Bonds needs 8 HR in 15 games !

[kermit16]

I have Bonds to break record after the All Star game ! I kinda like my chances ! Any sites still have this Prop still up ?:toast:

 

[5teamparlay]

Currently at EZSPORTSBOOK:

<TABLE id=wagerTable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR class=even vAlign=center><TD colSpan=2></TD><TD colSpan=7>Barry Bonds - Will He Hit Career HR #756 Before or After the All Star Break</TD></TR><TR class=even vAlign=center><TD>08/03/07 </TD><TD align=right>110</TD><TD>Before All Star Break</TD><TD align=right>+300</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-110-Befor-After-080307,5 name=MONEY_002> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=even vAlign=center><TD>23:05 ET</TD><TD align=right> </TD><TD>After All Star Break</TD><TD align=right>-500</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-110-Befor-After-080307,6 name=MONEY_003> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=trline><TD colSpan=9></TD></TR><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD colSpan=2> </TD><TD colSpan=7>Barry Bonds - Will He Hit Career HR #756 at Home or Away</TD></TR><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD>08/03/07 </TD><TD align=right>120</TD><TD>Home</TD><TD align=right>-135</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-120-Home-Away-080307,5 name=MONEY_004> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD>23:05 ET</TD><TD align=right> </TD><TD>Away</TD><TD align=right>-105</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-120-Home-Away-080307,6 name=MONEY_005> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Timetopay]

That home or away prop looks like guarantee money. No way they let him do it on road...
Whats max wager on that prop?

 

[kermit16]

I have already bet the at home wager but I had to pay - 140 ! Love it however !

 

[WVU]

Bonds will probably break the record between 19 and 53 games from now. They play 20 away games and 14 home games during that time so I would say he has a decent chance to break this record on the road. -105 on doing it away is the play here.

 

[kermit16]

Bonds will probably break the record between 19 and 53 games from now. They play 20 away games and 14 home games during that time so I would say he has a decent chance to break this record on the road. -105 on doing it away is the play here.

Your theory is only good if you only take into consideration straight Math. However in the case of Barry Bonds...... He will only break this record at home if at all possible !

 

[WVU]

He will still get those away at bats, and in tough situations they will have to pitch to him.

 

[kermit16]

Bonds will probably break the record between 19 and 53 games from now. They play 20 away games and 14 home games during that time so I would say he has a decent chance to break this record on the road. -105 on doing it away is the play here.

I really don't follow your Post or your Math ! Where do you come up with your 19 to 53 games ? Also since you seem to think Bonds will hit his record home run within the next 53 games.... why do you only tabulate the next 34 games ? He has been in a prolonged home run drought after his great start. Therefore you must expand his likely time frame to include a far longer period. When We do that, you should be aware that the Giants have 5 more home games to be played left this year than away games. Also take a closer look at his performance so far this year. He has only hit 5 home runs in the 36 road games He has played in while He has hit 9 home runs in the 29 home games He has played in. That works out to 1 home runs for every 3.2 games at home and only 1 home run for every 7.2 games played on the road. I say take the - 135 prop as the Giants and Bonds will want his record home run to be done in front of roaring approval at home rather than the booing that is sure to greet his record on the road.

 

[Doug]

Currently at EZSPORTSBOOK:

<TABLE id=wagerTable cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR class=even vAlign=center><TD colSpan=2></TD><TD colSpan=7>Barry Bonds - Will He Hit Career HR #756 Before or After the All Star Break</TD></TR><TR class=even vAlign=center><TD>08/03/07 </TD><TD align=right>110</TD><TD>Before All Star Break</TD><TD align=right>+300</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-110-Befor-After-080307,5 name=MONEY_002> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD></TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=even vAlign=center><TD>23:05 ET</TD><TD align=right></TD><TD>After All Star Break</TD><TD align=right>-500</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-110-Befor-After-080307,6 name=MONEY_003> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD></TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=trline><TD colSpan=9></TD></TR><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD colSpan=2></TD><TD colSpan=7>Barry Bonds - Will He Hit Career HR #756 at Home or Away</TD></TR><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD>08/03/07 </TD><TD align=right>120</TD><TD>Home</TD><TD align=right>-135</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-120-Home-Away-080307,5 name=MONEY_004> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD></TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=odd vAlign=center><TD>23:05 ET</TD><TD align=right></TD><TD>Away</TD><TD align=right>-105</TD><TD><INPUT onclick=checkMoney(this.name) type=checkbox value=X99-120-Home-Away-080307,6 name=MONEY_005> </TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD><TD></TD><TD align=right>OFF</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Did you make that book up,5-Team ? :ughhh:

 

[WVU]

I really don't follow your Post or your Math ! Where do you come up with your 19 to 53 games ? Also since you seem to think Bonds will hit his record home run within the next 53 games.... why do you only tabulate the next 34 games ? He has been in a prolonged home run drought after his great start. Therefore you must expand his likely time frame to include a far longer period. When We do that, you should be aware that the Giants have 5 more home games to be played left this year than away games. Also take a closer look at his performance so far this year. He has only hit 5 home runs in the 36 road games He has played in while He has hit 9 home runs in the 29 home games He has played in. That works out to 1 home runs for every 3.2 games at home and only 1 home run for every 7.2 games played on the road. I say take the - 135 prop as the Giants and Bonds will want his record home run to be done in front of roaring approval at home rather than the booing that is sure to greet his record on the road.

I would lay 2-1 odds that bonds breaks the record within my 19 and 53 game timeframe. Because almost 2/3 of the games within that timeframe is played on the road I would say he has as at least as good a shot breaking the record on the road versus home considering the other factors. You are using this year's stats to compile your home/away home runs stats and I do not think that is valid reasoning. Surely he is not 2.25 times more likely to hit a homerun at home versus the road from this point on.

Time will tell. I am rooting for him to get this record on the road just to see the fan reaction. I think most everyone who has a ticket to that game will be glad he hit a home run no matter where it is played.

 

[kermit16]

I would lay 2-1 odds that bonds breaks the record within my 19 and 53 game timeframe. Because almost 2/3 of the games within that timeframe is played on the road I would say he has as at least as good a shot breaking the record on the road versus home considering the other factors. You are using this year's stats to compile your home/away home runs stats and I do not think that is valid reasoning. Surely he is not 2.25 times more likely to hit a homerun at home versus the road from this point on.

Time will tell. I am rooting for him to get this record on the road just to see the fan reaction. I think most everyone who has a ticket to that game will be glad he hit a home run no matter where it is played.

Yes of course I am using this years stats to compile my home and away stats ! Why not ? Isn't this the year that We are betting on ? In the last 36 games, Bonds has only hit 3 home runs ! That's 1 home run every 12 games. If He even comes close to hitting that poorly in your time frame.... Well it doesn't take a Math Whiz to figure out that your 53 game time frame would be in serious trouble... And yes... You are giving 2/1 odds !

 

[betedgeonly]

That home or away prop looks like guarantee money. No way they let him do it on road...
Whats max wager on that prop?

Why would they "let" him do it at home? I don't get it.

 

[Antonioli]

Did you make that book up,5-Team ? :ughhh:

i'm thinking the same thing

 

[5teamparlay]

THERE IS A WHOLE WORLD OF SPORTSBOOKS OUTSIDE OF THE "CORE" forum books.

I'd guess I have played at upwards of 400 books, easy.

 

[Antonioli]

-500/+300, that's pretty shit.

 

[gynecologist]

Sharp people in this thread..

 

[kermit16]

Bonds will probably break the record between 19 and 53 games from now. They play 20 away games and 14 home games during that time so I would say he has a decent chance to break this record on the road. -105 on doing it away is the play here.

Interesting that you stop your so called 20 away games to 14 home game stats just before the Giants start a 9 game home stand starting with game number 54 ! If you enlarge your scenaria to 19 to 62 games { a very likely timetable IMHO } You would find 20 away games to 23 home games ! I love the - 135 for Bonds to hit record at home for many, many reasons well supported by common sense and also Math !

 

[TomorrowsNewspaper]

now you need one less. Meaningless solo shot vs yanks in the 8th

 

[kermit16]

now you need one less. Meaningless solo shot vs yanks in the 8th

Not meaningless to me as I had the over 9 I needed that home run as well as the Ins. run Yanks garnered in 9 th ! :toast: :money8:

 

[Journeyman]

THERE IS A WHOLE WORLD OF SPORTSBOOKS OUTSIDE OF THE "CORE" forum books.

I'd guess I have played at upwards of 400 books, easy.

and how many of these lesser known books have stiffed?

how are the ma and pa books doing these days?