Bad Cat's Power Ratings & Official Plays

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Week 3 Power Ratings

Please be aware of recent injured starters, ie, Dallas (T. Romo). My power ratings do not make adjustments to the lines for a specific player injury. You will have to determine the value of that particular player and adjust the line yourself. That is why my power ratings have Dallas as a 7 point favorite at home versus the Falcons. That is assuming that all critical starters are playing, which we know isn't the case. This week looks like we have a few lines that my power ratings don't agree with and that have pretty good value. I won't be posting my official plays until Thursday. If you have any questions about a certain line feel free to ask.

NY Giants -6

St. Louis -1/2

Minnesota -1 1/2

Houston -8

NY Jets -3 1/2

Carolina -6

New England -16 1/2

Baltimore -1 1/2

Cleveland -4 1/2

Indianapolis -3

Dallas -7

Arizona -8

Seattle -14

Miami -4

Denver -4

Green Bay -7
 

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Very solid work here BC, thank you for the hard work. You're one of a few rxers I stop by to read and gather most of the infos before I made my plays. BOL this week! Hopefully we both are on the same fence =)
 

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Very solid work here BC, thank you for the hard work. You're one of a few rxers I stop by to read and gather most of the infos before I made my plays. BOL this week! Hopefully we both are on the same fence =)
Thanks and good luck to you. Don't hesitate to share your thoughts about my picks, or yours for that matter, anytime.
 

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Week 3 Power Ratings

Please be aware of recent injured starters, ie, Dallas (T. Romo). My power ratings do not make adjustments to the lines for a specific player injury. You will have to determine the value of that particular player and adjust the line yourself. That is why my power ratings have Dallas as a 7 point favorite at home versus the Falcons. That is assuming that all critical starters are playing, which we know isn't the case. This week looks like we have a few lines that my power ratings don't agree with and that have pretty good value. I won't be posting my official plays until Thursday. If you have any questions about a certain line feel free to ask.

NY Giants -6

St. Louis -1/2

Minnesota -1 1/2

Houston -8

NY Jets -3 1/2

Carolina -6

New England -16 1/2

Baltimore -1 1/2

Cleveland -4 1/2

Indianapolis -3

Dallas -7

Arizona -8

Seattle -14

Miami -4

Denver -4

Green Bay -7


What specific factors go into rating the Texans as an 8 point favorite? I am a huge Texans fan and I just don't see it. Their O-line is devastated from injury, Arian foster isn't confirmed to be back, and besides doing well against the run their D is not nearly as good as expected.
 

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What specific factors go into rating the Texans as an 8 point favorite? I am a huge Texans fan and I just don't see it. Their O-line is devastated from injury, Arian foster isn't confirmed to be back, and besides doing well against the run their D is not nearly as good as expected.

Many factors go into my power ratings. I can't give you one specific answer on that. All I can do is say based on the information that I have that's the power rating I assigned to that particular game.
 

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FYI I have Dallas as a 7 point favorite as a healthy team. Based on the current line and injuries I believe the adjustment of 9 points is simply too much. I have them as my top play this week, even though all plays are rated the same risk amount. Carolina is my last side play as far as strength is concerned to find itself on my card. Houston and Arizona, in that order, narrowly missed as a play for me. Good luck this week.
 

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B/cat..........appreciate your thoughts.............BOL this week end...............indy
 

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Good luck tonight!

I might cross over to the dark side, ha ha. This looks to be a tough game to cap. People I respect on both sides and the line is holding steady at -3. Trying to wait a little longer. Might buy back on this one and swap Giants. BOL!
 

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