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They who lose today may win tomorrow
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Tim Hague - 210 vs Joey Beltran + 200

- 110 opener on Hague was just insane , like Alvarez over Neer opened at - 120 as well on bookmaker . Got Hague in few parlays with other sports . Beltran would be cut after his debut if not for Gracie turning out to be a total can with zero cardio who didn't finish Beltran like he was supposed to .
Hague has huge size , reach and weight advantage . Beltran is a fat LHW guy with very limited skills . I think Hague is more well rounded and will either pound Beltran out or wear him down on the ground with his weight and take a decision .

Johny Hendricks - 370 vs TJ Grant + 350

No bet , Hendricks went to a decision with a similar opponent last time . I don't want to wait 15 + minutes and hope he isn't caught in a submission . Grant is a decent fighter but realistically he loses this by being stuck on the bottom or maybe even knocked out by Hendricks's wild but power punches .

Tom Lawlor - 500 vs Joe Doerksen + 465


Lawlor in the parlay from yesterday . Doerksen has looked like a finished fighter last few years against unknown opponents . He struggles against wrestlers and people who punch him in the face , Lawlor will do just that and sooner or later Joe gets stopped , maybe even by tapping to strikes like he did against Matt Hughes back in the day .


Yoshiyuki Yoshida - 255 vs Mike Guymon + 248

No bet , odds look about right maybe even slight value on Guymon who could grind out a decision here by being the better wrestler and stronger man . Realistically tho Yoshida finishes this by submission , Guymon hasn't faced anybody and UFC wants Yoshida to pick up a win after another brutal loss he suffered against A.Johnson . They threw a bone at him after the Koscheck loss and here is another one , he just has to pick it up and get it done .


Marcus Davis - 435 vs Jonathan Goulet + 385

Put it like that - if Marcus Davis loses he is done with MMA or atleast UFC . Goulet's chin is CHINA , knocked out in 11 , 12 and 33 seconds before this is a perfect opponent for Davis to look good against . Good parlay material as Goulet doesn't really have anything to offer here . + 950 on quickest KO of the night is also decent value . All it takes is one solid punch and lights go out for Goulet , if Davis lands early it's pretty much game over .



Looking at the main card now .
 

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good write up, i totally agree that the undercard really dont have any great bets. jmac scares me abit but his price is solid. the main card for once seems to have the best bets on it, curious to see who you have. i have 3 main card and still not sure on Main Event
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
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Sat 5/8 11:15PM

UFC 113 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada - PPV


josh-koscheck-paul-daley.JPG

J
osh Koscheck vs Paul Daley


My pick is Josh Koscheck to win

Odds :- 225

Where : williamhill

225 euros to win 100 euros ( going to check exchange rate when updating stats )



I think Koscheck will shut up Daley here but do it in a smart way ... take him down , pound him a bit and then choke him out or maybe TKO . Daley never impressed me , Kampmann was able to stay on the feet totally rocked , IF Koscheck gets rocked before putting him down I think he can grab Daley kind of like Cain did against Kongo and still take him down taking the time to recover . Dustin H. and Kampmann don't have the best wrestling and were forced to stand with Daley . Dustin has very bad stand up and Kampmann also leaves openings , Marquardt nailed him in similar way not so long ago .
Koscheck is much more well rounded than Daley and I think it will show tonight .


Kimbo Slice + 100 vs Matt Mitrione - 101

No bet , I don't even know how legit this fight is not to speak about holes in both fighters's game . Mitrione might lay out Kimbo within a minute or maybe Kimbo has improved his takedowns to the point where he can take Mitrione down early and wear him out . I don't rate Kimbo at all but I think people are overrating Mitrione even more .
I will stick with my play Kimbo not to win in rd 1 for the parlay , otherwise I don't see much value here . How ''legit'' is this fight ? UFC needs Kimbo to win this , just like they did with Anderson Silva vs Forrest . This is an opponent Kimbo can def beat .

Patrick Cote + 104 vs Alan Belcher - 105

Tough fight to call , if Cote didn't come off such a layoff from a bad injury I would LOVE him at those odds against vulnerable opponent like Belcher . Belcher is either solid or very cold , he has more technical overall stand up but Cote's chin is great and he has got power , Belcher has crumbled before enough times for me to think Cote can hurt him . Looks like a fight to avoid , if Belcher comes hard early I can see Cote knocking him out , if it lasts a while I think Belcher could use his kicks and maybe win a decision staying away from Cote's punches .

Sam Stout - 190 vs Jeremy Stephens + 190

This has fight of the night written all over it and the odds took a big drop . Either this one or Cote vs Belcher got good chances to win the FOTN bonus . I think Stout will edge this by decision but I wouldn't be surprised if he stopped Stephens in the last round when Jeremy trys to finish strong and leaves openings .
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
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That was brutal loss on MacDonald without a fight . quick one 1 to win 1.02 on + 102 Cote
 

They who lose today may win tomorrow
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Rumors everywhere Shogun injured his knee , I got no clue .


PS : what the hell Cote ... way to blow the fight , spiked on his head and choked out .
Parlay lost , Lawlor gets submitted after having Doerksen rocked and dropped , unreal .
 

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Who should I take for the remaining fights? I'm not the type to complain about a loss- I just want some action. Any help is appreciated. Who is Shogun by the way? I'm only seeing Rua vs Machida and Daley vs Koscheck?
 

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Who should I take for the remaining fights? I'm not the type to complain about a loss- I just want some action. Any help is appreciated. Who is Shogun by the way? I'm only seeing Rua vs Machida and Daley vs Koscheck?

Just Koscheck for me , I think like 1 or 2 favorites have won on the whole card , must be something in the canadian air .
 

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They who lose today may win tomorrow
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This was crazy stuff but not surprised the way they been talking to each other the last few weeks . Kos and King Mo also hate each other lmao
 

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