Bears at Patriots

[jaypaw]

I don't see much opinion out there on this game yet - maybe its because people don't realize its tomorrow night!

Pats are favored by 5 right now and I can see why - their defense has been unbelievable and Belecheck seems to be getting his point across to both Antoine Smith and Kevin Faulk with his continuing refusal to name a starter at running back.

Also Colvin and Washington having both been picked up from Chicago may play with a bit more punch in their game against the team they just left (if they play very long) plus Klecko has been quiet since that breakout game against the Giants, I'll be curious to see if he steps it up some with this being potentially his last chance to earn a roster spot.


In the regular season I'd take the pats here probably at -7.5 but since its preseason and I know better I decided to knock it down from -5 to -2.5... Given the history of the pats as favorites - regardless of whether or not its preseason - I think this time I'll stick my few cents in on them with a little insurance purchase of 2.5 points.

Anyone else agree ? Disagree?

[This message was edited by Jaypaw on August 26, 2003 at 02:38 PM.]

 

[KMAN]

Can't argue with your logic.

GL,
KMAN

 

[winbet]

Jaypaw,

Thanks for taking the time to post your thoughts on the Patriots, I certainly appreciate them.


I get the feeling they are being underrated by the books, although they have shortened up over the last month. I do not bet pre-season but I am looking closely at the Bills game, which might be a good play.

 

[Brock Landers]

The Bears backup's have been really bad so far, not that their starters are real good, but this definetly looks like a spot for the Pats to win by at least 7.

 

[DANWILSON]

Grossman should get alot of playing time at QB and he stinks out loud..totally lost..

 

[Oren1]

but how long will Brady be in for? 1 drive?

 

[olddog]

NE looks too obvious, so here's a different slant on this one: NE has played great in pre-seaon with nothing left to prove and are getting ready for Buffo. I'd guess that all NE starters will play little. I'm not sure Brady will play at all. "Huard, Davey and Kingsbury are expected to get the bulk of the playing time."

Kordell is going about 1 Q as is Chandler. In the second half you're looking at Davey and Kingsbury vs Grossman. I wouldn't spend -160 or -170 to buy this game down to 2 1/2. A td in garbage time may very well be the difference in this game.

Good luck whatever you decide.

 

[jaypaw]

no - Belichick is not that kind of coach.

Last week Brady played into the 3rd quarter at philly and I don't see why ho wouldnt play at least the full 1st half against the bears - unless its 40 - 0 by the end of the first quarter...

That bills game does look good - I have to believe that the line will move because the pats with 3 points sounds too good to be true.

 

[ger379]

Normally playing week 5 in the ex season is a bad idea as most coaches are trying to stay healthy and sort thru the scrubs....
BUT
Belichek is a Parcells protege and Parcells tried to win and cover every preseason game and so far at New England in week 5 Belichek is following suit
2000 +5.5 pts won 29-21
2001 -5.0 pts won 33-13
2002 +6.5 pts won 28-14

 

[jaypaw]

good points - I don't doubt that this is a possibility.

I do think that the pats defense is not likely to let much by them this game regardless - They all seem to be excited from top to bottom. If anything I think that Huard may throw another int for a TD like he did in Philly - but I dont know if the Bears D is as deep as the eagles is... also I wouldn't be suprised to see Rohan Davey go nuts in this game as it is probably the last time we will see him on the field in a long time.

Anything could happen and I could speculate all day but my bet is on the pats to win by at least a field goal.

As always in preseason its only for a small amount.

Keep the opinions coming guys.

 

[SixthSense]

My best preseason situation is on Chicago in this game, which is 56-12-2 and 2-0 this year. I will play Chicago if I can find some postive comments from Jauron, in terms of playing time. I belive Belichick said the starters won't play much at all. However, I'm also very aware of what Belichick likes to achieve during the preseason.

Anyway, from a situational standpoint, this game screams Chicago but I need to have better information before I can play it. GL.

 

[Oren1]

the 3rd week of preseason is generally the game that teams try to get 2 or more solid quarters out of their starters. This week is almost a week off for the starters for some teams. It sounds like Brady will be in for one or two drives, possibly the entire 1st quarter or less. I haven't seen any Bears games so I don't really have an angle on this one. I'd lean towards the +185 money line on the Bears actually, and hope that the Patriots take the week off.

 

[bosox1086]

Agree Oren. Like others have said I like the Pats week 1 versus the Bills more. Belichek owns Bledsoe. I will take the money line as the P-Men will win easy.

 

[whormoan]

Kingsbury was put on IR, so take him oout of your betting equation.

 

[jaypaw]

Good about Kingsbury...

Good luck all

 

[NEWPORT]

JAYPAW....I agreee with the Davey comment,this is his money game,and he might really go off tonight. I know itis pre-season, ut trust from aNew ENglander...

The PATRIOTS are focused this year. They can close this gameout with their depth.

PATRIOTS -5 AND OEVR 35

 

[jaypaw]

Cool at least someone agrees with me.

I saw Davey in Foxboro against the Giants and he really impressed me. Huard is a washed-up back-up...

I wouldnt be suprised if Davey beats out Huard for that job.

 

[Oren1]

I agree that the Patriots look very good in the preseason so far, so Patriots -5 doesn't look bad over a questionable Bears squad. But, being that the game's going to be left in the hands of 2nd/3rd/4th stringers, the Bears moneyline looks tempting as well. Seeing Tampa Bay come out strong and apparently loose it's focus lately makes me think the Patriots could drop this one as well. I might put a few bucks on it just for kicks, but expect the Pats to prevail.

 

[jaypaw]

Wow that looks like a change of heart somewhat...

I think that 2nd 3rd and 4th stringers make for some good competition especially when its their last chance to make a statement. I know that reading into that too much can get a bit overboard but like you said - this pats team has looked very good in preseason.

Being a boston area sports fan though deep down I know there is a very good chance that they will just plain blow this one. So you may have a point there going after that Bears moneyline.

Still on paper the pats should just blow away the bears here. I bought the points to -2.5 just because I think its a solid bet. Chances are they'll win by more but buying 2.5 points didnt really cost me that much and I think its worth the insurance.

Good luck oren - keep posting those opinions!

 

[ChuckSims]

I watched the Bears against the Cardinals a few days ago. The Cards look like they are super bowl bound. Or are Bears that bad. I'll go with the latter. I took the Pats on the moneyline.