Cajun-Sports Executive- Christmas Day
NBA:
TIME: 5:00 PM EST. Thursday Dec. 25 (ABC)
GAME: Boston Celtics vs. Los Angeles Lakers
PLAY: 4* Los Angeles Lakers -1.5
ANALYSIS:
The Staples Center will be the site of one of the NBA’s marquee matchups this season as the LA Lakers host the defending Champion Boston Celtics, the first meeting of these two since Game 6 of last season’s NBA Finals.
With both teams cruising in the early part of the season, they could be destined for another meeting in mid-June. The Lakers (23-5), who are 14-1 at home, lead the Western Conference in the standings and the NBA in scoring, averaging 107.0 points.
Boston has been dominant in defense of its title, becoming the first team in NBA history to start 27-2. The Celtics are again among the league's best defensive teams, holding opponents to a league-low 42.0 percent shooting.
Los Angeles opened a recent road trip with back-to-back losses at Miami and Orlando, but it salvaged a split of the four-game swing, and Tuesday's 100 to 87 victory at New Orleans should provide plenty of momentum heading into this showdown with the Celtics.
The Lakers were criticized for being unable to keep up with Boston defensively last summer, but they held the Hornets to 41.6 percent shooting. The Celtics will also have to contend with a weapon that the Lakers didn't have for the finals, as center Andrew Bynum is back from a knee injury and averaging 12.4 points and 8.4 rebounds.
Boston is 10-1 SU on the highway so far this season but they are only 6-5 against the spread in those eleven contests. We see that the Celtics have struggled ATS after winning three straight games and going “Over” the posted total in those contests. They are 7-20 ATS in that situation. If they won those three games ATS they are only 3-14 ATS in their next game.
Boston is 0-11 ATS after winning SU / ATS and going “Over” the posted total in their last three games. They are also 0-5 ATS if they are installed as an underdog in that situation.
Play ON NBA teams after winning and going “Under” on the road in their last two games, 130-92-5 ATS. NBA teams are also 115-81-5 ATS if they are installed as a home favorite in the same situation.
Play AGAINST NBA non-conference teams when installed as an underdog of up to 3.5 points after winning their last three games, 81-112-3 ATS. If they also went over in their three previous games they are 6-16 ATS.
The Lakers are also active in two of our statistical indicators that are 48-22-3 ATS and 93-60-4 ATS.
With the home-court advantage as well as statistical and technical support we will back the host here as they end the Celtics 19 game winning streak and cash in for us on Christmas Day!
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (4*) LA Lakers 106 Boston Celtics 98
TIME: 2:30 PM EST. Thursday Dec. 25 (ABC)
GAME: San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns -2.5
PLAY: 3* San Antonio Spurs +2.5
ANALYSIS:
US Airways Arena will be the site for the first half of ABC’s NBA Christmas Day double-header featuring the host Phoenix Suns and the visiting San Antonio Spurs.
Phoenix is 16-11 SU this season with a record of 9-5 SU at home but failing to cash in for their backers with a record of 5-9 ATS. They average 103.8 points per game while allowing 102.6 points per game.
The fact that the Suns allow more than 99 points per game makes them active in this NBA System which says to Play Against NBA home favorites with teams allowing 99+ points per game on the season, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games. This system has a record of 44-18 ATS since 1996.
The Spurs are 18-10 SU on the year with a 7-5 SU record on the road cashing in on 50% of those contests with a 6-6 ATS record. They average defeating their opponents on the road by a score of 96 to 95.
The Suns are 6-16 ATS as a home favorite versus the Spurs when they are coming in off a spread win in their last game. If they also went “Under” in their last game they are a perfect 0-5 ATS versus San Antonio.
With the better overall team with significant situational and technical support we will back the visitor here as they get the straight up win and cash the winning ticket for us on Christmas Day. Take the points with the Spurs!
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (3*) San Antonio Spurs 97 Phoenix Suns 91
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