Bookie Buster Monday Service Plays, SDS Spreadsheets

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Tom Freese

Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
May 7 2007 9:40PM

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks

Reason: Philadelphia starter Freddy Garcia has not pitched past the fifth inning in any of his 4 starts this year and that doesn't bode well for a bullpen that is already been over worked. Arizona starter Doug Davis is 3-0 in his home team starts this year. Play On Arizona (Davis vs. Garcia)


Boxer Sports ( 10-0 last 10 / 75-54 YTD) Paid confirmed

2* Dodgers/Penny -118
2* Brewers/Capuana -1.5 +101
2* Mets Under 9 -110 /zito-perez


OTL'S FREE PICK OF THE DAY

111-56-6 the last 173 plays - 67%!
54-32-2 the last 88 plays - 64%!
May 7 - Washington / Milwaukee over 9




Mlb
4. St. L -103 Action
3. Sf Un 8.5

Arena
4. Colo +10.5

Nhl
3. San Jose Un 5


BIG AL PAID PLAYS

At 7:05 pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Florida Marlins. Brad Penny is at it again. He is putting up the kind of numbers that could land him a job as the starting pitcher for the National League in this year's All Star Game, just like he did in 2006. The question is, if that happens, will he completely fall apart in the 2nd half again? Other than fatigue, there is really no way to explain the phenomenon of a pitcher who performs differently in the first and second halves of the season. But it does happen, and it actually happens quite a bit. Last year, Penny was 10-2 with a 2.91 ERA prior to the All Star break. This season, although it is barely one month old, Penny is actually out-performing those numbers so far (3-0 with a 1.64 ERA). And it would appear almost certain that the Dodgers are a better overall team than they were in 2006 as well. On the road, Penny has only given up 2 ER in 14 innings so far. Florida's 24 year old part-time righthanded starter from last year, Ricky Nolasco has just come back from elbow problems and earned his second start after pitching well against the Mets on May 1. But there is a big difference between the pitcher's park that is Shea and the hitter-friendly Dolphins Stadium, so this second start against a first place team and an All Star pitcher is a lot to ask. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NL Total of the Week or my NBA Blowout Winner.


At 7:10 pm our NL Total of the Week is on the Houston Astros and Cincinnati Reds 'over' the total. With the defending World Series champion St. Louis Cardinals reeling with a 12-17 record and in last place in the NL Central, that division is totally up for grabs, unless of course the Brewers continue their juggernaut and just run away with it. But for now anyway, the fact that the Cards, who have pretty much dominated this division in the past several years, seem to be a mere shell of the team they were must be a huge motivating factor for both of these teams who begin a critical 4 game series at the Great America Ballpark. And with that motivation will probably come some free-swinging bats, as is usually the case when these two squads meet up in Cincy. In the last eight games played here between the Reds and Astros, a total of 77 runs have been scored or an average of over 9 1/2 runs per game. And in 6 of those 8 games, there have been a total of 9 or more runs scored. If you're a believer that Reds' righthander Kyle Lohse can turn his less-than-stellar career around at age 29 by changing leagues and going from the Twins to the Reds, then good for you. I, for one, am not sold. In his first 4 starts, Lohse fans had cause to be optimistic, but his last 2 starts have seen him begin to revert back to his old form, which is anything but good. I'm expecting that trend to continue against the hot bats of the Astros. Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. And don't miss my NL Side Winner or my NBA Blowout tonight.

Russ Culver -13.37u ytd

Rockies +123
Phillies -104
Mariners +153
 

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Opposite Action Plays
Phillies / D'Backs UNDER 9

Ethan Law
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS


Pacific Star
3* NEW YORK METS

Rocketman Sports
2* San Jose Sharks

Mike Rose
3* COLORADO CRUSH +11


VSA

Monday's Bonus Pick!
Take Arizona -103 over Philly !
(on a 57-24 run!)


MTi's COMP PLAY -- The Dodgers are 25-9 on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after allowing 6+ runs and the Marlins are 8-20 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a loss in which they never led. Consider LA.
<!-- / message -->
 

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Sorry so late. Got home at a decent time, but had too much to do for the kids and with supper. I will comment on this thread and on Sunday’s thread in just a bit. But first, here’s my plays for this evening:
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
My Plays for Monday 5~7~7:<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
MIL –1.5 RL –125
ATL OVER 8.5 –115
CIN +1.5 RL –140
CIN OVER 8.5 –115
LAD (5 Innings) –126
LAD –127
LAD OVER 8.5 –115
COL OVER 8.5 –115
ARI OVER 9 –120
<o:p></o:p>

Season Record….…52~31~1<o:p></o:p>
 

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Thanks Phantom and $4Nothing for reposting the baseball service plays from Bookie Buster's thread. Today is a perfect example of why I am so thankful people like you are willing and able to jump in and help.

I kind of created a bit of a monster when I volunteered to repost BB's service plays every day, but now I feel responsible for getting them reposted or at least making sure that some else gets them posted until BB takes overs after the hoops season.

Sure, people can just go the NBA forum, but it's nice having the baseball plays separated and conveniently reposted here. I think a lot of people appreciate these efforts. A lot more than we'll probably ever know.
 

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More from BB:

Monday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Stan Sharp - Double Dime

Arizona -105

RZ comp(8-2 last 10):

philly vs arizona
Play: arizona

Hank Green

NL G.O.W. Dodgers
5* Stl
3* Arz
3* Houst

 

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Results so far for Monday 5~7~7:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
MIL –1.5……………WINNER
ATL OVER 8.5….…..LOSER
CIN +1.5……………WINNER
CIN OVER 8.5……...WINNER
LAD (5 Innings)…..….WINNER
LAD…………………WINNER
LAD OVER 8.5……...LOSER
COL OVER 8.5….…..pending
ARI OVER 9…….…...pending<o:p></o:p>
 
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Results so far for Monday 5~7~7:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
MIL –1.5……………WINNER
ATL OVER 8.5….…..LOSER
CIN +1.5……………WINNER
CIN OVER 8.5……...WINNER
LAD (5 Innings)…..….WINNER
LAD…………………WINNER
LAD OVER 8.5……...LOSER
COL OVER 8.5….…..pending
ARI OVER 9…….…...pending<o:p></o:p>

Nice job and keep up the good work.

Keep the :money8: rolling in! :103631605
 

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Results so far for Monday 5~7~7:<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
MIL –1.5……………WINNER
ATL OVER 8.5….…..LOSER
CIN +1.5……………WINNER
CIN OVER 8.5……...WINNER
LAD (5 Innings)…..….WINNER
LAD…………………WINNER
LAD OVER 8.5……...LOSER
COL OVER 8.5….…..pending
ARI OVER 9…….…...pending<o:p></o:p>

nothin bettern going nite-nite w/@ least a little profit !

With u on ARI OVER. Let's DO it!
:aktion033
 

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Thanks BB and thanks $4Nothing ~

Looks like we will need some help with that ARI OVER, but it's still early. Meanwhile COL OVER looks like it will be a loss.

My 5-inning plays are holding strong. I played the Brewers 5-Inning too, but did not publish it here becuase of the -225 juice!

Too many OVER / UNDERS tonight got the better of me.

Interestingly, have you guys noticed that the past 3 nights or so I have been like 4~1, 5~2 and etc on the early games, only to go 50% or worse on the late games? Weird.

I will update the record after the ARI game and I will also post a complete breakdown of my record between ML, RL, 5-Inning and O/U plays.

Might be time to start assigning different units amounts for different plays.....believe me, I am absolutely hammering some of these plays and going relatively small on all the other "action" plays.

BOL the rest of the way to both of you. I am hoping to avoid a 5~4 finish here.
 

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I am very sorry about the finish to tonight. Once again, I was doing fine early only to give it all back towards the end. I’ve discovered something interesting, which I post the numbers and stats for in the very next post after this one….
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Final Results for Monday 5~7~7:<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
MIL –1.5……………WINNER
ATL OVER 8.5….…..LOSER
CIN +1.5……………WINNER
CIN OVER 8.5……...WINNER
LAD (5 Innings)…..….WINNER
LAD…………………WINNER
LAD OVER 8.5……...LOSER
COL OVER 8.5….…..LOSER
ARI OVER 9…….......LOSER<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>

Monday Record……..……5~4<o:p></o:p>
Season Record………….57~35~1
 

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Here is the breakdown of my entire season record so far, in the categories of Run Line, Money Line, 5-Inning Money Line and Over/ Under:
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Run Line:……………9~4……….…..69%<o:p></o:p>
Money Line:………..18~8…………..69%<o:p></o:p>
5-Inning:………...….13~5~1….……..72%<o:p></o:p>
Over / Under:…........17~17…….……50%

<o:p></o:p>
I think I have spotted a problem!! :103631605
 

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Out @4pm ET...see da boyz, drink, make some noise after SUPER WEEK.

Thanks to sds & Bookie Buster

:money8:
 

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Here is the breakdown of my entire season record so far, in the categories of Run Line, Money Line, 5-Inning Money Line and Over/ Under:
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Run Line:……………9~4……….…..69%<o:p></o:p>
Money Line:………..18~8…………..69%<o:p></o:p>
5-Inning:………...….13~5~1….……..72%<o:p></o:p>
Over / Under:…........17~17…….……50%

<o:p></o:p>
I think I have spotted a problem!! :103631605

thanks for the breakdown!! Not surprised about the totals because those are somewhat easier to hit. removing those plays youre at 40-18!!!!! Thank you!
 

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thanks for the breakdown!! Not surprised about the totals because those are somewhat easier to hit. removing those plays youre at 40-18!!!!! Thank you!

BOL tonight RDC. I didn't see a lot on the card tonight that has me jumping up and down.....but I will see what I can come up with later today.
 

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