yeah, ive sent them all to aflguru, he is away on a cruise until tuesday next week...
Ill post them here in this thread, thats not a problem.. if you move the thread, move it to the newbie room... i would have already posted in one thread but didnt know what room to use, since i am playing cbb/ncaaf/nfl for the most part.. ive played only one nba game with this and it was a loser..
17-10 (63%)
play for thurs: dec 22
28. navy/col st over 60.5
this is actually the first game that has moved against me..
Ill post them here in this thread, thats not a problem.. if you move the thread, move it to the newbie room... i would have already posted in one thread but didnt know what room to use, since i am playing cbb/ncaaf/nfl for the most part.. ive played only one nba game with this and it was a loser..
17-10 (63%)
play for thurs: dec 22
28. navy/col st over 60.5
this is actually the first game that has moved against me..
Like your thought process. This past fall, I took the exact opposite approach. I beleived that the more wagers at smaller amounts would grind me out a profit. I was betting $ 100-300 a game on a 10k bankroll (1-3%) and was betting 50-75 games a week. Well needless to say I had one of my worst stretches imaginable in mid oct thru late nov and a few weeks of losing 20 units and the stress level was unbearable.
May come back in spring and go with your theory (you do make it sound simpler than mine). I just always read and beleived that you want to take advantage of as many games as possibile and the more games you bet the more you won ( more volume = more $$) I may have been wrong.
May come back in spring and go with your theory (you do make it sound simpler than mine). I just always read and beleived that you want to take advantage of as many games as possibile and the more games you bet the more you won ( more volume = more $$) I may have been wrong.
OMT, you have always been one of my favorite posters on the rx. Is this your method. What % of your plays do you post. The reason I ask i see that you will go over a week between posts in certain sports on the tracker forum. Are you making more plays in these sports and not posting alot of them or are most of your plays you are making posted on here. You seem very perticular about betting alot of plays.
rjmole, great quote, i remember that now..
iceman, i have bet in every imaginable way over the last 19yrs... this is the simpliest -less stressful way that ive tried... if you dont know discipline, try this strategy and you will learn it... I spend lots more time with the family now as well... I try and look at it, as investing in one team or total daily..
as ive said, ive done this since nov 29th (aflguru can back all of this up) and i do not think that i can go back to the large volume of bets... it would seem weird to me now, to have 2 games going at the same time...
sitting and waiting on my game now (wife is shopping)...
iceman, i have bet in every imaginable way over the last 19yrs... this is the simpliest -less stressful way that ive tried... if you dont know discipline, try this strategy and you will learn it... I spend lots more time with the family now as well... I try and look at it, as investing in one team or total daily..
as ive said, ive done this since nov 29th (aflguru can back all of this up) and i do not think that i can go back to the large volume of bets... it would seem weird to me now, to have 2 games going at the same time...
sitting and waiting on my game now (wife is shopping)...
iceman, in case ted didnt see your question, ill answer for him.. He is a very selective handicapper that does not play daily. he plays football and basketball and takes the summers off.. He looks for his shots, doesnt matter as to how many plays he makes daily/weekly/monthly...
as for me, im looking for my best play daily, with the possibility of 5 plays on the weekend..
look at it this way, if you bet 5 games for 500 each and i bet 1 game for 500, you would need to go 4-1 to make more money than me (if i went 1-0).. 3-2 dont get you there.. 1-0 is better..
as for me, im looking for my best play daily, with the possibility of 5 plays on the weekend..
look at it this way, if you bet 5 games for 500 each and i bet 1 game for 500, you would need to go 4-1 to make more money than me (if i went 1-0).. 3-2 dont get you there.. 1-0 is better..
Jman, people write them off year after year... I hated losing Leo worse than anything... we do not have a leadoff hitter... i think its wideopen and they will be right in the thick of it... Edgar R. was a good pickup... I wish the guy that owns Home depot and the falcons would buy them...
I guess the key question would be "is 58% win pct attainable?", I say I don't think so but I may be wrong. Like OMT said I also think 55% win pct is possibile. 3% pct point drop(58% to 55%) would cut your profits by over 50%. I think if you think of this as a "yearly investment" and not trying to do this "full time", I 100% agree that your way is alot more logical and way less stressful. The stress was a killer the way I had approached it. I didn't like sweating out games all those games and the losing can really drag you down. I didn't bet alot of games because I wasn't disciplined enough not to or needed the action. I figured betting 2,500 games a year and if you had an edge ( a winning capper) you would eventually win, I now think that may be wrong and impossibile to do (2,500 games a year)
I'm counting the $100 games as 1 game and the $200 games as 2 games, 300 as 3 games, etc. college football saturdays 15 $100 plays and 5 $200 plays. On Sunday 3 $300 plays 5 $200 plays and 5 $100 plays= $5000 bet for week, just an example.World Number One said:
What most peolpe don't realize if you just place 10 $100 bets a week for 50 weeks out of year and win 54% (a good win%), you are only up $1,700 for the WHOLE year. You need to make alot of plays(turnover your bankroll alot of times) to grind out a profit.
This is a one of the greatest sportsbetting myths. If you're a good capper you should try to bang out as many plays as possible. If you're doing it for recreation and expect to lose, then sure, bet fewer games, but if you want to make more you gotta bet more games. Easier to go 55% over 2000 plays/year than 60% over 500 plays in a year. It's also more profitable.
I agree with D2Bets, logically speaking you will eventually reach 2000 bets if its 1 year or 6 years betting 1 game per day.
Other than keeping yourself more disciplined, I don't see why you would limit yourself to just one game...
The percentages aren't with you in this scenario, but I can understand wanting to focus and be more disciplined.
Other than keeping yourself more disciplined, I don't see why you would limit yourself to just one game...
The percentages aren't with you in this scenario, but I can understand wanting to focus and be more disciplined.
in theroy, id say that your right d2 but this doenst work for most people... because of the emotional factor, the 1-6 nights will emotionally wipe them out and lead to chasing and going on tilt... and in this business thats the downfall.......
in an indeal world --- people wouldnt chase but what happens on saturday, when you go 0-3 early.. people load up on the evening games... there is lots more to this business than numbers... the emotional aspect is the biggest factor (at least for me)..
in an indeal world --- people wouldnt chase but what happens on saturday, when you go 0-3 early.. people load up on the evening games... there is lots more to this business than numbers... the emotional aspect is the biggest factor (at least for me)..
