here it is
here is something i wrote a while back
think what is being overlooked is not only the driving distance but also the club she will have to use from say 150 yards
even the players you mentioned which are around 10 yards longer off the tee than her will be hitting an 8 iron or at most a 7 from 150. she in turn will have to hit a 6 in most cases
all i am saying its a heck of alot easier to hit it close with a shoret club and this added length withj the irons that the men enjoy will even be compounded the longer the distance from the hole.
there is just not enough clubhead speed generated by her swing to hit an 8 iron 150 or a 4 iron 200.
the par 3 will be especially tough on her with them measuring
246,192, 178, 188
which means a driver, and 3 long irons where the men will be hitting a long iron and 3 middle irons
take a look at some of the par 4 at colonial and subtact her average drive and look at the didtance she has left
for example
476 yard minus 265 leaves 211
470 yard leaves 205
427yards leaves 162
433 yards leaves 168
457 yards leaves 192
430 leaves leaves 165
427 yards leaves 162
that is some lond yardage into the greens and as you said she has a great short game but having to use it like she will have to will put alot of pressure on it
imo i just dont see where she will have many chances to make birdies and even if she plays well and makes alot of pars , the cut will be tough.
historically 1-3 over par makes it here and that will be very tough .
i see about 148 as her two round total
people keep talking about this course being shorter
which is true for a pga tournament..
but if you look at the lpga tournaments, the courses they play are in the 6100 to 6400 yard range
for example the womens open was played at colonial in 1991 at a yardage of 6340 yards and a par of 71
and won with a score of 283 which is three over the par the men play the course to.
the men play the course at 7080 yards and a par of 70
600 yards is one heck of alot
she will , imo, have a very tough time making cut
links for your info
http://golfonline.comfluent.net/cgi.pan$results&lpga91&U.S._Women's_Open&lpga?golfstats
http://www.pgatour.com/tournaments/r021/course.html
pavin has a great record here 2 wins and 9 top 10s in last 19 years
i like pavin
i also remember how anika choked like a dog in the big tv match with tiger and carrie webb a couple years ago
i think she misses cut
gl