Letdown spot here for the disappointing UTSA team after losing as a road fav at Houston
last weekend ......... but I'm a Glutton for Punishment
North Texas ...letdown spot after big upset at Baylor last weekend
I like the scenario
$7 Utsa - 9 - 140
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Both WM and Syr played cupcakes last weekend
but I feel overall this will be a down year for WM
$10 Syr- 21 ...now - 23.5
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last weekend ......... but I'm a Glutton for Punishment
North Texas ...letdown spot after big upset at Baylor last weekend
I like the scenario
$7 Utsa - 9 - 140
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Both WM and Syr played cupcakes last weekend
but I feel overall this will be a down year for WM
$10 Syr- 21 ...now - 23.5
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Unsure if info is 100% correct on my personal digging ... so just a heads up is all
I'm playing it like it is though
In 2022 .... Teams that gained 600 or more yards in a game
Next Game Trends
When they are a favorite between - 11.5 to - 19.5 next game following 600 or more yards gained
Over Total went 6-0 ....
Let's see how this trend plays out this year ?
Okla - 16 Over Smu .... after Okla gained 669 yards in week 1
Total is 70.5 .... going to be patient here before playing Over Total
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We also have another Trend with teams gaining 600 or more yards the week before
When the team is favored by - 1 to - 4 Points the following week after gaining 600 or more yards
in the previous week
Favorites went 4-0 Ats
Ucf Gained 723 Yards Week 1
Now they go on road vs a pissed off Boise St after getting crushed by Wash last week
Ucf Opened at -2.5 to now - 3.5 or - 4 in some places
Balls playing against Boise St here but ...with I wager ... I'll bite
Just playing ML myself
$10 Ucf ML - 155
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One more Trend with the yardage gained
Teams gaining 600 or more yards the week before
that are Underdogs the following week of between + 1.5 to + 6.5
went 0-2 ATS ( BUT BOTH OF THOSE DOGS LAST YEAR WERE ON THE ROAD )
And the Over went 2-0 on those games
Week 2 Cal ( Gained 669 Yards Week 1 )
they are HOME DOG of + 6.5
I'm going to stay away from this one and just monitor it for future games
If someone can confirm the following the info provided
let me know ... I did my best to make sure my numbers are legit , regardless....
I'm playing it like it is though
In 2022 .... Teams that gained 600 or more yards in a game
Next Game Trends
When they are a favorite between - 11.5 to - 19.5 next game following 600 or more yards gained
Over Total went 6-0 ....
Let's see how this trend plays out this year ?
Okla - 16 Over Smu .... after Okla gained 669 yards in week 1
Total is 70.5 .... going to be patient here before playing Over Total
..........................................................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................................................
We also have another Trend with teams gaining 600 or more yards the week before
When the team is favored by - 1 to - 4 Points the following week after gaining 600 or more yards
in the previous week
Favorites went 4-0 Ats
Ucf Gained 723 Yards Week 1
Now they go on road vs a pissed off Boise St after getting crushed by Wash last week
Ucf Opened at -2.5 to now - 3.5 or - 4 in some places
Balls playing against Boise St here but ...with I wager ... I'll bite
Just playing ML myself
$10 Ucf ML - 155
..........................................................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................................................
One more Trend with the yardage gained
Teams gaining 600 or more yards the week before
that are Underdogs the following week of between + 1.5 to + 6.5
went 0-2 ATS ( BUT BOTH OF THOSE DOGS LAST YEAR WERE ON THE ROAD )
And the Over went 2-0 on those games
Week 2 Cal ( Gained 669 Yards Week 1 )
they are HOME DOG of + 6.5
I'm going to stay away from this one and just monitor it for future games
If someone can confirm the following the info provided
let me know ... I did my best to make sure my numbers are legit , regardless....
Thx to Biz .... the true numbers
In 2022 .... Teams that gained 600 or more yards in a game
Next Game Trends
When they are a favorite between - 11.5 to - 19.5 next game following 600 or more yards gained
Over Total went 6-1 ....
Let's see how this trend plays out this year ?
Okla - 16 Over Smu .... after Okla gained 669 yards in week 1
Total is 70.5 .... going to be patient here before playing Over Total
In 2022 .... Teams that gained 600 or more yards in a game
Next Game Trends
When they are a favorite between - 11.5 to - 19.5 next game following 600 or more yards gained
Over Total went 6-1 ....
Let's see how this trend plays out this year ?
Okla - 16 Over Smu .... after Okla gained 669 yards in week 1
Total is 70.5 .... going to be patient here before playing Over Total
Thx to Biz / true numbers below
When the team is favored by - 1 to - 4 Points the following week after gaining 600 or more yards
in the previous week
Away Favorites went 4-0 Ats
Ucf Gained 723 Yards Week 1
Now they go on road vs a pissed off Boise St after getting crushed by Wash last week
Ucf Opened at -2.5 to now - 3.5 or - 4 in some places
Balls playing against Boise St here but ...with I wager ... I'll bite
Just playing ML myself
$10 Ucf ML - 155
Chart below per Biz
When the team is favored by - 1 to - 4 Points the following week after gaining 600 or more yards
in the previous week
Away Favorites went 4-0 Ats
Ucf Gained 723 Yards Week 1
Now they go on road vs a pissed off Boise St after getting crushed by Wash last week
Ucf Opened at -2.5 to now - 3.5 or - 4 in some places
Balls playing against Boise St here but ...with I wager ... I'll bite
Just playing ML myself
$10 Ucf ML - 155
Chart below per Biz
Good luck Kaboom
Last year you posted some great stuff about NFL week 1 coaches debuting with a new team. I used that info in my video and I thought it was great info.......and I gave you full credit for that info
I believe it was dogs were good and favs were not
Last year you posted some great stuff about NFL week 1 coaches debuting with a new team. I used that info in my video and I thought it was great info.......and I gave you full credit for that info
I believe it was dogs were good and favs were not
Appl St beat Gardner Webb 42-24 last weekend
but in that game new starter for Appl St ...went 18/24 with 5 Picks ...ouch
Appl St 43 Rushes for just 150 rush yds ... 3 Yards per rush .... Appl St ran the ball 55% / 37th most rush percentage
Last weekend ... South Carolina ran 31 times for - 2 Yards ... even though through the air NC could not stop Rattler for SC 30/39 for 353 Yds Passing
In 2022 ... these 2 teams met at Appl St ... 63-61 Final
For now ... I will just play $15 NC Over 38.5 TT
NC - 18 is a huge number .... so on the fence with NC with the game
but in that game new starter for Appl St ...went 18/24 with 5 Picks ...ouch
Appl St 43 Rushes for just 150 rush yds ... 3 Yards per rush .... Appl St ran the ball 55% / 37th most rush percentage
Last weekend ... South Carolina ran 31 times for - 2 Yards ... even though through the air NC could not stop Rattler for SC 30/39 for 353 Yds Passing
In 2022 ... these 2 teams met at Appl St ... 63-61 Final
For now ... I will just play $15 NC Over 38.5 TT
NC - 18 is a huge number .... so on the fence with NC with the game
Here is something to chew on;
In week #1 there were 7 teams that had secs per play less than 20 seconds.
South Florida--18.3 secs/play
Boston College--18.6
Tennessee--18.9
Texas Tech--19.0
Colorado St 19.2
TCU--19.3
Northwestern--19.8
--Every team listed above except Northwestern had their game go Over on game total.
--Every team listed above except Tennessee lost their game and lost ATS. Three were td or more favs.
--All except Tenn and Texas Tech ran their offenses last year at a slower rate of 23.5 secs per play or slower.
Source; https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/stat/seconds-per-play
Side Note; UNLV not listed on teamrankings for week #1 vs Bryant. Found box score and calculated just less than 19 secs per play under new coach Odom. Last yr they were 26 secs/play. Going with Michigan rolling here, maybe Over too.
In week #1 there were 7 teams that had secs per play less than 20 seconds.
South Florida--18.3 secs/play
Boston College--18.6
Tennessee--18.9
Texas Tech--19.0
Colorado St 19.2
TCU--19.3
Northwestern--19.8
--Every team listed above except Northwestern had their game go Over on game total.
--Every team listed above except Tennessee lost their game and lost ATS. Three were td or more favs.
--All except Tenn and Texas Tech ran their offenses last year at a slower rate of 23.5 secs per play or slower.
Source; https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/stat/seconds-per-play
Side Note; UNLV not listed on teamrankings for week #1 vs Bryant. Found box score and calculated just less than 19 secs per play under new coach Odom. Last yr they were 26 secs/play. Going with Michigan rolling here, maybe Over too.
2022
1) Teams Gaining Over 600 or Higher Yards in a Regular Season Game Only
2) Next game they played was Home or Away Only .... No Neutral Sites
3) They were a DOG of between + 1.5 to + 6.5
Record .... 0-4 Ats ... losing each game by 9.5 or more points over the spread
Example ....Purdue was + 1.5 ...but lost by 11
All 4 Games went OVER the Total ... 4-0 Over Total
If you like the trend above
One game so far qualifies as a Play Against Dog
so Favorite would be the side
Cal.... Gained 669 Yards vs N Texas
They are Home Dog of + 6.5 ... so Auburn the fav would be the side
and
Over in this spot is 4-0 with this trend ... the O/U is dropping
Opened 56.5 / now 54.5
For now ...unsure I'm playing any of the above
just posting for you guys
1) Teams Gaining Over 600 or Higher Yards in a Regular Season Game Only
2) Next game they played was Home or Away Only .... No Neutral Sites
3) They were a DOG of between + 1.5 to + 6.5
Record .... 0-4 Ats ... losing each game by 9.5 or more points over the spread
Example ....Purdue was + 1.5 ...but lost by 11
All 4 Games went OVER the Total ... 4-0 Over Total
If you like the trend above
One game so far qualifies as a Play Against Dog
so Favorite would be the side
Cal.... Gained 669 Yards vs N Texas
They are Home Dog of + 6.5 ... so Auburn the fav would be the side
and
Over in this spot is 4-0 with this trend ... the O/U is dropping
Opened 56.5 / now 54.5
For now ...unsure I'm playing any of the above
just posting for you guys
| 2022 |
| 1) Teams Gaining Over 600 or Higher Yards in a Regular Season Game Only |
| 2) Next game they played was Home or Away Only .... No Neutral Sites |
| 3) Favorites of between - 11.5 to - 19 Only … went 5-1 Over Total Next Game |
| also |
| Favorites between - 19.5 to - 29.5 …..went 1-5 SU / ATS …. And 5-1 Over the Total |
| So guys … an Over Trend here would be |
| 1) Teams Gaining Over 600 or Higher Yards in a Regular Season Game Only |
| 2) Next game they played was Home or Away Only .... No Neutral Sites |
| 3 ) Favorites - 11.5 to - 29.5 went 10-2 Over Total ….. Question is … does the trend last in 2023 ? |
| This weekend 1 Game qualifies ….if tailing the trend |
| Okla Opened - 17 now - 16 at Draftkings |
| Total Opened 70.5 / now 68.5 at Draftkings |
| We stay away from the side |
| Play would be Over Total if tailing …fyi …BOL |
