Vegas; you should try it.

9) White Sox 4, Indians 3— Chicago is only MLB team that has scored 3+ runs in all of its games this season.

8) Ryan Odom leaves UMBC to become the new head coach at Utah State; Odom coached the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament. Odom replaces Craig Smith, who bolted to in-state rival Utah.

Ryan Odom is Dave Odom’s son; Dave Odom was Tim Duncan’s coach at Wake Forest.

7) Eastern Michigan hired alum Stan Heath as its new basketball coach; Heath was once a rising star in coaching, going from Kent State to Arkansas, but after going 43-24 his last two years with the Razorbacks, he made the strange career move of going to South Florida, which was in the Big East at the time. It didn’t go well.

Heath had been coaching the G-League the last few years.

6) Richest owner in the NFL is David Tepper, who owns the Carolina Panthers; he is worth $12B, that’s billion, with a B. He is a hedge fund manager.

Richest owner in the NBA is Steve Ballmer, who owns the Clippers; the guy is worth freakin’ $51B— can you imagine that? He used to be the CEO of Microsoft.

Only difference their bank accounts and ours are a lot of zeroes. A whole lot of zeroes, on the left side of the decimal point.

5) Wizards 125, Jazz 121— Russell Westbrook had 25 points, 14 rebounds, 14 assists in sparking the big upset. Game was 70-65 at the half.

4) Patriots’ WR Julian Edelman retired from the NFL; he had 6,822 receiving yards in his career, 1,442 more in playoff games. Not bad for a guy who played QB at Kent State.

3) Tigers 6, Astros 2— Detroit catchers hit five home runs in 58 games last year; they’ve already hit five in their first ten games this season.

2) Reds 3, Giants 0— Bullpens at Oracle Park in San Francisco are under the bleachers in right-center field now, instead of on the field down the foul lines, the way they used to be. The home run Jesse Winker hit in the third inning wouldn’t have been a home run before this season

1) Lot of baseball on tap today; doubleheaders in Philly, Baltimore. Marcus Stroman is starting one game for the Mets; he threw nine pitches Sunday before the game got rained out- pitching today probably gets him out of starting at Coors Field this weekend.
 

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19NY RANGERS -20 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 0-10 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

21BUFFALO -22 BOSTON
BUFFALO is 2-20 ATS (-20 Units) in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

23PHILADELPHIA -24 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

25CALGARY -26 TORONTO
TORONTO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal since 1996.

27TAMPA BAY -28 NASHVILLE
TAMPA BAY is 44-20 ATS (14.7 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

29FLORIDA -30 DALLAS
DALLAS are 7-21 ATS (-17.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, April 13


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Trend Report
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NY Rangers @ New Jersey
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers

Buffalo @ Boston
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Boston
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

Calgary @ Toronto
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Tampa Bay @ Nashville
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Nashville
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Florida @ Dallas
Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Florida
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games


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Messages
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
NFL teams that pay out the most $$$ in workout bonuses:

$5.1M— Green Bay
$3.7M— Jacksonville
$3.2M— Buffalo
$3.1M— Kansas City
$1.9M— Carolina, Cincinnati
$1.8M— Las Vegas
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 562,428
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“The worst part of this approach is that it doubles the stress of the compressed schedule. Rather than playing for a playoff spot and being able to rest players as the standings become clearer, teams have to approach every game as a playoff game to either get into or stay in the top 6 since the consequences, as Luka said, are enormous. So players are playing more games and more minutes in fewer days.”
Mark Cuban, on the NBA’s play-in playoff format

Wednesday’s quiz
Since the 1983-84 season, who holds the NBA record for most rebounds in one game?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA, Ray Allen has made the most 3-point shots, 2,973.

Monday’s quiz
When Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, his team’s center was Clayton Kershaw. Now both of them are playing ball in Los Angeles.

***************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Dak Prescott got a 4-year, $160M contract from the Cowboys, which apparently includes a $1M incentive for winning a Super Bowl. $126M of that money is guaranteed.

Prescott has a 42-27 career W-L record in regular season, 1-2 in playoffs; he played in only five games last season, after he broke/dislocated his ankle.

12) Here’s something you don’t see every day; Monday night, Milwaukee Brewers brought in a relief pitcher late in their game, but turns out the guy’s name wasn’t written on the lineup card, so he couldn’t pitch, and they had to quickly get someone else warmed up to enter the game.

You wouldn’t think stuff like that would happen in the major leagues.

11) Players who have had 3+-homer games for three different teams:
— Johnny Mize— StL, NYG, NYY
— Alex Rodriguez— Sea, Tex, NYY
— Dave Kingman— Cubs, NYM, A’s
— Mark Teizeira— Tex, Atl, NYY
— JD Martinez— Det, Ariz, Bos

10) Most pitches thrown in a game this season:
118– Johnny Cueto
113— Shane Bieber (last night)
112— Joe Musgrove (perfect game)
111— Lance Lynn
110– Trevor Bauer
105— Johnny Cueto

9) Longtime major league ump Joe West has been awarded $500,000 plus interest in damages in a defamation suit against former MLB catcher Paul LoDuca that was filed in October 2019.

There was a podcast where LoDuca accused reliever Billy Wagner of bribing West to get a bigger strike zone. He accused that Wagner let West use his 1957 vintage Chevrolet to make the strike zone change when he was up at bat.

Apparently, LoDuca lied in the podcast about how many times West has ejected him in his career; the judge who made the ruling raised the possibility that West will not be elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame because of LoDuca’s statements.

West, by the way, was one of the umpires in the replay center Sunday night, when they missed a call on the Phillies scoring the winning run on a close play at home plate in the last inning.

8) Rangers 8, Rays 3— Texas breaks out for eight runs, after being shut out in three of their previous four games.

7) Red Sox 4, Twins 2— Boston wins its 7th game in a row on a snowy afternoon in Minnesota. Rafael Devers has hit five homers in his last four games.

6) Denver Nuggets’ star Jamal Murray tore his ACL, is out for the year, tough break for a Denver team that is 34-20, the #4-seed in the Western Conference.

5) Mets 4-4, Phillies 3-0: Big day for the Metropolitans, who swept a twinbill, holding the Phils to three runs total.

4) “I don’t know who that is. I know he’s going to be the owner. But I don’t know anything about baseball.”

Thats Timberwolves’ star rookie Anthony Edwards, talking about baseball Hall of Famer Alex Rodriguez, who will soon be a co-owner of Minnesota’s NBA team.

3) Former NFL running back Eddie George is the new football coach at Tennessee State; George played nine seasons in the NFL and ran for 10,441 yards, but he has never coached before.

George played for the Tennessee Titans, where his coach was Jeff Fisher, whose son Brandon is expected to be on the Tennessee State coaching staff.

2) Now that Chris Beard is the basketball coach at Texas, they’re going to poach players from teams all over the country. Longhorns poached kids from Utah/Kentucky on Tuesday, and also announced that Andrew Jones will be staying with the Longhorns next season.

1) Having trouble getting used to doubleheaders being 7-inning games; a game is 2-2 in fifth inning and you forget that this is a late-inning situation. You do the same thing for 60 years, it is difficult to shift gears and think in a different way.
 

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Messages
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Tokens
31WINNIPEG -32 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 0-18 ATS (-19.8 Units) off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

33CALGARY -34 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 13-19 ATS (-14.8 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

35VEGAS -36 LOS ANGELES
VEGAS are 16-3 ATS (11.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

37ARIZONA -38 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 14-3 ATS (11.3 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

39COLORADO -40 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 1-6 ATS (-9.8 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

43ANAHEIM -44 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 9-3 ATS (5.7 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the current season.
 

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Messages
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NHL

Wednesday, April 14


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Trend Report
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Arizona @ Minnesota
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona

Calgary @ Montreal
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Winnipeg @ Ottawa
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games at home
Ottawa is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games

Colorado @ St. Louis
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Vegas @ Los Angeles
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Vegas

Anaheim @ San Jose
Anaheim
Anaheim is 17-2 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games at home
San Jose is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Anaheim


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds for this week’s RBC Heritage golf tournament:

19-2— Dustin Johnson
13-1— Webb Simpson
17-1— Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay
19-1— Daniel Berger
23-1— Tyrell Hatton
28-1— Cam Smith, Paul Casey, Will Zalatoris
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 562,428
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“Don’t throw away the old bucket until you know if the new bucket holds water.”
Anonymous

Thursday’s quiz
What baseball player holds the record for most total bases in one game?

Wednesday’s quiz
Since the 1983-84 season, Charles Oakley holds the NBA record for most rebounds in one game, with 35.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the NBA, Ray Allen has made the most 3-point shots, 2,973.

************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) White Sox 8, Indians 0:
— Carlos Rodon throws a no-hitter, allowing a hit batter in 9th inning.
— Last two years, Rodon started only 11 games; lot of injury issues.

— Already 2nd no-hitter this year, both with no walks, but one hit batter. Before this year, that had happened only four times in the previous 100 years.

12) Nationals 6, Cardinals 0— Yadier Molina is first player ever to catch 2,000+ games with the same team.

11) Coming into Wednesday’s games, major league batting average was only .235; last year it was .245, which was the lowest since 1972.

I’m thinking shifts will be outlawed next season; they want more offense in the game.

10) Near the end of last season, Angels’ SS Andrelton Simmons opted out of the season; he didn’t want to go into quarantine for the playoffs.

This year, now with Minnesota, Simmons opted not to get the vaccine.

This week, Simmons tested positive for COVID, so now he is in quarantine. Go figure.

9) Was weird seeing Blake Snell pitch for the Padres Tuesday night, throw 38 pitches and not finish the first inning. Teams are going to be very vigilant about monitoring pitch counts and inning counts this year, with last year having been a shortened season.

8) Minnesota rookie OF Alex Kirilloff is the first player ever whose first career hit came in a playoff game. He made his 2021 debut for the Twins yesterday.

7) Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes is the first pitcher in the last 100 years to strike out 30+ batters in his first three starts of a season, without walking anyone.

6) Cleveland’s Shane Bieber has allowed five runs in 21.1 IP, striking out 35 guys, but he doesn’t have any wins; Indians didn’t score a run in the first five innings of any of those three games.

5) Toronto 5, Bronx 4:
— New York is 2-1 when Cole pitches, 3-6 with any other starter.
— DH Stanton got another day off; why? Is being a DH that strenuous?
— Bo Bichette hit a walk-off homer in the 9th inning.

4) Red Sox swept a twinbill in Minnesota; they’re first team ever to start a season 0-3, then win 9+ games in a row. Twins scored total of three runs in the two games.

3) Mets 5, Phillies 1:
— David Peterson pitched a strong game for the Mets.
— Peterson’s father was a horse trainer; he trained Seattle Slew the year after that great horse won the Triple Crown— owners had fired Billy Turner, the previous trainer.

2) College basketball stuff:
— Arizona named Gonzaga assistant Tommy Lloyd as their new coach.
— NC-Greensboro coach Wes Miller is now the Cincinnati coach.
— Joe Golding bolts from Abilene Christian to Texas-El Paso.

1) Gonzaga is a unique situation; they’re pretty much what UNLV was 30 years ago; I’m not sure a Pac-12 team hiring Mark Few’s right-hand man will translate well.
— Can he recruit top flight players to the desert?
— Can he recruit top flight players who will stay more than one year?
— Arizona has won A LOT over the last 35 years; can he satisfy a spoiled fanbase?

College basketball is changing drastically; every kid who makes two layups in a row either wants to jump to to the NBA or to a better conference. Very difficult to develop continuity.
 

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Jun 22, 2009
Messages
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Tokens
45WINNIPEG -46 TORONTO
TORONTO is 2-8 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

47NASHVILLE -48 CAROLINA
NASHVILLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

49FLORIDA -50 TAMPA BAY
FLORIDA is 0-7 ATS (-7.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the current season.

51PHILADELPHIA -52 PITTSBURGH
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (-9.8 Units) against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

53NEW JERSEY -54 NY RANGERS
NEW JERSEY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

55BUFFALO -56 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 14-1 ATS (13.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

57NY ISLANDERS -58 BOSTON
NY ISLANDERS are 16-5 ATS (10.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

59CHICAGO -60 DETROIT
CHICAGO is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

61COLUMBUS -62 DALLAS
COLUMBUS are 2-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.
 

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