CFB ... week 2

[Kaboom]

2022… Using ZERO DII stats ….

If Div 1 school gain over 600 yards vs DII … we are not using in trends

1) Teams Gaining Over 600 or Higher Yards in a Regular Season Game Only

2) Next game they played was Home or Away Only .... No Neutral Sites

Favorites between - 5 to - 9

Record 3-3 SU / 1-5 ATS

 

[Kaboom]

Thx to Biz / true numbers below

When the team is favored by - 1 to - 4 Points the following week after gaining 600 or more yards

in the previous week

Away Favorites went 4-0 Ats

Ucf Gained 723 Yards Week 1

Now they go on road vs a pissed off Boise St after getting crushed by Wash last week

Ucf Opened at -2.5 to now - 3.5 or - 4 in some places

Balls playing against Boise St here but ...with I wager ... I'll bite

Just playing ML myself

$10 Ucf ML - 155

Chart below per Biz

View attachment 74984

Away Favs went just went 2-0 Ats in this spot .... I was wrong

for now keeping Ucf .... but may middle ..... depends on what I read up on the game

 

[Kaboom]

Watch Kansas Cover ? ..........ILLINOIS AT KANSAS -3 KANSAS is 0-8 (0.0%) ATS as Favorite since '18

 

[rolltide]

In 2022 .... Teams that gained 600 or more yards in a game

Next Game Trends

When they are a favorite between - 11.5 to - 19.5 next game following 600 or more yards gained

Over Total went 6-0 ....

I get 6-1 so very close.... I can extend this out and pull in more games

passing yards + p:rushing yards > 600 and season = 2022 and -19.5 <= line <= -11.5 SU: 7-0-0 (19.57, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-2-0 (1.50, 71.4%) avg line: -18.1 +6: 5-2-0 (71.4%) -6: 2-4-1 (33.3%) +10: 6-1-0 (85.7%) -10: 2-5-0 (28.6%) O/U: 6-1-0 (8.64, 85.7%) avg total: 58.4

same parameters but use -11.5 all the way up to -48 and got to 12-2 ou

passing yards + p:rushing yards > 600 and season = 2022 and -11 > line > -48.5
SU: 13-1-0 (17.21, 92.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-7-0 (-3.86, 50.0%) avg line: -21.1 +6: 8-6-0 (57.1%) -6: 4-9-1 (30.8%) +10: 9-5-0 (64.3%) -10: 4-10-0 (28.6%) O/U: 12-2-0 (10.43, 85.7%) avg total: 57.8

i would caution that it was a one year anomaly. previous seasons were basically 50/50

games that fit this week are SYR/WMU, OU/SMU, USC/STAN

 

[rolltide]

and when playing a team that allowed less than 547 total yards they went 10-0 ou by an avg of 2TD/g

passing yards + p:rushing yards > 600 and season > 2021 and opoassing yards + opo:rushing yards < 547 and -11 > line > -48.5 SU: 9-1-0 (18.90, 90.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-4-0 (-2.80, 60.0%) avg line: -21.7 +6: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -6: 4-5-1 (44.4%) +10: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -10: 4-6-0 (40.0%) O/U: 10-0-0 (13.70, 100.0%) avg total: 56.8 +6: 9-1-0 (90.0%) -6: 10-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.2 243.7 30.2 231.5 18.5 1.2 10.8 13.1 9.4 11.4 44.7 Opp 33.5 119.7 34.9 239.2 20.6 1.9 4.1 7.0 5.8 8.9 25.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 USC STAN home -29.0 69.5 Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 OKLA SMU home -15.5 68.5 Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 SYR WMCH home -23.5 56.0

 

[Kaboom]

I get 6-1 so very close.... I can extend this out and pull in more games

passing yards + p:rushing yards > 600 and season = 2022 and -19.5 <= line <= -11.5 SU: 7-0-0 (19.57, 100.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-2-0 (1.50, 71.4%) avg line: -18.1 +6: 5-2-0 (71.4%) -6: 2-4-1 (33.3%) +10: 6-1-0 (85.7%) -10: 2-5-0 (28.6%) O/U: 6-1-0 (8.64, 85.7%) avg total: 58.4

same parameters but use -11.5 all the way up to -48 and got to 12-2 ou

passing yards + p:rushing yards > 600 and season = 2022 and -11 > line > -48.5
SU: 13-1-0 (17.21, 92.9%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-7-0 (-3.86, 50.0%) avg line: -21.1 +6: 8-6-0 (57.1%) -6: 4-9-1 (30.8%) +10: 9-5-0 (64.3%) -10: 4-10-0 (28.6%) O/U: 12-2-0 (10.43, 85.7%) avg total: 57.8

i would caution that it was a one year anomaly. previous seasons were basically 50/50

games that fit this week are SYR/WMU, OU/SMU, USC/STAN

Thank Roll Tide much appreciated

 

[Kaboom]

and when playing a team that allowed less than 547 total yards they went 10-0 ou by an avg of 2TD/g

passing yards + p:rushing yards > 600 and season > 2021 and opoassing yards + opo:rushing yards < 547 and -11 > line > -48.5 SU: 9-1-0 (18.90, 90.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-4-0 (-2.80, 60.0%) avg line: -21.7 +6: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -6: 4-5-1 (44.4%) +10: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -10: 4-6-0 (40.0%) O/U: 10-0-0 (13.70, 100.0%) avg total: 56.8 +6: 9-1-0 (90.0%) -6: 10-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.2 243.7 30.2 231.5 18.5 1.2 10.8 13.1 9.4 11.4 44.7 Opp 33.5 119.7 34.9 239.2 20.6 1.9 4.1 7.0 5.8 8.9 25.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 USC STAN home -29.0 69.5 Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 OKLA SMU home -15.5 68.5 Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 SYR WMCH home -23.5 56.0

Wow .... thank you again ... hope we can cash a few bro

 

[Kaboom]

and when playing a team that allowed less than 547 total yards they went 10-0 ou by an avg of 2TD/g

passing yards + p:rushing yards > 600 and season > 2021 and opoassing yards + opo:rushing yards < 547 and -11 > line > -48.5 SU: 9-1-0 (18.90, 90.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 6-4-0 (-2.80, 60.0%) avg line: -21.7 +6: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -6: 4-5-1 (44.4%) +10: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -10: 4-6-0 (40.0%) O/U: 10-0-0 (13.70, 100.0%) avg total: 56.8 +6: 9-1-0 (90.0%) -6: 10-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 6-4-0 (60.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 41.2 243.7 30.2 231.5 18.5 1.2 10.8 13.1 9.4 11.4 44.7 Opp 33.5 119.7 34.9 239.2 20.6 1.9 4.1 7.0 5.8 8.9 25.8 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 USC STAN home -29.0 69.5 Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 OKLA SMU home -15.5 68.5 Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 SYR WMCH home -23.5 56.0

great work ... I'm a bit dense to use that data base ... always wanted to do it though ...lol

 

[Kaboom]

10-0 Trend in 2022 ... per the help of Roll Tide .....and when playing a team that allowed less than 547 total yards they went 10-0 ou by an avg of 2TD/g

Adding

$7 Syr Over 40.5 TT

$15 Wm / Syr Over 55.5 - 130

Back in a few hours

 

[rolltide]

great work ... I'm a bit dense to use that data base ... always wanted to do it though ...lol

yeah i don't know why they never made a user friendly version where you can type in the parameters you are interested in and then it codes it for you. instead it fully relies on the very small population of people like me and Biz that can translate your thoughts into the correct code.

definitely missing out on a large market of sports bettors. you're not dense for not knowing this language. it really isn't very friendly to maneuver especially CFB which has very few shortcuts. NFL is much easier to learn because it has so many shortcuts. instead of typing out the 600 yard parameter in NFL you just type "p:TY>600" (previous total yards over 600)

I put a query in the NEB/COL thread you might like...

 

[Kaboom]

yeah i don't know why they never made a user friendly version where you can type in the parameters you are interested in and then it codes it for you. instead it fully relies on the very small population of people like me and Biz that can translate your thoughts into the correct code.

definitely missing out on a large market of sports bettors. you're not dense for not knowing this language. it really isn't very friendly to maneuver especially CFB which has very few shortcuts. NFL is much easier to learn because it has so many shortcuts. instead of typing out the 600 yard parameter in NFL you just type "p:TY>600" (previous total yards over 600)

I put a query in the NEB/COL thread you might like...

Appreciate Roll ... thx

 

[Kaboom]

Home 'dogs went 7-4 ATS in week 1 with 4 outright wins...

There are 19 home 'dogs in week 2

 

[Kaboom]

Sandwich spot...too bad vs a shit team
Wyoming vs Portland St Pokes beat Texas Tech in a thriller... 35-33 in 2OT
First win over a ranked team since 2016. Storm the field.
Week 3... Pokes visit Texas This week...
Wyoming hosts a FCS team that just gave up 81 points

 

[Kaboom]

Some injury news

Injuries/Personnel News -Appalachian St QB Ryan Burger is expected to miss 3-4 weeks with a hand injury. Joey Aguilar will start this week vs North Carolina. -Auburn RB Jarquez Hunter is questionable this week. -Baylor QB Blake Shapen is expected to miss 2-3 week with a MCL injury. Sawyer Robertson will get the start vs Utah. -California QB Sam Jackson is questionable this week after getting hurt early in the game vs North Texas last week. -FAU RB Kobe Lewis has been upgraded to probable this week. -Georgia WR Ladd McConkey (back) is questionable this week. -James Madison QB Jordan McCloud will start this week. -Kansas QB Jalon Daniels is expected to play Friday vs Illinois. -Kentucky OL Kenneth Horsey (leg) is out indefinitely. -Michigan CB Will Johnson and Safety Rod Moore did not play vs East Carolina and are questionable vs UNLV this week. -North Carolina WR’s Nate McCollum and Tez Walker (eligibility) are questionable this week vs Appalachian St. -Ohio QB Kurtis Rourke is questionable this week vs Florida Atlantic. -South Carolina WR Antwane Wells is questionable this week. -Utah QB Cameron Rising is still listed as “day-to-day” after missing last week’s game vs Florida. RB Ja’Quinden Jackson and TE Brant Kuithe are also ?. -Virginia QB Tony Muskett (shoulder) is questionable vs James Madison.

 

[Kaboom]

Jack Coldiron​

Tight End
Miami (OH) Redhawks
OFS
Injury Lower Body
Est. Return 5/1/2024............ 24 receptions / 2022

 

[Kaboom]

3 PICKS PARLAY−196
UTSA, North Carolina, Coastal Carolina
OPEN
Wager: $15.00To Pay: $22.65

 

[rolltide]

Pitt at home after a home win...

team = PIT and H and p:HW and season > 2012 SU: 7-9-0 (-3.56, 43.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 0-15-1 (-12.81, 0.0%) avg line: -9.2 +6: 5-11-0 (31.2%) -6: 0-16-0 (0.0%) +10: 6-8-2 (42.9%) -10: 0-16-0 (0.0%) O/U: 10-5-1 (10.28, 66.7%) avg total: 54.7 +6: 9-7-0 (56.2%) -6: 13-3-0 (81.2%) +10: 8-8-0 (50.0%) -10: 13-3-0 (81.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.0 184.1 33.0 254.3 20.0 2.0 5.9 9.7 6.2 8.9 30.7 Opp 36.4 141.9 32.9 247.6 20.1 1.2 9.7 9.1 4.9 10.1 34.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 PIT CIN home -7.5 45.0

 

[Kaboom]

Pitt at home after a home win...

team = PIT and H and p:HW and season > 2012 SU: 7-9-0 (-3.56, 43.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 0-15-1 (-12.81, 0.0%) avg line: -9.2 +6: 5-11-0 (31.2%) -6: 0-16-0 (0.0%) +10: 6-8-2 (42.9%) -10: 0-16-0 (0.0%) O/U: 10-5-1 (10.28, 66.7%) avg total: 54.7 +6: 9-7-0 (56.2%) -6: 13-3-0 (81.2%) +10: 8-8-0 (50.0%) -10: 13-3-0 (81.2%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.0 184.1 33.0 254.3 20.0 2.0 5.9 9.7 6.2 8.9 30.7 Opp 36.4 141.9 32.9 247.6 20.1 1.2 9.7 9.1 4.9 10.1 34.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 09, 2023 box Saturday 2 2023 PIT CIN home -7.5 45.0

Thx RT ... now that's wild .... you playing Cin ?

 

[Kaboom]

Northern Illinois a huge Overtime Win at Boston College last weekend

now play in-state rival FCS Southern Illinois

Not sure if my angle will cash ....but I'm playing it

Southern Illinois ... last 2 Years vs In-State Rivals and FBS / FCS Top 25 schools

2021 Results

Lost to Big 12 School at Kansas St by only 8 pts ... 23-31

Won vs ILL ST 35-17

Won at W ILL 31-30

Won at FCS Rank # 2 South Dakota St 42-41

Following week after that huge upset ... vs FCS School Rank # 22 ... Won 31-28

2022

Won at Big Ten Northwestern 31-24

Won at ILL ST 19-14

Won vs W ILL 30-7

When line becomes available

I'm hoping for a N ILL letdown vs a seasoned In-State Rival school S ILL

who has 5 straight vs In-State Schools and 2 straight vs FCS Top 25 Schools

along with playing K ST very tough at their place

Play

S ILL + ?????

 

[rolltide]

Thx RT ... now that's wild .... you playing Cin ?

Ha ha...no, Im a pitt season ticket holder