Cnotes 2017 Canadian Football League Picks/Trends/News thru Grey Cup !!

[CNOTES]

WEST DIVISION


RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 Edmonton 2 2 0 0 4 53 46 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0


2 BC 3 2 1 0 4 78 61 0-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0

3 Calgary 2 1 0 1 3 74 70 1-0-0 0-0-1 0-0-0

4 Winnipeg 1 1 0 0 2 43 40 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0

5 Saskatchewan 2 0 2 0 0 56 60 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0




EAST DIVISION


RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV


1 Toronto 2 1 1 0 2 47 43 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0

2 Montreal 3 1 2 0 2 52 62 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0

3 Ottawa 2 0 1 1 1 70 74 0-0-1 0-1-0 0-0-0

4 Hamilton 1 0 1 0 0 15 32 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, July 7


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CALGARY (1 - 0 - 1) at WINNIPEG (1 - 0) - 7/7/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Calgary (1-0-1) @ Winnipeg (1-0)— Calgary is 15-1 in its last 16 games with Blue Bombers; they won last six series games (3-3 vs spread), sweeping Winnipeg by 14-15-2 points LY. Over is 2-0-1 in last three series games. Stampeders are 7-1 in last eight visits to Manitoba. Stamps just played couple of tight games with Ottawa to open season; they gave up 425 passing yards LW, but won 43-39. Winnipeg had Week 1 bye, then survived their opener 43-40 in OT in Regina LW.


---------------------------------


Friday, July 7


8:30 PM
CALGARY vs. WINNIPEG
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary


------------------------------


Friday, July 7


Calgary @ Winnipeg


Game 353-354
July 7, 2017 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
118.142
Winnipeg
116.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 4
59
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+4); Over

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Record: Best Bets & Opinions


Date W-L-T % Units


07/06/2017....................2-0-0............100.00%....................+10.00
07/01/2017....................1-1-0..............50.00%.......................-0.50
06/30/2017....................2-2-0..............50.00%.......................-0.20
06/29/2017................... 0-2-0............... 0.00%.................... -11.00
06/25/2017................... 1-1-0............. 50.00%...................... -0.50
06/24/2017................... 1-1-0 .............50.00% ......................-0.50
06/23/2017................... 2-0-0............ 100.00%................... +10.00
06/22/2017................... 0-2-0............... 0.00%.................... -11.00


Total............................ATS.............. .........O/U.....................Total


07/06/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0....................+ 10.00
07/01/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0.......................- 0.50
06/30/2017....................1 - 1.....................1 - 1.......................- 0.20
06/29/2017................... 0- 1..................... 0 - 1..................... -11.00
06/25/2017....................0 - 1.....................1 - 0........................-0.50
06/24/2017................... 1 - 0 ............. ......0 - 1........................-0.50
06/23/2017....................1 - 0.....................1 - 0....................+ 10.00
06/22/2017....................0 - 1.....................0 - 1 ....................- 11.00

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


Friday, July 7


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday's CFL betting preview and odds: Stampeders at Blue Bombers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Matt Nichols threw for 331 yards and four touchdowns in his first game since extending his contract in the offseason and Weston Dressler caught six passes for 124 yards and two scores en route to earning one of the CFL Top Performer of the Week honours.


Calgary Stampeders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+3.5, 58.5)


The Calgary Stampeders look to stay unbeaten when they hit the road to face the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Friday. The Stampeders tied the Ottawa Redblacks 31-31 in a rematch of the 2016 Grey Cup in Week 1 before pulling out a 43-39 victory in the second game of a home-and-home set with the Redblacks, and hope to continue their mastery of the Blue Bombers by notching their seventh consecutive win in the series.


Calgary has won eight straight games in Winnipeg, including a 33-18 victory at Investors Group Field last season, while putting up 32 or more points in five of its last six visits. The Blue Bombers, who had a Week 1 bye, opened up the season with a thrilling 43-40 overtime victory against the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Canada Day. Justin Medlock kicked a 28-yard field goal in the second overtime to spoil the party in Regina, and Winnipeg turns its attention to ending a lengthy run of futility against the Stampeders. The Blue Bombers haven't beaten Calgary at home since a 42-20 victory July 10, 2009 and hope to prove they're legitimate West Division title contenders and exorcise some past demons in the process.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS

LINE HISTORY: The Stampeders opened as 3.5-point road chalk and that number was briefly bet down to three before returning to the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 56 and has been bumped up all the way to 59.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (1-0-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, 2-0 O/U): Wide receiver DaVaris Daniels, who was named the CFL's Most Outstanding Rookie in 2016, is expected to be back in the lineup after missing last week's game against Ottawa with a shoulder injury. Micah Johnson and Charleston Hughes, who have combined for four sacks in two games this season, sat out practice earlier in the week but Calgary coach Dave Dickenson expects both defensive ends to play Friday. Veteran kicker Rene Paredes continues to struggle as he missed three extra points last week after sending a potential game-winning 37-yard field goal wide of the mark in the opener.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): Matt Nichols threw for 331 yards and four touchdowns in his first game since extending his contract in the offseason and Weston Dressler caught six passes for 124 yards and two scores en route to earning one of the CFL Top Performer of the Week honours. Medlock made 5-of-5 field goals, including two in overtime, after setting a CFL record for most field goals in a season with 60 in 2016. Defensive back/kick returner Kevin Fogg was forced to leave the game in the first half with a lower-body injury and his status for Friday is unknown while offensive tackle Jermarcus Hardrick suffered a knock in the third quarter, but is expected to suit up against the Stampeders.


TRENDS:


* Stampeders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.


* Blue Bombers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.


* Over is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.


* Over is 7-1 in Blue Bombers last 8 games overall.


* Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The road chalk Stampeders are getting 59 percent of the action from users and the Over is picking up 59 percent of the totals wagers.


EXTRA POINTS:


* The Stampeders have won 15 of their last 16 meetings with the Blue Bombers.


* Calgary QB Bo Levi Mitchell is tied for the league lead in touchdown passes with five through two games.


* Winnipeg recorded two interceptions in Week 1 after leading the CFL with 30 in 2016.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, JULY 7


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CGY at WPG 08:30 PM


CGY -3.5


O 58.0

 

[CNOTES]

RECAP
STAMPS ROLL PAST BOMBERS 29-10, STAY UNDEFEATED


CFL.CA STAFF


WINNIPEG — Win the turnover battle, win the football game.


The Calgary Stampeders fulfilled that age-old pigskin prophecy on Friday Night Football, as they pulled away in the second half for a 29-10 victory over the hometown Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Investors Group Field.


Bo Levi Mitchell completed 22 of 34 passes for 334 yards in the win for Calgary (2-0-1), while Matt Nichols and his 27-for-40, 267-yard performance saw Winnipeg (1-1) finish on the losing end of the battle of Eastern Washington alumni.


Both pivots ended the night with one touchdown and a pair of interceptions to their name — most notably a critical fourth-quarter pick-six thrown by Nichols.


The Bombers appeared poised to strike first midway through the first quarter, when Matt Nichols led his offence on an 8-play drive down to the Calgary 12-yard line. The ninth play of the drive, however, turned into a clean end-zone interception for Stampeders safety Josh Bell.


The visitors then committed a turnover of their own — a Bo Levi Mitchell toss intercepted by Winnipeg linebacker Mo Leggett at midfield — on the ensuing drive, but it was called back on an illegal-contact penalty against Leggett.


Five plays later, kicker Rene Paredes spotted Calgary a 3-0 lead with a 17-yard field goal.


Paredes had an opportunity to double the Stampeder lead on the first play of the second quarter, but his 44-yard attempt drifted wide right. Bomber return man Ryan Lankford dashed 56 yards on the return, only to fumble the football. Calgary holder Andrew Buckley then fell on it, to regain possession for the Stamps and cap a wild play.


Two plays later, the visitors were knocking on the door at the Winnipeg 2, but the Bomber defence had other ideas: defensive coordinator Richie Hall’s unit stopped all three Calgary attempts, only to have a Roc Carmichael offside penalty give the Stamps three fresh tries. On the following 3rd-and-goal, sixth time proved to be the charm for the Stamps, as receiver Kamar Jorden wheeled into the end zone on an end around. The two-point convert was intercepted by TJ Heath, and Calgary led 9-0.


Heath would again have Mitchell’s number midway through the second quarter, when he picked off an errant pass and set up the Winnipeg offence on the Stamps 44.


Four plays later, Nichols found receiver Julian Feoli-Gudino for a 21-yard touchdown. Bombers kicker Justin Medlock nailed the convert, and the hosts had cut the Calgary lead to 9-7.


A 24-yard chip shot for Medlock late in the first half then sent Winnipeg to the locker room up 10-9.


Paredes responded with a 20-yard chip of his own five minutes into the second half to restore the two-point Stamps lead.


Momentum swung firmly back to Calgary a few series later, when Stamps linebacker Maleki Harris read Nichols and reacted for a 27-yard pick-six. The subsequent Paredes convert pushed the visitors’ lead to nine.


With the Stamps defence stifling Nichols and the Bombers, Calgary essentially sealed the victory on the first play of the fourth quarter, when Mitchell found Kamar Jorden on a 22-yard touchdown connection. Paredes was money on the convert to push Calgary’s lead to 26-10.


The fourth quarter passed relatively quietly as Winnipeg couldn’t kickstart anything against the Stampeder defence, and Paredes hit a 30-yarder on the final play of the evening to round out the scoring.


With the win, Bo Levi Mitchell improves to 6-0 at Investors Group Field against the Bombers, while Matt Nichols remains winless against the Stampeders.


Calgary linebacker Alex Singleton recorded a game-high nine tackles, while rookie Wynton McManis took Nichols to the turf twice for his first career sacks. Standout performers for the Winnipeg defence included TJ Heath, who paced the Bombers with six tackles and two interceptions, and Tristan Okpalaugo, who recorded four tackles and a sack.


Week 4 will see the still-undefeated Stamps head further east to Montreal for a date with the Alouettes (1-2) on Friday Night Football (Jul. 14, 7:00 p.m. ET), while the Bombers will be back in action at Investors Group Field against the Toronto Argonauts (1-1) on Thursday Night Football (Jul. 13, 8:30 p.m. ET).

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s six-pack


— Minnesota Twins are 45-41; last year, on August 7, they were 45-66.


— Contending Twins signed free agent Bartolo Colon, who shunned the Mets.


— Phillies have lost 22 games by one run this season; they could be good soon.


— Milwaukee 9, New York— Jesus Aguilar had seven RBI for the Brewers.


— Clippers beat the Lakers in OT in the Las Vegas Summer League; Lonzo Ball was 2-15 in his first professional game.


— Terry Francona underwent a cardiac ablation Thursday, will not manage the All-Star Game. The procedure corrects an irregular heartbeat by burning a targeted piece of heart tissue.


****************


Saturday’s List of 13: Random Lists of 3……..


When this site started in 2001, I did a few of these lists, then got away from it. Anyway, here are random lists of 3 that I put together…….


— Favorite baseball movies: a) Moneyball, b) For Love of the Game c) Major League


— Favorite pro sports teams: NFL- Rams, MLB- A’s, NHL- Bruins


— Favorite football movies: 1) Any Given Sunday 2) Friday Night Lights 3) Brian’s Song (the original)


— Favorite restaurants in Las Vegas: a) Battista’s (on Flamingo) b) Fellini’s (in Stratosphere) c) Planet Dailies (in Planet Hollywood)


— Favorite non-sports movies: 1) Begin Again 2) Rounders 3) The Bodyguard


— Underrated things/places:
a) Watching hockey in person. Way better than on TV.
b) People watching on the Las Vegas Strip: free entertainment
c) Philadelphia— The whole city. Ton of history. Lot to do; people are lot nicer than the national media makes us think.


— Favorite actresses: 1) Gina Gershon 2) Sela Ward 3) Diane Lane


— Favorite actors: 1) Al Pacino 2) Kevin Costner 3) Jack Warden


— Favorite basketball movies: 1) Blue Chips 2) Fast Break 3) One on One


— Favorite network TV series: a) CSI b) Magnum PI c) Odd Couple


— Favorite mini-series on cable recently: 1) Billions (Showtime), 2) Suits (USA Network) 3) Roadies (Showtime)


— Favorite musicians: 1) Bob Seger 2) Billy Joel 3) Christina Perri


— Favorite sports: a) college basketball b) major league baseball 3) NFL


— Three dinner guests I would choose: 1) Bill Murray 2) Bob Uecker 3) My dad

 

[CNOTES]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, July 8


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (1 - 1) at OTTAWA (0 - 1 - 1) - 7/8/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAMILTON (0 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 2) - 7/8/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


**********************


Toronto (1-1) @ Ottawa (0-1-1)— Argonauts are 5-3 vs Ottawa; 3-0 when game goes over total, 2-3 when it does not. Argos split four games here- all three series games stayed under the total. Toronto split pair of home games to open season; they threw for 506 yards in opener, only 327 LW. RedBlacks went 0-1-1 in pair of games with Calgary to open season; both games were tied at half. Ottawa threw for 725 yards in the two games. Favorites are 1-7 in the CFL this year.


Hamilton (0-1) @ Saskatchewan (0-2)— TiCats won four of last five games with Saskatchewan; they crushed Riders 53-7 at home LY, then got upset 20-18 in rematch in Regina. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Hamilton had last week off; they lost opener 32-15 in Toronto, allowing 506 passing yards to Ricky Ray- they were outgunned 545-258. Roughriders lost first two games by total of four points; they forced OT LW, but lost 43-40 at home to Winnipeg.


*****************************


Saturday, July 8


7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto


10:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Hamilton is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing Hamilton


***********************


Saturday, July 8


Hamilton @ Saskatchewan


Game 357-358
July 8, 2017 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
105.271
Saskatchewan
110.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 5 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-1 1/2); Over


Toronto @ Ottawa


Game 355-356
July 8, 2017 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
112.026
Ottawa
113.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 4 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+4 1/2); Under


***********************

 

[CNOTES]

More tomorrow

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


Saturday, July 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's CFL doubleheader betting preview and odds
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Ottawa Redblacks quarterback Trevor Harris received one of the CFL Top Performer of the Week honours after throwing for 425 yards and two touchdowns in Week 2.


Toronto Argonauts at Ottawa Redblacks (-4, 55.5)


The Ottawa Redblacks look for their first win of the season when they host the Toronto Argonauts on Saturday. The Redblacks have stumbled out of the starting blocks as they played out a 31-31 tie with the Calgary Stampeders before dropping a 43-39 decision in the Week 2 rematch, and the defending Grey Cup champions hope to find their groove in their first East Division clash of the campaign.


"If you let losses stick with you they're going to leak into the next week," Ottawa quarterback Trevor Harris told reporters. "We have an Eastern game and we have to come out fighting and ready to roll." The Argonauts came crashing down to earth after a promising Week 1 victory as they fell 28-15 to the BC Lions. Toronto was held to one touchdown after piling up 524 yards of total offence in its season-opening 32-15 victory against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, but were held to 143 net yards against the Lions, and hope to put the loss in the rearview mirror as the Argonauts prepare for their first road trip of the season. "They are the defending champs and in reality this is going to be a statement game for us," Toronto defensive back Rico Murray told reporters. "It will tell us where we're heading as a team and what direction."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS

LINE HISTORY: The Redblacks opened as 5.5-point home chalk against the Argos and that spread has been bet steadily down to four. The total hit the betting board at 55 and was bet up to a full point to 56, before fading down to 55.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U): Ricky Ray completed 30-of-45 passes for 327 yards and a touchdown against BC to move within two passing TDs of becoming the sixth quarterback in CFL history to throw for 300 in his career. Armanti Edwards, who led Appalachian State to its historic upset of Michigan in 2007, continued his hot start to the season as he caught 10 passes for 131 yards and a touchdown against the Lions. Veteran running back Brandon Whitaker is expected to return to the lineup after missing a game as he took reps with the first-team offence during the week.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (0-1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U): Diontae Spencer was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after racking up 351 yards of total offence and two touchdowns, including an electrifying 96-yard punt return score in the loss to Calgary. Trevor Harris also received one of the CFL Top Performer of the Week honours after throwing for 425 yards and two touchdowns. Running back William Powell missed last week's game through injury, but is expected to return after practicing during the week and A.J. Jefferson, who spent the previous two years with the Argonauts, could recover in time after sitting out last week with an ankle problem.


TRENDS:


* Argonauts are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall.


* Argonauts are 0-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.


* RedBlacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.


* Over is 6-0 in RedBlacks last 6 home games.


* Over is 5-0 in RedBlacks last 5 games overall.

CONSENSUS: The road dog Argos are getting 52 percent of the action from users and the Under is picking up 51 percent of the totals wagers.


EXTRA POINTS:


* Harris has thrown for 725 yards and five touchdowns through two games.


* Toronto DE Victor Butler leads the CFL with four sacks.


* The Argonauts have won five of the last seven meetings.






Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-2.5, 51.5)


The Saskatchewan Roughriders host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in a battle of winless teams Saturday. The Roughriders have dropped their first two games of the season by a combined four points, including a heartbreaking 43-40 double-overtime loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the first CFL game at the new Mosaic Stadium on Canada Day, and hope to turn their fortunes around by beating Hamilton for only the second time in six meetings.


"We have to play better," Saskatchewan coach Chris Jones told reporters. "We have to find a way to do things the correct way 100 percent of the time and not just some of the time." The Tiger-Cats had a week off to lick their wounds following a disappointing 32-15 setback to the Toronto Argonauts. Many experts considered Hamilton to be the main challenger to the Ottawa Redblacks in the battle for the East Division title but the Tiger-Cats looked anything but contenders as they were held to 232 yards of net offence and surrendered five sacks against the Argonauts. Hamilton has dropped six of its last seven regular-season games dating back to last year, but fared well recently against the Roughriders, winning four of the last five meetings, including a 53-7 thrashing Aug. 20, 2016.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: The Roughriders opened as two-point home chalk against the Tiger-Cats and that line was quickly bet up to 2.5, then faded as low as -1 before rebounding back to 2.5 as of Friday night. The total hit the betting board at 53.5 and was bet down to 51, it has since bounced up slightly to 51.5.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Terrence Toliver, who caught 65 passes for 1,036 yards and nine touchdowns in 2016, was put on the six-game injured list after suffering a knee injury in the first quarter against Toronto. Hamilton's secondary was torched for 506 passing yards in its opener and will once again be without two defensive backs in all-star Abdul Kanneh and Emanuel Davis, who was placed on the six-game injured list. "We had some guys that had a lot of mental errors and it starts there," Hamilton coach Kent Austin told reporters. "We're looking forward to seeing some improvement going into the second game and we're going to tinker early and find out the most competitive team."

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U): Kevin Glenn threw for 377 yards and four touchdowns including a scoring toss to Nic Demski, who finished with seven receptions for 82 yards against Winnipeg. Defensive end Jonathan Newsome, who appeared in all 18 games for Saskatchewan last season, was released Tuesday while linebacker Henoc Muamba could be in line to make his season debut after being taken off the six-game injured list. Tyler Crapigna missed a potential game-winning field goal for the second week in a row, prompting Jones to hold an open kicking competition between Crapigna and Quinn Van Gylswyk at practice this week.


TRENDS:


* Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.


* Roughriders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.


* Under is 7-1 in Tiger-Cats last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.


* Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.


* Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The home chalk Roughriders are getting 62 percent of the money line action from users and the Over is picking up 54 percent of the totals wagers.


EXTRA POINTS:


* Saskatchewan is tied for the league lead with four turnovers.


* Hamilton DB Will Hill blocked two kicks in his CFL debut in Week 1.


* The Roughriders are 5-15 under Jones

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, JULY 8


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TOR at OTT 07:00 PM


OTT -4.0


O 55.5


HAM at SSK 10:00 PM


SSK -2.5


U 51.5

 

[CNOTES]

GAME RECAP
RIDERS OFFENCE OVERPOWERS TICATS TO SECURE VICTORY
CFL.CA STAFF

REGINA – The Saskatchewan Roughriders offence led the way while the defence held the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in check to secure the team’s first win at the new Mosaic Stadium.


Kevin Glenn threw for 380 yards and two touchdowns and rushed for a pair as well, pacing the team under centre in the 37-20 victory. For Hamilton, Zach Collaros threw a touchdown pass and 189 passing yards.


Saskatchewan started with its foot on the gas and never let up on either side of the ball.


After trading opening possessions, the Riders pinned the Ticats deep in their own zone. Pressing on the goal line, the Riders forced the Ticats to give a safety on third down to open up the scoring.


An out of bounds kickoff put the Riders near midfield to start their next offensive drive. First down grabs by Duron Carter and Namaan Roosevelt led to a Bakari Grant reception that put Saskatchewan in the red zone. Looking for the major, Glenn was instead intercepted on the goal line by Justin Rogers, who went untouched for 110 yards downfield for the pick-six and gave Hamilton the 7-2 lead.


A 23-yard run by Cameron Marshall and a 12-yard catch by Roosevelt put the Riders into scoring territory. Rob Bagg moved the chains and Glenn took over from there, punching in his own touchdown to put Saskatchewan back on top.


Roosevelt continued to keep the Riders offence moving in the second quarter. A 33-yard gain put Saskatchewan in field goal range and Tyler Crapigna did the rest, booting a 45-yard attempt to increase the lead to 12-7.


Back to back first downs from the Ticats offence led to Collaros finding an open Mike Jones as Hamilton threatened to get to the end zone. Looking deep on his next two throws, Collaros came up empty as Sergio Castillo kicked a field goal and to add three points on the board for Hamilton.


Saskatchewan went to Marshall and let him run free, using the running back to inch closer to the end zone. His efforts would be worth it as on his 300th career reception, an outstretched Grant pulled in the touchdown as the Riders lead grew to 19-10.


Collaros and the Ticats offence continued to be frustrated by the Riders defence, unable to respond with any more points for the rest of the first half.


The Riders carried over their momentum once the teams returned from the halftime break. A pair of costly Ticats penalties gave the Riders another chance to score and they took advantage with Carter notching his first touchdown of the season and boosting the Green and White lead to 26-10.


Saskatchewan added a single on the ensuing kickoff.


It appeared that the Ticats were stringing together a responding touchdown drive but had to settle for another field goal. Hamilton’s next offensive possession proved to be more successful, capped off by a Junior Collins touchdown as the Tabbies cut the deficit to 27-20 with 2:24 left in the third quarter.


Not wanting to let the comeback get any closer, Glenn and the Riders went back to work in the final frame. Roosevelt remained a favourite target, bringing the Riders past midfield and into scoring territory. Crapigna added a field goal as the Riders went back up by two scores.


Looking to seal the victory, Roosevelt again came up big for the Riders, grabbing a 34-yard reception close to the goal line. Glenn then rushed for his second touchdown of the game, giving the Riders breathing room with less than five minutes remaining.


Next week, the Ticats host the BC Lions while the Riders are on the bye week.


*******************


RECAP
SECOND HALF OFFENSIVE SURGE LIFTS ARGOS OVER REDBLACKS
CFL.CA STAFF


OTTAWA — The Toronto Argonauts battled back after a nearly scoreless first half to better the Ottawa REDBLACKS 26-25 in an all-Ontario matchup at TD Place.


S.J. Green could not be contained, racking up an astounding 210 yards and one touchdown on 10 catches.


Greg Ellingson was equally impressive for the REDBLACKS with 170 yards and one touchdown on 10 receptions.


Victor Butler terrorized Trevor Harris all night, recording three quarterback sacks.


It was a tale of two halves for the Argonauts, who managed just a single through the first two quarters before an offensive explosion in the second half that saw them score three majors.


The REDBLACKS capitalized on the Argonauts penalty troubles early in the game to get on the board first. Ottawa decided to gamble on their second drive of the night, needing only one yard on third down. The risk paid off after the Argonauts were handed an offside penalty and Ottawa was rewarded with a new set of downs.


The Argos ran into penalty trouble yet again on the same Redblacks drive after Rick Campbell successfully challenged pass interference on Toronto in the red zone. Trevor Harris connected with Mossis Madu Jr. on the next play for a six-yard touchdown to open the scoring.


Ottawa was unsuccessful on their first two-point convert attempt, but another offside call against Toronto gave the REDBLACKS another chance. Ottawa made no mistake on their second attempt, giving them an 8-0 lead midway through the first quarter.


The penalty woes continued for Toronto as the quarter carried on. It appeared that the Argos recovered a fumble off of a punt after the REDBLACKS bobbled the return, but an unnecessary roughness call against the Double Blue negated the turnover.


Brett Maher added to the REDBLACKS lead before the end of the quarter, splitting the uprights from 36 yards out to put Ottawa up 11-0 after 15 minutes of play.


The Argonauts racked up seven penalties in the first quarter alone.


Defence on both sides shone in the second quarter as both teams were contained to only a single.


Maher’s perfect start to 2017 came to an end after his second field goal attempt of the night sailed wide from 48 yards out. The ball went through the end zone to give Ottawa a single.


The Argos spoiled the REDBLACKS shutout near the end of the quarter after Lirim Hajrullahu uncharacteristically missed a field goal attempt from 35 yards out, forcing the Argos to settle for a single as their first points of the game.


Momentum shifted in Toronto’s direction at the start of the third quarter. Harris was not expecting a snap deep in REDBLACKS territory and the ball went straight through his hands. It bounced into the end zone and was recovered by Rico Murray for the Argos first major of the game. A successful two-point covert cut the REDBLACKS lead to just five points with under 10 minutes to go in the quarter.


The Argos kept on rolling from there.


Ray threw a long, high ball to S.J. Green, who brought down the catch and then darted past two REDBLACKS defenders and charged into the end zone for a 55-yard touchdown to give the Argos their first lead of the game. A missed two-point covert kept the Argos lead at 13-12.


The Argos added to their lead after Hajrullahu notched a 26-yard field goal at the start of the fourth quarter.


The REDBLACKS regained control after Harris led a steady charge down the field, finding Dionte Spencer for a big 25-yard gain. A pass interference call moved the REDBLACKS up just a yard away from the end zone, and Ryan Lindley made the short plunge in for the major on a quarterback sneak to restore a three point lead.


The Argos defence came up big a few plays later when Jermaine Gabriel intercepted an Ottawa pass and ran it back into the red zone. Ray connected with DeVier Posey on the next play for the veterans’ 300th career touchdown pass to pull the Argos ahead 23-19.


Hajrullahu’s second field goal of the night extended the lead by three.


But the REDBLACKS did not go down without a fight.


Harris connected with Ellingson despite the receiver being surrounded by Toronto defenders, for a long 29-yard touchdown with just over three minutes to go. The snap was bobbled on the extra point attempt that would have tied the game, keeping the score 26-25 in favour of the Argos. The mistake proved to be a costly one for the REDBLACKS as the clock ran out before they could make up the missed point.


Maher had the game on his foot with zeros on the clock, but his long 59-yard field goal attempt sailed wide right to secure the win for the Argos.


The Boatmen will have little time rest before their meeting with the Blue Bomber in Winnipeg on Thursday night. The REDBLACKS will look for their first win of the season against the Edmonton Eskimos on Friday night in game two of a CFL double header.

 

[CNOTES]

WEST DIVISION
RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV
1 Calgary 3 2 0 1 5 103 80 1-0-0 1-0-1 1-0-0
2 Edmonton 2 2 0 0 4 53 46 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 3 BC 3 2 1 0 4 78 61 0-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
4 Winnipeg 2 1 1 0 2 53 69 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
5 Saskatchewan 3 1 2 0 2 93 80 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0




EAST DIVISION
RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV
1 Toronto 3 2 1 0 4 73 68 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-0-0
2 Montreal 3 1 2 0 2 52 62 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
3 Ottawa 3 0 2 1 1 95 100 0-1-1 0-1-0 0-1-0
4 Hamilton 2 0 2 0 0 35 69 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-1-0

 

[CNOTES]

WEEK 4

Thursday, July 13, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
8:30 PM Toronto Argonauts Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Friday, July 14, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Calgary Stampeders Montreal Alouettes
10:00 PM Ottawa Redblacks Edmonton Eskimos

Saturday, July 15, 2017
Time (ET) Away Home
7:30 PM British Columbia Lions Hamilton Tiger Cats

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s List of 13: Random stuff for a summer day……


13) Gregg Popovich is 1,316-612 as an NBA head coach with five championships, but his first year as a head coach at any level was in 1979-80 at Pomona-Pitzer, a D-III school in California.


That team went 2-22. Long way from there to today.


12) Clippers-Lakers summer league game Friday night in UNLV’s arena had a huge crowd- looked liked the whole lower bowl was full, which would make it a crowd of around 8,000 people. I bet NBA people are surprised at how popular summer league has become.


$30 a pop for the whole day is a good deal. Can watch four games in an air conditioned arena.


11) It isn’t good when your favorite college basketball team has two assistant coaches resign in July; thats whats happening at Western Kentucky. One of the assistant coaches is the godfather of their best recruit, Mitchell Robinson.


10) Twins manager Paul Molitor played his last big league game in 1998; Bartolo Colon pitched for the other team that day. Here, in 2017, Molitor will be managing Colon.


9) Biggest division lead at the All-Star break since 1910; 2001 Seattle Mariners led Oakland by 19 games. 1986 Mets led Montreal by 13.5 games.


This year’s Astros have a 16-game lead in the AL West.


8) Most career home runs without a grand slam:
190— Andrew McCutchen, Glenn Davis
176— Ron Kittle


7) Andy from New York points out that the Cubs are the only MLB team who have zero stolen bases from the leadoff position in the batting order.


6) Jim “Bones” Mackay, who caddied for Phil Mickelson for 25 years, is going to be an on-course golf commentator for NBC/Golf Channel. His first assignment is the British Open.


5) NBA doings:
— Indiana Pacers gave Brian Bogdanovic $21M for two years.
— Cavaliers gave Jeff Green $2.3M for one season.
— Celtics traded Avery Bradley to Detroit for Marcus Morris.
— Warriors gave Zaza Pachulia $3.5M for one year.
— Minnesota gives Jamal Crawford $8.9M for two years.


4) Tim Hardaway Jr is going to sign a $71M contract with the Knicks; Atlanta declined to match the offer sheet. Tim Hardaway Sr, made $46M in his whole career, and he was a much better player than his son. Go figure.


3) James Harden got a 4-year contract extension from the Rockets, supposedly worth $228M, which is $57M a year, and that is eye-popping.


2) Canadian team beat the Americans 99-87 in semi-finals of the U19 championship in Egypt. Canada will face Italy in the finals.


1) NBA Summer League story: I was at UNLV a few years ago, watching the summer league— you can bet on these games, but you have to be careful.


I’m sitting there and this really big guy, likely a bodybuilder, sits in front of me, drink in hand. He is explaining fairly loudly to the guy next to him how he is betting on the Timberwolves, who had won their game the day before by 20+ points. The bodybuilder was confident in a Minnesota win.


One small problem.


Some teams don’t play the same set of guys every game. Timberwolves had 18 guys on their roster; nine had played the day before in the big win, the other nine were playing this game.


Minnesota’s second group wasn’t very good- they got trounced. The big guy lost his money, wasn’t hapabout it.


NOW THAT IS SOME FUNNY SHIT.......GUESS HE DIDN'T SEEN THE WRONG 9 GUYS.......LOL

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo:Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win next week’s British Open:


10-1— Dustin Johnson


12-1— Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Jon Rahm


15-1— Sergio Garcia, Ricky Fowler


20-1— Day, Matsuyama, Fleetwood, Rose


25-1— Henrik Stenson


30-1— Adam Scott




**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Looking at NL teams at the All-Star break……….


61-29 Dodgers— Are 39-11 at home, 13-0 in Kershaw’s last 13 starts. Wood is 10-0, 1.67 with a WHIP of 0.89. #5 hitters are batting .204 against them, #6 hitters .206.


53-36 Arizona— Stumbled into All-Star break on 3-7 skid; they’re 33-15 at home, with a home OPS of .840- their road OPS is .689. Goldschmidt has 20 HR’s, 67 RBI, an OB% of .428.


52-36 Washington— Bullpen has been awful, but they’ve got a 9.5-game lead in a bad division- they figure to add to their bullpen before July 31. Hitting .293 at home, .261 on road. Murphy is hitting .342, Zimmerman .330, Harper .325.


52-39 Colorado— Four rookies in the starting rotation is a red flag heading into second half of season. Rockies are 5-13 in their last 18 games. SS Story has an OPS of only .699, after his .908 in his rookie year LY.


50-41 Milwaukee— Have stunning 5.5-game lead in NL Central; their best pitcher Anderson is out for another month (oblique). Brewers have been in playoffs twice in last 35 years (’08, ’11). Thames has 23 HR’s after spending last three years playing in Korea.


43-45 Chicago— Weird that only five NL teams are over .500. Defending World Champs have struggled all year; Lester’s ERA is 4.25, Arrieta’s 4.35. LF’s are hitting combined .217; leadoff hitters have a combined OB% of .323.


43-45 St Louis— 18-7 vs NL East, 25-38 elsewhere. #3 hitters are batting a combined .221 with an OPS of .712. Wainwright has slipped; his ERA is 5.20, WHIP 1.49. SS Diaz hit .300 LY; he is in AAA now, after hitting only .260 this year.


42-45 Atlanta— Surprisingly good record for this group; they’re 20-16 since June 1. Signing Matt Adams got them thru Freeman’s injury; now Freeman plays 3B so Adams can stay in lineup. Have 13 HR, 51 RBI out of catching combo; solid production.


42-47 Pittsburgh— Get Marte back from 80-game suspension next week. Leadoff hitters have only a .305 OB%. McCutchen has surged since they moved him to #6 in order, now he is back in 3-hole- he is hitting .294 with 50 RBI for season.


41-46 Miami— Sadly, a fire sale is coming after All-Star break; their payroll is unwieldy for team that is about to be sold. Have formidable lineup; they hit .283 on road, .251 at home. Injury to lefty starter Chen has hurt the pitching rotation.


39-47 New York— How does their trainer still have a job? Mets are racked by injuries every year. Have OPS of .699 at home, .826 on road. #2 hitters are batting .219, #9 hitters .218, which isn’t good for an NL team. Harvey has a 5.25 ERA, Syndergaard has thrown only 27.1 innings.


39-49 Cincinnati— Have 63 homers on road, 62 at home, despite small home park. Pitchers have 4.67 ERA at home, 5.45 on road. Billy Hamilton may be fast, but a .293 OB% at leadoff ain’t good enough.


38-50 San Diego— Have three Rule 5 (minor league) players on roster this year; hard to win that way. Padre 3B’s are hitting .196, catchers .210; need more production. Young starter Lamet has 55 strikeouts in 41 IP, looks like a future star.


34-56 San Francisco— When your team gets old, the bottom falls out quickly. Pitchers have 5.49 ERA on road; top 4 spots in opposing batting order all bat .300+ with .370+ OB% vs Giants. Posey is hitting .324 with .406 OB%; will they move him to 1B to preserve rest of his career?


29-58 Phillies— 23 of 58 losses are by one run; they’ve started to bring prospects up. Could be good fairly soon, but need another starting pitcher or two. Nola-Hellickson-Pivetta look like a good start for a solid rotation. Their AAA team is winning a ton of games; there is talent there.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 3
July 10, 2017


League Betting Notes


-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 3


-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 3


-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 3


-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3


-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3




Analysis


Favorites and underdogs split for the first time this season, as two out of four favorites ended up cashing after going 0-8 ATS through the first two Canadian weekends. Road teams continue to go strong, going 3-1 SU/ATS. That's now 9-3 ATS through the first three weekends. Last week, we mentioned this was a trend that was all too familiar in the CFL last season, as road teams finished 16-2-2 ATS in the first five weekends of the 2016 regular season.


The 'under' is also hitting at a 66.7 percent clip through the first three weekends, going 8-4 through 12 regular season games. It's a trend we also saw last season, with the 'under' 19-8-1 through the first seven weekends in 2016. Defense reigned surpreme again in Week 3, with only the Hamilton (0-2)-Saskatchewan (1-2) game connecting for the 'over' (52) in a 37-20 win by the Roughriders.


The over has hit in each of Saskatchewan's two home games after an under result on the road in Week 1. Unfortunately for total bettors in Week 4, the Roughriders will be on their bye week. Montreal (1-2) will be in action, however, and they have been a favorite of bettors at the window. The 'under' is a perfect 3-0 so far this season.


Team Betting Notes


-- The Alouettes have dropped two in a row after a win against the Riders in the opening weekend. Montreal's offense has struggled, averaging just 17.3 points per game (PPG) through three outings. In addition, they have managed an 0-2 ATS mark in two home outings. They'll be back at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium in Week 4 when Calgary (2-0-1) comes calling.


-- Speaking of the Stampeders, they're unbeaten through their first three regular season games. After failing to cover in their home-and-home against Ottawa (0-2-1) the Stamps won and covered in Winnipeg (1-1). Their defense was the talk in Week 3, as they allowed 10 points for an 'under' result after yielding 35.0 PPG in the first two games.


-- The TigerCats didn't benefit much from their bye in Week 2, as they returned to action and were roughed up in Saskatchewan by a 37-20 score. The TiCats are 0-2 SU/ATS through the first two weeks, both on the road. They'll return home in Week 4.


-- BC Lions (2-1) will be the first visitor at Tim Hortons Stadium in Hamilton, and the Lions hope the good times continue to roll on the road. They're a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS in stops in Toronto (2-1) and Montreal. Also perfect is the 3-0 'under' record for the Lions, as they're allowing just 20.3 PPG through three outings.


-- The Argonauts pulled off a victory in Canada's capital city, edging the RedBlacks 26-25 in Week 3. Toronto is allowing 22.7 PPG through three games while scoring 24.3 points. That's the reason the 'under' has cashed in all three games with a total set at 54 1/2 or 55 so far.


-- Edmonton (2-0) will return from their bye looking to add to the woes of the RedBlacks at Commonwealth Stadium. So far the Esks are perfect on the season, and so is the 'under' at 2-0. Ottawa's high-octane offense 31.7 PPG will be a huge test for the Edmonton D.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Long Sheet


Week 4


Thursday, July 13


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (2 - 1) at WINNIPEG (1 - 1) - 7/13/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Friday, July 14


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (2 - 0 - 1) at MONTREAL (1 - 2) - 7/14/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 125-92 ATS (+23.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-0 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 2-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (0 - 2 - 1) at EDMONTON (2 - 0) - 7/14/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 36-59 ATS (-28.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-3 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, July 15


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 1) at HAMILTON (0 - 2) - 7/15/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 4


Toronto (2-1) @ Winnipeg (1-1)— Blue Bombers swept Toronto 34-17/46-29 LY, after losing five of previous six series games. Argonauts are 5-2 in last seven visits here. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Toronto rallied from 12-1 halftime deficit to win 26-25 in Ottawa last week, their first road game of year. Winnipeg was held scoreless in 29-10 home loss to Calgary LW (they led 10-9 at half) in their home opener. Bombers forced five turnovers in splitting two games (+1).


Calgary (2-0-1) @ Montreal (1-2)— Home team won last seven series games; Stampeders lost last three visits here, by 16-18-9 points. Last six series games stayed under total. Calgary scored 34.3 pts/game in its 2-0-1 start; two of those three games were on road. Four of Stamps’ last five games went over. Alouettes scored 17.3 pts/game in its 1-2 start; they forced only one turnover in three games. Six of last seven Montreal games stayed under the total.


Ottawa (0-2-1) @ Edmonton (2-0)— Eskimos had last week off, will be out to avenge 35-23 loss at Ottawa in Grey Cup semis last year. RedBlacks were 3-0 vs Edmonton LY, winning in OT here- the wins were by 8-3-12 points. Ottawa blew 12-1 halftime lead LW in 26-25 home loss to Toronto; they were tied at half in their first two games, going 0-1-1 vs Calgary, losing 43-39 in only road game so far. Under is 5-2 in last seven Eskimo games, 8-2 in Ottawa’s last 10 games.


BC Lions (2-1) @ Hamilton (0-2)— Lions are 7-3 in last ten series games, winning last three, by 27-25-7 points. BC lost three of last four visits here; home side won seven of last eight series games- over is 6-2 in those eight games. Lions are on road for 3rd week in row; they were +19 in second half the last two weeks, wins at Toronto/Montreal. TiCats were outgunned by 287-258 yards in first two games, losses at Toronto (32-15), Saskatchewan (37-20)- this is their home opener.

Favorites vs spread for season: 4-8
over/under: 4-8


*********************


CFL


Week 4


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, July 13


8:30 PM
TORONTO vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
Winnipeg is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto




Friday, July 14

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Montreal's last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games

10:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing at home against Ottawa




Saturday, July 15

7:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s six-pack


Top 6 over umpires, and top 6 under umpires in first half:


Gonzalez, over 11-2-2
Hoberg, over 9-3-1
Eddings, Hallion, both over 12-5-1
Hernandez over 11-5, Walcott 11-5-1
Marquez over 10-4-1
Iassogna over 9-4, Woodring 9-4-3


Blakney, under 8-1-3
Bellino, under 13-3
Barksdale, Tichenor, both 10-4-1
Kulpa, under 11-5
Nauert, under 10-5
Davis, under 8-4-3


************************


Looking at AL teams at the All-Star break…….


60-29 Astros— Houston is 33-11 on road; they’ve got a .884 OPS on road, .823 at home. Astros are only 15-11 vs lefties- they’d like to avoid Dodgers (Kershaw-Hill-Wood) if they get to World Series. Altuve makes $4,687,500 this year; starting next year, he’s going to get really rich.


50-39 Red Sox— Will play 11 more home games (25-14) than road games (25-25) the rest of the way. David Price is 4-2, 3.91 in nine starts this year; he’s been sparring with local media. Seeing as he is on the books for $31M a year for the next five years, thats a problem.


47-40 Indians— 21-24 at home, 26-16 on road; unusual. They’re 22-9 when Kluber/Carrasco start, 25-31 with anyone else. Need more production from 1B Carlos Santana, who is hitting .238- he has generally been a better second half player (.835 OPS/.781) in his career.


45-41 New York— Severino is 0-2, 5.75 in his last five starts; Pineda is 1-1, 8.39 in his last five. NY is 7-18 in its last 25 games. This is their lowest payroll in 10 years; Sabathia/Holliday/ARod come off the books this winter— when do they resume trying to sign big $$$ free agents?


47-43 Rays— They’re 27-19 at home, hold 2nd Wild Card right now. Rookie P Faria has 2.11 ERA in his first six MLB starts. Need to find a solid 5th starter for last nine weeks of season. Tampa has four guys under contract for 2018; they’ll be avoiding arbitration a lot this winter.


45-43 Twins— 25-15 on road, 20-28 at home; they’re 18-11 when Santana/Berrios start, 27-32 with anyone else. Rumored to be trying to trade for another starter; Santiago is 0-5, 9.31 in his last five starts. Sano has 21 HR, 62 RBI, .368 OB%, he has become a star.


44-43 Royals— Rebounded from 7-16 April; they’re 22-13 since June 1. Need more from the leadoff spot; their #1 hitters have .207 BA, .236 OB%, which is feeble. KC is 13-4 in Vargas starts- he is 7-0, 2.96 in his last 8 starts. Their $143M payroll is $50M higher than in 2014.


45-47 Angels— Trout comes back Friday; they’re still in contention, Halos are locked into $62M a year for Trout/Pujols for 3 more years. Rookie P Bridwell is 3-1, 3.72 in five starts; he’s been a life saver. #5 hitters are batting only .218 for Angels; they need a bat to protect Trout/Pujols.


43-45 Rangers— Texas has seven players making $10M+ this year; Hamels is 2-0, 1.26 in his last two starts- they need a big 2nd half from him. Could use more from Odor (.220 BA); Texas is 13-16 in games where GW run scores after 6th inning.


43-47 Mariners— Felix Hernandez (4-3, 4.44) is a junker now; they’re 4-5 in his starts, and owe him $27M a year thru 2019. Team ERA is 3.98 at home, 5.30 on road. Mike Zunino had one HR, 4 RBI on May 31; he hit 10 HR’s, had 31 RBI in June, has only one RBI in July.


42-46 Orioles— Despite their struggles, Orioles are 16-6 in games where winning run scores after 6th inning- they’re 25-16 at home, 17-30 on road- their pitchers have 5.78 ERA on road. O’s are 26-20 vs division foes, but are 16-26 vs everyone else.


41-47 Blue Jays— Underachieving team with payroll of $163,381,937; will they deal guys before July 31? Had strong 18-10 May, but are 15-20 since June 1. Estrada/Liriano/Happ earn $41M combined this year; Toronto is 21-22 in their starts, 10-12 at home.


39-48 Tigers— Aging roster with payroll of $199,750,600; they have six guys making $16M+ this year- they’re not getting their money’s worth. They’re hitting .275 at home (.815 OPS), only .234 on road (.691 OPS). Owner Mike Ilitch passed away earlier this year; not sure what they’ll do.


38-49 White Sox— Team to watch for rest of this month; will they dump salary? Cabrera/Frazier make combined $27M, closer Robertson makes $12.5M. Sox are 19-18 at home, 19-31 on road; they have 13 home games to make up in 2nd half. Chicago has some good prospects at AAA.


39-50 A’s— Can’t keep starting pitchers healthy, defense has deteriorated badly with infield coach Ron Washington off to Atlanta. Brought up couple of promising young players, but 1B Alonso is a free agent. Three of their eight highest-paid players are relievers. Go figure.