What games do you like them in?
Their first 6 games aren't bad, they could go 2-1 to start out the year with @ATL, GB, @ SF. They follow it up with BYE, Chi, @ Minn. Do you see them any better than 3-2? I think that is optimistic, 2-3 is much more likely.
Take a look at after Week 7...
@ Hou
Wash
@ Chi
Jax
@ Car
TB
Tenn
Minn
@ Indy
NO
@ GB
They "could" go 1-10, 2-9, or 3-8 in that stretch. @ Chi in week 9 is probably their best bet for a win, maybe beating Minny at home in week 14? Washington in week 8?
My point is that the later part of their schedule is brutal. The NFCN plays the NFCS ( 2nd best in NFC) and the AFCS ( best in afc).
The Lions D sucks ( I agree the secondary should be better), but the offense could take a step back without Martz throwing the ball. They could be more balanced and better too, but the Lions are always next years "sleeper team" with those receivers. I don't expect much from them, and especially with that schedule.
I peg them about 5-11 or 4-12.