In the twelve NFL games with a total of 57.5 points or higher, the OVER is 10-2 (83.3%)
The OVER is 14-2-1 in the Falcons’ seventeen games this season, while the OVER is 12-6 in the Packers’ last eighteen games (6-0 L/6).
In the last fourteen years, the OVER is a 62.1% winning proposition (18-11-1) in Conference Championship games.
The OVER is 11-0 in Atlanta’s last eleven games played on artificial turf and 11-1 in its last twelve conference affairs, while the OVER is 17-4-1 in Green Bay’s last 21 games versus NFC South opponents.
In his past nine starts, Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers has thrown 24 touchdown passes and one interception.
Similarly, Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown 22 touchdown passes and three interceptions. Rodgers has also thrown ten touchdowns without an interception in four starts at the Georgia Dome.
The Packers have averaged 34.8 points per game since Week 14, while the Falcons have averaged 38.0 points per game over the same span (5-0 OVER L/5).
The OVER is 14-2-1 in the Falcons’ seventeen games this season, while the OVER is 12-6 in the Packers’ last eighteen games (6-0 L/6).
In the last fourteen years, the OVER is a 62.1% winning proposition (18-11-1) in Conference Championship games.
The OVER is 11-0 in Atlanta’s last eleven games played on artificial turf and 11-1 in its last twelve conference affairs, while the OVER is 17-4-1 in Green Bay’s last 21 games versus NFC South opponents.
In his past nine starts, Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers has thrown 24 touchdown passes and one interception.
Similarly, Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown 22 touchdown passes and three interceptions. Rodgers has also thrown ten touchdowns without an interception in four starts at the Georgia Dome.
The Packers have averaged 34.8 points per game since Week 14, while the Falcons have averaged 38.0 points per game over the same span (5-0 OVER L/5).
Brady is just 15-16-1 ATS in 31 career playoff games, that’s a success rate of 48.4 percent. Digging further, since the 2007-08 season, Brady is a bankroll-busting 7-10 ATS (41.2 percent) in the playoffs.
When Brady has been listed as a playoff favorite he is 11-13-1 ATS (45.3 percent), but it gets a little better when he’s at Gillette Stadium, where New England boasts a 10-8-1 ATS (55.6 percent) record.
On the other side of the ball, Roethlisberger is 11-6-2 ATS in 19 career playoff games - good for a profitable success rate of 64.7 percent. As a playoff underdog, like the Steelers will be this week, Big Ben is 4-3-1 ATS (57.1 percent) and he’s 4-1-2 (80 percent) as a playoff road team.
When Brady has been listed as a playoff favorite he is 11-13-1 ATS (45.3 percent), but it gets a little better when he’s at Gillette Stadium, where New England boasts a 10-8-1 ATS (55.6 percent) record.
On the other side of the ball, Roethlisberger is 11-6-2 ATS in 19 career playoff games - good for a profitable success rate of 64.7 percent. As a playoff underdog, like the Steelers will be this week, Big Ben is 4-3-1 ATS (57.1 percent) and he’s 4-1-2 (80 percent) as a playoff road team.
Packers (12-6) @ Falcons (12-5)
Green Bay won its last eight games; they were underdogs in three of the eight games. Packers are 2-2 on artificial turf this season- all four of those games were in domes. Only way #2 seeds play conference final at home is if #1 seed loses its first playoff game; since 1997, #2 seeds playing conference final at home are 2-7, 0-3 in NFC (Steelers got both wins). Green Bay lost 33-32 at Atlanta back in Week 8, during midst of Packers’ defensive funk; TY was 367-331 Falcons in game Green Bay led 24-19 at half- it was Falcons’ first win in last five games vs Packers, who won playoff game 48-21 here in 2010. Atlanta won its last five games, scoring 38.4 pts/game. Last six Packer games went over total- over is 14-2-1 in Atlanta games this season.
Green Bay won its last eight games; they were underdogs in three of the eight games. Packers are 2-2 on artificial turf this season- all four of those games were in domes. Only way #2 seeds play conference final at home is if #1 seed loses its first playoff game; since 1997, #2 seeds playing conference final at home are 2-7, 0-3 in NFC (Steelers got both wins). Green Bay lost 33-32 at Atlanta back in Week 8, during midst of Packers’ defensive funk; TY was 367-331 Falcons in game Green Bay led 24-19 at half- it was Falcons’ first win in last five games vs Packers, who won playoff game 48-21 here in 2010. Atlanta won its last five games, scoring 38.4 pts/game. Last six Packer games went over total- over is 14-2-1 in Atlanta games this season.
Steelers (13-5) @ Patriots (15-2)
Since 2004, #1 seeds are 5-0 in conference title games (4-1 vs spread) when facing a #3 or worse seed, who didn’t get first round bye. Home team won AFC title game nine of last ten years; Patriots are 2-3 in this game last five years- they’re 4-1 in AFC title games at home under Belichick. Steelers won their last nine games; they’re 1-1 as an underdog this year. Patriots are 7-2 at home, 7-2 as a home favorite; they’re 12-1 with Brady at QB, with only loss to the Seahawks. New England won last three series games, by 24-7-11 points; they beat Steelers 27-16 in Week 7, in game Roethlisberger sat out, making it mostly irrelevant. Pitt lost four of last five visits here, with last win in ’08. Under is 10-4 in last 14 Steeler games, 5-3 in Patriots’ last eight games.
Since 2004, #1 seeds are 5-0 in conference title games (4-1 vs spread) when facing a #3 or worse seed, who didn’t get first round bye. Home team won AFC title game nine of last ten years; Patriots are 2-3 in this game last five years- they’re 4-1 in AFC title games at home under Belichick. Steelers won their last nine games; they’re 1-1 as an underdog this year. Patriots are 7-2 at home, 7-2 as a home favorite; they’re 12-1 with Brady at QB, with only loss to the Seahawks. New England won last three series games, by 24-7-11 points; they beat Steelers 27-16 in Week 7, in game Roethlisberger sat out, making it mostly irrelevant. Pitt lost four of last five visits here, with last win in ’08. Under is 10-4 in last 14 Steeler games, 5-3 in Patriots’ last eight games.
