Valuebets said:The "Pinny Lean" is pretty much a grind but with good results. But I do notice if the line is +105/-112 (or more) and if you can get -107 or -110 with bonuses at other books, its a really good money making system.
Gas Man said:Heres a system. See what side Pinnacle has heavy juice on and thats the halftime play. Check it out, has to be like this or heavier..
Piston -4 (-117)
Bucks +4 (+103)
Works for sides and totals...
Pistons would be the play...it probably hits around 63-64%
LLXC13 said:Very difficult to keep up. Sometimes the juice will be on Detroit and then back to normal juice, etc.
Gas Man said:Do you use these numbers also?
Perfect example. Last week, Eagles vs Cowboys. Halftime line at Pinnacle was
Philly +5 -123
Dallas -5 +107
Dallas was down by six. Line made no sense, and they WANTED you to take Dallas. What happened? Philly wins the 2nd half by 14. 19 if you count the points!
cincy_ said:They weren't asking me to take Dallas. People like me who had the Eagles on the moneyline took Dallas to hedge our bets a little.
When HT lines shoot up, you have to go to scoresandodds to see the line movement - sometimes, its just people hedging or hoping for a middle.
Yesterday, a line went from -19 to -13 (forgot which game - maybe LaSalle or Bucknell). At halftime, major money was placed on the favorite because the were trailing. Why else would the line drop 6 points before the game, yet still have line movement towards the favorite at HT?
Quote:
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset">Originally Posted by Valuebets
The "Pinny Lean" is pretty much a grind but with good results. But I do notice if the line is +105/-112 (or more) and if you can get -107 or -110 with bonuses at other books, its a really good money making system.
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Well this topic seems to have shifted slightly...so
Are you talking about every sport?
Valuebets said:My observation of this is for almost all football and basketball, NFL, NCAAF, NBA, and NCAAB. It seems to work really well for game lines, half time lines, 2nd half lines, and quarter lines. I have over 50 plays since Dec. 1st and it's hitting at about 67%. I'm sure it won't last but I'll keep a look on it thru out the new year.
Quote:
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset">Originally Posted by Valuebets
My observation of this is for almost all football and basketball, NFL, NCAAF, NBA, and NCAAB. It seems to work really well for game lines, half time lines, 2nd half lines, and quarter lines. I have over 50 plays since Dec. 1st and it's hitting at about 67%. I'm sure it won't last but I'll keep a look on it thru out the new year.
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how close to gametime do you take the gameline?