For What it is worth:
Everyone looks at Cleveland from a singular standpoint, so 43-2 at home, can't imagine them losing again. The fact is they are 1-1 at home vs Orlando, and 1-3 on the season. There are matchup problems in this series, and Cleveland can't get it done against teams that score in the paint with competent, offensive interior players.
So let's back that statement up. The Cavs have trouble vs Boston, Orlando, and LAL for that very reason. Orlando has won 3 of the 4 played this yr. and 9 of the last 12 vs Cleveland. WHY? Look at game 1 50 points in the paint! The 4 games played against Cleveland, Orlando had the in the paint scoring advantage by at least 8 every game! Give me a team getting 9 points, and I'll take my chances. Against LAL they lost at home, WHY? LAL 62 points in the paint, Cleveland 24. They lost at LA too, WHY? LAL 42-28 in the paint. They lost to Boston with Garnett, WHY? 58-22 BOSTON in the paint!
This is a solid team, with one weakness, their interior defense is very soft, so BOS,ORL,LAL shoot 50% against them. Everyone thinks the 55% by Orlando was a fluke. They averaged 50% this season against the Cavs. The Cavs give up a max of 85 in 8 playoff games. no more than 87 in their last 12, but Orlando hangs a 107 on them. THE PAINT! Cleveland has the number 1 scoring defense, but allowed 104ppg to Orlando, and 103ppg to LAL. The last 30 games they have had against Orl,Bos,LAL the top 3 teams, all with interior scoring, they have won 2 games by double-digits, and 3 by 9 or more, so 3-27 ATS to a line of 9, 2-28 ATS to a line of 9.5. By the same token they have lost 11 games to these same teams by double-digits. Their largest winning margin against Orlando is 7, and the Magic has outscored the Cavs by 104 points total in the last 12 games. Cleveland favored by 9.5? Are you kidding me!
It's one game, anything can happen, but I know where my money is going.