Clay you have been doing really well on preseason..appreciate your sharing. Do you believe in Reverse Line Movement? The Broncos opened -1 and now are -3 but the consensus at SBR is on the Bears 55%...that looks like reverse line movement which hate to bet gaianst that type movement...does it mean anything to you? Thanks again for your great picks.
JimmyJet, thanks for the compliment! I do believe in reverse line movement, and I think it is a great way to see what the sharps are betting on vs. what public opinion is on. However, for this game, I really like Chicago +3. Maybe it is the wrong play, but everything I can use to cap a game points to Chicago and taking the points.
One thing that makes me not worry as much is that I am getting it for +3. If I had grabbed it at +1 and it moved, I would have worried more, but +3 is such a bigger number than +1 IMO, that I can justify grabbing it.
I really don't think I'm that great of a capper, just getting lucky in the pre-season. But, I hope I can turn this one into a winner.
Thanks again!
One thing that makes me not worry as much is that I am getting it for +3. If I had grabbed it at +1 and it moved, I would have worried more, but +3 is such a bigger number than +1 IMO, that I can justify grabbing it.
I really don't think I'm that great of a capper, just getting lucky in the pre-season. But, I hope I can turn this one into a winner.
Thanks again!
Meh, some bad beats today, and just some bad picks...
So to sum up the last couple days:
NE 1H -2.5 LOSS
GB+3 WIN
GIANTS 1H -3 LOSS
GIANTS/JETS UNDER 36.5 LOSS
SEATTLE +3 WIN
ATLANTA -3 PUSH
COLTS 1H -3 LOSS
Went 2-4-1
Puts me at 10-4-1 for the preseason and I am taking Da Bears +3 tomorrow as my last play for this terrible week...
So to sum up the last couple days:
NE 1H -2.5 LOSS
GB+3 WIN
GIANTS 1H -3 LOSS
GIANTS/JETS UNDER 36.5 LOSS
SEATTLE +3 WIN
ATLANTA -3 PUSH
COLTS 1H -3 LOSS
Went 2-4-1
Puts me at 10-4-1 for the preseason and I am taking Da Bears +3 tomorrow as my last play for this terrible week...
