Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

plus money on both the ov/un 9 on cards game

btw

 

[bet2win.us]

piching change in Texas new pitcher is Willie Eyre

 

[jacksonjohn]

Are the double negative plays so far ATL and OAK? Just checking my work.

 

[pops69]

piching change in Texas new pitcher is Willie Eyre

fuck me, doubt any time to run the numbers on this one

p.s. mlb.com has shit on him so standard 4.50 and 1.250 whip

 

[twjd]

Pops, I'm out town and don't have my laptop, if you some free time can you run me a table on Cleveland day games. I remember some good under numbers, just can't remember it was for home or road games?

 

[pops69]

Pops, I'm out town and don't have my laptop, if you some free time can you run me a table on Cleveland day games. I remember some good under numbers, just can't remember it was for home or road games?

the clev ov/un is more related to home games vs away games

guys. with respect to TOR game i'm keepin it at 9- open and close. doubt anyone got the game on an over and under plan. i tried everywhere to bet the over but none had the correct new listed pitchers or was off the board. cris is showing it at 9, but i dont think they had the correct pitchers either

btw

 

[pops69]

Are the double negative plays so far ATL and OAK? Just checking my work.

suggest you look at the data for the atl game, right now it's a full 1 point move and does not fall into the same cat at the minus .5

 

[Suedehead]

pops looks like the master shows the wrong pitcher on the SFO game. Should be Misch.

 

[cd329]

suggest you look at the data for the atl game, right now it's a full 1 point move and does not fall into the same cat at the minus .5

Pops
is that because its a 1 run move instead of 1/2 run move? cause i see minus on the data and a minus move
thanks

 

[teazeman]

anyone other than myself fading this lm in oak & laa?

 

[cd329]

anyone other than myself fading this lm in oak & laa?

gotta fade it with you, good luck to us

 

[bet2win.us]

my 2 pennies

Mets ov

GL

 

[pops69]

pops looks like the master shows the wrong pitcher on the SFO game. Should be Misch.

tks, i'll make the change. this time of year which trades and pull up's etc is a real pain in the ass

taking a couple hour break, very slow right now, so will relax until about 3pm

later all

 

[pops69]

fyi, with the left hand pitcher in sd and sfo game the line diff goes to zero, not putting out a revised pdws and wa nps

later

 

[EX-BALLPLAYER]

Hey Fella's, Made some nice change while driving from LA to Mich this week. Fading the total moves have been easy $.

Anyone hitting the fights tonight?

 

[pops69]

Hey Fella's, Made some nice change while driving from LA to Mich this week. Fading the total moves have been easy $.

Anyone hitting the fights tonight?

those are some very light weight classes, not sure if anyone good here follows that low, i'll make a couple of call, but i doubt it

yep, LM fades do well in almost every sport. no diff here

gl

 

[Hamilton]

Pops, I know it will get a little busy here so no huge rush on the reply, but here is your quote from last night about mbb:

"nice day today, and ton of fun tonight . mbb go a case of the hic cups for about 2 hours. we had about 20 home remadies to try and get rid of them w/o success

remind me to give you his thoughs on the ws and which teams did the best for trades. too fucked up tonight but i wrote it down so i wont forget"

Also, what consists of the "avg" to determine the M or P? For example, is it "avg" for all games, "avg" home for H team and away for V team, is it "avg" day or night if a D or N game? Just curious.

Thanks.

Ham

 

[pops69]

Pops, I know it will get a little busy here so no huge rush on the reply, but here is your quote from last night about mbb:

"nice day today, and ton of fun tonight . mbb go a case of the hic cups for about 2 hours. we had about 20 home remadies to try and get rid of them w/o success

remind me to give you his thoughs on the ws and which teams did the best for trades. too fucked up tonight but i wrote it down so i wont forget"

Also, what consists of the "avg" to determine the M or P? For example, is it "avg" for all games, "avg" home for H team and away for V team, is it "avg" day or night if a D or N game? Just curious.

Thanks.

Ham

scoring avg come directly off of the master data and the wa nps summary, the following col's (CR+CU+CX+DA)/4

highly technical but it works

 

[Born2Run]

Awesome spreadsheet pops. I will definitely pitch in and help with the data in the future.

One question. I was looking at the BAL-TAM game and in the last 2 years when Meriwether has been behind the plate with either of these 2 teams involved the record is 0o-7u-1p with the average score 6.6.One of those games was BAL@TAM last year with Kazmir pitching the u/o was 8 and the game ended with 6 runs, 4 walks and 21 strikeouts. The o/u tonight is 9 and really hasn't moved much. Looks too easy. Am I giving these stats too much weight?

 

[jacksonjohn]

anyone other than myself fading this lm in oak & laa?

I'm all over it too.