Betting NFL 6-Point Teasers?

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For me, Historical payout history > common/typical logic.

I don't disagree with what your reasoning is.....I wanted to present the researched analysis on the crossing zero method.
 

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Teaser System Season 1- 0

Week Two
Cardinals + 7 1/2 with Bills + 7 1/2

looking for a couple more as numbers move.
You could add Giants +7 1/2 and Packers -2 today. Funny you got that Arizona line must have been pre-Monday night Giants game because I never saw it.
 

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You could add Giants +7 1/2 and Packers -2 today. Funny you got that Arizona line must have been pre-Monday night Giants game because I never saw it.

Yep that was the opener, interesting the other side is a underdog teaser now as you point out. Im going to wait to closer to game time to post more so that anybody who wants to play can get the number.
 

RPM

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the only rule i can remember off hand is that the win percentage is much higher when you can cross the 3 and the 7. so for instance, betting an 8 point favorite down to a 2 point favorite, would be a good bet.
 

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The only way Ive been successful with betting on NFL is with teasers. I don't do just two teams though I go for 5 to 8 teams 7 pt tease. Even if you just want to throw 20 or 30 bucks on it.. the payout is well worth it. If the bears would have won I woulda hit all three teasers I played and won 700. I ended up losing like 60 bucks but I think the risk is well worth the reward. I started doing this halfway through the season and with me being down about 400 I ended up winning about 2000. maybe I just got lucky but it worked. So far im up after week one.

Phlew so you became a smart guy and you made money...Good to hear...I'm not a fan of 5-8 team teasers because the actual odds are not in your favor(payoff wise) but two team teasers can make a winner out of anyone in the NFL unless they are the ultimate Ham'n Egger football picker.

Another good tool recently is the 3 team 10pt teaser. Many books now have made this wager @-120 and where if you tie one play it's considered a push on the whole wager. This is a nice play and can be another profitable tool in ones wagering strategy

Just remember, 2TEAM /7 POINT TEASERS CAN BE A GAMBLERS BEST FRIEND IN THE NFL...( I do not recommend them in college football)

Yours in Winners
BernieV
 

Balls Deep
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Anyone like this teaser?
Pitt +8.5/Det +8.5
 

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Anyone like this teaser?
Pitt +8.5/Det +8.5
Sure why not if it meets the criterion. At this point the following teams meet the criterion (or did at one time), good luck figuring out which ones to match up and use. GB, NYG, BUFF, ARIZ, PITT and DET. The whole system breaks down with this scenario, as that's 15 teasers to cover them all.
 

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"The system breaks down at this point 15 teasers"

Why does the stystem break down at this point - If you believe it is a positive expectation bet, the more bets you make the better. If each bet is a positive expectation, I would rather make 100 bets thant 1 bet.


 

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thoughts on gb-2 and lions +8.5

Depends on where you play that teaser and how they treat pushes for sure. Me, I would rather it move and take the -2 1/2,
or the - 1 1/2 and have the numbers working without the push.

Interestingly in Las Vegas a two team Teaser that has one leg that pushes is no bet, not matter if the other leg wins or loses.

The sweepers are always looking for tourists who throw away there two-team teasers tickets because the first game loses. If they can get a push in the 2nd game, they get a refund for the ticket. Can be a nice addition to your $10.00 an hour job, if you get an ocassional refund on a $500 ticket!
 

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Sure why not if it meets the criterion. At this point the following teams meet the criterion (or did at one time), good luck figuring out which ones to match up and use. GB, NYG, BUFF, ARIZ, PITT and DET. The whole system breaks down with this scenario, as that's 15 teasers to cover them all.

If you are considering the "Wong" type teaser (also referred to as Basic Strategy type teasers) this simply consists of using dogs from +1.5 to +2.5 and favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 in your teasers. Several years back , one of the the authors on this site wrote a thread about just this topic. It was determined that simple Basic Strategy, or Wong teasers, were not the most profitable. And since many are discussing the value of the "juice" in this thread, and profitable outcomes, I thought I'd bring the subject back.

It was then documented by the author of the thread that the highest percentage chance of winning these teasers was by using ONLY RD of +1.5 to +2.5 and ONLY HF of -7.5 to -8.5.
If we apply that to your list of suggested teams, there would currently (I say currently as the lines may change) only be three qualifiers: GB (-8) and PIT & DET (+2.5)

Once again, some lines may be changing, in which case teams like PHIL and SF might move into the playable category. (Lines from Pinnacle)

GL.
 

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Anybody do any research or have any thoughts on kind of a reverse Wong stratgey for 2-team 6-point "Pleasers"? it On first glance, getting +600 when moving favorites from -7 1/2 to -13 1/2 crosses a lot of dead numbers 8, 9, 12 looks like it could be promising. Wouldn't be a lot of plays, but curious, anybody ever seen the math on this?
 

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There used to someone who posted all the "wongs" and a couple of others: Akilies-I may be wrong on the spelling. Not sure why he quit posting.

If there's more than 2 you just do a round robin.
just do a search for my threads on teasers, all the info and data is included along with a simple explanation of how to win with teasers. two years of plays every weekend showing a large profit...


wong or bs teasers are not a viable option any longer.

its hard to get a reliable local, even more difficult to find one that accepts teasers. To get one that deals 6pt even money teasers, probably easier to just go searching for that pot of gold under the rainbow
 

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Sure why not if it meets the criterion. At this point the following teams meet the criterion (or did at one time), good luck figuring out which ones to match up and use. GB, NYG, BUFF, ARIZ, PITT and DET. The whole system breaks down with this scenario, as that's 15 teasers to cover them all.
wait till as close to post as possible, the more accurate the lines the better
 

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If you are considering the "Wong" type teaser (also referred to as Basic Strategy type teasers) this simply consists of using dogs from +1.5 to +2.5 and favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 in your teasers. Several years back , one of the the authors on this site wrote a thread about just this topic. It was determined that simple Basic Strategy, or Wong teasers, were not the most profitable. And since many are discussing the value of the "juice" in this thread, and profitable outcomes, I thought I'd bring the subject back.

It was then documented by the author of the thread that the highest percentage chance of winning these teasers was by using ONLY RD of +1.5 to +2.5 and ONLY HF of -7.5 to -8.5.
If we apply that to your list of suggested teams, there would currently (I say currently as the lines may change) only be three qualifiers: GB (-8) and PIT & DET (+2.5)

Once again, some lines may be changing, in which case teams like PHIL and SF might move into the playable category. (Lines from Pinnacle)

GL.
that is me, and yes there are currently two teams that qualify, and good luck finding somewhere that will allow u to tease green bay, if u have it , go to town.
 

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Anybody do any research or have any thoughts on kind of a reverse Wong stratgey for 2-team 6-point "Pleasers"? it On first glance, getting +600 when moving favorites from -7 1/2 to -13 1/2 crosses a lot of dead numbers 8, 9, 12 looks like it could be promising. Wouldn't be a lot of plays, but curious, anybody ever seen the math on this?
last i heard no numbers supported making any pleasers +ev.


what i am interested in, the previously mentioned, crossing zero with a -2.5 -120 [or more] to get +3.5. i have had good luck with these but never seen any data to support it.
 

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last i heard no numbers supported making any pleasers +ev.
what i am interested in, the previously mentioned, crossing zero with a -2.5 -120 [or more] to get +3.5. i have had good luck with these but never seen any data to support it.

Certainly can't argue if you have had historical sucess with the play Akillies, as i talked about in an earlier post, it just doesn't seem logical, and the push value of the numbers that it crosses, doesn't seem to to generate enough positive EV, but you can't argue with your success.

I bet 2-team teasers in Las Vegas because of the favoriable push rules, tell me how do the online books handle a 2 team teaser when you are moving from -2 1/2 -130, instead of -2 1/2 -110 on one or both legs. Do they treat both bets the same? IE - Can you lay $110 to 100 on both?
 

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Certainly can't argue if you have had historical sucess with the play Akillies, as i talked about in an earlier post, it just doesn't seem logical, and the push value of the numbers that it crosses, doesn't seem to to generate enough positive EV, but you can't argue with your success.

I bet 2-team teasers in Las Vegas because of the favoriable push rules, tell me how do the online books handle a 2 team teaser when you are moving from -2 1/2 -130, instead of -2 1/2 -110 on one or both legs. Do they treat both bets the same? IE - Can you lay $110 to 100 on both?
yes. that is the one i am curious about cause u are getting a -3 fav at +3.5
and that is a big half pt. in this case, but like i said i have no data

i would tease GB now, as the ml is still very high
 

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possible candidates;

det 8.5
jac 11.5
stl 11.5
gb -1.5
sf -1

best to wait till noon
 

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