Aussie Tennis Wagers

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a good night. Under cashes easily.

nice hits seer. we'll chop it up tomorrow night. I'll get a nap in the evening and be good for djokovich/federer.
 

seer
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should be djoker will be fun to see
nice hit on the under i was worried about tie breaks hence didnt bet it...u da man!
 
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9:40 pm wta semi final

Serena/Radwanska Over 19 +100
 
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0-1 to start

Kerber/Konta Over 21 -120 small wager
 
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adding:

kerber + Djokovich ml parlay -123
 
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0-2 on girls totals tonight.


kerber/joker ml -123 parlay pending


Djokovich wins 3-0 +235

I want to take Joker to win in a tiebreaker but couldn't find that prop. I think one set will go the distance and joker will win the tiebreaker. Fed will elevate his game for Joker but Feds first serve is not there this tourney like it was in at the end of 2015, so I see him having to work for a lot of his stuff tonight and if he goes down 2-0 put a fork in him
 

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Been following the thread, great to see at least a couple other North American fans of Tennis. Gotta love the last week of Slams (at least the first 3 Slams)... the sleep deprivation makes it even better somehow.

It's definitely hard to bet against Novak, but he's only 6-5 against Federer the last 2 years on hard courts. (Yes, slams have been a different story). And it seems like he's not completely on top of his game like he has been the last few years. Maybe, the distraction of family life? Maybe combined with a slight bit of complacency? (It does happen). Or maybe I'm completely overreacting to that 4th round match against Gilles Simon with 100 unforced errors?

Either way, you gotta believe Roger values every last opportunity like this late in his career. Taking a flyer on Federer in 5 (+750) - 2 unit.

Just my 2 cents, good luck to you guys.
 
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Been following the thread, great to see at least a couple other North American fans of Tennis. Gotta love the last week of Slams (at least the first 3 Slams)... the sleep deprivation makes it even better somehow.

It's definitely hard to bet against Novak, but he's only 6-5 against Federer the last 2 years on hard courts. (Yes, slams have been a different story). And it seems like he's not completely on top of his game like he has been the last few years. Maybe, the distraction of family life? Maybe combined with a slight bit of complacency? (It does happen). Or maybe I'm completely overreacting to that 4th round match against Gilles Simon with 100 unforced errors?

Either way, you gotta believe Roger values every last opportunity like this late in his career. Taking a flyer on Federer in 5 (+750) - 2 unit.

Just my 2 cents, good luck to you guys.

thanks for stopping in. lol this is the best tennis tournament imo. I like the US open too

I hear you on Roger valuing every last opportunity, but this is Novak's favorite surface. When they played at the Cinci open late in 2015 Roger won because his first serve was unreal that entire tournament and because that was one of his favorite tournaments. Crowd will probably be rooting for Roger but that is no surprise since he is loved by the public. I like Novak when he feels thousands are against him.

Every tournament Novak has at least one or two matches where you are like wtf? Why is he going 5 sets with Simon? I think a year ago before he won a grand slam he went 5 with Seppi. 5 with Wawrinka before Wawrinka was a big name in the game.

Berdych broke his serve twice in the quarters. So i don't see how Fed can win vs Novak on his favorite surface. It would be extraordinary.
 
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Novak wins 3-2 exacto +450

just in case some wild shit is in store
 

seer
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thanks for stopping in. lol this is the best tennis tournament imo. I like the US open too

I hear you on Roger valuing every last opportunity, but this is Novak's favorite surface. When they played at the Cinci open late in 2015 Roger won because his first serve was unreal that entire tournament and because that was one of his favorite tournaments. Crowd will probably be rooting for Roger but that is no surprise since he is loved by the public. I like Novak when he feels thousands are against him.

Every tournament Novak has at least one or two matches where you are like wtf? Why is he going 5 sets with Simon? I think a year ago before he won a grand slam he went 5 with Seppi. 5 with Wawrinka before Wawrinka was a big name in the game.

Berdych broke his serve twice in the quarters. So i don't see how Fed can win vs Novak on his favorite surface. It would be extraordinary.

kinda liking the win in 4 sets over might be my play i have half hour to figure it out
 

seer
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i dont agree with her. in grand slams djoker has won each time in recent games. it is the smaller tourneys where roger has beaten djoker
 
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kinda liking the win in 4 sets over might be my play i have half hour to figure it out

I'm starting to kind of lean the over. for some reason 3-1 exact score I don't think will hit. but that's just me. I'm thinking 3-2 novak might be the least bet prop here.
 

seer
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his fav surface - check
when is the last time fed beat djoker in a major?
us open last year djoker
wimbledon last year djoker
2014 wimbledon djoker
2012 was fed @wimbledon
 

seer
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i took djoker win 1st set -250 ugh who cares
might play the 7-6 score when it is up both sides to hedge
hope roger serves first then i can get inplay at lower amt for djoker
took over 40.5 -138 for 3*
 
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I added more to joker 3-2 and just played some of the over 41

hopefully worst case scenario is joker whoops him
gl seer
 

seer
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final plays mob?i think the over is gold they usually play tie breaks or 7-5's
 
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final plays mob?i think the over is gold they usually play tie breaks or 7-5's


djokovich 3-0 +235
3-2 +450

over 41

i got him in a ml parlay with kerber pending so I probably wont add any to the moneyline unless he goes down a break and it is a big difference in price
 

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Ya, I can't disagree with anything you said. Alot will have to go right for Roger. Looking at the lines though, if Roger is +250 for the match, we know it sure as hell isn't happening in 3, and I think 5 is far more likely than 4 (though the oddsmakers completely disagree with me on that). So, I figured +750 was really good value.

As long as we see a great match, I'll gladly lose my 2 units. Best matches I remember watching in the past 3 years all involved Novak (memory stops working beyond that):

2013 French Semi's - Nadal
2014 Australian Quarters - Wawrinka
2014 Wimbledon Finals - Federer
2015 Wimbledon Finals - Federer

And EVERY time he plays Murray in a Slam, it starts off EPIC, and Murray caves after 2 sets - like last year's Australian Final... sooo anti-climactic.

I do vaguely remember some of the 2010-ish matches when Nadal was peaking. He and Novak are easily the 2 most exciting players ever in my mind. Still waiting for some geezer to tell me that there was ever a better era of tennis than this one now. I call it the Post Federer-Dominance Era - starting in 2008 when Federer finally got competition on something other than clay.

Enjoy the match!
 

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