Boxslayer's MLB Wednesday (89-72, +42.56)

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Murder is like a workout plan gotta keep a fat bur
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2* Cincinatti Reds -140
1* Cincinatti Reds +140

Should be the last play of the night and another solid play, IMO.

Reds have consistently counted on Matt Belisle this year to put them back on track and he has delivered as the Reds are 4-1 when Belisle's starts after a Reds Loss. He will try to have them bounceback tonight, and they will face an ideal pitcher to do so.

Woody Williams is one of the more over-the-hill has-been pitchers in the league. He's 0-5 this season with a poor ERA. He is the exact type of pitcher that this left-handed Reds lineup feasts off of: right-handed pitchers that throw right over the top. In other words, always bet the Reds at home vs. an average MLB RHP. Reds are one of the best home teams in baseball slugging .448 with 25 HRs at home and .439 with 33 bombs vs. RHP's. Astros have had trouble closing out series' as they are 1-7 in game 3's so far.

Reds are 4-2 this season when Belisle starts, Belisle himself is 3-1, with a respectable ERA. He has been even better at night games, as his sole day game appaearance accounts for his lone loss and killed his ERA.

Marquez umpires tonight and he is 6-0 in favor of the home team, and 8-2 for the opponent when umpiring against Houston.
Haha how the hell did you find those stats?
 

UF. Champion U.
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Once a play becomes a play, I dig for any advantage I can find that I feel might put the game into a higher win percentage bracket.

If it was 3-0, or 4-1, maybe not so much worth noting. But it seems like the Astros have issues with this umpire behind home plate.

Covers.com has trends on umpires and the like.
 

UF. Champion U.
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Looks like the first bad losing night in over a week

Couple close losses....back tomorrow
 

Buried Alive after week 2 of the NFL
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May 12, 2006
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Box, hope you're by the computer right now...Thoughts on Angels tonight...Seems like a 2*ML, 1* RL
 

Buried Alive after week 2 of the NFL
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May 12, 2006
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Thanks. I just played it. Had time to cap this one, and pulled the trigger. Time for the Tribe to lose. I love how ESPN keeps throwing that 17-4 stat out there which is Indians vs. Righties.
 

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