Uh if you tried that last night it would not have ended well.
There's always the possibility of an injury to a key player early in the game. I think that would fall into this 'backfiring' scenario.
I swear I'm the reason OSU lost their undefeated season in ncabb to nortwestern a few years back. Took them -800 ML figuring it would be an easy ROI. Boy did that hurt. Never go all in unless your cool with losing it and reloading.
Just like Texas Tech last nite, Duke came to play and the big favorites didn't.