Tom Freese
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
May 7 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks
Reason: Philadelphia starter Freddy Garcia has not pitched past the fifth inning in any of his 4 starts this year and that doesn't bode well for a bullpen that is already been over worked. Arizona starter Doug Davis is 3-0 in his home team starts this year. Play On Arizona (Davis vs. Garcia)
Boxer Sports ( 10-0 last 10 / 75-54 YTD) Paid confirmed
2* Dodgers/Penny -118
2* Brewers/Capuana -1.5 +101
2* Mets Under 9 -110 /zito-perez
OTL'S FREE PICK OF THE DAY
111-56-6 the last 173 plays - 67%!
54-32-2 the last 88 plays - 64%!
May 7 - Washington / Milwaukee over 9
Mlb
4. St. L -103 Action
3. Sf Un 8.5
Arena
4. Colo +10.5
Nhl
3. San Jose Un 5
BIG AL PAID PLAYS
At 7:05 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Florida Marlins. Brad Penny is at it again. He is putting up the kind of numbers that could land him a job as the starting pitcher for the National League in this year's All Star Game, just like he did in 2006. The question is, if that happens, will he completely fall apart in the 2nd half again? Other than fatigue, there is really no way to explain the phenomenon of a pitcher who performs differently in the first and second halves of the season. But it does happen, and it actually happens quite a bit. Last year, Penny was 10-2 with a 2.91 ERA prior to the All Star break. This season, although it is barely one month old, Penny is actually out-performing those numbers so far (3-0 with a 1.64 ERA). And it would appear almost certain that the Dodgers are a better overall team than they were in 2006 as well. On the road, Penny has only given up 2 ER in 14 innings so far. Florida's 24 year old part-time righthanded starter from last year, Ricky Nolasco has just come back from elbow problems and earned his second start after pitching well against the Mets on May 1. But there is a big difference between the pitcher's park that is Shea and the hitter-friendly Dolphins Stadium, so this second start against a first place team and an All Star pitcher is a lot to ask. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NL Total of the Week or my NBA Blowout Winner.
At 7:10 pm our NL Total of the Week is on the Houston Astros and Cincinnati Reds 'over' the total. With the defending World Series champion St. Louis Cardinals reeling with a 12-17 record and in last place in the NL Central, that division is totally up for grabs, unless of course the Brewers continue their juggernaut and just run away with it. But for now anyway, the fact that the Cards, who have pretty much dominated this division in the past several years, seem to be a mere shell of the team they were must be a huge motivating factor for both of these teams who begin a critical 4 game series at the Great America Ballpark. And with that motivation will probably come some free-swinging bats, as is usually the case when these two squads meet up in Cincy. In the last eight games played here between the Reds and Astros, a total of 77 runs have been scored or an average of over 9 1/2 runs per game. And in 6 of those 8 games, there have been a total of 9 or more runs scored. If you're a believer that Reds' righthander Kyle Lohse can turn his less-than-stellar career around at age 29 by changing leagues and going from the Twins to the Reds, then good for you. I, for one, am not sold. In his first 4 starts, Lohse fans had cause to be optimistic, but his last 2 starts have seen him begin to revert back to his old form, which is anything but good. I'm expecting that trend to continue against the hot bats of the Astros. Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NL Side Winner or my NBA Blowout tonight.
Russ Culver -13.37u ytd
Rockies +123
Phillies -104
Mariners +153
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
May 7 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks
Reason: Philadelphia starter Freddy Garcia has not pitched past the fifth inning in any of his 4 starts this year and that doesn't bode well for a bullpen that is already been over worked. Arizona starter Doug Davis is 3-0 in his home team starts this year. Play On Arizona (Davis vs. Garcia)
Boxer Sports ( 10-0 last 10 / 75-54 YTD) Paid confirmed
2* Dodgers/Penny -118
2* Brewers/Capuana -1.5 +101
2* Mets Under 9 -110 /zito-perez
OTL'S FREE PICK OF THE DAY
111-56-6 the last 173 plays - 67%!
54-32-2 the last 88 plays - 64%!
May 7 - Washington / Milwaukee over 9
Mlb
4. St. L -103 Action
3. Sf Un 8.5
Arena
4. Colo +10.5
Nhl
3. San Jose Un 5
BIG AL PAID PLAYS
At 7:05 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Florida Marlins. Brad Penny is at it again. He is putting up the kind of numbers that could land him a job as the starting pitcher for the National League in this year's All Star Game, just like he did in 2006. The question is, if that happens, will he completely fall apart in the 2nd half again? Other than fatigue, there is really no way to explain the phenomenon of a pitcher who performs differently in the first and second halves of the season. But it does happen, and it actually happens quite a bit. Last year, Penny was 10-2 with a 2.91 ERA prior to the All Star break. This season, although it is barely one month old, Penny is actually out-performing those numbers so far (3-0 with a 1.64 ERA). And it would appear almost certain that the Dodgers are a better overall team than they were in 2006 as well. On the road, Penny has only given up 2 ER in 14 innings so far. Florida's 24 year old part-time righthanded starter from last year, Ricky Nolasco has just come back from elbow problems and earned his second start after pitching well against the Mets on May 1. But there is a big difference between the pitcher's park that is Shea and the hitter-friendly Dolphins Stadium, so this second start against a first place team and an All Star pitcher is a lot to ask. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NL Total of the Week or my NBA Blowout Winner.
At 7:10 pm our NL Total of the Week is on the Houston Astros and Cincinnati Reds 'over' the total. With the defending World Series champion St. Louis Cardinals reeling with a 12-17 record and in last place in the NL Central, that division is totally up for grabs, unless of course the Brewers continue their juggernaut and just run away with it. But for now anyway, the fact that the Cards, who have pretty much dominated this division in the past several years, seem to be a mere shell of the team they were must be a huge motivating factor for both of these teams who begin a critical 4 game series at the Great America Ballpark. And with that motivation will probably come some free-swinging bats, as is usually the case when these two squads meet up in Cincy. In the last eight games played here between the Reds and Astros, a total of 77 runs have been scored or an average of over 9 1/2 runs per game. And in 6 of those 8 games, there have been a total of 9 or more runs scored. If you're a believer that Reds' righthander Kyle Lohse can turn his less-than-stellar career around at age 29 by changing leagues and going from the Twins to the Reds, then good for you. I, for one, am not sold. In his first 4 starts, Lohse fans had cause to be optimistic, but his last 2 starts have seen him begin to revert back to his old form, which is anything but good. I'm expecting that trend to continue against the hot bats of the Astros. Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NL Side Winner or my NBA Blowout tonight.
Russ Culver -13.37u ytd
Rockies +123
Phillies -104
Mariners +153