Are Books Getting Crushed In Bases?

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every few months, these kinds of threads pop up. i remember talking about the same thing a few different times with another poster (raven? maybe). as for baseball, its a moneyline sport. the same thing that pays the books is the same thing that breaks the books sometimes: favorites. theres no pointspread. theres no way to compensate for an overmatched team playing triple-A guys while another team is driving toward a postseason berth. in basketball and football, the line can get jacked. but in baseball, theres no way to level the playing field. so guys can act 'sharp' all they want. they can talk about 'betting against the public' all they want. you can have 100 guys on one side and 1 on the other side .... and thats not going to change the chances of the favorite winning. one popular lament is 'the favorites cant keep hitting like this, can they?' and the answer is 'yes. they can'. favorites are favorites for a reason - theyre better than the underdogs. and in baseball, that can make for a lot of streaks because theres no way for the books to 'level' the game being played.

100% true but these guys are hitting +170, +180 and +162 dogs the last two weeks. have never seen anything like it.
 

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100% true but these guys are hitting +170, +180 and +162 dogs the last two weeks. have never seen anything like it.

yeah - i cant speak to that obviously. nothing you can really do if thats the case. despite the fact that 31-4 is insanely hot, its still a small small sample and the regression is inevitable. it will come. but it will come over time ... not in a single day like some pseudo-sharp anti-pubbers often think.
 

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bases have been bad the past 3 weeks. i am hoping for a market correction starting monday.
 

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