Tuesday, July 28
Cleveland -121
Milwaukee -180
Minnesota -149
Minnesota (-1.5) +123
I don't like paying that kind juice with Milwaukee, but its a system that plays on bigger favorites. Its actually a Fade of the dog. This spot starts at -145 with an average line of -180. So you will be paying a bit if juice when this comes up. Over a full season it averages 150 plays the past 3 seasons, prior to that around 120 going back to 2013. It averages well over 20 units per season. So despite the heavy juice its been very profitable. Hopefully I didn't just give it the kiss of death. But for those wondering why on God's earth would I ever play a -180 favorite, there ya go.
Cleveland also qualifies as a -1.5 too but just sticking with the ML.