capping the nfl preseason

[BigLou+]

You stated in your post that when a team playing their second pre-season game is facing a team playing their first that "this is an advantage in most cases." (Most means way more then 50%, wouldn't you agree?) History shows that this is a losing proposition (after you subtract the vig) over the last six years. So why would you use that as a starting point?

Big Lou

 

[BigLou+]

Maybe I come across as too harsh but all I'm doing is researching what is said and sharing the results because too many times people post things here that just don't add up. If the systems presented earlier made sense then I wouldn't have said anything. Misinformation doesn't help anyone.

Big Lou

 

[tatehill2000]

Lou,,, I dont want to speak for Panther ,,, But dont you think he MEANT,,,,

"an ADVANTAGE as far as his other criteria combined into his picks,,,, NOT JUST 2nd Game alone"

I know your history here,,, and panthers....

Dont you think instead of Picking Him apart RIGHT off the BAT,,, Maybe you might ADD something to His INSIGHT,,,, You did Make the comment,,"everyone uses those type of criteria when making picks panther"

I never did,,,, I am not as ADEPT as you both at capping either,,,,

good Luck to all
Tater

 

[BigLou+]

I can't read peoples thoughts. I have to go by what they say.

As far as picking him apart, all I did was do some research and found the numbers did not support what he was saying. There is nothing wrong with that. Just because someone posts something it doesn't mean it's true. It's okay to think for yourself and research what people say. Maybe you take everything everyone says to you as gospel but I don't.

When I started seriously capping the NFL, I approached it by thinking I knew absolutely nothing about football. I thought that way so I would research EVERYTHING that I thought would help me in winning. When I see people post ideas, systems, etc. I go back to square one by researching what they say. You'd be surprised how many times the numbers don't add up.

It's nothing personal. It's just that I have to see if what they're saying makes sense and if history can back it up. If it does, then maybe I can use it in my capping. If it doesn't, then I will post the results for others to see. Information is no good if it is wrong.

Big Lou

 

[tatehill2000]

Lou,,, youa re right Info is no good if its wrong,,,

I guess the deeper message in my points was lost,,,, you know what Im saying though,,,,
anyway,,,,


good luck to all,,
tater

 

[bblight]

Tatehill et al, I think that BigLou is alright - it's just that he has a problem dealing with people in a diplomatic way - and I believe that he truely doesn't get it; kinda like Mister Spock resonding to Captain Kirks request for the time that "it's galactic 0270367925472.339" instead of just saying it's 7:00 PM.
Either that, or he's jealous of 'cappers with a good record that don't do handicapping the way BigLou thinks they should.

Which one do you think it is?

Good luck!

 

[tatehill2000]

Hmmmmmmm,,,,, Yes,,,, ahha,,,,,your probably right,,, ahhaha Ive spoken to Panther,,,

hes is the laid back captain Kirk that gets all the ladies,,,, ahhahhaah,,,

and Lou does seem to be the Mr. spock that never gets any action, and takes his Job WAY too Seriously,,,, hahahhahaha
thats teh BEST analogy,,, ahahhahahah
Tater

 

[ChadC]

God I need to stop coming to this forum. The wait is bad enough, this just makes it worse. Sundays just flat suck without football. I just got back from the "war for cheaper oil" not to long ago and this is all I can think about. I am taking some vacation time this fall to go see the Lions play the Cowboys and going to Chicago to see them play the Bears the following Sunday. No big deal, except I am in GERMANY!! God I am a freakin nut case.

 

[panther]

lou

I will try to get through your thick head one more time

the trend said that their was a big adv to a game under belt

Ipointed out a game to where it was not right to start with

panther

 

[BigLou+]

And the trend is 15-15-3 ATS over the past six seasons. How the hell is that a big advantage???

I'm not trying to be a prick here but I seriously don't understand the point you're trying to make. When I start researching an idea or theory and the results come out 50-50, I stop. Do you have specific numbers supporting what you're trying to say?

Big Lou

 

[panther]

lou do you research trends

not that it is 15-15 but why is it 15-15???

panther

 

[BigLou+]

You tell me because I am not getting your point.

Big Lou

 

[panther]

lou

if it is a big adv. why do teams lose???

what causes it????


what are the conditions???

are they at home or on the road???

where did they play the week before???

was the team playing their starters a full half instead of just 2 series like the team they were playing???

panther

 

[panther]

lou

I bet big money . I WANT TO KNOW ALL THE FACTS

I want to win every chance I get

do you understand yet???

panther

 

[panther]

come on lou

I want to know why you stay up my ass when most people that play like I do will not share???

panther

 

[BigLou+]

Then post the facts. What are the results of teams coming off a SU win as a favorite on a neutral site facing a team that hasn't played a game yet? Or a team that lost SU as an underdog on the road and are favored at home against a team playing their first game? If you have these numbers please share them with us. I like to see results that I can write down and research myself so please post your findings.

Big Lou

 

[panther]

do a little research pig

that why you were 36-37 last year to lazy

panther

 

[BigLou+]

As usual, your numbers are off.

Remember, you started this thread to share your handicapping methods with us. I'm asking you to post some concrete results of the methods you use in handicapping pre-season football. Do you have any to share with us?

Big Lou

 

[panther]

lou

better yet

research these 4 games and see what your leans would be straight up

mine are

miami

atlanta

jets

kc

panther

 

[panther]

lou

it is sad that you are just a 50% piss rock in the pond

panther