Pags,
I second that. I feel that it's not always about who dominates the game, because a team could always get a backdoor. Bottom line is... you try to take a game that you think has the best chance of winning SU (if a dog) and covering by more than a backdoor (if a favorite). Stats do tell a very good story of a team. For instance, when Vandy played UGA, everyone was saying Vandy was last against the run and blah blah blah. Little did everyone look at UGA's stats on turnovers and penalties. If you turnover the ball that many times in a game and the opponent takes care of their ball, who do you think will cover? Well coached ball clubs that execute well (T.O. margin & penalties) will most times cover games. It also helps if you have a good QB. But 3rd down conversions also play a big factor. I could spend hours on this subject.
If you ask me... AF wins this SU!
as always...aloha.
hno:
