Adding:
#118 East Carolina +12 This is strictly a coaching play as I made the line +11.5. Houston is a talented HC and I think with a weekday home game, he can have a solid enough gameplay to keep this game relatively close. ECU offense is a concern, so he's going to have to get creative on that side of the ball probably. Expecting some 4th down goes and some trickeration.
#118 East Carolina +12 This is strictly a coaching play as I made the line +11.5. Houston is a talented HC and I think with a weekday home game, he can have a solid enough gameplay to keep this game relatively close. ECU offense is a concern, so he's going to have to get creative on that side of the ball probably. Expecting some 4th down goes and some trickeration.
Man, I rarely complain but I have to tell you it's been hard to string wins together. 2 great bets both bet at the peak of market timing, I can't do it much better than that. Looks like I'm going to beat the close on 5 of 6 games I released for Saturday too but it's not translating to wins.
Was waiting for the market peak on these as well but looks like this is it. Will add if again if things change
Adding for 10-14-23
#151 Iowa St. +5
#216 Notre Dame -2.5 (-115)
#162 Georgia Southern/James Madison over 59.5
Was waiting for the market peak on these as well but looks like this is it. Will add if again if things change
Adding for 10-14-23
#151 Iowa St. +5
#216 Notre Dame -2.5 (-115)
#162 Georgia Southern/James Madison over 59.5
Feel like the capping was much better last week. One of the things I've liked the most since beginning to post here at The RX is reading some of the other posters who like to contribute more content than I do. Some of it is interesting to read. This week another poster decided to release some really early plays too and it was insightful to see how we noted some of the same lines, although we'll be on opposite sides.
Getting after it early this week:
#304 Jacksonville St. +7.5 (-120) I give them a legitimate shot to win this game SU and will have a ML wager as well.
#314 Marshall +4 My numbers keep putting me on Marshall. This will be a strange, unfamiliar road trip for JMU and Marshall is a difficult place to play. JMU has played well but in their 3 road victories they've won by 1, 2, & 7 points and in terms of total yardage were even, -31, and +12. The Marshall defense is better than it's shown and they have the superior ground game. Give me the running home dog with a fired up, couch burning, home crowd excited for the National TV spotlight on a Thursday.
#395 Mississippi St. +7.5 (-120)
#395 Miss. St./Arkansas over 50 Catching Arkansas off a physical, close loss to Alabama and off 5 consecutive tightly contested games, they can't wait to get to their bye week next week. Miss. St. is off their bye and hopefully will have some injured players back and time to create a defensive gameplay that helps their beleaguered defense some. Should be some points scored in this one, with back-n-forth offensive successes.
#375 Colorado St. +7.5 (-120)
#375 Colorado St./UNLV over 60.5 Colorado St. has played much better since their QB switch and will bring an offense here that can match UNLV's. The Rebels, outside of Michigan, have played vs some of the weakest offenses in the country and the Rams WILL be able to both play up-tempo with them and match their scoring ability. Rams catch UNLV off a rivalry game and with one of the weakest home field advantages in the NCAA. Catching more than a TD here is important and both of these teams should get into the mid-30's. I made the total 63.4 and would have considered playing over that number.
#341 Duke +14 I think this number is going to slip though the +14 and this will be a wagering "sharps vs squares" type game.
Getting after it early this week:
#304 Jacksonville St. +7.5 (-120) I give them a legitimate shot to win this game SU and will have a ML wager as well.
#314 Marshall +4 My numbers keep putting me on Marshall. This will be a strange, unfamiliar road trip for JMU and Marshall is a difficult place to play. JMU has played well but in their 3 road victories they've won by 1, 2, & 7 points and in terms of total yardage were even, -31, and +12. The Marshall defense is better than it's shown and they have the superior ground game. Give me the running home dog with a fired up, couch burning, home crowd excited for the National TV spotlight on a Thursday.
#395 Mississippi St. +7.5 (-120)
#395 Miss. St./Arkansas over 50 Catching Arkansas off a physical, close loss to Alabama and off 5 consecutive tightly contested games, they can't wait to get to their bye week next week. Miss. St. is off their bye and hopefully will have some injured players back and time to create a defensive gameplay that helps their beleaguered defense some. Should be some points scored in this one, with back-n-forth offensive successes.
#375 Colorado St. +7.5 (-120)
#375 Colorado St./UNLV over 60.5 Colorado St. has played much better since their QB switch and will bring an offense here that can match UNLV's. The Rebels, outside of Michigan, have played vs some of the weakest offenses in the country and the Rams WILL be able to both play up-tempo with them and match their scoring ability. Rams catch UNLV off a rivalry game and with one of the weakest home field advantages in the NCAA. Catching more than a TD here is important and both of these teams should get into the mid-30's. I made the total 63.4 and would have considered playing over that number.
#341 Duke +14 I think this number is going to slip though the +14 and this will be a wagering "sharps vs squares" type game.
Ok, enough line movement here for me to bite. I think we'll see plenty of yards but maybe then points don't translate as well. Bad kicking game for UTEP, etc. Rivalry game aspect should have the teams motivated and also the fact that both teams will see this as a winnable game, something these two programs have not seen too often over the last few years.
#309 NMSU/UTEP under 49.5
#309 NMSU/UTEP under 49.5
Wanted just a bit more.........but this will do
#104 Western Kentucky +4.5 This WKU team not nearly as good as past editions but neither is this Liberty squad. WKU owns the two best season performances, a win vs USF and a 3 pt loss at Troy. Liberty has played a ridiculously soft schedule and their best outing is a win at Jaxville St. Willing to take the points and see if Liberty is any good. I made the line Liberty -1.5 and like gaining the FG in value.
#104 Western Kentucky +4.5 This WKU team not nearly as good as past editions but neither is this Liberty squad. WKU owns the two best season performances, a win vs USF and a 3 pt loss at Troy. Liberty has played a ridiculously soft schedule and their best outing is a win at Jaxville St. Willing to take the points and see if Liberty is any good. I made the line Liberty -1.5 and like gaining the FG in value.
