Best house to place political wagers

[Willie99]

Looking for

great options / choices
good lines
higher limits, at least a $ 500 maximum
obviously a reliable / solid book

Maybe one of my fellow Rxer's can point me in the right direction

Looking for stuff like;

Presidency
Electoral college
Control of the Senate
Specific Senate races
Control of the House

Like buying stocks after they've been tanked, it may be a great time to jump in

Probably get some hedge opportunities before it's over too

 

[bodyforlife]

Buy low, sell high. I like it. Admittedly, it can get you dizzy looking at all the options right now. It's only June and I'm already sick of it.

 

[bodyforlife]

Bovada has margin of victory on electoral votes, senate/house options, and winner by state, in addition to Presidental stuff.

 

[HarryCaray]

Check out predictit.org
Since you mentioned the stock market...lotta options and can trade your positions

 

[REDEYE]

Dimes has alot of those option.. the current electoral options are way out of whack imo.. Trump getting 14/1 with a margin of 100-149 electoral vote win..

 

[Willie99]

Bovada has margin of victory on electoral votes, senate/house options, and winner by state, in addition to Presidental stuff.

Check out predictit.org
Since you mentioned the stock market...lotta options and can trade your positions

Dimes has alot of those option.. the current electoral options are way out of whack imo.. Trump getting 14/1 with a margin of 100-149 electoral vote win..

Checked out the odds at Bovada, they have

Trump +100
Republican Senate -160
Republican House +250, I'm surprised this is not higher

What are their limits at Bovada? I'd have to log in and I can't log in this morning


As for predictit, what does Biden 54C and Trump 47C translate in to?

I'd have to reopen a 5dimes account, which I'll do if it's worth it

 

[HarryCaray]

As for predictit, what does Biden 54C and Trump 47C translate in to?

That's how much you can buy a share for. Share's are worth $1 if/when your position becomes reality. Well really like 97 cents I think after the commission they take. So if you bought 100 shares of Trump for $47 you would cash $97 if he wins. So like +106.

The coolest thing about it is you can sell before the event.

So if you bought 100 shares of Trump for $47 and the prices jumped to 60c Trump/40c Biden you could sell for $60.

Cool option for hedging a long shot if it becomes the favorite.

 

[REDEYE]

ics Other Sports		Money Line
<small>2020 US Presidential Election</small>
<cite>both must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election		<input name="M1_0" id="editx" size="4"> -110
8:00PM		102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election		<input name="M2_0" id="editx" size="4"> -110
<cite>any third party winner = no action</cite>
Tue 11/3		111 Republican wins Presidential Election		<input name="M1_1" id="editx" size="4"> +103
8:00AM		112 Democrat wins Presidential Election		<input name="M2_1" id="editx" size="4"> -123
Tue 11/3		113 Republican wins Presidential Election		<input name="M1_2" id="editx" size="4"> +104
8:00AM		114 Field wins Presidential Election		<input name="M2_2" id="editx" size="4"> -124
Tue 11/3		115 Democrat wins Presidential Election		<input name="M1_3" id="editx" size="4"> -125
8:00AM		116 Field wins Presidential Election		<input name="M2_3" id="editx" size="4"> +105
Tue 11/3		117 Libertarian wins Presidential Election		<input name="M1_4" id="editx" size="4"> +20000
8:00AM		118 Field wins Presidential Election		<input name="M2_4" id="editx" size="4"> -84000
Tue 11/3		119 Green wins Presidential Election		<input name="M1_5" id="editx" size="4"> +40000
8:00AM		120 Field wins Presidential Election		<input name="M2_5" id="editx" size="4"> -141000
Tue 11/3		121 Republican/Democrat wins Election		<input name="M1_6" id="editx" size="4"> -52500
8:00AM		122 Libertarian/Green wins Election		<input name="M2_6" id="editx" size="4"> +17500
<small>2020 US Presidential Election - Propositions</small>
<cite>total votes from 50 states + the District of Columbia</cite>
Tue 11/3		131 Donald Trump wins Popular Vote		<input name="M1_7" id="editx" size="4"> +290
8:00AM		132 Field wins Popular Vote		<input name="M2_7" id="editx" size="4"> -410
<cite>Donald J.Trump gets 270+ electoral votes and wins majority of popular vote</cite>
Tue 11/3		133 Trump wins Elections & Popular Vote		<input name="M1_8" id="editx" size="4"> +320
8:00AM		134 Any other result		<input name="M2_8" id="editx" size="4"> -460
<cite>Donald J.Trump won't get 270+ electoral votes and loses majority of popular vote</cite>
Tue 11/3		135 Trump loses Elections & Popular Vote		<input name="M1_9" id="editx" size="4"> +100
8:00AM		136 Any other result		<input name="M2_9" id="editx" size="4"> -140
<cite>Donald J.Trump gets 270+ electoral votes and loses majority of popular votes</cite>
Tue 11/3		137 Trump wins Elections loses Popular Vote		<input name="M1_10" id="editx" size="4"> +165
8:00AM		138 Any other result		<input name="M2_10" id="editx" size="4"> -215
<cite>Donald J.Trump won't get 270+ electoral votes and wins majority of popular votes</cite>
Tue 11/3		139 Trump loses Elections wins Popular Vote		<input name="M1_11" id="editx" size="4"> +1900
8:00AM		140 Any other result		<input name="M2_11" id="editx" size="4"> -5700
<small>United States Congress - Control of Senate & House of Representatives</small>
<cite>balance of power after the 2020 elections, the Vice President, in his role as ex officio President of the U.S. Senate, will be counted as a sitting U.S. senator.</cite>
Tue 11/3		191 DEM control House REP control Senate		<input name="M1_12" id="editx" size="4"> +100
8:00AM		192 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21		<input name="M2_12" id="editx" size="4"> -140
<cite>balance of power after the 2020 elections, the Vice President, in his role as ex officio President of the U.S. Senate, will be counted as a sitting U.S. senator.</cite>
Tue 11/3		193 Democrats control House & Senate		<input name="M1_13" id="editx" size="4"> +100
8:00AM		194 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21		<input name="M2_13" id="editx" size="4"> -140
<cite>balance of power after the 2020 elections, the Vice President, in his role as ex officio President of the U.S. Senate, will be counted as a sitting U.S. senator.</cite>
Tue 11/3		195 Republican control House & Senate		<input name="M1_14" id="editx" size="4"> +435
8:00AM		196 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21		<input name="M2_14" id="editx" size="4"> -705
<cite>balance of power after the 2020 elections, the Vice President, in his role as ex officio President of the U.S. Senate, will be counted as a sitting U.S. senator.</cite>
Tue 11/3		197 REP control House DEM control Senate		<input name="M1_15" id="editx" size="4"> +3750
8:00AM		198 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21		<input name="M2_15" id="editx" size="4"> -14250
<small>2020 US Presidential Election - Electoral College Winning Margin</small>
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		201 Trump wins by 280+ electoral votes		<input name="M1_16" id="editx" size="4"> +1100
8:00PM		202 Any other result		<input name="M2_16" id="editx" size="4"> -2300
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		203 Trump wins by 210-279 electoral votes		<input name="M1_17" id="editx" size="4"> +2800
8:00PM		204 Any other result		<input name="M2_17" id="editx" size="4"> -9600
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		205 Trump wins by 150-209 electoral votes		<input name="M1_18" id="editx" size="4"> +2100
8:00PM		206 Any other result		<input name="M2_18" id="editx" size="4"> -6300
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		207 Trump wins by 100-149 electoral votes		<input name="M1_19" id="editx" size="4"> +1300
8:00PM		208 Any other result		<input name="M2_19" id="editx" size="4"> -3000
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		209 Trump wins by 60-99 electoral votes		<input name="M1_20" id="editx" size="4"> +900
8:00PM		210 Any other result		<input name="M2_20" id="editx" size="4"> -1850
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		211 Trump wins by 30-59 electoral votes		<input name="M1_21" id="editx" size="4"> +1200
8:00PM		212 Any other result		<input name="M2_21" id="editx" size="4"> -2600
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		213 Trump wins by 10-29 electoral votes		<input name="M1_22" id="editx" size="4"> +1400
8:00PM		214 Any other result		<input name="M2_22" id="editx" size="4"> -3600
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		215 Trump wins by 1-9 electoral votes		<input name="M1_23" id="editx" size="4"> +1100
8:00PM		216 Any other result		<input name="M2_23" id="editx" size="4"> -2300
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action</cite>
Tue 11/3		217 Electoral College tied 269-269		<input name="M1_24" id="editx" size="4"> +2500
8:00PM		218 Electoral College not tied 269-269		<input name="M2_24" id="editx" size="4"> -7500
<cite>Trump & Biden must represent their respective party on Election Day, </cite>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[TomGshotput]

predictit is great. Lots of options. Often have low limits, but can come back every day and get more action, so might be able to get down as much you want between now and November. Could easily have six figures. Given the players involved, it's going to be very easy money. Even without the easy money from this presidential election, there have been some guys doing it as a full time job. Here's a good article on it (ignore the misleading headline): https://www.theringer.com/2018/3/21/17130490/predictit-politics-elections-gambling

 

[Willie99]

That's how much you can buy a share for. Share's are worth $1 if/when your position becomes reality. Well really like 97 cents I think after the commission they take. So if you bought 100 shares of Trump for $47 you would cash $97 if he wins. So like +106.

The coolest thing about it is you can sell before the event.

So if you bought 100 shares of Trump for $47 and the prices jumped to 60c Trump/40c Biden you could sell for $60.

Cool option for hedging a long shot if it becomes the favorite.

Cool, thanks for the explanation. Think I might try this option for the max, which I think might be $ 875 on "any position"

 

[Willie99]

predictit is great. Lots of options. Often have low limits, but can come back every day and get more action, so might be able to get down as much you want between now and November. Could easily have six figures. Given the players involved, it's going to be very easy money. Even without the easy money from this presidential election, there have been some guys doing it as a full time job. Here's a good article on it (ignore the misleading headline): https://www.theringer.com/2018/3/21/17130490/predictit-politics-elections-gambling

Thanks, also helpful

I even learned something from the link about the process, even though I don't agree with the author's take on the issues

 

[Willie99]

Thanks Red Eye, appreciate you providing odds and wagers that are out there

 

[Knightrofins]

Curious why Trump is -110 but Republican is +104?

why bet -110 if u could get +104

 

[REDEYE]

Curious why Trump is -110 but Republican is +104?

why bet -110 if u could get +104

Just in case one of these nominees don't get to finish line. Line is adjusted. Biden off the board improves chances I think the way this plays out

 

[Knightrofins]

Just in case one of these nominees don't get to finish line. Line is adjusted. Biden off the board improves chances I think the way this plays out

what I’m saying is that if u want to bet Trump. Why bet -110 when u could take the republican (Trump) at +104?

 

[REDEYE]

what I’m saying is that if u want to bet Trump. Why bet -110 when u could take the republican (Trump) at +104?

Yea. It does look like the better play. If you bet Trump , that bet is only in play if Biden is the nominee.. I guess for some , betting Trump against Biden might be the only selection you are interested in. Betting the Republican could get you the possibility of any other Dem replacement .

 

[Willie99]

what I’m saying is that if u want to bet Trump. Why bet -110 when u could take the republican (Trump) at +104?

-110 is Trump vs Biden and only Trump vs Biden

+104 is any Republican vs any Democrat

 

[Knightrofins]

-110 is Trump vs Biden and only Trump vs Biden

+104 is any Republican vs any Democrat

gotcha thx.

I wonder how many rx’ers will put their money where there mouth is.

Curious to know what the best bets on here are (from a realistic perspective)

 

[REDEYE]

gotcha thx.

I wonder how many rx’ers will put their money where there mouth is.

Curious to know what the best bets on here are (from a realistic perspective)

I've been betting Trump since last primaries. Got some good bets even for him to be in office on 1/18 , 1/19 and 1/20.

Currently holding Trump at +335 since 5/17 , some 2/1 bets , and a few more close to current odds. Picked off a few of the Dimes props . like the odds with big electoral wins.

 

[Willie99]

gotcha thx.

I wonder how many rx’ers will put their money where there mouth is.

Curious to know what the best bets on here are (from a realistic perspective)

I'm sending 2k to predictit, just have to sign up and figure out the best way to fund it