October 29th
Texas State -4 (-110), 1*
There’s a chance this line could go down to 3.5 if meaningful people bet Louisiana Lafayette. I don’t see any way this line goes back to 3. I will bet it now knowing it’s just as likely this line could continue to go up. Whether the line is 3.5, 4 or 4.5, I would only bet Texas State. I was high on them before the season started and they can still achieve their goals. While they are 4-3 overall, they are 2-0 in the Sun Belt and Louisiana is the only other undefeated team in terms of conference record. Texas State being lined as four point favorites against a team who is 6-1 should tell you a lot. I bet Texas State over 8 and Texas State to win the Sun Belt before the season started. If they beat Louisiana Lafayette and Louisiana Monroe the next two weeks, both of those bets are well within reach. This is the point of the season where Texas State needs to show if they are for real or not and I think they are for real. GL