Broncos NEW MLB Thread - 2009

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Yesterday, MJ posted a great post in his thread bout ML v. RL. Really good stuff. What I like most about the RL plays is you are not laying as much so less of your BR is exposed.

BTW, and I think this is amazing, of all of our losses, our team lost outright. It wasn't a loss because our RL pick only won by one run, they just lost the game. So take the money we saved into account by playing the RL instead of ML and our profits seem even larger.

I know he did (and I have posted there as well), however since the claim that bookies assume 70% will cover the spread made in the article isn't backed with evidence I presume it's more of a guess.Therfore I only play the RL for the part where the teams beat it more often than average (so over 72.5%) and so my cutoff-line for the ML vs RL is -140 or higher. Since most lines I got yesterday were slightly under that line I took the ML's. It would be interesting to see whether the small dogs (-140 and lower) accuscore selects will cover the spread over 72.5% as well; since it seems fairly accurate so far I guess I'll play those smaller favs on the RL as well for the time being.

And yes, indeed it's somewhat of a safer feel maybe to have less of your bankroll at stake per game :)
 

snappin necks & cashin checks
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Shouldn't bet a lot on parlays. For me $100 is .3 units. You still had an amazing ROI with the hit. Always easy to say you should've bet more on a parlay when it hits.
I had the exact same feeling. My usual bets are $50/100 per game so my parlays are either .2 or .4 units. I had placed a few small $50 parlays and hit them recently but with something so big I figured why throw extra $$ at something that's a 200 to 1 shot in my case. And in this case...going small MORE than paid off! I'll never be one to complain about what I won last night. Even before the parlay last night had me well back in the plus money on baseball for the year so the rest is just icing on the cake. It will pretty much be set aside for the Vegas trip w/ the wife and friends this fall.
 

New member
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Lol, i made so much money last night i don't think i could say the amount and get everyone to believe me

Can we please start the Pablo Sandoval fan club?!?!?!
 

Leonard Washington
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Great job. Will have to admit though, got very lucky with the
Giants. With 2 out in bottom of 9th, it was hard to think of a win.
 

RX - Prescription Required
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Bronc: Thanks for your efforts and for sharing your work with us.

Great night. Sure some luck was involved, but we've had some bad luck losses as well.

Appreciate ya!
 

Go Blue!!
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Great job. Will have to admit though, got very lucky with the
Giants. With 2 out in bottom of 9th, it was hard to think of a win.

Of course it was luck. Had to have less than 1% chance to win that game given the situation. You need some luck to win a big parlay though.
 

Go Blue!!
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5/13 Plays:

Boston RL +140
Minnesota RL +125
Texas RL +135

And of course, $100 parlay on all of them.

FYI, Houston and St. Louis are literally tenths of a point away from being plays, but they do not officially qualify and I personally will not play them. Just in case anyone here is interested, I figured I'd let you know.
 

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Thanks guys! I am so frigging excited right now its ridiculous. I've never won this much in one day in my life. It's actually just about $17K for the day. I had a three teamer that hit for about $2K as well.

Get prepared to be backed off by the Cannery Sports Book.
 

Go Blue!!
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Fyi

Just so everyone knows, the law firm I work for has cracked down on internet useage. As a result, I no longer have access to this forum during the day. With that...

All Plays Will Be Posted by 7:30am pacific time. This will be the new regular time at which all plays for the day will be posted. The plays really do not change much between then and 11. There are some changes at times, but the changes work both ways so I'm not really concerned.

Again, 7:30ish am pacific is the new post time for the entire day's card. Thanks for understanding.
 

New member
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with the picks that you are posting, i'll wake up at 4am if i have to. thanks again and good luck!
 

RX Expert
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What a shitty way to end a great run. Looks like 0-3 today.:ohno:

NO SIR.... walk off grandslam by the twins!!!!!!!!!!! covered the RL.... 2 nights in a row for you... i got it tonight!!! Incredible.... i already wrote it off as a loss, had to change it....
 

Go Blue!!
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Well that's pretty cool. Yes a losing night, but not as bad as i thought. 1-2 on the night, losing 2.25 units.

Old System:

62-54 (+17.10 units)


New System:

ML Favs: 0-0
ML Dogs: 1-1 (+.60)
RL Favs: 12-9 (+24.75)
Totals: 4-0 (+12.00)

Total: 17-10 (+37.35 units)


Grand Total: 79-64 (+54.45)

Be back in the morning with tomorrow's full card.
 

New member
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No, Twins (-1.5) is +180.

Tigers (-1.5) is +155.

He means Twins - as he stated.
 

New member
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my book is screwed up and has twins -110 and +1.5 MINUS 170, how strange, has to be an error, they have the tigers even -1.5 PLUS 150. Sorry for the confusion guys! May have to be a no play for me if they dont fix that, damn locals.
 

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