Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

[CNOTES]

67CALGARY -68 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 54-67 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored since 1996.


71CAROLINA -72 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.


75VANCOUVER -76 WINNIPEG
VANCOUVER is 2-12 ATS (-10.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.


77ST LOUIS -78 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against terrible power play teams - scoring on < 13% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.


77ST LOUIS -78 ANAHEIM
DALLAS EAKINS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against terrible power play teams - scoring on < 13% of their chances (Coach of ANAHEIM)


79TORONTO -80 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 20-31 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.


81MINNESOTA -82 VEGAS
MINNESOTA is 9-3 ATS (7.7 Units) against good defensive teams - allowing <=2.55 goals/game over the last 2 seasons.


83COLORADO -84 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 42-59 ATS (-22.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.




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NHL
Long Sheet


Monday, March 1


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CALGARY (10-10-0-2, 22 pts.) at OTTAWA (7-15-0-1, 15 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 19-26 ATS (-18.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 133-127 ATS (-21.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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CAROLINA (13-6-0-1, 27 pts.) at FLORIDA (13-4-0-3, 29 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 134-140 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
FLORIDA is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CAROLINA is 53-29 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-14 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 6-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 6-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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VANCOUVER (8-14-0-2, 18 pts.) at WINNIPEG (13-6-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 51-44 ATS (+107.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 28-19 ATS (+50.0 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 26-15 ATS (+42.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 219-257 ATS (+568.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-1 (+5.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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ST LOUIS (11-8-0-2, 24 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-10-0-5, 17 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 14-20 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 314-257 ATS (+54.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 472-492 ATS (+980.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 209-203 ATS (+428.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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TORONTO (16-4-0-2, 34 pts.) at EDMONTON (14-9-0-0, 28 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 30-22 ATS (+7.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 23-11 ATS (+34.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 29-16 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-8 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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MINNESOTA (12-6-0-0, 24 pts.) at VEGAS (12-4-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-9 ATS (+26.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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COLORADO (11-6-0-1, 23 pts.) at SAN JOSE (7-9-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/1/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 115-96 ATS (+217.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 180-149 ATS (-72.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 198-171 ATS (-92.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 7-7 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 7-7-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)



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NHL


Monday, March 1


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Trend Report
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Carolina @ Florida
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games


Calgary @ Ottawa
Calgary
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary


Vancouver @ Winnipeg
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver


St. Louis @ Anaheim
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
St. Louis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games


Toronto @ Edmonton
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota


Colorado @ San Jose
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Jose's last 14 games when playing at home against Colorado




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NHL
Dunkel


Monday, March 1

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, MARCH 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CAL at OTT 07:00 PM
OTT +130
O 6.0

CAR at FLA 07:00 PM
CAR -110
O 6.0


VAN at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -140
U 6.5


STL at ANA 10:00 PM
STL -145
U 5.5

MIN at VEG 10:00 PM
MIN +120
U 5.5


TOR at EDM 10:00 PM
EDM -110
O 6.5


COL at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +185
O 6.0






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 01, 2021




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, MARCH 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CAL at OTT 07:00 PM
OTT +130............1 - 5.....WINNER
O 6.0....................PUSH

CAR at FLA 07:00 PM
CAR -110.................3 - 2
O 6.0..................LOSER


VAN at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -140...............4 - 0
U 6.5................WINNER


STL at ANA 10:00 PM
STL -145..............5 - 4
U 5.5..............LOSER

MIN at VEG 10:00 PM
MIN +120..............4 - 5.....LOSER
U 5.5.................LOSER


TOR at EDM 10:00 PM
EDM -110................3 - 0
O 6.5...............LOSER


COL at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +185............2 - 6....WINNER
O 6.0.............WINNER






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
87.5— Oakland A’s!!!!
86.5— Astros, Cardinals, Blue Jays
85.5— Rays
84.5— Nationals
83.5— Angels
82.5— Reds, Brewers


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 513,112
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“Small, locally owned businesses are the heart and soul of a community. In the applications and the videos, it was heart-wrenching to hear about all the obstacles facing restaurants and retail establishments. So many of them are struggling just to stay in business but remain hopeful that there’s an end to this.”
Aaron Rodgers, who has contributed over $1M to small businesses around his hometown


Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time a Division I hoop team had an undefeated national champ?


Monday’s quiz
Atlanta Hawks used to play their home games in St Louis; they moved to Atlanta in 1968.


Sunday’s quiz
Virginia won the last NCAA Tournament, two years ago; they beat Texas Tech in the final.


*********************


Tuesday’s Den: 13 of my most memorable NCAA Tournament games:


13) Georgetown 50, Princeton 49— 1989 first round. It would be another 29 years before a #1-seed lost to a 16-seed, but Pete Carril’s Tigers came damn close in this game.


Dick Vitale was in the ESPN studio with Bob Ley that night; he says on the air if Princeton wins the game, he’ll stand on his head on the set, on the air. He damn near had to do it. Georgetown had Alonzo Mourning that year; they wound up losing in the regional final.


12) Villanova 77, North Carolina 74— 2016 national title game. I’m sitting in the Westgate SuperBook watching this game, guy sitting next to me has Villanova and the under. From the sound of his voice and his tension level, he had a lot of money on both.


Guard on North Carolina (Marcus Paige?) hits a tough shot to tie the game and put the game over the total; the guy next to me slumped in his chair, but when Kris Jenkins drained a long shot to win the national title, the guy cheered up, a lot. That night, splitting his bets was a very good thing.


11) Kansas 83, Oklahoma 79— 1988 national title game. Over the last 35 years, this was only time the underdog won all three games at the Final Four. Kansas was a #6-seed; it would be another 26 years before a lower seed (#7-seed UConn in 2014) would win a national title.


Billy Tubbs coached Oklahoma back then; I loved watching his teams, they played and with great confidence. This game was 50-50 at halftime, two conference rivals going at it, but the Jayhawks had Danny Manning, and he led them to a surprising national championship.


10) Vermont 60, Syracuse 57 OT— 2005 first round. Back then, group of us would gather at an Off Track Betting sports bar, hunker down for four days and watch games for 12 hours a day. Lot of fun, lot of bantering back/forth. Wish the casino in Schenectady was around back then.


This was the year Tom Brennan coached Vermont to a big upset in the first round; they were a 9-point underdog in this game. Brennan later became a talk radio star, after he retired from coaching- his Catamounts lost their next game by 11 to Michigan State.


9) Northern Iowa 69, Kansas 67 OT— 2010 2nd round. I was at the MGM Grand watching this game; lot of Kansas fans were around, very cocky that their team was headed to the Sweet 16- they were the #1-seed in that region.


Problem is, no one told Northern Iowa; they hit a 3-pointer late in the game, pulled the big upset and made a lot of Jayhawk fans very sad.


That was the week I’m watching a game, kid scores a basket very early in the game and the three guys next to me start hugging each other and yelling. I ask them if that was their brother who scored that basket— they said no, they had Wake Forest in their “first to 15” bet.


I had no idea that MGM offered a bet where you picked which team got to 15 points first.


8) North Carolina 77, Oregon 76— 2017 national semifinal. Watched this game in Las Vegas with a friend of mine who had a very, very large bet on Oregon. He had both underdogs that day, and over the last 35 years, that day was the only time in national semifinals where both underdogs lost, but both covered, so he had a really good day.


South Carolina was a #7-seed that surprisingly made the Final Four that year; since then, Gamecocks are 32-36 in SEC games, and haven’t been back in NCAAs. Tough place to win.


7) North Carolina 71, Gonzaga 65— 2017 national final. This was two nights after the two dogs had covered the semi-final games. I’m at the SouthPoint sportsbook, and I sit next to three younger guys, all from San Diego. It was also opening night of baseball season.


For the next 3-4 hours, we shot the breeze about everything, mostly sports, but some other stuff too. They told me that Steve Fisher needed to retire at San Diego State (he did, right after that). First time I ever had a quesadilla (they’re good!!). Living proof that all Americans have more in common than what separates us.


6) Georgia Tech 93, Minnesota 91— 1990 regional final. I had the Gophers +3.5. Minnesota has the ball at the end, no chance to win, kid drains a 3 from the right corner at the buzzer, to send me home happy.


Long, long time ago, went to the NIT Final Four in New York City. This is 1984 or so, when I had just started working. All I remember about that night:
— Fresno State had really pretty cheerleaders who threw small boxes of raisins into the stands. Apparently, they grow a lot of raisins in Fresno.
— Someone scored a basket late in the game to cover the spread; these three guys in front of us starting yelling and hugging each other. Winning money makes you happy.
— Long busride back to Albany, then I went right to work— I was on the midnight-8am shift back then, looking at fingerprints. That was a long freakin’ night.


5) Murray State 83, Marquette 64— 2019 first round. Not a pleasant memory; I picked this game over the total, should have had Murray and the over. Marquette had no answer for Ja Morant and the Racers were going to hang 100 on a Big East team, the game was going to go way over the total, but the Marquette coach retreated his team into a zone defense and refused to try and win, to avoid embarrassment. No bueno.


Gamer stayed under the total; lets just say…….I wasn’t happy &#55357;&#56897;


4) UNLV 103, Duke 73— 1990 national title game. Wish I was in Las Vegas for this game, the night Jerry Tarkanian won his first national title. What a team that was; Larry Johnson, Greg Anthony, Stacey Augmon. Lot of midnight games on ESPN for that crew.


Back then, Big Monday was a tripleheader: Big East at 7, Big 10 at 9, Big West at midnight, after SportsCenter. UNLV was in the Big West back then; they were like Gonzaga is now, a very big fish in a fairly small pond. Lot of fun to watch.


3) Northwestern State 64, Iowa 63— 2006 first round. This was a 3-14 game; Demons were a 7-point underdog. I had gone on a local radio show when the brackets came out and predicted an outright win for Northwestern State, so I was pretty excited when it happened.


Couple years later down in Orlando, I’m watching an AAU game down in Florida and the Northwestern State coach sits next to me. I told him the story, thanked him; he told me how one of his former players was going to graduate school at Iowa that year, had given him a great scouting report on the Hawkeyes. Luckily for me.


2) Loyola Marymount 111, New Mexico State 92— 1990 first round. LMU’s first game since the tragic death of Hank Gathers during the WCC tournament, 12 days earlier.


Game was tied at halftime; Bo Kimble, LMU’s best player, had four fouls at halftime but the Lions exploded in the second half and won going away. Kimble shot his first foul shot lefty to honor his fallen teammate. LMU won two more games before losing in the regional final.


1) NC State 80, UCLA 77, 2OT— 1974 national semi-final. I was in 9th grade back then, a big NC State fan (friend of our family lived in Raleigh), used to listen to their regular season games on WBT, a radio station out of Charlotte.


David Thompson/Tom Burleson/Monte Towe were the guys for NC State- they had lost to UCLA the previous December, were expected to lose here too, seeing how UCLA had won the previous seven national titles, but after getting down 7 in overtime, they rallied back and handed Bill Walton his only loss in an NCAA Tournament game.


Years later, I’m at an AAU tournament in Orlando, sitting by myself, when Monte Towe comes in the gym near where I was. Talked to him for 5-10 minutes, good guy. Hell of a passer for a guy who was 5-foot-6 at the most.

 

[CNOTES]

1BUFFALO -2 NY RANGERS
BUFFALO is 8-34 ATS (-29.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.


3PHILADELPHIA -4 PITTSBURGH
PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.


5OTTAWA -6 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.


7DETROIT -8 COLUMBUS
DETROIT is 4-36 ATS (-35.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.


9VANCOUVER -10 WINNIPEG
VANCOUVER is 2-12 ATS (-10.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.


39NY ISLANDERS -40 NEW JERSEY
NY ISLANDERS are 1-7 ATS (-7.6 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the current season.


41CAROLINA -42 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.




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NHL
Dunkel


Tuesday, March 2

--------------------------------




NHL
Long Sheet


Tuesday, March 2


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BUFFALO (6-10-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY RANGERS (7-9-0-3, 17 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 10-30 ATS (+46.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 162-163 ATS (-78.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 14-28 ATS (+48.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 133-161 ATS (-103.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 4-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (11-4-0-3, 25 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (11-8-0-1, 23 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 283-294 ATS (-95.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-41 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 94-94 ATS (+209.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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OTTAWA (8-15-0-1, 17 pts.) at MONTREAL (9-6-0-5, 23 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 2-14 ATS (+25.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 4-26 ATS (+55.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 45-56 ATS (+124.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 15-24 ATS (-12.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-26 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 17-26 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 154-159 ATS (-70.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 16-20 ATS (-8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-9 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-7 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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DETROIT (7-14-0-3, 17 pts.) at COLUMBUS (8-10-0-5, 21 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-71 ATS (+146.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-325 ATS (-114.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 17-56 ATS (+118.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-41 ATS (+80.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-58 ATS (+124.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 471-392 ATS (-156.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-2 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

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VANCOUVER (9-14-0-2, 20 pts.) at WINNIPEG (13-7-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 26-15 ATS (+41.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-6 ATS (+6.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 172-156 ATS (+344.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 220-257 ATS (+569.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (11-6-0-4, 26 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-8-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 32-20 ATS (+52.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 6-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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CAROLINA (14-6-0-1, 29 pts.) at NASHVILLE (10-11-0-0, 20 pts.) - 3/2/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 185-181 ATS (+405.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
CAROLINA is 54-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 46-48 ATS (-30.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-13 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 4-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------




NHL


Tuesday, March 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Buffalo @ NY Rangers
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo


Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home


Detroit @ Columbus
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Columbus
Columbus is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


Ottawa @ Montreal
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa


NY Islanders @ New Jersey
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home


Vancouver @ Winnipeg
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games


Carolina @ Nashville
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT +105
O 6.0


BUF at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -155
U 5.5


OTT at MON 07:00 PM
OTT +215
U 6.5


DET at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB -180
O 5.5


NYI at NJ 07:00 PM
NYI -155
U 5.5


CAR at NAS 08:00 PM
CAR -120
O 5.5


VAN at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -125
U 6.0


TB at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL +160
O 5.5






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT +105...........2 - 5.....WINNER
O 6.0...............WINNER


BUF at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -155..................2 - 3
U 5.5..................WINNER


OTT at MON 07:00 PM
OTT +215...........1 - 3...LOSER
U 6.5...................WINNER


DET at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB -180............1 - 4
O 5.5..................LOSER


NYI at NJ 07:00 PM
NYI -155.............2 - 1
U 5.5....................WINNER


CAR at NAS 08:00 PM
CAR -120......4 - 2
O 5.5...............WINNER


VAN at WIN 08:00 PM
WIN -125.................2 - 5
U 6.0....................LOSER


TB at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL +160.........2 - 0
O 5.5...............LOSER






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75


TOTALS........................10 - 9.........52.63%...........+11.50




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack
More over/under major league win totals (from DraftKings):
81.5— Cleveland
80.5— Boston, Philadelphia
79.5— Cubs
75.5— San Francisco
74.5— Arizona
72.5— Kansas City, Seattle


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 515,640
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.




**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings…….


13) Baylor 94, West Virginia 89, OT— If any of the games in the NCAA Tournament are as good as this one was, it’ll be surprising. This was a tremendous game between two really good teams, as Baylor clinches the Big X regular season title, their first league title since 1950.


Baylor was 13-31 on the arc; they were outscored 28-9 on the foul line.


12) Georgia Tech 81, Duke 77, OT— Tech choked away a 64-56 lead with 3:23 left; seriously, been a while since I’ve seen a team that won an overtime game play worse than they did, but they did win, snapping an 0-14 skid against Duke.


Tech started three seniors, two juniors; Duke started three frosh, two sophs.


Duke is now 11-10; will they even be one of the first four teams outside the field of 68?


11) Underrated fact: since 1976, Michigan State has had only two basketball coaches. Two!!!


10) Football is a game, but it is also a business, and businesses can be cold:
— Washington is going to release QB Alex Smith, who made a great comeback this year.
— Dolphins cut LB Kyle Van Noy, who was a team captain, one of their defense’s leaders.
— Vikings cut TE Kyle Rudolph, after he played 10 years in Minnesota.


These are salary cap-related moves, for the most part. I’m very curious to see who the QB will be in Washington next fall. I’m told quarterback is an important position.


9) JJ Watt gets $23M guaranteed from the Arizona Cardinals, where he re-unites with former Houston teammate DeAndre Hopkins. NFC West just got a little more difficult.


8) AAA baseball is going to start a month later than expected; now it will start the first week in May, when all the other minor league teams start. Spring training is weird this year, with very few 9-inning games so far— the rosters are so much thinner, with no minor leaguers to plug holes in the lineup late in games.


7) NIT is going to be a 16-team tournament this year, held totally in Dallas/Fort Worth area. Guess their first big question is whether or not Duke will trek to Texas and play there, since they do not figure to make the NCAA’s.


6) Good news for major league hitters; in-game video will be allowed in dugouts again this season. They said last summer that some hitters suffered because they were so used to seeing their at-bats right after they happened, so they could make adjustments the next time up.


Once the videos were banned, there were guys who were lost without it, so seems like a good common sense move to reverse that decision.


5) My quick plan to improve the NBA All-Star Game this year:
They’re going to have the dunk contest at HALFTIME of the game, which should make halftime very, very long (90 minutes?) You think older players are going to want to sit out for 90 minutes, then gear up to play again? I think not.


Here is my plan: have four All-Star teams, 8 or 9 guys on a team. Play two shorter All-Star Games, one before the dunk contest, one after, then no one has to play after a 90-minute break.


4) Happy 90th birthday to Gavin MacLeod, who played Murray on The Mary Tyler Moore Show and was Captain Stubing on The Love Boat. He was also in Kelly’s Heroes, a 1970 war movie with Clint Eastwood, Donald Sutherland and many other stars.


3) It is March 3rd and there are already 14 head coaching jobs open in Division I


2) March is the month when we obsess over the NCAA Tournament, but on the other side of the street, the teams who don’t win a lot often change coaches- those coaches have friends, families- losing your job can be a traumatic thing. Sometimes we forget coaches are people too.


Was reminded of that when my alma mater, the Albany Great Danes, fired their coach this week, a guy who had been the Albany coach for 20 years.


Will Brown made the NCAA’s five times in his 20 seasons, not too shabby, especially since he inherited a dumpster fire 20 years ago, a program that had just joined Division I, a program that was going nowhere, and fast.


Last few years, Albany got caught up in the transfer epidemic; they were supposed to have two senior guards three years ago, but both of them bolted to big $$$ programs for their senior year, and Albany never recovered- they went 33-47 the last three years, 20-24 in America East.


The AD seems intent on pushing the “mutual parting of ways” angle, but when the coach’s son is on the team, there is no freakin’ way the coach wanted to leave. He is a good coach, a better person; he made me proud to be an Albany alum. Will Brown will be missed.


1) Also saw that Northern Illinois fired their coach; several years ago out in Las Vegas, I’m sitting outside a gym, waiting for the doors to open to an AAU tournament, and I talked to Mark Montgomery for maybe 15-20 minutes. I picked his brain and he couldn’t have been nicer; he is smart, had worked for Tom Izzo at Michigan State. Learned a lot in our conversation.


For him to be as nice as he was to a total stranger, some older guy just hanging out and watching games, it made me sad when I saw he got fired. Hopefully he’ll bounce back and get another chance. When one door closes, another one often opens.

 

[CNOTES]

11WASHINGTON -12 BOSTON
WASHINGTON is 160-161 ATS (43.4 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game since 1996.


13TORONTO -14 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.


13TORONTO -14 EDMONTON
DAVE TIPPETT is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games (Coach of EDMONTON)


15ST LOUIS -16 ANAHEIM
ST LOUIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.


17MINNESOTA -18 VEGAS
MINNESOTA is 25-42 ATS (-21.8 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the last 3 seasons.


19COLORADO -20 SAN JOSE
SAN JOSE is 43-59 ATS (-21.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.


45ARIZONA -46 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.




---------------------------




NHL
Dunkel


Wednesday, March 3

---------------------------




NHL
Long Sheet


Wednesday, March 3


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON (12-5-0-4, 28 pts.) at BOSTON (12-5-0-2, 26 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 143-121 ATS (+282.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 58-63 ATS (-49.4 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (17-4-0-2, 36 pts.) at EDMONTON (14-10-0-0, 28 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-10 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 20-9 ATS (+29.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (12-8-0-2, 26 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-11-0-5, 17 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 15-20 ATS (-12.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 314-258 ATS (+53.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 210-203 ATS (+429.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-2 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 7-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (12-6-0-1, 25 pts.) at VEGAS (13-4-0-1, 27 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 3-3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (11-7-0-1, 23 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-9-0-2, 18 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 115-97 ATS (+218.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 21-8 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 181-149 ATS (-70.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 199-171 ATS (-90.7 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-7 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 8-7-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (9-9-0-3, 21 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (9-7-0-4, 22 pts.) - 3/3/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 14-29 ATS (+44.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-9 ATS (+27.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 180-186 ATS (-17.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)

---------------------------------------




NHL


Wednesday, March 3


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Washington @ Boston
Washington
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Boston's last 22 games when playing at home against Washington


Toronto @ Edmonton
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Edmonton's last 11 games


St. Louis @ Anaheim
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games


Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 8 games
Vegas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home


Arizona @ Los Angeles
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Los Angeles is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home


Colorado @ San Jose
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing on the road against San Jose
San Jose
San Jose is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games




----------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAS at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -145
O 6.0


TOR at EDM 08:00 PM
TOR -120
O 6.5

STL at ANA 09:30 PM
ANA +140
U 5.5


ARI at LA 10:00 PM
LA -110
U 5.5


MIN at VEG 10:00 PM
MIN +120
U 5.5


COL at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +180
O 6.0






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75


TOTALS........................10 - 9.........52.63%...........+11.50




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAS at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -145.............2 - 1
O 6.0............LOSER


TOR at EDM 08:00 PM
TOR -120............6 - 1
O 6.5.................WINNER

STL at ANA 09:30 PM
ANA +140............3 - 2....LOSER
U 5.5...................WINNER


ARI at LA 10:00 PM
LA -110.............3 - 2
U 5.5............WINNER


MIN at VEG 10:00 PM
MIN +120..............1 - 5...LOSER
U 5.5.............LOSER


COL at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +180..........4 - 0.....LOSER
O 6.0.................. LOSER






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75


TOTALS........................13 - 15........52.63%...........- 6.50




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


Odds for this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational:
17-2— Rory McIlroy
12-1— Viktor Hovland
13-1— Bryson DeChambeau
17-1— Tyrrell Hatton
21-1— Patrick Reed, Sungjae Im
23-1— Matthew Fitzpatrick


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 518,900
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.




**********


Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..


13) If the month of March goes anything like the Horizon League tournament, this could quite an interesting month. Here’s a summation of Tuesday’s quarterfinals:


— Milwaukee 94, Wright State 92, OT— #1-seed Raiders led by 24 with 6:26 left, but lost.
— Cleveland State 108, Fort Wayne 104, 3OT— Vikings were down 5 in second OT.
— Northern Kentucky 70, Detroit 69— Norse scored last six points of the game.
— Oakland 89, Youngstown State 83, OT— Four Oakland starters played 40:00+.


Three overtime games; the fourth game ended 70-69.


12) Villanova 72, Creighton 60— Villanova star Collin Gillespie suffered “a serious knee injury” and is likely out for the season. Huge blow for a team whose bench plays minutes #329. Not a lot of depth there.


As for Creighton, coach Greg McDermott urged his players to “stay on the plantation” in a postgame locker room talk after a 77-69 loss at Xavier Saturday. People in the Creighton program were offended by the word “plantation”


Deeply offended.


11) Oregon State 75, Utah 70— For the first time in 18 years, Beavers have won three consecutive Pac-12 road games. Picked for last in preseason polls, Oregon State is in 6th place.


10) Oregon 82, UCLA 74— Things I learned from listening to Bill Walton:
— The city of Eugene, OR was founded by a guy named Eugene Skinner
— Mr Skinner was born in Essex, NY, a long way from Oregon.
— His brother was assistant postmaster under President Andrew Johnson.


9) St John’s 81, Providence 67:
— Friars led by 11 at the half, but scored only 26 points in 2nd half.
— St John’s hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2000; they’ve only made the tournament four times since then. They probably won’t make it this year, either.


8) Northwestern 60, Maryland 55— This is NOT the way to impress the Selection Committee. Terps have a win over Illinois, one over Wisconsin and not much else. They’re 4-10 in games against teams ranked in the top 50.


7) Mississippi State 63, Texas A&M 57— Aggies didn’t play a game in February; they ended their 32-day pause here and shot 4-25 on the arc.


6) Spring training means preparing for fantasy baseball; got queasy last night when I read that over the last two years, Giancarlo Stanton has played in 41 of his team’s 226 games. Not good.


Then I remember that Stanton knocked in 13 runs in seven playoff games last year, and I feel a little better. My team needs Stanton to be healthy; can only imagine what the people who pay his $30M+ salary are thinking.


5) Astros’ starting P Framber Valdez broke the ring finger on his pitching hand when fielding a comebacker Tuesday. Valdez was 5-3, 3.57 in 10 starts LY, striking out 76 and walking 16 in a team-high 70.2 IP.


4) 76ers 131, Jazz 123, OT: Quote of the Day, part 2, from Utah star Donovan Mitchell:


“Now, I’m never ever one to blame a ref, to blame an official — I can say I could have done more — but this is getting out of hand. There have been games like this that we’ve won; there have been games like this that we’ve lost. But this whole refereeing stuff. … We’re nice, we don’t complain, like, we don’t get frustrated, we fight through things, and the fact that we continually get … screwed, in a way, by this. You know?”


3) There is going to be a lot of cost-cutting in the NFL the next few weeks, as teams try to stay below a salary cap that may be going down some this season. New Jersey Giants cut WR Golden Tate


2) Was eerie seeing Jack Murphy Stadium in San Diego getting dismantled last week; lot of history in that stadium- Super Bowls, the Holy Roller play, lot of Padres/Aztecs games. Dan Fouts became famous in that stadium, and now it doesn’t exist.


1) Get well soon to Aaron Boone, who took a medical leave of absence after having surgery Wednesday to get a pacemaker. The 47-year-old Boone had open-heart surgery in 2009; he is expected to be back with the team in a few days.


In his absence, Carlos Mendoza is the interim manager.

 

[CNOTES]

21PHILADELPHIA -22 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.


23DETROIT -24 CAROLINA
DETROIT is 0-20 ATS (-22 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.


27WINNIPEG -28 MONTREAL
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when playing their 4th game in 7 days in the current season.


29FLORIDA -30 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.


31TAMPA BAY -32 CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 ATS (15 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.


33COLUMBUS -34 DALLAS
DALLAS are 1-9 ATS (-9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.


35OTTAWA -36 CALGARY
OTTAWA is 287-293 ATS (-95.7 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.


37TORONTO -38 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 3-13 ATS (-10.1 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.


47BUFFALO -48 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 41-30 ATS (10.7 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.


49NY RANGERS -50 NEW JERSEY
NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.




-------------------------------------


NHL


Thursday, March 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit


Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia


Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games


NY Rangers @ New Jersey
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


Buffalo @ NY Islanders
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo


Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


Florida @ Nashville
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Florida
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


Columbus @ Dallas
Columbus
Columbus is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Columbus


Ottawa @ Calgary
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa


Toronto @ Vancouver
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto




--------------------------------------------




NHL
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 4


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHILADELPHIA (11-5-0-3, 25 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (12-8-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-42 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 94-95 ATS (+210.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (7-15-0-3, 17 pts.) at CAROLINA (15-6-0-1, 31 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-72 ATS (+148.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-25 ATS (+52.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 333-326 ATS (-115.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 10-37 ATS (+76.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-42 ATS (+82.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-59 ATS (+126.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 109-131 ATS (-64.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 55-29 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 54-63 ATS (-37.7 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 223-188 ATS (-58.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-5 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (14-7-0-1, 29 pts.) at MONTREAL (10-6-0-5, 25 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 52-45 ATS (-1.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-6 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 46-56 ATS (-33.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-26 ATS (-18.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 18-26 ATS (-14.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 155-159 ATS (-70.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
MONTREAL is 8-16 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (13-4-0-4, 30 pts.) at NASHVILLE (10-12-0-0, 20 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 122-178 ATS (+301.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 185-182 ATS (+406.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 46-49 ATS (-27.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 8-14 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (14-4-0-1, 29 pts.) at CHICAGO (12-7-0-4, 28 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 13-17 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 20-13 ATS (+36.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 137-63 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-12 ATS (+14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-10 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-1 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLUMBUS (9-10-0-5, 23 pts.) at DALLAS (6-6-0-4, 16 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 13-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 274-183 ATS (+41.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 244-170 ATS (+28.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (8-16-0-1, 17 pts.) at CALGARY (10-11-0-2, 22 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 4-19 ATS (+35.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-27 ATS (-19.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-4 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (18-4-0-2, 38 pts.) at VANCOUVER (9-15-0-2, 20 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-11 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 82-119 ATS (-61.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 52-42 ATS (-27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 152-156 ATS (-76.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-1 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6-11-0-3, 15 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (12-6-0-4, 28 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (8-9-0-3, 19 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-9-0-2, 16 pts.) - 3/4/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 18-14 ATS (+37.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-5 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 5-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.0 Units)

-----------------------------------




NHL
Dunkel


Thursday, March 4

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, MARCH 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT +105
O 6.0


NYR at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ +100
U 5.5


WIN at MON 07:00 PM
MON -155
O 5.5


DET at CAR 07:00 PM
DET +240
O 5.5


BUF at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -185
U 5.0


TB at CHI 08:00 PM
TB -220
O 5.5


FLA at NAS 08:00 PM
FLA -140
U 5.5


CLB at DAL 08:30 PM
CLB +120
U 5.5


OTT at CAL 09:00 PM
OTT +165
O 6.0


TOR at VAN 10:00 PM
TOR -160
U 6.5






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75


TOTALS........................13 - 15........52.63%...........- 6.50




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, MARCH 4
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT +105...............4 - 3......LOSER
O 6.0................WINNER


NYR at NJ 07:00 PM
NJ +100.................PPD
U 5.5


WIN at MON 07:00 PM
MON -155.............4 - 3
O 5.5................WINNER


DET at CAR 07:00 PM
DET +240............2 - 5....LOSER
O 5.5................WINNER


BUF at NYI 07:00 PM
NYI -185............2 - 5
U 5.0..................LOSER


TB at CHI 08:00 PM
TB -220............3 - 2
O 5.5............LOSER


FLA at NAS 08:00 PM
FLA -140..............5 - 4
U 5.5..............LOSER


CLB at DAL 08:30 PM
CLB +120............3 - 2.......WINNER
U 5.5.........................WINNER


OTT at CAL 09:00 PM
OTT +165.............3 - 7....LOSER
O 6.0..................WINNER


TOR at VAN 10:00 PM
TOR -160............1 - 3
U 6.5................WINNER






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75


TOTALS........................20 - 21.......48.78%.............- 3.50




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 6-pack
Six most experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
6) UMBC (14-5)
5) Texas Southern (12-8)
4) Georgia Tech (14-8)
3) North Carolina Central (5-8)
2) Nicholls State (17-6)
1) Cal-Bakersfield (15-10)


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 519,867
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“He’s like Luka Doncic, but a center. He passes like a point guard, can shoot off the leg like Dirk [Nowitzki]. He’s a point guard.”
Western Conference assistant coach, talking about Nikola Jokic


Friday’s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and who else?


Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)


Wednesday’s quiz
Paul Westhead was coach of the Lakers when they won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson’s rookie year.


************************


Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….


13) Creighton suspended basketball coach Greg McDermott for Sunday’s regular season finale, after he used racially insensitive language in a postgame talk at Xavier last weekend.


According to a story on the Interweb, McDermott said this: ”Guys, we got to stick together. We need both feet in. I need everybody to stay on the plantation. I can’t have anybody leave the plantation.” Ummmm……not an outstanding choice of words.


When a head coach gets suspended for Senior Day, it is conceivable that McDermott won’t be back in Omaha next season. Imagine him recruiting on the heels of this?


12) Multimedia sports brand Overtime will be starting a professional basketball league that will offer high school basketball players an alternative to college in preparation for the NBA.


Overtime Elite will begin in September 2021 and will feature 30 of the nation’s top prospects from ages 16-18. The athletes will be given a guaranteed minimum salary of $100,000, in addition to bonuses and equity in the league.


Players will also have access to healthcare and disability benefits. If an Overtime Elite athlete chooses not to pursue an NBA career, the league will pay them up to $100,000 to go towards college tuition, that’s assuming they graduated high school.


Carmelo Anthony is on Overtime Elite’s board of directors.


11) 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger will be the Steelers’ QB again next fall, after agreeing to a deal with the team— it is assumed he took a large pay cut to remain a Steeler.


10) Baylor 81, Oklahoma State 70— Bears held OSU star Cade Cunningham to four points in first half, then survived Cunningham’s 20-point explosion in the second half. Cowboys lost despite shooting 63.6% inside the arc.


Baylor is 20-1 after beating West Virginia/Oklahoma State within 48 hours, which kind of sounds like an NCAA Tournament weekend.


9) Kansas 67, Texas-El Paso 62:
— This was supposed to be a glorified workout for the Jayhawks, but they trailed 34-20 at the half, 48-33 with 13:46 left to play.
— UTEP is 12-11, 8-8 in Conference USA; they’re ranked #135.


8) Texas 69, Oklahoma 65— Sooners were on an 8-1 roll in this strangest of seasons, then they lost their last four games, likely putting them in a play-in game at the Big X tourney next week.


7) Vanderbilt 78, Cincinnati 64— This score doesn’t bode well for the AAC; Cincy had won six of its last eight games, then gets whacked at home by an SEC doormat. Memphis/SMU are near or on the NCAA bubble; they had to cringe when they saw this score.


6) Stetson 73, Bellarmine 70— Upset in the A-Sun: Bellarmine went 10-3 in the Atlantic Sun this year, their first season in Division I, but they got upset here by the gritty Hatters, who had lost to Bellarmine twice during the season.


5) New Orleans Saints cut Thomas Morstead, their punter for the last 12 years.


4) OF Jackie Bradley Jr signed a 2-year, $24M contract with Milwaukee.


3) Arizona OF Kole Calhoun hurt his knee, is out for six weeks.


2) Since 2015, Astros’ C Martin Maldonado has thrown out 37.7% of runners trying to steal a base, the best %age of any catcher with 200+ attempts against him in that timespan.


1) Wizards 119, Clippers 117— Good coaching job by Scott Brooks; Wizards are 8-3 in their last 11 games, after starting the season 6-17. They’re within two games of the #8-seed in the East.

 

[CNOTES]

61WASHINGTON -62 BOSTON
BOSTON is 158-138 ATS (-74.4 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.


63TAMPA BAY -64 CHICAGO
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 ATS (15 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.


65MINNESOTA -66 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


67ST LOUIS -68 LOS ANGELES
ST LOUIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons.


69ANAHEIM -70 COLORADO
ANAHEIM is 31-64 ATS (-39.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.


71VEGAS -72 SAN JOSE
VEGAS are 28-29 ATS (-24 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.




----------------------------------




NHL


Friday, March 5


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Washington @ Boston
Washington
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Boston's last 23 games when playing at home against Washington


Tampa Bay @ Chicago
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Chicago is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games at home


Minnesota @ Arizona
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota


Anaheim @ Colorado
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


St. Louis @ Los Angeles
St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Los Angeles is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home


Vegas @ San Jose
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games




-------------------------------------------




NHL
Long Sheet


Friday, March 5


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON (13-5-0-4, 30 pts.) at BOSTON (12-5-0-3, 27 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 136-89 ATS (+26.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 215-254 ATS (+546.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 40-46 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 149-145 ATS (-79.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TAMPA BAY (15-4-0-1, 31 pts.) at CHICAGO (12-7-0-5, 29 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 15-9 ATS (+25.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 138-63 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 38-12 ATS (+15.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-1 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MINNESOTA (12-7-0-1, 25 pts.) at ARIZONA (10-9-0-3, 23 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 15-29 ATS (+44.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-2 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST LOUIS (13-8-0-2, 28 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (9-8-0-4, 22 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 211-203 ATS (+429.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
LOS ANGELES is 180-187 ATS (-18.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ANAHEIM (6-12-0-5, 17 pts.) at COLORADO (12-7-0-1, 25 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 100-96 ATS (-93.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 5-3 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 5-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


VEGAS (14-4-0-1, 29 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-10-0-2, 18 pts.) - 3/5/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 181-150 ATS (-72.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 199-172 ATS (-91.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 9-7 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 9-7-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)


-----------------------------------




NHL
Dunkel


Friday, March 5

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAS at BOS 07:00 PM
WAS +110
U 6.0


TB at CHI 08:00 PM
TB -185
O 6.0


ANA at COL 09:00 PM
ANA +210
O 5.5


STL at LA 09:00 PM
LA +110
U 5.5


MIN at ARI 09:00 PM
MIN -140
O 5.5


VEG at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +180
O 6.0






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75


TOTALS........................20 - 21.......48.78%.............- 3.50




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


WAS at BOS 07:00 PM
WAS +110...........1 - 5......LOSER
U 6.0..................PUSH


TB at CHI 08:00 PM
TB -185...........3 - 4
O 6.0..............WINNER


ANA at COL 09:00 PM
ANA +210............2 - 3....LOSER
O 5.5.............LOSER


STL at LA 09:00 PM
LA +110...........3 - 2.........LOSER
U 5.5...........WINNER


MIN at ARI 09:00 PM
MIN -140..........5 - 1
O 5.5................WINNER


VEG at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ +180............5 - 4,,,,,LOSER
O 6.0................WINNER






CNOTES NHL DOGS OR DOG & TOTAL OF THE DAY !
BASED ON 5 UNITS


MAR. 05, 2021...............4 - 5.........44 .44%............- 2.00
MAR. 04, 2021...............7 - 6.........53.84%............+ 3.00
MAR. 03, 2021...............3 - 6.........33.33%............- 18.00
MAR. 02, 2021...............6 - 4.........60.00%............+13.25
MAR. 01, 2021...............4 - 5..........44.44%...........- 1.75


TOTALS........................24 - 26.......48.00%.............- 5.50




**********************************************


FEB. TOTALS.......WIN 102......LOST 130.....43.96%.......TOTALS......- 129.00
JAN. TOTALS........WIN 27.......LOST 62.......30.33 %......TOTALS...... -152.25

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack
Six least experienced college basketball teams (W-L record)
342) Kennesaw State (5-19)
343) Presbyterian (7-15)
344) Duke (11-10)
345) Stetson (11-14)
346) Auburn (12-14)
347) Alabama A&M (6-8)


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 520,518
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“It’s about the money. And when they say it’s not about the money, then it is definitely about the money.”
Former Giants’ GM George Young


Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Little Big League, which Hall of Fame outfielder makes a game-saving catch to end the Minnesota Twins’ season?


Friday’s quiz
Terry Francona has managed three major league teams; the Indians, Red Sox and the Phillies.


Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Oakland A’s, Mark McGwire has hit the most home runs (363)


*********************


Saturday’s Den: NBA trends at the halfway point…….


Atlanta:
— Won both their games since changing coaches.
— 1-4-1 ATS in last six road games.
— 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.


Boston:
— Won their last four games (2-2 ATS), all at home.
— 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road games.
— 3-4 ATS if they played the night before.
— Five of last six home games went over.


Brooklyn:
— Won/covered 10 of last 11 games.
— Won/covered last seven home games.
— 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 13-3 in their last sixteen road games.


Charlotte:
— 7-5 SU in their last dozen games.
— 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
— 5-3 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 12-1 in their last 13 road games.


Chicago:
— Won six of their last nine games.
— 10-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
— Over is 8-4 in their last dozen road games.


Cleveland:
— Won four of their last five games (5-0 ATS)
— 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
— 8-6 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.


Dallas:
— Won nine of their last 11 games.
— 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— 2-4 ATS if they played the night before.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.


Denver:
— Won/covered their last four games.
— 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— 9-6 ATS in their last fifteen road games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four home games.


Detroit:
— Lost seven of their last nine games.
— 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— 5-2 ATS if they played the night before.
— Last three road games went over the total.


Golden State:
— Lost last three games, by 26-2-22 points.
— 7-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last six road games stayed under the total.


Houston:
— Lost their last thirteen games (1-12 ATS)
— 1-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 11-2-1 in their home games.


Indiana:
— Lost five of last six games (0-6 ATS)
— 6-12 ATS at home.
— 4-2-1 ATS if they played night before.
— Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games.


LA Clippers:
— Lost four of last five games, all on the road.
— 7-5 ATS in last dozen home games.
— 6-0 ATS if they played the night before.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.


LA Lakers:
— Lost six of their last eight games.
— 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
— 1-3 ATS if they played the night before.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.


Memphis:
— 8-5 SU in their last thirteen games.
— 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
— 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last eight games stayed under the total.