Cnotes 2014 Major League Baseball playoff schedule - Trends - News -Best Bets !

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 1

Game 947-948: San Francisco at Pittsburgh (8:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 17.148; Pittsburgh (Volquez) 15.609
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (88 - 74) at PITTSBURGH (88 - 74) - 8:05 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-90 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 96-105 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 88-74 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 51-30 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 21-4 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 51-30 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 65-43 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 81-64 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 357-363 (+50.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
VOLQUEZ is 48-32 (+20.6 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 88-74 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-38 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-7 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 88-74 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-44 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-38 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BUMGARNER is 13-5 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 13-5 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
BUMGARNER is 11-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 2-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.72 and a WHIP of 1.588.
His team's record is 3-8 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 1

Giants @ Pirates-- NL Wild Card
Bumgarner is 5-1, 2.42 in his last seven starts; he allowed five runs in four IP in his only start vs Pirates this year. He is 3-2, 3.79 in six postseason starts.

Volquez is 2-0, 1.54 in his last six starts; he allowed four iruns in 1.2 IP in his only postseason start, for Reds in '10. He didn't face Pittsburgh this season.

Giants lost five of last six road games, are 4-6 in last ten overall; they won the World Series in 2010 and 2012.

Pirates made playoffs last year for first time in 21 years- they've won 11 of their last 13 home games.

Bumgarner 19-14....10-33 first inning
Volquez 18-13.........8-31 first inning




MLB

Wednesday, October 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:07 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB

Wednesday, October 1


Volquez to face postseason demons

It has been four years since Edinson Volquez made his lone postseason start and it is a day he would like to forget. While pitching for the Cincinnati Reds, Volquez gave up four runs in 1.2 innings and walked away with a 21.60 ERA.

The Dominican rightie has a solid 13-7 record and 3.04 ERA during the regular season.

The Pirates are small +104 home dogs Wednesday.


Bumgarner inconsistent during postseason

There are few pitchers at the age of 25 that has as much postseason experience as Madison Bumgarner. The leftie has already made seven postseason appearances while going 3-2, but proving to be inconsistent.

Bumgarner is sporting a solid 3.79 ERA, but that includes a 2.0 inning relief effort in 2010. Three appearances saw Bumgarner give up zero runs, while the other four appearances have seen him abused for 27 hits an 15 runs.

San Fran is currently -113 faves against the Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday.


Dodgers' Gordon cleared for NLDS opener

Los Angeles Dodgers second baseman Dee Gordon is a go for Game 1 of the National League Division Series on Friday against the St. Louis Cardinals after sitting out the final game of the regular season with a hip injury.

Gordon was cleared to play in the series opener in Los Angeles after making it through a workout with the team on Tuesday.

He left Saturday night's game against the Colorado Rockies in the first inning after grounding out to shortstop in his first at-bat. A similar injury forced him to miss a game earlier in the month.

In 148 regular-season games, Gordon batted .289 and had 64 stolen bases, a NL-best 12 triples and 92 runs. He was named to his first NL All-Star team in July.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, October 1

San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates, 8:05 ET
Bumgarner: 10-1 TSR as a road favorite
Volquez: PITTSBURGH is 33-16 UNDER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Wednesday, October 1


Giants, Bumgarner cashing as road faves

The San Francisco Giants are 7-0 in Madison Bumgarner's last seven starts as a road favorite.

The Giants are currently -109 road faves for the National League Wild Card matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.

The Giants have won as road faves at Arizona twice (-178, -137), at the Chicago Cubs (-175), at the New York Mets (-122), at Philadelphia (-140), at Miami (-127) and at Cincinnati (-119).

 

[CNOTES]

Giants at Pirates NL wild card game rosters, lineups

October 1, 2014 3:52 pm ET

Madison Bumgarner and Edinson Volquez will match wits and pitches in the NL wild card game. (USATSI) Madison Bumgarner and Edinson Volquez will match wits and pitches in the NL wild card game. (USATSI)

Here are the lineups and rosters for the Giants and Pirates in Wednesday night's NL wild card game in Pittsburgh (SF-PIT GameTracker) ...

Visiting Giants

Lineup

1. Gregor Blanco, CF
2. Joe Panik, 2B
3. Buster Posey, C
4. Pablo Sandoval, 3B
5. Hunter Pence, RF
6. Brandon Belt, 1B
7. Brandon Crawford, SS
8. Travis Ishikawa, LF
9. Madison Bumgarner, SP

Pitchers

Jeremy Affeldt
Madison Bumgarner
Santiago Casilla
Tim Lincecum
Javier Lopez
Jean Machi
Jake Peavy
Yusmeiro Petit
Sergio Romo
Hunter Strickland

Catchers

Buster Posey
Guillermo Quiroz
Andrew Susac

Infielders

Joaquin Arias
Brandon Belt
Brandon Crawford
Matt Duffy
Adam Duvall
Joe Panik
Pablo Sandoval

Outfielders

Gregor Blanco
Gary Brown
Travis Ishikawa
Hunter Pence
Juan Perez

Home Pirates

Lineup

1. Josh Harrison, 3B
2. Jordy Mercer, SS
3. Andrew McCutchen, CF
4. Russell Martin, C
5. Starling Marte, LF
6. Neil Walker, 2B
7. Gaby Sanchez, 1B
8. Travis Snider, RF
9. Edinson Volquez, SP

Pitchers

John Holdzkom
Jared Hughes
Bobby LaFromboise
Jeff Locke
Mark Melancon
Edinson Volquez
Tony Watson
Justin Wilson
Vance Worley

Catchers

Russell Martin
Tony Sanchez
Chris Stewart

Infielders

Clint Barmes
Ike Davis
Josh Harrison
Jordy Mercer
Brent Morel
Gaby Sanchez
Neil Walker

Outfielders

Andrew Lambo
Starling Marte
Andrew McCutchen
Gregory Polanco
Travis Snider
Jose Tabata

As you can see, the Pirates are going with a nine-man staff, while Bruce Bochy of the Giants has 10 pitchers on his wild card roster. Clint Hurdle is, though, carrying three catchers. In the end, it's a "must win" affair for both teams, so expect heavy use of the roster on both sides. Quick hooks and pinch-hitters/runners should abound. In particular, the Pirates have some nice lefty bench bats to counter the Giants' bullpen depth from the right side -- provided, of course, Bumgarner doesn't go the distance.

 

[CNOTES]

Playoff Record:

Wednesday, October 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 8:00 PM ET San Francisco -110 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Pittsburgh - Over 6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY



Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/30/14 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail


1 - 0 ........ + 1.00.......*****

0 - 0 .........- 0.00 ......Double Play

1 - 0 .........+ 3.00.......Triple Play

0 - 0 .........- 3.00.......Grand Slam

 

[CNOTES]

Playoff Record:


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/01/14 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

09/30/14 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

Totals 4-*0-*0 100.00% +2000


1 - 0 ........ + 1.00.......*****

2 - 0 .........+ 4.00 ......Double Play

1 - 0 .........+ 3.00.......Triple Play

0 - 0 .........- 0.00.......Grand Slam

 

[CNOTES]

ALDS - Tigers at Orioles

October 1, 2014


American League Division Series - Game 1
Detroit Tigers (90-72) at Baltimore Orioles (96-66)
First pitch: Thursday, 5:37 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Detroit -125, Baltimore +115, Total: 7

The Tigers and Orioles open their 2014 postseason on Thursday at Camden Yards with Game 1 of the ALDS.

Detroit made the playoffs after beating out Kansas City while going 4-2 in its final six games of the year. The offense was phenomenal during the season, ranking first in the majors in batting average (.277), second in runs (757) and second in on-base percentage (.331). The offense was led by 1B Miguel Cabrera (.313 BA) and DH Victor Martinez (.335 BA) who combined to drive in 212 runs while smacking 57 homers. This duo has not been alone though, and 2B Ian Kinsler (.275 BA) is red-hot coming into the postseason, going 12-for-41 (.293) with three homers, 10 RBI and seven runs in his final 10 games.

Baltimore had no problem winning the AL East, finishing the regular season 12 games ahead of the second-place Yankees. Just like Detroit, this club won with a stellar offense that pounded out the most home runs in the league (211) while putting up the eighth-most runs (705). OF Nelson Cruz (.271 BA) was the big run producer on the team with 40 homers and 108 RBI while OF Adam Jones (.281 BA) put up another huge season, tallying 29 homers, 96 RBI and 88 runs. Jones also brings a four-game hitting streak into the postseason in which he is 5-for-17 with two taters and 5 RBI. This contest will feature Tigers ace RHP Max Scherzer (18-5, 3.19 ERA) facing RHP Chris Tillman (13-6, 3.34 ERA) of the host Orioles.

Detroit has done very well on the road with a 45-36 record (.556, T-6th in majors) while Baltimore has an exceptional 50-31 mark (.617, 5th in MLB) at Camden Yards.

The Tigers hold a slight 10-8 edge in this matchup over the past three seasons and are 5-1 in the series in 2014. The last time these two clubs met, Detroit swept the O's in Baltimore over three games; outscoring them 15-7.

The injury report has no significant injuries to any Tigers on it, while Baltimore continues to miss the services of 3B Manny Machado (knee) who is out for the season.

Max Scherzer has been striking out more than 10 batters per nine innings in each of the past three years and has a 55-15 record (.786) in that time. In 2014 he allowed a career-low 0.74 HR/9 in 220.1 frames while maintaining a solid walk rate (2.6 BB/9). He has pitched at least six innings in nine of his past 10 starts in leading his team to an 8-2 record over that time. The right-hander has been strong his postseason career, going 4-2 with a 3.42 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and a remarkable 12.0 K/9 rate (74 K's in 55.1 IP). Scherzer has started six games against the Orioles in his career, going 3-1 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.36 WHIP while giving up five homers in just 39 innings of work.

OFs Nelson Cruz (8-for-21, 1 HR, 4 RBI), Adam Jones (9-for-18, 2 doubles, 1 HR, 2 RBI) and Nick Markakis (5-for-16, 2 doubles) have all done well in their time against the righty, while SS J.J. Hardy (4-for-23, 1 HR, 2 RBI) has been poor in the matchup.

Detroit’s bullpen has been the club's biggest weakness over the past few years and it is 22-17 (.564) with a 4.29 ERA and 1.48 WHIP while going 41-for-57 (72%) in save opportunities. Joe Nathan (4.81 ERA, 35 saves) did not do great in the closer role this year, as he walked 4.5 batters per nine innings and blew seven saves.

Chris Tillman has been the No. 1 option in the Orioles rotation as he has pitched his second consecutive season with 200 or more innings while having a mediocre strikeout rate (6.5 K/9). He has always had some luck on his side with batters going a career .273 BABIP against him while leaving 76.7% of batters on base in 2014. But Tillman is hot coming into his first career postseason appearance, as he has allowed three or fewer runs in 10 of his past 11 starts, going 6-1 with a 2.14 ERA and leading his team to a 10-1 record in that time. When facing Detroit in his career (6 starts), he is 3-0 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, and has walked 17 batters in his 37.2 frames.

Both DH Victor Martinez (4-for-10, 2 RBI) and 1B Miguel Cabrera (5-for-13, 1 double, 1 HR, 4 RBI) have enjoyed facing Tillman, while C Alex Avila and OF J.D. Martinez have combined to go 1-for-9 with two strikeouts against him. The bullpen for Baltimore has gone 28-21 (.571) with a stellar 3.10 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, and has successfully saved 53-of-72 (74%) contests.

Closer Zach Britton (1.65 ERA, 37 saves) has forced batters to hit an amazing 75.3% of balls on the ground with his nasty sinker while benefiting from hitters batting a mere .215 BABIP against him.​

​

 

[CNOTES]

• [h=5]MLB > (901) DETROIT@ (902) BALTIMORE | 10/02/2014 - 05:35 PM[/h] Play ON BALTIMORE using the money line in night games
  [h=6] The record is 41 Wins and 16 Losses for the this season (+23.45 units)
  
  [/h]

• [h=5]MLB > (947) SAN FRANCISCO@ (948) PITTSBURGH | 10/01/2014 - 08:05 PM[/h] Play ON PITTSBURGH using the money line when playing on Wednesday
  [h=6] The record is 21 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.85 units)
  
  [/h]

• [h=5]MLB > (907) ST LOUIS@ (908) LA DODGERS | 10/03/2014 - 06:35 PM[/h] Play AGAINST ST LOUIS using the money line after a win
  [h=6] The record is 13 Wins and 27 Losses for the this season (-17.65 units)
  
  [/h]

• [h=5]MLB > (903) KANSAS CITY@ (904) LA ANGELS | 10/02/2014 - 09:05 PM[/h] Play ON KANSAS CITY using the money line in night games
  [h=6] The record is 34 Wins and 18 Losses for the this season (+16.8 units)
  
  [/h]

 

[CNOTES]

NLDS - Cardinals at Dodgers

October 2, 2014


National League Division Series - Game 1
St. Louis Cardinals (90-72) at Los Angeles Dodgers (94-68)
First pitch: Friday, 6:35 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Los Angeles -195, St. Louis +182, Total: 5.5

Two storied franchises, the Cardinals and Dodgers, open their best-of-5 NLDS with Game 1 in L.A. on Friday night.

St. Louis just barely edged out Pittsburgh for the NL Central title by going 10-5 since Sept. 12, and then clinching the division with a 1-0 victory over Arizona on the last day of the season. With an offense ranked eighth-worst in the league in runs (619), the Cardinals earned most of their victories with solid pitching which had an overall 3.50 ERA. Their hottest hitter coming into the postseason is 1B Matt Adams (.288 BA) who has gone 11-for-34 (.324) with three doubles, 3 RBI and four runs over his past nine contests.

Los Angeles played up to its potential in the 2014 campaign and beat out the Giants for the NL West title over the last series of the year. The team with the league's highest payroll finished the season on a high note with victories in eight of the final 10 games, including winning the final five contests. The offense had the best on-base percentage (.333) in all of baseball this year while scoring 718 runs (6th in majors). OF Matt Kemp (.287 BA) closed out the year in impressive form by going 12-for-30 (.400) with four home runs, 12 RBI and nine runs over his final eight contests. The pitching matchup will be a great one as RHP Adam Wainwright (20-9, 2.38 ERA) faces the best pitcher in baseball, LHP Clayton Kershaw (21-3, 1.77 ERA).

The Cardinals have not played well on the road this year with a 39-42 record (.481) and will be facing a Dodgers team which has gone 45-36 (.556) in front of their fans. Since the beginning of the 2012 campaign, L.A. is 14-11 in this matchup while going a solid 9-5 at home, including taking 3-of-4 games at Chavez Ravine earlier this season.

Bettors should keep an eye on the fact that the Dodgers are only 19-26 (.422) after two or more consecutive wins this season while going 50-27 (.649) after having won six or seven of their previous eight games over the past two seasons.

The Cardinals come into this game with no injuries, while SS Dee Gordon (hip) is listed as day-to-day for the host Dodgers.

Adam Wainwright has won 19 or more games in four of his past five seasons while pitching under a 2.95 ERA, and has thrown at least 198 frames in each of the past five years. His consistency has come from his ability to control the strike zone with a walk rate of 2.0 BB/9 in 2014 while holding batters to a mere 10 homers in his 227 innings (0.40 HR/9). Wainwright finished off the season in spectacular fashion, going 5-0 with a 1.38 ERA while having a 39:5 K/BB ration in five September starts. Despite a 4-6 career record (6-7 team record) against his opponent, Wainwright has a strong 2.83 ERA and 1.10 WHIP when facing the Dodgers.

He has lost his past three outings in this matchup despite allowing only six runs in 22 frames. OF Andre Ethier (9-for-33, 3 doubles, 2 HR, 6 RBI) has been one of the few L.A. players able to produce off of the ace, while 1B Adrian Gonzalez, OF Matt Kemp and SS Hanley Ramirez are a combined 12-for-66 (.182) with 15 strikeouts when facing Wainwright.

The relievers for St. Louis are 26-23 (.531) this year with a 3.62 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, and have been successful saving games in 55-of-72 (76%) attempts. Closer Trevor Rosenthal (3.20 ERA, 45 saves) allowed far too many free passes (5.4 BB/9) while holding opposing hitters to just 0.26 HR/9 and striking out 11.1 batters per nine innings.

Clayton Kershaw has been in a league of his own over the past few seasons with an ERA under 3.00 in each of the past six years while pitching to a mark better than a 2.00 ERA in each of the past two years. Amazingly, Kershaw improved on his 2013 Cy Young performance with a career-best 1.77 ERA, 10.9 K/9 and 1.41 BB/9 this season. He has kept 81.6% of runners on base in 2014 and forced 51.8% of balls in play to be hit on the ground, which are also both career-best marks. He has allowed more than three runs just once on the year and was a perfect 5-0 with a 1.95 ERA over the final month of the regular season.

Kershaw has actually not done too well against the Cardinals in his career, going 5-7 (8-9 team record) with a 3.69 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but he did throw a quality start in both of his outings this year, including seven shutout innings with 13 K's at Dodger Stadium on June 29. OF Peter Bourjos (4-for-11, 1 HR, 2 RBI) is the only player on the St. Louis roster with a homer against the lefty while OF Matt Holliday (9-for-35, 10 K's, 10 BB's) and 3B Matt Carpenter (5-for-18, 4 K's) have been decent in the matchup.

In the regular season, L.A.’s bullpen was a subpar 18-24 (.429) with a 3.80 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, while going 47-for-61 (77%) in save opportunities. Closer Kenley Jansen (2.76 ERA, 44 saves) struck out a wealth of batters (13.9 K/9) and was on the losing side of batters hitting .350 BABIP against him.

 

[CNOTES]

2014 MLB Playoff Results

October 1, 2014

Overall Results:

-- Favorites are 1-1

-- Home teams are 1-1

-- The Over is 2-0

American League Divisional Series

Detroit vs. Baltimore

Game Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

1 Detroit at Baltimore - - -

2 Detroit at Baltimore - - -

3 Baltimore at Detroit - - -

4 Baltimore at Detroit - - -

5 Detroit at Baltimore - - -


Kansas City vs. Los Angeles

Game Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

1 Kansas City at Los Angeles - - -

2 Kansas City at Los Angeles - - -

3 Los Angeles at Kansas City - - -

4 Los Angeles at Kansas City - - -

5 Kansas City at Los Angeles - - -


National League Divisional Series

San Francisco vs. Washington

Game Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

1 San Francisco at Washington - - -

2 San Francisco at Washington - - -

3 Washington at San Francisco - - -

4 Washington at San Francisco - - -

5 San Francisco at Washington - - -


St. Louis vs. Los Angeles

Game Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

1 St. Louis at Los Angeles - - -

2 St. Louis at Los Angeles - - -

3 Los Angeles at St. Louis - - -

4 Los Angeles at St. Louis - - -

5 St. Louis at Los Angeles - - -


Wild Card

Wild Card Game

Game Matchup Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under

AL Oakland at Kansas City (+100) 9-8 (12) Underdog Over 6 ½

NL San Francisco (-110) at Pittsburgh 8-0 Favorite Over 6 ½

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

Detroit at Baltimore
The Tigers open up their ALDS series in Baltimore today and come into the contest with a 4-0 record in Max Scherzer's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Detroit is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 2

Game 901-902: Detroit at Baltimore (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 17.322; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.706
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over

Game 903-904: Kansas City at LA Angels (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 14.212; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.778
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (90 - 72) at BALTIMORE (96 - 66) - 5:35 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 188-147 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 181-141 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 97-66 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 50-31 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-12 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 86-59 (+30.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 72-36 (+41.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 75-47 (+32.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 53-42 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 45-27 (+24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 31-15 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TILLMAN is 25-10 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 38-21 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 23-9 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 19-7 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 10-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 25-16 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 36-21 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 35-23 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 29-19 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SCHERZER is 24-9 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 15-0 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 23-8 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 33-11 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SCHERZER is 29-9 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 (+3.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SCHERZER is 3-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
TILLMAN is 3-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (90 - 73) at LA ANGELS (98 - 64) - 9:05 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-3 (+0.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VARGAS is 5-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.144.
His team's record is 7-7 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.5 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WEAVER is 7-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.21 and a WHIP of 1.112.
His team's record is 8-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-9. (-6.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 2

Tigers-Orioles
Scherzer is 3-0, 2.70 in his last four starts; he allowed two runs in four IP vs Baltimore this year. Scherzer is 4-2, 3.42 in nine postseason starts.

Tillman is making his first postseason start; he is 5-1, 2.52 in his last 10 starts. Tillman won his only start vs Detroit this year, allowing one run in 8.1 IP.

Tigers are 10-6 in last 16 road games; they're in playoffs for 4th year in row; they won this round last three years, won World Series in 2012.

Orioles are 20-6 in their last 26 home games; they lost in this round in 2012, their only playoff appearamce since '97.

Scherzer 24-9.....8-33 first inning
Tillman 24-10 (11-1 last 12).........12-34 first inning

Royals-Angels
Vargas is 0-4, 9.00 in his last four starts; he allowed seven runs in 10.1 IP in two starts (0-0) against the Angels this season. This is his first postseason appearance.

Weaver is 4-2, 3.00 in his last six starts; he didn't pitch against the Royals this year, is 2-1, 2.61 in six postseason games (3 starts).

Royals won seven of last nine games, six of last eight on road; this is their first playoff since 1985. Just know that Yost is a sub-par game manager.

Angels jogged to AL West title, lost seven of last ten games; they're in playoffs for first time since 2009- they made playoffs six out of eight years ('02-'09), winning 2002 World Series.

Vargas 14-16.........6-30 first inning (4 of last 7)
Weaver 22-12........6-34 first inning
Two starting pitchers were college teammates at Long Beach State.




MLB

Thursday, October 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5:37 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

9:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Angels are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Kansas City


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB

Thursday, October 2


Tillman undefeated as home dog this year

The Baltimore Orioles send Chris Tillman to the mound for Game 1 of the ALDS Thursday. The O's are currently +104 home dogs, which favors the rightie who has gone a perfect 4-0 as the dog at Camden Yards.

Tillman has only allowed five runs during those five games and has only surrendered an average of five hits per game.


Higher stike rates could be cause for lower scoring

Another season of Major League Baseball is in the books and we have yet another season where scoring is in decline. The cause of this? It could be umpiring.

Teams scored just 4.07 runs per game compared to 4.17 last year and 5.14 in 2000. The under was the more dominant result for totals coming in at 51.3 percent. And even the top over umpires' strike rates has increased from 62.7 percent in 2007 to 63.9 percent in 2014.

According to a paper by Brian Mills, an assistant professor at the University of Florida, umpires have expanded their strike zone as a result of new technologies the MLB uses to track an umpire's accuracy.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 2

Detroit at Baltimore, 5:35 ET
Scherzer: 29-9 TSR after a win
Tillman: BALTIMORE 18-48 after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits

Kansas City at LA Angels, 9:05 ET
Peavy: KANSAS CITY 14-23 after 2 straight games where they committed no errors
Weaver: 88-36 TSR as a home favorite

TSR = Team Start Record​

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 5 upon us........

-- Packers failed to cover last four games as a home favorite.

-- Tennessee covered twice in its last twelve games.

-- Arizona is 8-3 in its last 11 games as a road underdog.

-- Falcons are 8-4 in last 12 games as a non-divisional road dog.

-- Buccaneers covered once in last seven divisional games.

-- Rams covered six of last seven games coming off a bye.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) For the record, I think one-game Wild Card thing in baseball is a great idea; there has to be an advantage for winning the division, and this provides it. The Wild Card itself helps keep September a relevant month, so all in all, they’ve improved the game this way.

12) That said, MLB needs to be careful about making rule changes to speed up the game; media whiners have too loud a voice in all this. I love watching baseball, don’t want to see the game screwed up just to chop 8-10 minutes off the average game.

Limiting visits to the mound would be an excellent step; having less TV commercials would be even better, but that has no chance of happening. The pitchless intentional walk won’t shorten a game by very much.

The playoff game on Tuesday night was an exciting, thrilling contest with great meaning; I doubt anyone complained that it took a long time to play.

11) Jon Gruden will have his pick of coaching jobs if/when he decides to get back in; if you were him, would the Raiders’ job be the one you chose? Me either.

10) NBA guard Nate Robinson is opening a chicken ‘n waffles restaurant in Seattle; I’ve never had chicken and waffles at the same time, but since I like both of them, they would be good together, right? Would have to keep the maple syrup away from the chicken, though.

9) Clippers-Nuggets have an exhibition game at Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas in a couple weeks; I've been to one of those preseason games in Vegas and the crowd is almost as fun to watch as the game, especially with the Clippers having some high profile stars on their team.

8) The more you read about the NBA, the more you realize Doc Rivers is a players’ coach, sometimes cancelling practice during the season because he thinks players would be better off with fresher legs than more practice.

Now he’s having training camp in Las Vegas; couldn’t see Hubie Brown or Gregg Popovich having his training camp in Las Vegas.

7) No major league ballclub won or lost 100+ games this season, only the 4th time that’s happened in the last fifty years.

6) Apparently Lebron James and Mike Miller are good buddies and Lebron wasn’t happy when the Heat cut Miller last year, even though they saved $17M in luxury taxes by doing so. Lebron bolted Miami for Cleveland and lo and behold, Miller is a Cavalier now. Go figure.

5) Bill Belichick will get in the Hall of Fame as a coach, but you look at these Patriots and you realize he’s a cruddy general manager. In football, with so many injuries, the personnel guy is vital to a team’s success. Just like Jerry Jones in Dallas, personnel is not Belichick’s strong suit.

4) 1st and Loud, the reality show about the arena football team in Los Angeles, has become painful to watch, with the LA Kiss on their way to an incredibly bad season, filled with dissension and stupid decisions and two co-owners who know nothing about football and a third who is a genuine nitwit.

The 4th co-owner looks like John Elway and appears to have a clue, but he also seems to have less influence than the main partner, who is a micromanaging jackass. Quick example so you know I’m not making this up: he ordered the coach to onside kick after every score in one game. Spoiler alert: it didn’t go well.

3) Downloaded the Blue Ribbon Yearbook on my IPad this week, so I’ve started preparation for college hoop season. For $17, it’s a great bargain. The actual paper copy of Blue Ribbon will be here in a few weeks.

2) Wednesday would’ve been a good day to put on the shades, cover myself in towels and vegetate by the pool, any pool in Las Vegas. Just disappear from the world for the day, shut my mind off, have a cold drink and chill. We all need days like that now and then; at least I’ve got a trip to Vegas scheduled for next month, but pools will be closed by then.

1) Elias Sports Bureau points out that NFL games in Week 4 were decided by an average of 17.6 points, third highest average of any week in the last 25 years. For all the off-court drama the NFL is going thru, they better keep an eye on their actual product, which has slipped some with teams not allowed to practice as much as in the past.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, October 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 5:30 PM ET Detroit -115 500 *****

Baltimore - Over 7 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

Kansas City - 9:00 PM ET LA Angels -175 500 TRIPLE PLAY

LA Angels - Under 8 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 3

Tigers-Orioles
Verlander is 3-0, 2.89 in his last four starts; he is 7-5, 3.28 in 15 postseason starts, 1-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Baltimore this season.

Chen is 1-2, 4.58 in his last three starts; he allowed two runs (one earned) in 6.2 IP in his only postseason start, two years ago. Chen hasn't faced Detroit in '14.

Tigers are 10-7 in last 17 road games; they're in playoffs for 4th year in row; they won this round last three years, won World Series in 2012.

Orioles are 21-6 in their last 27 home games; they lost in this round in 2012, their only playoff appearamce since '97.

Verlander 19-13.....10-32 first inning
Chen 19-12.........10-31 first inning

Giants-Nationals
Peavy is 0-3, 9.27 in his five postseason starts (23 runs allowed in 22.1 IP); he is 4-0, 1.62 in his last six starts. Peavy hasn't pitched against Washington in '14. .
Strasburg was held out of playoffs two years ago to keep him under an innings limit; controversial move. he is 4-1, 1.13 in his last six starts and hasn't allowed any runs in his last 20 IP. Obviously, this is his first playoff start.

Giants are in playoffs for third time in last five years; they won World Series in 2010/2012. Giants won four of last five games overall, but lost five of last seven road games.

Washington won 13 of its last 16 games, eight of last 11 at home; they're in the playoffs for second time in three years, after not making it since they were the Montreal Expos back in 1981.

Peavy 5-15/8-4.........6-32 first inning
Strasburg 19-15.......10-34 first inning

Cardinals-Dodgers
Wainwright is 5-0, 1.38 in his last five starts; he is 4-3, 2.95 in nine postseason starts. He lost 1-0 at Dodger Stadium June 26, pitching eight innings.

Kershaw is 1-3, 4.23 in six postseason starts; he was dominant this year, going 21-3, 1.77 in 27 starts, 7-0, 2.04 in his last seven. He was 1-0, 1.93 in two starts vs St Louis (3 runs in 14 IP) this season.

St Louis is in playoffs for 4th year in row, 8th time in last 12 years-- they are 3-4 in last seven games overall, 3-6 in last nine on road.

Dodgers won their last five games, scoring 36 runs; they're in playoffs second year in row, after missing the three years before that. LA has by far biggest payroll in baseball.

Wainwright 23-9.........4-32 first inning
Kershaw 23-4.............4-27 first inning

Royals-Angels
Ventura is making first postseason start; he got hit hard in relief Tuesday by the A's, after throwing 73 pitches in a Sunday start. Ventura is 2-0, 2.50 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 4.50 against the Angels this season.

Shoemaker is 6-0, 1.38 in his last seven starts, but hasn't pitched since Sept 15 (oblique); he allowed 19 hits, 11 runs in two starts (nine IP) against the Royals this season. This is his first postseason appearance.

Royals won eight of last ten games, seven of last nine on road; they won their last two games in extra innings.

Angels jogged to AL West title, lost eight of last 11 games; they're in playoffs for first time since 2009- they made playoffs six out of eight years ('02-'09), winning 2002 World Series.

Ventura 18-12.........7-30 first inning
Shoemaker 16-4........2-20 first inning

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Friday, October 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:07 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

3:07 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Francisco is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco

6:37 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home

9:37 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. LA ANGELS
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Friday, October 3


Nationals Park truly is home for Strasburg

As if Stephen Strasburg wasn't already good enough, he has been absolutely lights out at home this season. The young ace is 9-3 with a 2.56 ERA at Nationals Park this season.

To make things worse for the Giants, Strasburg is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last three starts


Wainwright on par with Kershaw in ace battle

Though Clayton Kershaw is undeniably the best pitcher in baseball, Adam Wainwright could be matching him Friday. Kershaw is sporting a 10-2 record with a 1.70 ERA at Dodger Stadium this season, while Wainwright is 11-6 with a 1.72 ERA on the road.

The two aces have faced each other four times in their careers with the teams combining for six runs and 11.5 K's per game.


Shoemaker quietly dominating over past three months

Though he may not get much fanfare, Matt Shoemaker has become one of the top pitchers on the Angels over the past three months. The rightie has started 14 games since the start of July and the Angels have gone 12-2 during those starts.

Shoemaker has only allowed more than two runs three times since July 1 while striking out an average of five batters per game.


Verlander conquering Orioles in his career

They may be no team that Justin Verlander has been more dominant against in his career than the Baltimore Orioles. Over his nine year career, Verlander has faced the O's 15 times and the Tigers have gone 12-3 in those starts.

The rightie has only allowed 2.6 runs per game while striking out six per outing.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at LA Dodgers
The Cardinals open their NLDS series in LA today and come into the contest with a 2-8 record in Adam Wainwright's last 10 starts as an underdog. LA is the pick (-200) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 3

Game 905-906: San Francisco at Washington (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Peavy) 16.497; Washington (Strasburg) 15.330
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5
Vegas Line: Washington (-190); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+165); Under

Game 907-908: St. Louis at LA Dodgers (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.760; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 17.395
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Over

Game 909-910: Detroit at Baltimore (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.497; Baltimore (Chen) 15.008
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over

Game 911-912: Kansas City at LA Angels (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 14.904; LA Angels (Shoemaker) 16.524
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (89 - 74) at WASHINGTON (96 - 66) - 3:05 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.3 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
PEAVY is 3-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 5-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.8 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
STRASBURG is 3-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (90 - 72) at LA DODGERS (94 - 68) - 6:35 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 44-44 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KERSHAW is 23-4 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 20-3 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 45-16 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
KERSHAW is 23-4 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 40-30 (+7.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 48-23 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 24-30 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 47-46 (-9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 6-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-3 (+0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 4-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.101.
His team's record is 6-7 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-9. (-5.7 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KERSHAW is 5-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.305.
His team's record is 8-9 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (90 - 73) at BALTIMORE (97 - 66) - 12:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 90-73 (-4.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 65-59 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 181-142 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 29-41 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 37-35 (-9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
VERLANDER is 34-35 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 33-34 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 98-66 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 37-22 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-31 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 87-59 (+31.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 76-47 (+33.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 54-42 (+14.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 46-27 (+25.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 32-15 (+20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHEN is 51-36 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 19-8 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 9-0 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 17-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 16-29 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 (+2.4 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
VERLANDER is 9-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.152.
His team's record is 12-3 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-1.4 units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHEN is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (91 - 73) at LA ANGELS (98 - 65) - 9:35 PM
YORDANO VENTURA (R) vs. MATT SHOEMAKER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+1.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VENTURA is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SHOEMAKER is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 10.00 and a WHIP of 2.333.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)