CFB ... week 2

[Kaboom]

Ha ha...no, Im a pitt season ticket holder

That's cool ... too funny ... a stay away game then ...

 

[rolltide]

look ahead spot for FSU with b2b conference games on deck

playing a non-conf game with a conf game on deck after beating a top 10 team early in the season teams are 1-16 ATS....

game number < 6 and po:rank < 11 and p:margin < 43 and p:W and n:C and not C and season > 2009 and points > 10 SU: 15-2-0 (28.88, 88.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 1-16-0 (-7.06, 5.9%) avg line: -35.9 +6: 7-9-1 (43.8%) -6: 1-16-0 (5.9%) +10: 12-5-0 (70.6%) -10: 0-17-0 (0.0%) O/U: 9-8-0 (-2.62, 52.9%) avg total: 58.3 +6: 4-13-0 (23.5%) -6: 12-5-0 (70.6%) +10: 3-14-0 (17.6%) -10: 13-4-0 (76.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 40.1 195.7 30.4 278.1 20.8 1.1 9.6 13.5 8.8 10.2 42.3 Opp 33.2 82.2 33.4 208.5 18.8 2.1 3.5 4.2 2.2 3.2 13.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 FLST SMIS home -31.0 53.0

 

[Kaboom]

RT ... using games with FBS schools only .....looking for teams which GAVE UP 600 or more yards in a game

in which the next week they are a 10 or more pt dog the next week ?

Much appreciated

 

[Kaboom]

Conn .... 80% Return Production...6th most in CFB

Ga St .... 31% Return Production ... 132nd out of 133 Teams

$10 Conn + 3

 

[Kaboom]

Rec 1-1 .. wagers $5 to $25 ...just a hobby

Iowa 20-1 SU as an away fav

Iowa 5 straight wins at Iowa St

Iowa St won 10-7 last year .... ZERO back to back wins for Iowa St in Series since 2011 and 2012

If State beats me ... tip the cap and move on

$10 Iowa ML - 180

Just Middling this game ... I don't trust either team regardless of trend

$10 Iowa ML - 180 and $10 Iowa St + 6 - 148

My Middles ....not counting on record...by the way

 

[Kaboom]

Unsure if info is 100% correct on my personal digging ... so just a heads up is all

I'm playing it like it is though

In 2022 .... Teams that gained 600 or more yards in a game

Next Game Trends

When they are a favorite between - 11.5 to - 19.5 next game following 600 or more yards gained

Over Total went 6-0 ....

Let's see how this trend plays out this year ?

Okla - 16 Over Smu .... after Okla gained 669 yards in week 1

Total is 70.5 .... going to be patient here before playing Over Total


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We also have another Trend with teams gaining 600 or more yards the week before

When the team is favored by - 1 to - 4 Points the following week after gaining 600 or more yards

in the previous week

Favorites went 4-0 Ats

Ucf Gained 723 Yards Week 1

Now they go on road vs a pissed off Boise St after getting crushed by Wash last week

Ucf Opened at -2.5 to now - 3.5 or - 4 in some places

Balls playing against Boise St here but ...with I wager ... I'll bite

Just playing ML myself

$10 Ucf ML - 155


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One more Trend with the yardage gained

Teams gaining 600 or more yards the week before

that are Underdogs the following week of between + 1.5 to + 6.5

went 0-2 ATS ( BUT BOTH OF THOSE DOGS LAST YEAR WERE ON THE ROAD )

And the Over went 2-0 on those games

Week 2 Cal ( Gained 669 Yards Week 1 )

they are HOME DOG of + 6.5

I'm going to stay away from this one and just monitor it for future games


If someone can confirm the following the info provided

let me know ... I did my best to make sure my numbers are legit , regardless....

I decided to cash out on this one ...a no play now

$10 Ucf ML - 155.

 

[Kaboom]

Updated Play List ... some of wagers odds have changed ...fyi

because I wager very little I do buy out of games before kickoff

if I change my mind ..... just an fyi

$7 Utsa - 9 - 140

$7 Syr Over 40.5 TT

$10 Syr- 21

$15 WM / Syr Over 55.5 - 130

$15 NC Over 38.5 TT

 

[Kaboom]

Utah
Barnes is likely to be Utah's starting quarterback in Saturday's matchup with Baylor, as Cam Rising (knee) is not expected to start, Josh Newman of The Salt Lake Tribune reports.

Toledo WR
Could sit out several weeks
Maddox (shoulder) could sit out multiple weeks, Kyle Rowland of The Blade reports.. 80 receptions last 2 yrs / big blow

 

[Kaboom]

Various Trends

Minn…Coach Fleck Off of a SU Win in which lost ATS

Rec … 10-3 SU / 10-0-3 ATS ….

Wow … still a bunch of pts to give EM though Minn - 20 or so

Pittsburgh …Coach Narduzzi off a Home Win …7-7 SU / 0-13-1 ATS

Tulsa .. Coach Wilson Off a game where he outgained his opp by 125 yards or more

Rec 3-9 SU / 1-11 ATS … Over / Under 9-3

Washington … Coach Deboer vs Non Con Opp ….5-0 SU / ATS

Opening Line Wash - 35 down to 34.5 …be patient for now if tailing

USC … Coach Riley .. With USC only

Off game where there was a combined total points of 70 or more … next game

Rec 6-1 SU / 4-3 ATS

Over / Under 7-0 …... I will be on Over here … but waiting

 

[HacheMan]

GL this weekend kaboom

 

[Kaboom]

GL this weekend kaboom

Thx Man / BOL bro

 

[MAGAking1]

Good luck this season Boomster.

 

[jstwinn7]

Good luck kaboom

 

[Kaboom]

Thx Maga / Jst .....BOL ty

 

[Kaboom]

Updated Plays / Changes can be made before kickoff ...just a hobby .. I wager much smaller amounts

I do play most of my leans ... $7 ... fyi

Middle now for me

$7 Utsa - 9 -1 40 .... $7 Texas St + 15.5

Lean Ark - 38

adding

$5 AF / SH ST Under 19.5 1st H

$7 Colo ML - 135

$7 Iowa St / Iowa Under 7.5 1st Q

$7 Tex A/M / Mia Fla U 10.5 1st Q

$7 Tx / Ala U 10.5 1st Q

$10 Smu / Okla Over 66 - 146

$10 Stan / Usc Over 68 - 140

$15 Tex St / Utsa Over 65 - 136 ...... both teams run quick offenses ... Tex St gave up 500 Yds to Baylor last week

$15 S ILL + 6.5

Updated Plays List ... action guy ... goal ... above.500


$5 AF / SH ST Under 19.5 1st H

$7 Colo ML - 135

$7 Syr Over 40.5 TT

$7 Iowa St / Iowa Under 7.5 1st Q

$7 Tex A/M / Mia Fla U 10.5 1st Q

$7 Tx / Ala U 10.5 1st Q

$10 Syr- 21

$10 Smu / Okla Over 66 - 146

$10 Stan / Usc Over 68 - 140

$15 WM / Syr Over 55.5 - 130

$15 NC Over 38.5 TT

$15 Tex St / Utsa Over 65 - 136 ...... both teams run quick offenses ... Tex St gave up 500 Yds to Baylor last week

$15 S ILL + 6.5

 

[Kaboom]

Adding

Fantasy Play

$15 Neb Sims Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

 

[Kaboom]

Lean

Port St + 28.5

 

[Kaboom]

Your call

Since 2015, favorites of 40 or more points have gone 77-108-2 (42%) ATS per

Early Saturday Chalk: Georgia -42.5 vs. Ball State Ohio State -42 vs. Youngstown St Penn St -41.5 vs. Delaware

Adding

Fantasy Play

$15 Neb Sims Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

Need a miracle here

 

[Kaboom]

Your call

Since 2015, favorites of 40 or more points have gone 77-108-2 (42%) ATS per

Early Saturday Chalk: Georgia -42.5 vs. Ball State Ohio State -42 vs. Youngstown St Penn St -41.5 vs. Delaware

Need a miracle here

Took him out yard short ... welcome to wagering on cfb

 

[Kaboom]

Updated Plays / Changes can be made before kickoff ...just a hobby .. I wager much smaller amounts

I do play most of my leans ... $7 ... fyi

Middle now for me

$7 Utsa - 9 -1 40 .... $7 Texas St + 15.5

Lean Ark - 38

adding

$5 AF / SH ST Under 19.5 1st H

$7 Colo ML - 135

$7 Iowa St / Iowa Under 7.5 1st Q

$7 Tex A/M / Mia Fla U 10.5 1st Q

$7 Tx / Ala U 10.5 1st Q

$10 Smu / Okla Over 66 - 146

$10 Stan / Usc Over 68 - 140

$15 Tex St / Utsa Over 65 - 136 ...... both teams run quick offenses ... Tex St gave up 500 Yds to Baylor last week

$15 S ILL + 6.5

Updated Plays List ... action guy ... goal ... above.500


$5 AF / SH ST Under 19.5 1st H

$7 Colo ML - 135

$7 Syr Over 40.5 TT

$7 Iowa St / Iowa Under 7.5 1st Q

$7 Tex A/M / Mia Fla U 10.5 1st Q

$7 Tx / Ala U 10.5 1st Q

$10 Syr- 21

$10 Smu / Okla Over 66 - 146

$10 Stan / Usc Over 68 - 140

$15 WM / Syr Over 55.5 - 130

$15 NC Over 38.5 TT

$15 Tex St / Utsa Over 65 - 136 ...... both teams run quick offenses ... Tex St gave up 500 Yds to Baylor last week

$15 S ILL + 6.5

$7 Colo ML - 135....................

$7 Iowa St / Iowa Under 7.5 1st Q.............

$7 Tex A/M / Mia Fla U 10.5 1st Q.................

$15 Tex St / Utsa Over 65 - 136..................marking as a loser ...