Bad Cat's Weekly Power Rankings & Predictions

[Acebb]

bad cat,
I'm confused. Is the 'predictive line' the actual line for the game or the differential from the vegas line?

For example, in Tuesday's game you had just over 4 for Ark State and said that was your line. But this chart in post #19 has Baylor -3.95 and Ohio State -0.15

???

 

[Bad_Cat]

bad cat,
I'm confused. Is the 'predictive line' the actual line for the game or the differential from the vegas line?

For example, in Tuesday's game you had just over 4 for Ark State and said that was your line. But this chart in post #19 has Baylor -3.95 and Ohio State -0.15

???

The predictive line is MY line. What I think the line should be. As far as Baylor is concerned I have Baylor winning by 4, not the current line of 21. That differential would suggest to play against Baylor.

 

[Bad_Cat]

bad cat,
I'm confused. Is the 'predictive line' the actual line for the game or the differential from the vegas line?

For example, in Tuesday's game you had just over 4 for Ark State and said that was your line. But this chart in post #19 has Baylor -3.95 and Ohio State -0.15

???

Based on my predictive line tonight North Texas should only be getting about 22-23, not 34, so that would suggest to play North Texas.

 

[indiana]

B/cat.........thank you for your time on the college ............BOL this week..........indy

 

[Lando21]

TEAM	PREDICTIVE LINE
Kentucky	-0.04
W. Kentucky	-22.49
Stanford	-4.43

NCAA WK 7	BC PR	CURR LINE	DIF CURR	VALUE
KENTUCKY v AUBURN	-0.04	1.5	-1.54
WESTERN KENTUCKY v N TEXAS	-22.49	-34	11.51	N TEX
STANFORD v UCLA	-4.43	-7	2.57

**Current lines from Vegasinsider
** Bad-Cat recommends playing dfference of 10

 

[Lando21]

TEAM	PREDICTIVE LINE
BYU	-4.52
Houston	-6.99
Boise State	-8.06
Fresno State	-6.70

NCAA WK 7	BC PR	CURR LINE	DIF CURR	VALUE
BYU v CINCINNATI	-4.52	-6.5	1.98
HOUSTON U v TULANE	-6.99	-19.5	12.51	TULANE
BOISE ST v UTAH STATE	-8.06	-9.5	1.44
FRESNO STATE v UNLV	-6.70	6.5	-13.2	FRESNO ST

 

[Bad_Cat]

B/cat.........thank you for your time on the college ............BOL this week..........indy

NP good luck Indana

 

[Bad_Cat]

10+ Point Differential Selections

Thursday, 10/15/2015

North Texas +34, -110 (11.51 point value)

 

[Lando21]

NCAA WK 7	BC PR	CURR	DIF CURR	VALUE
TEMPLE v CENTRAL FLORIDA	-22.94	-21.5	-1.44
CENTRAL MICHIGAN v BUFFALO	-4.45	-6.5	2.05
GEORGIA SOUTHERN v N MEXICO STATE	-22.26	-29	6.74
BALL STATE v GEORGIA STATE	-4.96	-14.5	9.54
CLEMSON v BOSTON COLLEGE	-7.80	-15.5	7.7
SYRACUSE v VIRGINIA	-10.94	7	-17.94	SYRACUSE
NORTH CAROLINA v WAKE FORST	-5.14	-17	11.86	WAKE
NEVADA v WYOMING	-2.97	-6.5	3.53
KENT STATE v MASSACHUSETTS	-3.83	7	-10.83	KENT ST
NO ILLINOIS v MIAMI OHIO	-20.86	-15.5	-5.36
AIR FORCE v COLORADO STATE	-10.49	-3	-7.49
ALABAMA v TEXAS A&M	-8.25	-4.5	-3.75
FLORIDA v LSU	-0.38	9	-9.38
MINNESOTA v NEBRASKA	-4.79	-2	-2.79
GEORGIA v MISSOURI	-4.53	-16	11.47	MIZZOU
KANSAS STATE v OKLAHOMA	-2.24	4.5	-6.74
VIRGINIA TECH v MIAMI FLA	-15.16	4.5	-19.66	VA TECH
MICHIGAN v MICHIGAN STATE	-13.92	-8.5	-5.42
RUTGERS v INDIANA			0
TROY v IDAHO	-6.92	-12.5	5.58
TEX SAN ANTONIO v SO MISSISSIPPI	-2.51	9	-11.51	UTSA
APPALACHIAN ST v UL MONROE	-15.97	-11	-4.97
OLD DOMINION v CHARLOTTE	-6.18	-7	0.82
SOUTH CAROLINA v VANDERBILT	-5.60	-2.5	-3.1
WASHINGTON ST v OREGON STATE	-4.66	-8	3.34
UTAH v ARIZONA STATE	-8.48	-6.5	-1.98
ARIZONA v COLORADO	-2.67	-8	5.33
AKRON v BOWLING GREEN	-7.71	11.5	-19.21	AKRON
TCU v IOWA STATE	-9.43	-20.5	11.07	IOWA ST
NOTRE DAME v USC	-2.25	-6.5	4.25
OHIO STATE v PENN STATE	-0.15	-17	16.85	PENN ST
NEW MEXICO v HAWAII	-12.58	-5.5	-7.08
SAN JOSE ST v SAN DIEGO ST	-1.92	-2.5	0.58
WASHINGTON v OREGON	-5.81	-3	-2.81
TOLEDO v EASTERN MICHIGAN	-9.34	-29	19.66	E MICH
MARSHALL v FLORIDA ATLANTIC	-15.90	-6.5	-9.4
CONNECTICUT v SOUTH FLORIDA	-2.32	-2.5	0.18
MIDDLE TENN ST v FLORIDA INTL	-0.10	-9	8.9
WISCONSIN v PURDUE	-9.98	-23.5	13.52	PURDUE
IOWA v NORTHWESTERN	-6.03	-2	-4.03
TEXAS TECH v KANSAS	-20.83	-31	10.17	KAN
LOUISIANA TECH v MISSISSIPPI ST	-1.72	13.5	-15.22	LA TECH
OHIO v WESTERN MICHIGAN	-12.20	-4	-8.2
PITTSBURGH v GEORGIA TECH	-8.63	3.5	-12.13	PITT
BAYLOR v WEST VIRGINIA	-3.95	-21.5	17.55	W VA
EAST CAROLINA v TULSA	-14.46	-13	-1.46
FLORIDA STATE v LOUISVILLE	-5.58	-7	1.42
MISSISSIPPI v MEMPHIS	-14.38	-10.5	-3.88
** Lines from VEGASINSIDER.COM

FALSE FAVS (Favs in BC's Predictive line but not in Vegas line) CUSE KENT ST FLORIDA UTSA AKRON LA TECH VALUE > 10 N TEXAS TULANE FRESNO ST W FOREST KENT ST MIZZOU UTSA IOWA ST PURDUE KANSAS PITT

VALUE > 15

CUSE

VA TECH

AKRON

PENN ST

E MICH

LA TECH

W VA

 

[Lando21]

10+ Point Differential Selections

Thursday, 10/15/2015

North Texas +34, -110 (11.51 point value)

Thanks BC for your work !!!! Spreadsheet won't work without your numbers!

 

[mudman]

Thanks for sharing, and BOL to you.

 

[Acebb]

The predictive line is MY line. What I think the line should be. As far as Baylor is concerned I have Baylor winning by 4, not the current line of 21. That differential would suggest to play against Baylor.

Got it. The #'s for Baylor & Ohio St were big differentials so I wanted to make sure I was reading it correctly.

Thanks

 

[Bad_Cat]

Got it. The #'s for Baylor & Ohio St were big differentials so I wanted to make sure I was reading it correctly.

Thanks

I understand. Not a problem.

 

[lionking]

I rarely bet on my team (penn state) but I think the money line has a ton of value this week. Not saying they win but I think a ML play has value...definitely taking the 17.5.....

 

[Bad_Cat]

I rarely bet on my team (penn state) but I think the money line has a ton of value this week. Not saying they win but I think a ML play has value...definitely taking the 17.5.....

Based on my ratings I would agree.

 

[Lando21]

Anyone interested in spreadsheet, here is the link. Just have to update CURRENT LINES.

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/0uefpi0zunpggmm/AADoiimG7FWtm_ETCj_Vab_Ga?dl=0

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Hey Cat, how has your college ratings done so far this season on 10+ differential?

Or the other games as well when you make them.a play......TIA!

 

[Lando21]

Hey Cat, how has your college ratings done so far this season on 10+ differential?

Or the other games as well when you make them.a play......TIA!

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1029127&page=5&p=11263957#post11263957
Post #107

5-1 to week 3!
Week 4 had no +10 differentials
Week 5 BC didnt post his PR
Week 6 has 18 +10 dif.

6-1 so far with N Tex winning last night

 

[Lando21]

FRIDAY CFB

NCAA WK 7	BC PR	CURR	DIF CURR	VALUE
BYU v CINCINNATI	-4.52	-4	-0.52
HOUSTON U v TULANE	-6.99	-20.5	13.51	TULANE
BOISE ST v UTAH STATE	-8.06	-7.5	-0.56
FRESNO STATE v UNLV	-6.70	5	-11.7	FRESNO ST

*FRESNO ST IS A FALSE FAV! Meaning that according to BC's PR, Fresno should be favorite by -6.70

 

[Bad_Cat]

Tulane and Fresno State are plays tonight. Thanks Lando for your help.