2017 season underdogs 450 wins to 535 losses, up almost 32 units
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| 45.69% | Dog ML W | Dog ML L | UNITS |
| 450 | 535 | 31.63 |
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system still holding strong up 30+ units
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| 45.22% | Dog ML W | Dog ML L | UNITS |
| 511 | 619 | 30.46 |
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thats great, the issue you will run into long term is when we look at this over lets say a 10 year sample. Some years the dogs bark and parity is high. Remember back when the royals were a 50 win team and that young tigers team was crushing it. There have been season where the favorites, especially certain teams, they crush it 65%+. I think if you have any type of handicapping you could give yourself an edge here. Blindly on dogs or on favs, just won't work, cause Vegas know what they are doing.
I am pretty sure it is worst case a break even system in any year if you keep slightly incrementing your bets after losing day and back down slightly after each winning day. Never a cold long losing streak, impossible! Also in the NFL. I dont have documentation for it, but I would venture to say playing underdogs on the ML for Sunday+Monday night games all season long will guarantee you a profit.
The concrete facts are the 2017 results thus far - up over 36 units - better than any baseball system out there. There never will be even a week losing streak, so one can safely increment bets after a losing day. Even if the system comes close to break even, one can profit handsomely by incrementing/decrementing bets after each losing/winning day. Hilight black portion below to see #s
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| 45.42% | Dog ML W | Dog ML L | UNITS |
| 526 | 632 | 36.99 | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | 0 | 3.47 |
| Apr 3 | 2 | 9 | -6.95 |
| Apr 4 | 2 | 7 | -5.95 |
| Apr 5 | 7 | 5 | 3.2 |
| Apr 6 | 5 | 7 | -0.93 |
| Apr 7 | 9 | 6 | 5.4 |
| Apr 8 | 9 | 6 | 6.25 |
| Apr 9 | 7 | 8 | 1.41 |
| Apr 10 | 3 | 7 | -2.97 |
| Apr 11 | 3 | 9 | -4.8 |
| Apr 12 | 11 | 4 | 11.6 |
| Apr 13 | 6 | 5 | 0.8 |
| Apr 14 | 7 | 8 | 1.29 |
| Apr 15 | 5 | 10 | -2.92 |
| Apr 16 | 10 | 4 | 8.89 |
| Apr 17 | 3 | 7 | -2.32 |
| Apr 18 | 9 | 6 | 6.73 |
| Apr 19 | 4 | 10 | -5.59 |
| Apr 20 | 5 | 6 | 0.23 |
| Apr 21 | 8 | 7 | 2.15 |
| Apr 22 | 4 | 4 | 0.11 |
| Apr 23 | 5 | 8 | -1.39 |
| Apr 24 | 5 | 4 | 1.75 |
| Apr 25 | 3 | 8 | -4 |
| Apr 26 | 8 | 6 | 1.98 |
| Apr 27 | 4 | 7 | -1.54 |
| Apr 28 | 9 | 6 | 6.18 |
| Apr 29 | 7 | 6 | 3.39 |
| Apr 30 | 7 | 8 | -0.08 |
| May 1 | 9 | 2 | 10.73 |
| May 2 | 8 | 6 | 3.25 |
| May 3 | 4 | 10 | -5.19 |
| May 4 | 7 | 4 | 4.34 |
| May 5 | 6 | 9 | -1.25 |
| May 6 | 3 | 10 | -6.75 |
| May 7 | 6 | 8 | -1.51 |
| May 8 | 1 | 8 | -6.68 |
| May 9 | 9 | 7 | 3.94 |
| May 10 | 4 | 8 | -2.7 |
| May 11 | 5 | 5 | 2.67 |
| May 12 | 7 | 7 | 1.59 |
| May 13 | 5 | 9 | -2.27 |
| May 14 | 9 | 8 | 3.7 |
| May 15 | 2 | 6 | -4.68 |
| May 16 | 7 | 8 | 0.17 |
| May 17 | 2 | 12 | -9.31 |
| May 18 | 6 | 5 | -0.54 |
| May 19 | 10 | 5 | 8.32 |
| May 20 | 7 | 6 | 3.64 |
| May 21 | 8 | 8 | 0.8 |
| May 22 | 6 | 3 | 4.47 |
| May 23 | 4 | 10 | -4.4 |
| May 24 | 6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| May 25 | 3 | 7 | -3.34 |
| May 26 | 7 | 8 | 0.21 |
| May 27 | 7 | 9 | -0.75 |
| May 28 | 6 | 9 | -1.16 |
| May 29 | 5 | 10 | -0.73 |
| May 30 | 7 | 8 | 0.28 |
| May 31 | 4 | 9 | -3.89 |
| Jun 1 | 6 | 2 | 4.93 |
| Jun 2 | 8 | 7 | 1.77 |
| Jun 3 | 7 | 8 | 1.01 |
| Jun 4 | 5 | 10 | -4.6 |
| Jun 5 | 4 | 3 | 1.93 |
| Jun 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.87 |
| Jun 7 | 5 | 10 | -3.31 |
| Jun 8 | 4 | 8 | -2.28 |
| Jun 9 | 8 | 7 | 3.39 |
| Jun 10 | 6 | 11 | -2.6 |
| Jun 11 | 6 | 9 | 0.41 |
| Jun 12 | 4 | 5 | 0.59 |
| Jun 13 | 7 | 9 | -0.52 |
| Jun 14 | 8 | 7 | 3.9 |
| Jun 15 | 6 | 4 | 4.01 |
| Jun 16 | 7 | 8 | 0.38 |
| Jun 17 | 3 | 6 | -1.28 |
| Jun 18 | 7 | 8 | 0.31 |
| Jun 19 | 3 | 8 | -4.31 |
| Jun 20 | 5 | 10 | -2.69 |
| Jun 21 | 5 | 10 | -3.08 |
| Jun 22 | 4 | 8 | -2.04 |
| Jun 23 | 8 | 7 | 2.73 |
| Jun 24 | 7 | 8 | 0.82 |
| Jun 25 | 8 | 7 | 4.87 |
| Jun 26 | 2 | 6 | -2.46 |
| Jun 27 | 9 | 6 | 5.96 |
| Jun 28 | 8 | 7 | 3.65 |
| Jun 29 | 7 | 6 | 2.88 |
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up over 34 units, why play any other system??
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| 45.06% | Dog ML W | Dog ML L | UNITS |
| 565 | 689 | 34.48 |
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I grade per the Westgate line listed at DonBest (which I doubt changes within an hour of game time). The team favored on the run line is considered the favorite and the opposing team I bet/grade as the underdog.
With a combination of raising wager size by around 20% after losing days and backing down around 20% after winning days + bonuses + cash back for volume, I am up 60+ units
Betting flat, 2017 regular season underdogs are now up over 41 units
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| 45.19% | Dog ML W | Dog ML L | UNITS |
| 587 | 712 | 41.24 | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | 0 | 3.47 |
| Apr 3 | 2 | 9 | -6.95 |
| Apr 4 | 2 | 7 | -5.95 |
| Apr 5 | 7 | 5 | 3.2 |
| Apr 6 | 5 | 7 | -0.93 |
| Apr 7 | 9 | 6 | 5.4 |
| Apr 8 | 9 | 6 | 6.25 |
| Apr 9 | 7 | 8 | 1.41 |
| Apr 10 | 3 | 7 | -2.97 |
| Apr 11 | 3 | 9 | -4.8 |
| Apr 12 | 11 | 4 | 11.6 |
| Apr 13 | 6 | 5 | 0.8 |
| Apr 14 | 7 | 8 | 1.29 |
| Apr 15 | 5 | 10 | -2.92 |
| Apr 16 | 10 | 4 | 8.89 |
| Apr 17 | 3 | 7 | -2.32 |
| Apr 18 | 9 | 6 | 6.73 |
| Apr 19 | 4 | 10 | -5.59 |
| Apr 20 | 5 | 6 | 0.23 |
| Apr 21 | 8 | 7 | 2.15 |
| Apr 22 | 4 | 4 | 0.11 |
| Apr 23 | 5 | 8 | -1.39 |
| Apr 24 | 5 | 4 | 1.75 |
| Apr 25 | 3 | 8 | -4 |
| Apr 26 | 8 | 6 | 1.98 |
| Apr 27 | 4 | 7 | -1.54 |
| Apr 28 | 9 | 6 | 6.18 |
| Apr 29 | 7 | 6 | 3.39 |
| Apr 30 | 7 | 8 | -0.08 |
| May 1 | 9 | 2 | 10.73 |
| May 2 | 8 | 6 | 3.25 |
| May 3 | 4 | 10 | -5.19 |
| May 4 | 7 | 4 | 4.34 |
| May 5 | 6 | 9 | -1.25 |
| May 6 | 3 | 10 | -6.75 |
| May 7 | 6 | 8 | -1.51 |
| May 8 | 1 | 8 | -6.68 |
| May 9 | 9 | 7 | 3.94 |
| May 10 | 4 | 8 | -2.7 |
| May 11 | 5 | 5 | 2.67 |
| May 12 | 7 | 7 | 1.59 |
| May 13 | 5 | 9 | -2.27 |
| May 14 | 9 | 8 | 3.7 |
| May 15 | 2 | 6 | -4.68 |
| May 16 | 7 | 8 | 0.17 |
| May 17 | 2 | 12 | -9.31 |
| May 18 | 6 | 5 | -0.54 |
| May 19 | 10 | 5 | 8.32 |
| May 20 | 7 | 6 | 3.64 |
| May 21 | 8 | 8 | 0.8 |
| May 22 | 6 | 3 | 4.47 |
| May 23 | 4 | 10 | -4.4 |
| May 24 | 6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| May 25 | 3 | 7 | -3.34 |
| May 26 | 7 | 8 | 0.21 |
| May 27 | 7 | 9 | -0.75 |
| May 28 | 6 | 9 | -1.16 |
| May 29 | 5 | 10 | -0.73 |
| May 30 | 7 | 8 | 0.28 |
| May 31 | 4 | 9 | -3.89 |
| Jun 1 | 6 | 2 | 4.93 |
| Jun 2 | 8 | 7 | 1.77 |
| Jun 3 | 7 | 8 | 1.01 |
| Jun 4 | 5 | 10 | -4.6 |
| Jun 5 | 4 | 3 | 1.93 |
| Jun 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.87 |
| Jun 7 | 5 | 10 | -3.31 |
| Jun 8 | 4 | 8 | -2.28 |
| Jun 9 | 8 | 7 | 3.39 |
| Jun 10 | 6 | 11 | -2.6 |
| Jun 11 | 6 | 9 | 0.41 |
| Jun 12 | 4 | 5 | 0.59 |
| Jun 13 | 7 | 9 | -0.52 |
| Jun 14 | 8 | 7 | 3.9 |
| Jun 15 | 6 | 4 | 4.01 |
| Jun 16 | 7 | 8 | 0.38 |
| Jun 17 | 3 | 6 | -1.28 |
| Jun 18 | 7 | 8 | 0.31 |
| Jun 19 | 3 | 8 | -4.31 |
| Jun 20 | 5 | 10 | -2.69 |
| Jun 21 | 5 | 10 | -3.08 |
| Jun 22 | 4 | 8 | -2.04 |
| Jun 23 | 8 | 7 | 2.73 |
| Jun 24 | 7 | 8 | 0.82 |
| Jun 25 | 8 | 7 | 4.87 |
| Jun 26 | 2 | 6 | -2.46 |
| Jun 27 | 9 | 6 | 5.96 |
| Jun 28 | 8 | 7 | 3.65 |
| Jun 29 | 7 | 6 | 2.88 |
| Jun 30 | 7 | 6 | 3.09 |
| Jul 1 | 7 | 10 | -1.93 |
| Jul 2 | 4 | 11 | -4.82 |
| Jul 3 | 2 | 8 | -5.3 |
| Jul 4 | 7 | 8 | 1.82 |
| Jul 5 | 6 | 8 | 1.44 |
| Jul 6 | 6 | 6 | 3.19 |
| Jul 7 | 4 | 11 | -5.85 |
| Jul 8 | 9 | 6 | 5.71 |
| Jul 9 | 9 | 6 | 6.9 |
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The underdog wins the All Star game. I went back on Donbest and graded several weeks from various years at random. Not once was was there a week where blind underdog betting resulted in a significant loss. I can confidently say that this is a sure fire winning system in any regular season. Betting at optimal odds via books like 5dimes & Pinnacle, the system would perform even better, but then one would lose advantage of bonuses & cashback.
