Artie's 2010-11 NHL Thread

[artiesliver]

No question the best value you have above is on Vancouver. And considering you have 5 other western conference finalists locked up you don't need to hedge until they play San Jose, (if they play San Jose). If they meet Chicago, or Dallas, in the first round I'd roll the dice if I was in your position. We all know anything can happen in the playoffs but it's hard to imagine Vancouver falling short of the western conference final. On second thought, maybe the best strategy is none at all with your Canucks bet(s). Just sit on it and see what happens.

The east is a absolute crap shoot but I do think the winner will come out of either Philly, Wash. or Boston. Still if Crosby can play would you be surprised to see Pittsburgh be there, or if Price stands on his head, or Ward and Carolina rides their momentum.... etc. ummmmm, I'll stick my neck out and predict a Boston/Vancouver final. B's have tremendous defense complimented by a very unheralded offense. They made some nice trades at the deadline. What better final than to see Thomas battle Luongo?

Having Vancouver at +850/+900 is so sick right now.
GL artie

Vic--Thanks for the input. I'm leaning towards either a Bruins/Canucks or Canadiens/Canucks Finals.

Flyers staggered this last week despite winning last night and tonight. Lost some of their mojo.

Pittsburgh needs Crosby back to have a chance.

Washington has a great shot, strengthened their D this season, Goaltending needs to be solid. We know what Ovie is capable of, but we also know he can be underwhelming under pressure (playoffs, Olympics, Winter Classic).

Tampa Bay? I don't think so, but it is the playoffs.

San Jose--Do they fold again and fail to live up to a strong regular season? Niemmi has been playing well and we know he is capable of winning it all (unlike Nabokov his predecessor), but are Big Joe T. and the boys able to win?

 

[artiesliver]

Friday, April 15

Tampa Bay +110
Risking 1.0 to win 1.10

Grand Salami Under 20.5 -115
Risking 1.53 to win 1.33

ADDING:

2 Team Parlay
New York Rangers +1.5 -215
Vancouver -185
Risking 1.0 to win 1.27

 

[artiesliver]

Saturday, April 16

Buffalo / Philadelphia Over -135
Risk 1.35 to win 1.0

Buffalo / Philadelphia Over 1.5 in 1st Per. +115
Risk 1.0 to win 1.10

Philadelphia to Win Series +135
Risk 1.0 to Win 1.35

 

[artiesliver]

Sunday, April 17

Washington / NY Rangers Under 5 -140
Risking 1.40 to win 1.0 Units

 

[artiesliver]

Monday April 18

Philly +105
Risk 1.0

 

[artiesliver]

Monday April 18

Philly +105
Risk 1.0

Boston -110
Risk 1.1

Pittsburgh +135
Risk 1.0

 

[artiesliver]

ADDING:

With 2 Wins already in the books, I am going to push it and go with:

Phoenix -120
Risk 1.20

Prop: Pavel Datsyuk Over 5.5 -110 Shots plus Points
Risk 1.10

 

[artiesliver]

Looks like I shouldn't have gotten greedy last night.

 

[artiesliver]

Tuesday, April 19

Vancouver / Chicago Over 5 -140
Risking 1.50 to win 1.07
*

 

[artiesliver]

Thursday, April 21

Vancouver -1.5 +140
Risk 1.33 to Win 1.86

 

[artiesliver]

Thursday, April 28

Nashville / Vancouver Over -120
Risking 1.2 to win 1.0

Also Added:
Detroit to Win Stanley Cup +325
Risk 1.0

 

[artiesliver]

Friday, April 29

San Jose -1.5 +220
Risk 1.0 to win 2.20 Units

 

[artiesliver]

Tuesday, May 3

Nashville +110
Risking 1.0

Overtime Van/Nsh +250
Risking 1.0

 

[artiesliver]

Vancouver Canucks Win Stanley Cup +850
Risked 1.67 to win 14.20 Units

Vancouver Canucks Win Stanley Cup +900
Risked 1.0 to win 9.0 Units

Phoenix Coyotes Win Western Conference +1700. LOSS -1.67 Unit
Risked 1.67 to win 28.40 Units

Colorado Avalanche Win Stanley Cup +3000. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to Win 30.0 Units

Los Angeles Kings to Win Stanley Cup +1600. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to win 16.0 Units

Detroit Red Wings to Win Stanley Cup +675
Risked 1.0 to win 6.75 Units

Detroit Red Wings to Win Western Conference +600
Risked 1.0 to win 6.0 Units

Buffalo Sabres to Win Eastern Conference +1600. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to win 16.0 Units

Philadelphia Flyers to Win Eastern Conference +805. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to win 8.05 Units

Anaheim Ducks to Win Western Conference +1000. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to Win 10.0 Units

Nashville Predators to Win Western Conference +700
Risked 1.0 to Win 7.0 Units

New York Rangers to Win Eastern Conference +800. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to Win 8.0 Units

Carolina Hurricanes to Win Stanley Cup +7000. LOSS -1.33 UNITS
Risked 1.33 to Win 93.1 Units

Playoff teams currently missing from my tickets:
Washington Capitals. GOOD THING
Pittsburgh Penguins. DITTO
Boston Bruins. NEED TO DO SOMETHING HERE OR...
Tampa Bay Lightning. ....HERE

San Jose Sharks. DIDN'T HAVE FAITH....NEED TO HEDGE DETROIT
Chicago Blackhawks/Dallas Stars

I'm definitely going to pay an ugly premium to hedge the Caps, Pens, Bruins, Sharks.


ADDED:

Montreal to Win Stanley Cup +2000. LOSS -1.20 UNITS
Risked 1.2 to win 24 Units

Also Added:
Detroit to Win Stanley Cup +325
Risk 1.0

 

[artiesliver]

Vancouver Canucks Win Stanley Cup +850
Risked 1.67 to win 14.20 Units

Vancouver Canucks Win Stanley Cup +900
Risked 1.0 to win 9.0 Units

Phoenix Coyotes Win Western Conference +1700. LOSS -1.67 Unit
Risked 1.67 to win 28.40 Units

Colorado Avalanche Win Stanley Cup +3000. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to Win 30.0 Units

Los Angeles Kings to Win Stanley Cup +1600. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to win 16.0 Units

Detroit Red Wings to Win Stanley Cup +675
Risked 1.0 to win 6.75 Units

Detroit Red Wings to Win Western Conference +600
Risked 1.0 to win 6.0 Units

Buffalo Sabres to Win Eastern Conference +1600. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to win 16.0 Units

Philadelphia Flyers to Win Eastern Conference +805. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to win 8.05 Units

Anaheim Ducks to Win Western Conference +1000. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to Win 10.0 Units

Nashville Predators to Win Western Conference +700
Risked 1.0 to Win 7.0 Units

New York Rangers to Win Eastern Conference +800. LOSS -1.00 UNITS
Risked 1.0 to Win 8.0 Units

Carolina Hurricanes to Win Stanley Cup +7000. LOSS -1.33 UNITS
Risked 1.33 to Win 93.1 Units

Playoff teams currently missing from my tickets:
Washington Capitals. GOOD THING
Pittsburgh Penguins. DITTO
Boston Bruins. NEED TO DO SOMETHING HERE OR...
Tampa Bay Lightning. ....HERE

San Jose Sharks. DIDN'T HAVE FAITH....NEED TO HEDGE DETROIT
Chicago Blackhawks/Dallas Stars

I'm definitely going to pay an ugly premium to hedge the Caps, Pens, Bruins, Sharks.


ADDED:

Montreal to Win Stanley Cup +2000. LOSS -1.20 UNITS
Risked 1.2 to win 24 Units

Also Added:
Detroit to Win Stanley Cup +325
Risk 1.0

Ok....lost 10.20 Units so far on futures plays.

Still have 3.00 Units at Risk on Detroit, 1.00 Units at Risk on Nashville, and 2.67 Units Risked on Vancouver.

Need to Hedge against Detroit in the event that San Jose wins tonight. So, I went with a 2 Team Parlay:

Sunday, May 8

2 Team Parlay

San Jose -140
Vancouver -125 (Monday, May 9)
Risking 3 Units to Win 6.3 Units

 

[artiesliver]

Ok....lost 10.20 Units so far on futures plays. However, won 1.35 Units on Flyers over Buffalo Series (April 16 play), so -8.85 Units on Futures Plays.

Also didn't post hedge against Philly w/Bruins ML and PL on May 6 (clinching game), so +3.47 Units from those two plays, but I won't count here b/c I didn't post them.

Still have 3.00 Units at Risk on Detroit, 1.00 Units at Risk on Nashville, and 2.67 Units Risked on Vancouver.

Need to Hedge against Detroit in the event that San Jose wins tonight. So, I went with a 2 Team Parlay:

Sunday, May 8

2 Team Parlay

San Jose -140
Vancouver -125 (Monday, May 9)
Risking 3 Units to Win 6.3 Units

 

[artiesliver]

Sunday, May 8

2 Team Parlay

San Jose -140
Vancouver -125 (Monday, May 9)
Risking 3 Units to Win 6.3 Units. LOSS 3 UNITS

 

[artiesliver]

Tues May 10

2 Team Parlay
San Jose
Boston Bruins
Risk 1.3

SJS : DET
Overtime +290
Risk 1.0

 

[nojuice9]

artie, glad to see you around. look forward to 'talking' more during the third round.

 

[artiesliver]

Saturday, May 14

Eastern Conference Finals

Tampa Bay To Win Series +120
Risking 1.67 to win 2.0 Units

Tampa Bay To Win Series in 7, +500
Risking 1.0 to win 5.0

Tampa Bay in Regulation Game 1 +160
Risking 1.0 to win 1.60