BAWG 2004

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]
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MNF Play
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]Another "juice" day as two regulars miss..but Bankrol Buster gets back on track and hits as Houston and Minn go over...Wanndestat does a very nice job of getting tricky atthe 1/2 yard lne on second and goal an fumble and sack kills my back door cover

down 3 units for week..primarily juice and the one Parlay i did


Tonight like one play in Mnf....looking to finsih just on plus side....

Titans +3.5 vs Packers....................5 dimes

Really like this play alot but don;t ant to over extend onlast day of betting week
Titans come in beat up and off a road loss to Sd last week..but McNair is back adn the rest did him very well......the offense will feel some breathing room as they have faced the Fins, Jags and Indy ..all pretty good defensive teams...especially the Jags and Fins............CBrown will be able to run through sem pretty good gaps tonight and the titan offense stil has Mason.......the titans have moved the ball very welll this seaosn..just having trouble getting nto the end zone

Alot of cappers talkigabout Lambeau this and that and Pakcers CAN in no way lose three in a row at Home...well it happens and teams fall in ahurry..many people have lost tons thonking the Cornhuskers two years ago....were going to turn around and win......Nfl is no mercy and the Packers are quite honestly not that good of a team....

I feel Fabre is mentally burnt, another death in the family, concussion issues and the fact he knos his team is not super bowl calubur so far, yet there is so much seaosn left ...he is spent..........Green wil run strong but i don;t htinkt his offense is clicking yet

Fisher will have his troops ready...Fisher is one of the bets preparers int he game and the mantra all week has been defense.........Rolle wil put the locks on Driver and Walker and look for Bullock it he middle will keep Green on check in the creen pasisng game.............with both teams back against the wall..i feel the titans have een thinking football alittle more this week without all the distractions, with Mcnair back and ready to play...look for Titams to unleash a 31 point barrage and win by 4 here
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[font=Verdana, Arial]Last edited by Bawg on 10-11-2004 at 06:58 PM[/font]

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dazzle said:
YTD 98-89-1

52.12765 %
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]

[font=Verdana, Arial]Senior Member[/font]
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Ncaa Wed
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]Nice easy monday night winner put me in the rinner circle for the week at a modest +2 units.


Start off with this small play ...no time for anlaysis

WVirg/Uconn Over 50 points.............................5 dimes

Wvirginia iwll not be flat two games ina row and Ucoon end King is out and thats hould oopen up the swing pass and end around game......
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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]

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Ncaa Thursday
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]Push city last night as Wv/Uconn sit on 50.....Meir's ropped pass and the fact uconn did not attempt a 32 yard fg early in the 4th kiled the over........not realy mad about the going for the two point conversion because i would of done the ssme thing at that point in the game



Tonight like One play...........will have large play tommorow and one on Sunday

LVille +9 vs Miami.....................................5 dimes

I like this spot for LVille...ist a big game for Bo Petrino as they have a legit shot to knock off the Canes and soulidifyy thier seaosn......
The Cards come in with a strog defense and great LB's..Mcune and Johnson fly all around the ball and should be able to keep Gore and Moss form breaking big nes.........Rhodes is the leader of this defense at safety and thats key vs Miami..because the saftey will make sure no big plays are happening on hsi watch...the Canes offensive game sputters with Berlin and he is not accurate at all............Parish is a great Wr but he seems to get frustrated when balls are coming his way and i expect Petrino to have agme plan to keep the ball away from Parrish

Offensively the team is led by leflors who is the typical LVille short game passing guru.......jr Russell is good wr and will draw some attention which choul open up some underneath stuff for Bush and Shelton...Shelton is the key here..he can run tough and if Lville sticsk with shelton, even though he may not be getting very good yardage, he will wear out Miami.........and maybe breka a big one

LVille comes in trying to learn from what Houston did a few Thursdays ago......Houston kept it tight but really did not have a defnse to make any stops...Lville does haev the defnese to stop thier opponents and only yield 7 points agame which is amazing because they have had so many blowouts..evene in prevent thier good.........if the Cards can grab 2-3 turnovers, get the ball to russell at least 4-6 times and keep themselves within 3rd and 4...i thinkt his club could possibly upset Miam...eithe way i see a 23-20 game..............
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Dazzle... I am going to help you out. You do not count Pushes as Ties. Pushes are NO BETS, so you cannot count that towards his record. His percentage should be higher. I am going to post what his percentage should be. Obviously after reading the posts you must have an agenda. The guy may grate on peoples nerves, but you must be fair.

PUSHES are NOT TIES


Bawgs percentage is 52% (.52406)
 

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]
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Friday Ncaa BANKROLL BUSTER
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]Nice win for Lvill last night and have done well as usual on nights where only one game is on this year....

Really pressed for time as need to get to airport ........so here is my large Ncaa play for Friday


Tcu +7 vs UAB................................10 dimes

Tcu woke up alst week vs Army and again we have anothe team who is a make or breaks ituation..Tcu wins.they keep CUsa hopes afloat...lose and they are inthe also ran category...Hassell and Hobbs have been the main show and look for DePriest to make some big catches......Tcu held a decent Army offense in check and Coach patterson has some of the kids buying into his system as they aree working otu the kinks..........

Look for Tcu to grab a 3 point win as they have notoriusly done well on national Tv games.............
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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]
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Saturday Ncaa...3 regular plays
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]Tcu bombs out after first quarter, and reall kicking myself as i was looking at over....but i relaly thought tcu did was going to step up and Uab needed the game as well..........but aid off andback dow for the week...

-5.7 for the week (my book has gone to 7% juice on all football)


3 Regular plays

Min/Mich St Over 52.5..................5 dimes
Nebraska -23 vs Baylor..........................5 dimes
Tulane/Memphis Over 56.....................5 dimes
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[/font][font=Verdana, Arial]adding one play

Wisky+7 vs Purdue......................5 dimes
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YTD 103-90-2

53.367874 %

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]
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[font=Verdana, Arial]Registered: Aug 2001
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Nfl Sunday..3 plays One BBuster
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]Nice 4=0 nca saturdaya nd back in the black


Like 3 nfl plays..and one large

BankBuster

Wash+1 vs Chicago....................10 dimes

Regular
Seattle +3.5 vs Ne.........................5 dimes

Carolina+9 vs Phili........................5 dimes


Skins have thier backs to the wall........and just like the Titans on Monday...this is ther make or break game so far...they have a bye next week and Gibbs owuldlove to gett his troops a win so they won;t have two weks to think about it.........The Skins should gets em running room for Portis......and if Burnell can move around the

the skins defesne has been fair and against Quinn and the wr=less bears...the skins should be bale to bottle up the bears....If Portiscan geta crease or two....and Coles and Gardner can combine for 12 cathes....i se too much offense for the Bears to keep up with..even i its only 20 points
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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]
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Mnf Play
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]1-2 but hit Bankroll buster so just lose soem juice and still up around 14 units this week...

Like this one lay but will kepp it regular so i can assure second straijt winning week after one of my worst evers

TBay+6.5 vs StLou.................5 dimes


Rams come in sky high after comeback win over seattle but Bucs also nailed thier first W vs the Sainst in NO last weekend............Bucs know that this is the key game because teams lie KC and Tenn seemingly got back on track only to lose this weekend and really put thier seaosn almost on ice.....Tbay knows a win here could get them ina position where 2-3 game win streak gets you over .500..Griese is mobile and is the blend of Brad Johsnon and Simms...more accurate than Simms and more mobile than BJ............Pittams gives the bucs that Faulk type back.........the defese should criss cross bulger into a few mistakes.........a lsower larger Steven Jackson will not have the same effect ont he bucs as they are quick to the ball..........

Rams this, rams that...but i think the bucs come in.....lay low for the first hald and trailing by 7 in the 3rd get abig lay to tie it upa nd it becomes a fg 4th quarter...3 point game either way
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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=4 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top noWrap width=175 bgColor=#f7f7f7>[font=Verdana, Arial]Bawg[/font]
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Ncaa Thursday
[/font] [font=Verdana, Arial]Nice profit week as finish at +9 units...and have had two "black " weeks ina row...even though i lost both Monday and sunday night game...really made my hay with large saturday

Look to contnue some modest success on Thursdays with one play


Sycuse/WVirg UNDER 50.5.....................5 dimes

The line keeps climbing but I am not buying its being moved up by "wiseguys"...Sycuse needs a big win its cap and Pascurelli will use Reyes heavy here to keep the big plays to a minimum...Patterson is a basically a "don't lose it for us Qb"...with 3 td's and 5 pics in some blowout and high scoring games...it shows that even in a possible shootout he doesnt pass.......

WVirg may or maynot have Harris ands last week they struggled without him...the Mountaineers scored on a lob pass from Marshall and a Kicked ball int for a td...thats tsuff own;t happen again.......Rodiriguez will keep the game plan simple for Marshall ans they wil use a lot of QB Keepers

The key here is the Orangmen "so called" success........they think by keeping it close vs Fla State..they are primed for a real run..bottom line is Seminols were playing at half spee and took the Cuse lighlty..Pascurelli will have this team hyped to stay close early and just punish the ball and try to sap all energy out of this crowd....i look for a lot of runs early ..some 4-5 minutes drives with no scores...with the Cuse not being a big play team..i don;t see many fast scores on either side......this game should land in the mid 40's
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