BetWithMind_NotHeart's Tennis Thread

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Last play of the day tennis wise:
Ryan Sweeting (+2½) (-112) (1x) Like the matchup and feel he'll win but if not I feel tiebreakers will be the deciding factor.
 
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Starace (1x) (-170)= .588 Unit Payout :money8: Cash It

Record for today: (1-1) = -1.41 Units
Overall Record: (28-17-1)= + 7.32 Units
 
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Shuai Peng (1.5x) (-180)= .833 Unit Payout $$:($$

Upgrading bet to 3x:Kei Nishikori (-105) Payout = 2.86 units :money8: Cash It!

Ryan Sweeting (+2½) (-112) (1x)= .893 Units :money8: Cash It!

Record for today: (3-2) = +.843 Units
Overall Record: (30-18-1)= + 8.163 Units Win Percentage: 62.5%
 
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Tennis Plays for tomorrow:
Parlay: Victoria Azarenka (-710) x Kei Nishikori (-225) (5x)= Payout 3.24 Units ( Feel really strongly about this parlay enough to wager a far amount of the winnings I've earned on it Begu has already made it in this tourney a round to far and Nishikori is the better clay court player, I like to pick my spots fairly well when I hammer plays and this is worthy of one)

Starace (1.5x) (-160)= Payout .94 Units Also like starace coming into this match with his good form.

Not touching Wozzy at all she has struggled throughout the tourney and I believe anything could happen tomorrow that being said if you want a small play on vesina is valuable I won't do it because I hate to waste if I'm wrong.

Overall Record: (30-18-1)= + 8.163 Units Win Percentage: 62.5%
 
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Nis (5x)
an_burningbag.gif


Starace (1.5x)
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Nis was tired in this match from the start wish he would have called me and told me that coupled with unnecessary unforced errors spelled doom from the onset. He set me back a few units shitty day in tennis and about the same in baseball.
Overall Record: (30-20-1)= +1.663 Units Win Percentage: 60 %

Will bounce back tomorrow but right now I don't even want to think about tennis.
 
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Tennis plays for early morning:

Parlay: Almagro -470 x Gasquet -565 (6x)= Payout 2.56 Units
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Giraldo -270 (2x)= Payout 1.23 Units
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Robredo -290 (2x)= Payout 1.17 Units

If any of these lose I'm jumping off a building tomorrow.

Overall Record: (30-20-1)= +1.663 Units Win Percentage: 60 %
 
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Tennis plays for early morning:

Parlay: Almagro -470 x Gasquet -565 (6x)= Payout 2.56 Units :money8: Cash It
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Giraldo -270 (2x)= Payout 1.23 Units (loss)
Parlay: Gasquet -565 x Robredo -290 (2x)= Payout 1.17 Units :money8: Cash It

If any of these lose I'm jumping off a building tomorrow.

Overall Record: (32-21-1)= +3.393 Units Win Percentage: 60.4%
 
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Parlay: Berdych (-470) x Garcia-Lopez (-380) (6x)= Payout 3.19 Units
Hansecu -105 (The books must know something in this match which is why I'm playing it small Hansecu is a known fixer but will easily handle Gonzalez if he plays) (1x)= Payout .95 Units
Ljubicic (+155) A better clay courter than Tsonga if he shows he'll beat Tsonga (.5x)= Payout .78 Units

Overall Record: (32-21-1)= +3.393 Units Win Percentage: 60.4%
 
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Now you see why I'm always hestitant to back hansecu classic fixer ************ was up won 6-3 first set up 5-4 second set and loses 8 straight games he made the other player look like God in the second half of the match last time I touch him at all!

Parlay: Berdych (-470) x Garcia-Lopez (-380) (6x)= Payout 3.19 Units
moneybag.gif
Cash It!
Hansecu -105 (The books must know something in this match which is why I'm playing it small Hansecu is a known fixer but will easily handle Gonzalez if he plays) (1x)= Payout .95 Units
an_burningbag.gif


Ljubicic (+155) A better clay courter than Tsonga if he shows he'll beat Tsonga (.5x)= Payout .78 Units
moneybag.gif
Cash It!
Overall Record: (34-22-1)= +6.36 Units Win Percentage: 61%
 
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Parlay: Cilic -440 x Ferrer -725 x Almagro -775 (2x) = Payout 1.15 Units

Florian Mayer -160 (1x)= Payout .63 Units

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez +190 (.5x)= Payout .95 Units

Fernando Verdasco +115 (.5x)= Payout .58 Units

Overall Record: (34-22-1)= +6.36 Units Win Percentage: 61%
 
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Parlay: Cilic -440 x Ferrer -725 x Almagro -775 (2x) = Payout 1.15 Units
moneybag.gif
(Cilic match was canceled since player retired in first set) = Payout is now .57 Units Which helps conclude a shitty day (Almagro had 6 match pts. in the third set tiebreaker to finally win, I will most likely be going against him next round)
Florian Mayer -160 (1x)= Payout .63 Units (Again another player who played like shit)
an_burningbag.gif


Guillermo Garcia-Lopez +190 (.5x)= Payout .95 Units (Gasquet stepped his game up from last round Lopez didn't stand a chance plus he's very impatient on the clay)
an_burningbag.gif


Fernando Verdasco +115 (.5x)= Payout .58 Units (He played like shit he continues to look lost out there won't be backing him again until he shows otherwise).
an_burningbag.gif

Todays Record: (1-3) -1.43 Units

Overall Record: (35-25-1)= +4.93 Units Win Percentage: 58.3%

Tomorrow will be a better day I'm finally getting my head around who's showed up this clay season and who hasn't tomorrow will be a all wins no loses day. As long as I keep my win percentage above 57% I'll continue to be happy tomorrow brings another day.
 
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[COLOR=#000000 ! important] Parlay: Tomas Berdych -255 x David Ferrer -655 x Federer -750 (5x) = Payout 4.09 Units
Gil
+185 (.5x)= Payout .93 Units
Troicki +155 (.5x)= Payout .78 Units


Taking a shot with the .5x bets I feel like Monfils is just out there to get some matches under his belt. An after Almagro's poor performance even though he's 21-1 on this surface I have to back Troicki wouldn't feel comfortable otherwise. With the parlay I feel like
Berdych should handle Lu even though he lives in Monte Carlo, Ferrer is a class above Raonic, and Federer has been demolishing all opponents besides Nadal and Djokivic and Murray he has no contenders. Suprisingly the parlay could change and I might exclude Federer he's the least comfortable person I'm willing to back just because of his lack of concentration outside of majors. So don't lock it in yet I'll finalize the card sometime tonight around 8-10 PM.

Overall Record: (35-25-1)= +4.93 Units Win Percentage: 58.3%
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Adding: Murray (4x) -160

Gil +3 -115 1x

Downgraded my parlay last night to (1x) will update record and units later I was up till 2:30 A.M. last night with last minute capping on the match another capper who I respect on a different tennis forum was on Lu +3 which made me downsize my bet sorry if you tailed with posted bet. Robredo retired wasn't watching that match he won 6-3 and was down 2-1 in the second and retired don't know why but I'll find out that bet stayed the same. As far as the murray bet I think Murray is back he draws a player that he has a record of 4-1 and is the exact same style as his but he's better in all categories.
 
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Parlay: Tomas Berdych -255 x David Ferrer -655 x Federer -750 (5x) = Payout 4.09 Units (Was changed to 1x around 2 A.M. this morning due to some advice by another fellow capper) (1x)
an_burningbag.gif

Gil
+185 (.5x)= Payout .93 Units
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Cash It!
Robredo -175 (2x)= Payout 1.14 Units
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(won first set 6-3 then pulled a hamstring muscle in the second)
Adding: Murray (4x) -160 (Playing now just broke Simon)

Gil +3 -115 1x=Payout .87 Units
moneybag.gif
Cash It!


Downgraded my parlay last night to (1x) will update record and units later I was up till 2:30 A.M. last night with last minute capping on the match another capper who I respect on a different tennis forum was on Lu +3 which made me downsize my bet sorry if you tailed with posted bet. Robredo retired wasn't watching that match he won 6-3 and was down 2-1 in the second and retired don't know why but I'll find out that bet stayed the same. As far as the murray bet I think Murray is back he draws a player that he has a record of 4-1 and is the exact same style as his but he's better in all categories.

Add Bohli (2x) (-195)=Payout 1.03 Units
moneybag.gif
Cash It!

Today Record: (3-2)= -.17 Units

Overall Record: (38-27-1)= +4.76 Units Win Percentage: 59%

Will be back later with update on Murray Match!
 
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Parlay: Sienna International Basketball (-300) x James Blake (Tenns) (-555) (2x)= Payout 1.2 Units

No write up just trust me.
 
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Adding: (Book finally`got last prop options up)

Parlay: Murray 2-0(-150) x Ferrer 2-0 (-275) x Federer 2-0 (-255)-x Nadal 2-0 (-820)(.5x)= Payout 1.27 Units

Parlay: Ferrer 2-0(-275) x Federer 2-0(-255) x Nadal 2-0(-820) (1x)= Payout 1.14 Units

Parlay: Ferrer 2-0(-275) x Nadal 2-0(-820) (10x)= Payout 5.2 Units (Biggest Play I've ever made for tennis and i believe it's warranted in total I have around 2 stacks on ferrer.)

Waited for this in part because I had 15 Units on the Sharks which I'm glad won in overtime rarely bet over 5 units so that's a big play for me. Took over 30 Units off the books today hoping this will help me do the same.
 
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Adding: Parlay: Facundo Bagnis (-300) x Matthias Bachinger (-280) (2x)

Parlay: Bachinger (-280) x Nadal 2-0 (-820) x Federer (-880) (2x)

The lesser known names are challengers feel really strongly about Bachinger as always Let's Get It!
 
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Recouped all my loses with Fed with the in live bet on Melzer went 4 units to win 9.5 Units won't include it in my record but that'' make me well over 20 Units on the day with a win by Nadal in straights and Tursonov.
 

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