CFP Circa Opening Odds

Search

MLB

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Dec 14, 2010
Messages
2,544
Tokens
I think Milroe's athleticism will give Michigan defense problems.
 
Joined
Aug 7, 2023
Messages
659
Tokens
Michigan got a bad matchup here. I'm not surprised or upset that UM was #1 but getting either or Alabama or Georgia in the #4 spot was not their ideal setup. Not to play conspiracy guy but I think from the rankings it's obvious that the committee, and the NCAA, wants Washington in the National Title game (or they would have wanted 1 loss Oregon). The "feel good" story of the PAC-12 winding down with a National Championship opportunity for one of it's departing heroes sounds much better than the grumbling of football fans telling a story about how TV money, NIL deals, and deep pocketed boosters & big conference affiliations have taken the place of W & L's and tradition.

Here's my jump analysis of the UM/Alabama matchup. First off, this is a coaching mismatch and with the extra time to prepare I think coaching will play a big role. Saban will dump it on Harbaugh. UM has battered it's way through the Big 10 the last couple of years and have risen to the top by being the most physical and punishing of the conference members. Whether intentional or not this had to be done to counter the supreme athleticism, speed, and fast twitch freaks that Ohio St. had been accumulating and using to run around UM with. It took a while but this year, in an obvious down year for OSU's overall athleticism, their physicality put them over the top. Alabama has improved as the year progressed and the extra practices will benefit QB Milroe probably more than any player on either team. If any player can improve in the month window, it's him...this cannot be built into the line. What Michigan does is what the SEC has consistently done better than any other conference and what Alabama has consistently done better than any other team, beat you up with better athletes and big, physical players who dominate individual matchups. The student is attempting to school the master and I don't think the changing. of the. guard is in full effect just yet. I can't see Michigan making any big plays in the passing game and with two gruff running games I like some designed runs for Milroe and a better defensive gameplan for Bama to be the difference. Coaching will be a major factor too. Stodgy Saban has shown the ability to improvise and adjust in these types of game setups, both prior and in-game (onside kick) while Harbaugh has not shown the same ability and rides the bronze deer all the way to the bottom. That will matter here too if things go poorly for UM early on.

I don't think this Michigan team would have made it through an SEC schedule undefeated. I made the number Alabama -2 and was surprised they opened as a dog after ending the Bulldogs unbeaten streak. I took some of that +2 already.

I don't like the other matchup but will fade the winner in the Natty title game vs either Michigan or Alabama. Either of those two D's will frustrate and outperform the offenses they'll be facing.
 
Joined
Aug 7, 2023
Messages
659
Tokens
I think Milroe's athleticism will give Michigan defense problems.
I like this stance and agree. I think Saban will play on it too, he sees this kid in practice every day and knows. He's got a month to scheme it up.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 22, 2006
Messages
601
Tokens
The SEC is way down this year. Bama will get rolled. Bama escaped a terrible S. FLA team, needed a miracle to beat an Auburn team that had been dominated by New Mexico St and got beat handily at home by Texas.

Playing Bama is an absolute gift to Michigan. This is not your older brothers Alabama teams.
 

Member
Joined
Feb 7, 2021
Messages
28
Tokens
L2KA - always appreciate your posts. Will you be posting some college bowl games ? Thanks, good luck to you sir
 

Member
Joined
Sep 6, 2014
Messages
15,694
Tokens
Bama rolled ? Huh maybe lose but mich has played imho a very good ohio st team with what 3 turnovers /the game was closer n decided late -after that they played a good ps team then nobody --bama played much better teams - no rolling in this one i doubt it
 

MLB

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Dec 14, 2010
Messages
2,544
Tokens
Michigan may win. I wouldn't think they would get rolled.

Harbaugh tends to play close games when matching up against similar talented teams. I do believe it's going to be low scoring as Michigan has a pretty good D. I expect a 20-17 game either way.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,946
Messages
13,575,479
Members
100,885
Latest member
333wincloud
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com