Bm 2016 nfl system picks: *2015 97-63-13=60.3% +18.41 units

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 19, 2016

SYSTEM PLAYS

FAV PLAYS

PIT

-3

SEA

-7

1-1 -2.27

fav plays with cushion

WAS

-2.5

0-1 -25

even matchups

ATL	+5
JAX	+3

BUF

+1

1-2 -27.30

undervalued underdogs :MIGHT BE A FADE PLAYS (waiting for bigger sample size to start betting this)

KC

+2-25

CHI

-3

FADING THE PHI +3 PICK

0-1 -25

TOTALS

IND	VS	DEN	UND	47.0
ATL	VS	OAK	UND	49.0
JAX	VS	SD	OV	47.0

NO

VS

NYG

UND

54.0$50

NYJ

VS

BUF

UND

41.0

2-3 -6.80

REG PLAYS

SF	+14
CLE	+7
TEN	+6
MIA	+7
NO	+5
TB	+7
IND	+6
MIN	+3

5-3 +19.60
________________________________

SYSTEM PLAYS W2 (INCLUDING TNF)
4-8-0 =33% -63.60

W1-W2 OVERALL
12-13-0 = 46% -17.30
________________________________

REG PLAYS
W2 ATS & OU
12-5-1 =67% +69.37

W1-W2
23-13-2 =61% +99.10

_____________________________
TOTAL SYSTEM YTD
35-26-2 = 55% +88.80

HIT A COUPLE OF PARLAYS THIS WEEK AGAIN.
SYSTEM DID NOT PERFORM AS WELL THIS WEEK... REG PLAYS DID WELL THOUGH, 3 OF 4 HOMEDOGS COVERED ATS: PREDICTED 2-2 OF THEM. 5 COMBO WINS OUT OF 16 (ATS & OU HIT IN SINGLE GAME)...

TOTAL SYSTEM BREAKDOWN WILL POST TOMMOROW(INCLUDING PARS & MLB & CFB)

G
TONIGHT ON MNF

CHI -3 (SYSTEM PICK UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG/FADING), UNDER 43 (REG PLAY)

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 20, 2016


$10-20 @ -110		W	L	P	T	%	W/L DIF	W/L $$VIG
REG PLAYS	22	13	2	37	59%	9	134.64
ATS	9	6	1	16	56%	3	29.73
OVER	5	2	1	8	63%	3	29.73
UNDER	8	5	0	13	62%	3	75.18
PARLAYS	2	2	0	4	50%	0	893.32
SYSTEM PLAYS
EVEN MATCHUP	W	L	P	T	%	W/L DIF	W/L $$VIG
0	2	1	0	3	67%	1	$20.46
0.5	1	1	0	2	50%	0	$(2.30)
1.0	0	0	0	0	#DIV/0!	0	$-00
E.M.OVERALL	3	2	0	5	60%	1	$18.16
E.M. TAKE HOME TEAM	1	4	0	5	20%	-3	$(77.3)	NOT CALCULATED
E.M. TAKE POINTS	3	2	0	5	60%	1	$18.2
UNDERVALUED UNDERDOGS	2	2	0	4	50%	0	$(4.5)
UNDERVALUED UNDERDOGS/ FADED	2	2	0	4	50%	0	$(4.5)
$25 @-110	W	L	P	T	%	W/L DIF	W/L $$VIG
FAV PLAY 0.00	2	2	0	4	50%	0	$(4.54)
FAV PLAY WITH CUSHION	1	3	0	4	25%	-2	$(52.3)
FAV PLAY $50 UNDERDOG	0	0	0	0	#DIV/0!	0	$-00
totals	W	L	P	T	%	W/L DIF	W/L $$VIG
over	3	0	0	3	100%	3	$68.19
under	3	3	0	6	50%	0	$15.9
		W	L	P	T	%	W/L DIF	W/L $$VIG
SYSTEM OVERALL	14	12	0	26	54%	2	$30.42
OVERALL	36	25	2	63	57%	11	$165.1
						W/PARLAYS	1058.38
						W/CFB	92.2
						W/MLB	-55.0
						TOTAL ABOVE (2,000) BUYIN	$1,096

**CORRECTIONS WERE MADE THIS IS THE OVERALL BREAKDOWN OF SYSTEM AND CURRENT BANKROLL

incomeraise · Sep 21, 2016

Quick question please bostonmonkey, last year when you were up 18 units on your system, was it just on the system plays or does it include your regular plays as well?
I was just trying to see if all or at least most of the units you won were coming from the system plays and not the regular plays

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 21, 2016

It includes regular plays..I start betting more units on system and regular plays when I get to week 5 or 6. When I have a better sample size of team stats. I only got to week 12 last year with system . Regular plays takes the underdogs.l most of the time. If you play on regular plays you will make money..system still has some tweeks needed. Gl tius week

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 21, 2016

SYSTEM PLAYS
NFL WEEK 3

W1

MATCHUPS

PRED FAV

LINE

PRED COVER PNTS

DIF

SYSTEM PLAY

PRED ATS PICK

LIVE O/U

PRED OU PK

PRED TOT

DIF

FINAL TOTAL

TOT DIF

SYSTEM PLAY

1Th

HOU

VS

NE

+1.5

-0.50

1.00

EVEN MATCHUP TAKE POINTS

NE

+1.5/2

40.5

OV

46

5.50

-40.5

ATS: ADJUSTED A FULL TD(7PNTS) FOR INJ'S

NOW WHEN I ADJUSTED THIS NE LINE IT WAS @ -5 PRED COVER POINTS. I TOOK A MODEST 7 PNTS OFF FOR INJURIES & SITS (BRADY, GRONK, LEWIS, NOW JIMMY

I GUESS NINKOVICH TOO). STLL PUT PATRIOTS AHEAD BUT A CLOSE MATCHUP @ .50 ..SO IM GOING WITH NE DEF TO HELP PULL THIS ONE OUT. FADE IT, PLAY IT.. I MIGHT PASS TOMMOROW ON THIS...

SINCE 2011-12 STATS

AS AN UNDEDOG
@-AWAY H-HOME
WINS
7
(@+3, H+3,@+3,@+2.5,@+2.5,@+2,@+1)

LOSSES
3
(@+2.5,@+3,@+3)

GL RX!!

incomeraise · Sep 22, 2016

bostonmickey1125 said:
It includes regular plays..I start betting more units on system and regular plays when I get to week 5 or 6. When I have a better sample size of team stats. I only got to week 12 last year with system . Regular plays takes the underdogs.l most of the time. If you play on regular plays you will make money..system still has some tweeks needed. Gl tius week

thank you for your answer

so pretty much, most of uyour units were made/won with regular plays ?

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 22, 2016

That's debatable
Regular plays 36-24-3 =57% +5.45
Fav plays 31-18-4 =58% +8.86
Regular plays are the safer plays for now

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 23, 2016

system plays
nfl week 3

2

ari

vs

buf

ari

-3.5

6.50

3.00

fav play w/ cushion

ari

-3.5/-3

47.0

und

42

-5.00

3

min

vs

car

-7

7.00

0.00

fav play

car

-7

43.0

ov

49

6.00

4

den

vs

cin

-3.5

2.00

-1.50

reg

den

+3.5/4

41.0

und

37

-4.00

5

det

vs

gb

-7.5

2.00

-5.50

reg

det

+7.5/8

47.0

und

45

-2.00

6

bal

vs

jax

bal

-1.5

0.50

-1.00

even matchup take points

jax

+1.5/2

47.0

ov

52

5.00

7

cle

vs

mia

-10

3.50

-6.50

reg

cle

+10

42.5

ov

51

8.50

8

was

vs

nyg

-4.5

1.00

-3.50

reg

was

+4.5/5

46.5

ov

49

2.50

9

oak

vs

ten

oak

+2

4.00

6.00

**favplay** underdog (4-0)

oak

+2

47.0

und

45

-2.00

10

sf

vs

sea

-10

8.00

-2.00

reg

sf

+10

40.5

und

40

-0.50

11

lar

vs

tb

-6

2.00

-4.00

reg

lar

+6

42.0

und

40

-2.00

12

pit

vs

phi

pit

-3.5

3.50

0.00

new sytem play: Equal fav play

pit

-3.5

46.0

und

45

-1.00

equal fav play: Pred cover points were exactly = to line

13

sd

vs

ind

-2.5

0.00

-2.50

even matchup take points

sd

+2.5/3

51.0

ov

51

0.00

14

nyj

vs

kc

-3

1.50

-1.50

reg

nyj

+3

42.0

ov

45

3.00

15

chi

vs

dal

-7.5

4.00

-3.50

reg

chi

+7.5

44.5

und

40

-4.50

16mn

atl

vs

no

-3

2.50

-0.50

reg

atl

+3

53.5

und

50

-3.50

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 23, 2016

SYSTEM PLAYS
NFL WEEK 3

SYSTEM PLAYS

FAV PLAYS

CAR

-7

FAV PLAY WITH CUSHION

ARI
-3.5/-3

EQUAL FAV PLAY:***NEW SYSTEM PLAY***(THE PREDICTED COVER POINTS WERE EXACTLY EQUAL TO CURRENT ATS LINE: PLAY FAVORITE? )

PIT -3.5/-3

FAV PLAY UNDERDOG(4-0 L4)

OAK

+2

EVEN MATCUPS

NE	+1.5/2

+22.73

JAX

+2

SD

+3

UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG (waiting for bigger sample size to start betting this)
NO PLAYS

TOTALS

BAL	VS	JAX	OV	47.0
CLE	VS	MIA	OV	42.5

MIGHT BE MORE ADDED

my fav system play of week

OAK

+2

________________________________

regular plays

DEN	+3.5/4
DET	+7.5/8
CLE	+10
WAS	+4.5/5
SF	+10
LAR	+6
NYJ	+3
CHI	+7.5
ATL	+3

GL ON WEEK 3

!!!

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

10 POINT TEASER

+9

+1

+6

$200/181.82

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

UNDER 44 -110

50/45.45

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

7 TEAMER

+7

+10

UNDER 41

-6

+3

-7

-3

10/959.47

GL RX!!!

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

PUBLIC FADES

+4.5/5 -(110) (FADING ARI)

UNDER 47 (-110) (FADING OVER)

+7 -115 (FADING GB)

UNDER 47.5 -105 (FADING OVER)

+4 -115 (FADING PIT)

UNDER 47 -105 (FADING OVER)

+7 -115 (FADING DAL)

UNDER 54 -115 (FADING OVER)

GL RX!!

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

TT @O/U 9? OVER +110?

TT FOR BOTH TEAMS =33.5? CURRENT OU =43.5 ?

GIVE ME

TT OVER 9 +110

& UNDER 43.5

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

Wow after i bought the tt over 9 it changed to 16.5 lol

i got the bet in though

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

4 TEAMET TOTALS

UNDER 43.5

UNDER 47

UNDER 42

UNDER 47.5

25/307.58

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 25, 2016

TheGiems2k · Sep 25, 2016

Goodluck micks

bostonmickey1125 · Sep 27, 2016

SYSTEM PLAYS
NFL WEEK 3

SYSTEM PLAYS

FAV PLAYS

CAR

-7

-25
FAV PLAY WITH CUSHION

ARI -3.5/-3

-25

EQUAL FAV PLAY:***NEW SYSTEM PLAY***(THE PREDICTED COVER POINTS WERE EXACTLY EQUAL TO CURRENT ATS LINE: PLAY FAVORITE? )

PIT
-3.5/-3

-25
FAV PLAY UNDERDOG(5-0 L5)

OAK

+2

+90.91

EVEN MATCUPS

NE	+1.5/2

JAX

+2

SD

+3

-22.27
UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG (waiting for bigger sample size to start betting this)
NO PLAYS

TOTALS

BAL	VS	JAX	OV	47.0
CLE	VS	MIA	OV	42.5

-2.27

my fav system play of week 1-1

OAK

+2

WINNER !!!
________________________________

regular plays (BUMPED UP$25 EACH)

DEN	+3.5/4 SU WIN
DET	+7.5/8
CLE	+10
WAS	+4.5/5 SU WIN
SF	+10
LAR	+6 SU WIN
NYJ	+3
CHI	+7.5
ATL	+3 SU WIN

REG PLAYS
6-3 +61.40
REG PLAYS OVERALL
34-28-3 +184.02

SYSTEM PLAYS
W3 = 2-5 -9.09
OVERALL=17-18 -16.79

NFL PUBLIC FADES
3-4-1

3 TEAM PAR = LOSS -200
DAL UNDER = LOSS -50
7 TEAM PAR = LOSS-10
4 TEAM PAR = LOSS-25
MIN TT O9 = WIN +52.45
MIN UNDER = WIN +45.45

MIGHT START DOING SOME FADING ON FAV PLAYS WITH CUSHION.