Wednesday’s games
South Carolina won two of last three games with Tennessee, after Vols had won previous 15 series games. Gamecocks lost 11 of last 12 visits to Knoxville. Carolina allowed 64.5 pts/game winning first two SEC games by 6-11 points; they’re 2-1 in true road games, winning at Georgia, South Florida, losing by 16 at Memphis. Tennessee allowed 82.5 pts/game in losing last two games, to Arkansas/Florida; Vols are 0-5 vs top 50 teams; their best win is over #62 Texas A&M . SEC favorites of less than 5 points are 1-10 vs spread so far this season. Tennessee dismissed 6th-man Mostella from program yesterday; he scored 16 pts/game in Vols’ last five games.
Georgia is 10-5 vs schedule #38; they’re 2-2 in true road games, winning at Ga Tech/Auburn, losing at Oakland/Clemson. Dawgs are 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with best win over UL-Lafayette. Georgia won five of last six games with Ole Miss, with five of six games decided by 5 or less points. Dawgs won two of last three visits to Oxford. SEC home favorites are 5-13, 0-9 if laying 4 or less points. Ole Miss is 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with win over Memphis; they lost two of their first three SEC games, losing by 23 at home to Kentucky.
Michigan State rallied back from down 14 in second half to win 75-74 in OT at Minnesota in Big 14 opener Dec 27; Gophers outscored them 31-10 on foul line (MSU was 10-22 on line) but still lost for 8th time in last 10 series games vs Spartans, with three of last four meetings going to OT. Gophers lost six of last seven visits here, with last two going OT. Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-2 vs spread. Minnesota is 3-0 since that loss, winning by 9-4-10 points; they are 15-2 vs schedule #67- they’re 2-1 in true road games, with only loss by 8 at Florida State.
Dayton won its last five games, winning first three A-14 tilts by 11-16-3 points; they’re 2-0 in true road games, winning by 5 at Alabama, 16 at St Boneventure. UMass was 10-3 pre-conference but lost first three league games by 12-5-17 points, giving up 85.3 pts/game. Minutemen are #334 experience team playing pace #15; they’re 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with only win by 3 over Temple. Home side won last seven Dayton-UMass games; Flyers lost last four visits here, by 19-5-10-2 points. A-14 home underdogs are 2-3 against the spread.
Louisville split its four games since they beat Kentucky, with both wins by 15 points; Cardinals host Duke Saturday, better not look past this opponent that they’ve beaten eight times in row, with three of last four wins by 12+ points. Panthers lost last six visits here, last two by 13-18 points. Pittsburgh lost two of first three ACC games, with two of three games going OT; they split two true road games, losing by 11 at Syracuse, winning at Maryland. ACC home favorites are 10-4 vs spread, 2-2 if laying double digits.
Seton Hall outscored Marquette 6-0 over final 0:38 to nip Golden Eagles 69-66 in first meeting of season 10 days ago. Pirates won eight of last nine games overall, but lost by 14 at Creighton in only true road game in that stretch; Pirates won by 8 at Iowa in only other true road game. Seton Hall won last three series games, after losing seven of previous eight- they won last two visits here by 10-20 points, after losing previous seven. Marquette lost last two games by 3-12 points after a 10-3 start; Big East home favorites are 10-2 vs spread.
North Carolina is 4-1 since losing to Kentucky in Las Vegas; Tar Heels hammered NC State by 51 Sunday in a game delayed a day by weather. Carolina is 1-2 in true road games, losing at Ga Tech, Indiana, winning by 15 at Hawai’i. UNC won seven of last eight games with Wake Forest, winning last three by 33-16-15 points; Tar Heels won three of last four visits here, with wins by 9-15-16 points. Wake Forest lost four of last six games, with all four losses to top 25 teams- they lost by 5 at home to Clemson. ACC home underdogs are 5-2-1 vs spread.
Memphis won its last three games by 16-9-21 points; they’re 2-1 in true road games, losing by 8 at Ole Miss, winning at Oklahoma/Tulane. Tigers are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time in AAC play. Tulsa lost three of last four games, scoring 59.8 pts/game they lost 7 of top 8 scorers from LY, are turning ball over 23.4% of time this year. Memphis swept Tulsa LY by 10-22 points, after they lost to Hurricane twice year before- they split last two visits here. Favorites are 11-1 in AAC games with a single digit spread; AAC home dogs are 0-8.
TCU is 1-2 in Big X after an 11-1 pre-conference slate; Frogs are 1-2 in true road games, losing by 15 at SMU, 12 at West Virginia, with a win at UNLV. Texas won eight of last nine games with TCU, winning last four here, by 17-12-23-17 points. Longhorns are 7-8 vs schedule #51; they’ve lost at home to Tex-Arlington, Kent State. Texas is #343 experience team is playing #188 pace, not the way Smart usually coaches. Texas is 3-4 in games decided by 6 or less points. Big X home teams are 3-1 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points.
Michigan starts out 1-2 in Big 14; three games were decided by total of 13 points- opponents shot 54.7% on arc in those games. Wolverines are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 15 at So Carolina, 18 at UCLA, 3 at Iowa. Michigan won 10 of last 11 games with Illinois, winning last two by 18-10 points; they won four of last five visits here, with all four wins by 10+ points. Illinois is also 1-2 in conference, after a 10-3 mark before league play; Illini are shooting just 27.6% on arc in league games. Big 14 home underdogs are 4-2 this season.
Butler has had airplane trouble coming home on its last two road trips; are they squeamish about traveling? Bulldogs won last three games after getting upset at St John’s; they’re 5-0 vs top 50 teams. Creighton is 15-1 vs schedule #58; their only loss was to Villanova at home by 10. Bluejays are 2-1 vs top 50 teams, beating Wisconsin/Seton Hall- they’re shooting 42.4% on arc (#4). Butler won three of last four games with Creighton, winning by 3-2-13 points. Bulldogs lost two of last three visits to Omaha. Big East home favorites are 10-2 vs spread.
Temple has very little depth; they played 7 guys more than 5:00 in last game, a 19-point win. Owls lost three of last four games; they’re 0-3 in road games outside of Philly, losing by 3-24-14 points. Temple won four of last five games with UConn, winning last two visits to Nutmeg State by 2-4 points. Huskies beat Temple 77-62 in AAC tourney LY. UConn lost four of last five games but beat UCF by 15 last time out; AAC teams are shooting 50% inside arc vs Huskies, unusual for UConn. AAC single digit home favorites are 5-1 vs spread.
Iowa State won its last seven games with Oklahoma State, winning last three in Stillwater by 1-5-5 points. Five of last six series games were decided by 5 or less points. Cyclones are 0-2 in true road games, losing by 14 at Iowa, 2 at Baylor- loss in Waco was ISU’s only loss in their last five games. OSU is 0-3 in big X, losing by 17-3-4 points after a 10-2 record vs non-conference schedule #121. Cowboys forced lot of turnovers out of conference, but are forcing them only 17.3% of time in Big X games. Big X home favorites are 3-8-1 vs spread.
South Carolina won two of last three games with Tennessee, after Vols had won previous 15 series games. Gamecocks lost 11 of last 12 visits to Knoxville. Carolina allowed 64.5 pts/game winning first two SEC games by 6-11 points; they’re 2-1 in true road games, winning at Georgia, South Florida, losing by 16 at Memphis. Tennessee allowed 82.5 pts/game in losing last two games, to Arkansas/Florida; Vols are 0-5 vs top 50 teams; their best win is over #62 Texas A&M . SEC favorites of less than 5 points are 1-10 vs spread so far this season. Tennessee dismissed 6th-man Mostella from program yesterday; he scored 16 pts/game in Vols’ last five games.
Georgia is 10-5 vs schedule #38; they’re 2-2 in true road games, winning at Ga Tech/Auburn, losing at Oakland/Clemson. Dawgs are 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with best win over UL-Lafayette. Georgia won five of last six games with Ole Miss, with five of six games decided by 5 or less points. Dawgs won two of last three visits to Oxford. SEC home favorites are 5-13, 0-9 if laying 4 or less points. Ole Miss is 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with win over Memphis; they lost two of their first three SEC games, losing by 23 at home to Kentucky.
Michigan State rallied back from down 14 in second half to win 75-74 in OT at Minnesota in Big 14 opener Dec 27; Gophers outscored them 31-10 on foul line (MSU was 10-22 on line) but still lost for 8th time in last 10 series games vs Spartans, with three of last four meetings going to OT. Gophers lost six of last seven visits here, with last two going OT. Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-2 vs spread. Minnesota is 3-0 since that loss, winning by 9-4-10 points; they are 15-2 vs schedule #67- they’re 2-1 in true road games, with only loss by 8 at Florida State.
Dayton won its last five games, winning first three A-14 tilts by 11-16-3 points; they’re 2-0 in true road games, winning by 5 at Alabama, 16 at St Boneventure. UMass was 10-3 pre-conference but lost first three league games by 12-5-17 points, giving up 85.3 pts/game. Minutemen are #334 experience team playing pace #15; they’re 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with only win by 3 over Temple. Home side won last seven Dayton-UMass games; Flyers lost last four visits here, by 19-5-10-2 points. A-14 home underdogs are 2-3 against the spread.
Louisville split its four games since they beat Kentucky, with both wins by 15 points; Cardinals host Duke Saturday, better not look past this opponent that they’ve beaten eight times in row, with three of last four wins by 12+ points. Panthers lost last six visits here, last two by 13-18 points. Pittsburgh lost two of first three ACC games, with two of three games going OT; they split two true road games, losing by 11 at Syracuse, winning at Maryland. ACC home favorites are 10-4 vs spread, 2-2 if laying double digits.
Seton Hall outscored Marquette 6-0 over final 0:38 to nip Golden Eagles 69-66 in first meeting of season 10 days ago. Pirates won eight of last nine games overall, but lost by 14 at Creighton in only true road game in that stretch; Pirates won by 8 at Iowa in only other true road game. Seton Hall won last three series games, after losing seven of previous eight- they won last two visits here by 10-20 points, after losing previous seven. Marquette lost last two games by 3-12 points after a 10-3 start; Big East home favorites are 10-2 vs spread.
North Carolina is 4-1 since losing to Kentucky in Las Vegas; Tar Heels hammered NC State by 51 Sunday in a game delayed a day by weather. Carolina is 1-2 in true road games, losing at Ga Tech, Indiana, winning by 15 at Hawai’i. UNC won seven of last eight games with Wake Forest, winning last three by 33-16-15 points; Tar Heels won three of last four visits here, with wins by 9-15-16 points. Wake Forest lost four of last six games, with all four losses to top 25 teams- they lost by 5 at home to Clemson. ACC home underdogs are 5-2-1 vs spread.
Memphis won its last three games by 16-9-21 points; they’re 2-1 in true road games, losing by 8 at Ole Miss, winning at Oklahoma/Tulane. Tigers are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time in AAC play. Tulsa lost three of last four games, scoring 59.8 pts/game they lost 7 of top 8 scorers from LY, are turning ball over 23.4% of time this year. Memphis swept Tulsa LY by 10-22 points, after they lost to Hurricane twice year before- they split last two visits here. Favorites are 11-1 in AAC games with a single digit spread; AAC home dogs are 0-8.
TCU is 1-2 in Big X after an 11-1 pre-conference slate; Frogs are 1-2 in true road games, losing by 15 at SMU, 12 at West Virginia, with a win at UNLV. Texas won eight of last nine games with TCU, winning last four here, by 17-12-23-17 points. Longhorns are 7-8 vs schedule #51; they’ve lost at home to Tex-Arlington, Kent State. Texas is #343 experience team is playing #188 pace, not the way Smart usually coaches. Texas is 3-4 in games decided by 6 or less points. Big X home teams are 3-1 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points.
Michigan starts out 1-2 in Big 14; three games were decided by total of 13 points- opponents shot 54.7% on arc in those games. Wolverines are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 15 at So Carolina, 18 at UCLA, 3 at Iowa. Michigan won 10 of last 11 games with Illinois, winning last two by 18-10 points; they won four of last five visits here, with all four wins by 10+ points. Illinois is also 1-2 in conference, after a 10-3 mark before league play; Illini are shooting just 27.6% on arc in league games. Big 14 home underdogs are 4-2 this season.
Butler has had airplane trouble coming home on its last two road trips; are they squeamish about traveling? Bulldogs won last three games after getting upset at St John’s; they’re 5-0 vs top 50 teams. Creighton is 15-1 vs schedule #58; their only loss was to Villanova at home by 10. Bluejays are 2-1 vs top 50 teams, beating Wisconsin/Seton Hall- they’re shooting 42.4% on arc (#4). Butler won three of last four games with Creighton, winning by 3-2-13 points. Bulldogs lost two of last three visits to Omaha. Big East home favorites are 10-2 vs spread.
Temple has very little depth; they played 7 guys more than 5:00 in last game, a 19-point win. Owls lost three of last four games; they’re 0-3 in road games outside of Philly, losing by 3-24-14 points. Temple won four of last five games with UConn, winning last two visits to Nutmeg State by 2-4 points. Huskies beat Temple 77-62 in AAC tourney LY. UConn lost four of last five games but beat UCF by 15 last time out; AAC teams are shooting 50% inside arc vs Huskies, unusual for UConn. AAC single digit home favorites are 5-1 vs spread.
Iowa State won its last seven games with Oklahoma State, winning last three in Stillwater by 1-5-5 points. Five of last six series games were decided by 5 or less points. Cyclones are 0-2 in true road games, losing by 14 at Iowa, 2 at Baylor- loss in Waco was ISU’s only loss in their last five games. OSU is 0-3 in big X, losing by 17-3-4 points after a 10-2 record vs non-conference schedule #121. Cowboys forced lot of turnovers out of conference, but are forcing them only 17.3% of time in Big X games. Big X home favorites are 3-8-1 vs spread.