You don't think "hoping for chance" will do well against McCain's specific plans?
Now with that said, I think if McCain takes a 10 point lead after the RNC, that's significant.
Whatever.
A friend of mine has crunched the numbers from the left-of-center website fivethirtyeight.com based on the trending state-by-state over the last 6 weeks. He predicts McCain will win 290 electoral votes to Obama's 248.
Races in close states:
McCain will win in: New Hampshire, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Colorado, Montana
Obama will win in: Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada
How sweet it would be.