Are a lot of us overthinking a lot of matchups? I feel like Billbeater is the only one cashing in on huge money easy picks

[Willie99]

[h=1]Against the Spread Rankings[/h]

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NFL ATS RANKINGS

Straight-Up Against The Spread Over/Under Team Total Home Away Total Home Away Total Home Away Arizona Cardinals 3-4-1 2-2-1 1-2-0 3-5-0 2-3-0 1-2-0 3-5-0 0-5-0 3-0-0 Atlanta Falcons 6-3-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 6-3-0 1-3-0 5-0-0 8-1-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 Baltimore Ravens 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 3-4-1 2-2-0 1-2-1 3-5-0 1-3-0 2-2-0 Buffalo Bills 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 6-2-0 4-0-0 2-2-0 Carolina Panthers 3-5-0 2-2-0 1-3-0 2-5-1 2-2-0 0-3-1 5-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0 Chicago Bears 2-6-0 2-2-0 0-4-0 2-6-0 2-2-0 0-4-0 2-5-1 0-3-1 2-2-0 Cincinnati Bengals 3-4-1 2-1-1 1-3-0 2-5-1 2-2-0 0-3-1 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0 Cleveland Browns 0-9-0 0-4-0 0-5-0 2-7-0 0-4-0 2-3-0 6-3-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 Dallas Cowboys 7-1-0 3-1-0 4-0-0 7-0-1 3-0-1 4-0-0 3-5-0 2-2-0 1-3-0 Denver Broncos 6-3-0 4-1-0 2-2-0 6-3-0 4-1-0 2-2-0 5-4-0 3-2-0 2-2-0 Detroit Lions 5-4-0 3-1-0 2-3-0 4-4-1 2-1-1 2-3-0 4-5-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 Green Bay Packers 4-4-0 3-2-0 1-2-0 4-3-1 2-2-1 2-1-0 4-4-0 2-3-0 2-1-0 Houston Texans 5-3-0 5-0-0 0-3-0 4-3-1 4-0-1 0-3-0 3-5-0 2-3-0 1-2-0 Indianapolis Colts 4-5-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 4-4-1 2-2-0 2-2-1 7-2-0 2-2-0 5-0-0 Jacksonville Jaguars 2-6-0 1-3-0 1-3-0 3-4-1 1-2-1 2-2-0 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0 Kansas City Chiefs 6-2-0 4-0-0 2-2-0 3-5-0 1-3-0 2-2-0 2-6-0 1-3-0 1-3-0 Los Angeles Rams 3-5-0 1-3-0 2-2-0 3-3-2 1-2-1 2-1-1 3-5-0 1-3-0 2-2-0 Miami Dolphins 4-4-0 4-1-0 0-3-0 3-4-1 2-2-1 1-2-0 5-3-0 4-1-0 1-2-0 Minnesota Vikings 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0 2-6-0 1-3-0 1-3-0 New England Patriots 7-1-0 3-1-0 4-0-0 7-1-0 3-1-0 4-0-0 3-5-0 2-2-0 1-3-0 New Orleans Saints 4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 6-2-0 2-2-0 4-0-0 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0 New York Giants 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0 3-3-2 2-2-0 1-1-2 3-5-0 3-1-0 0-4-0 New York Jets 3-6-0 1-2-0 2-4-0 3-4-2 1-1-1 2-3-1 5-4-0 2-1-0 3-3-0 Oakland Raiders 7-2-0 2-2-0 5-0-0 6-3-0 1-3-0 5-0-0 7-2-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 Philadelphia Eagles 4-4-0 3-0-0 1-4-0 4-4-0 3-0-0 1-4-0 4-3-1 0-3-0 4-0-1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4-4-0 3-1-0 1-3-0 4-4-0 3-1-0 1-3-0 2-6-0 1-3-0 1-3-0 San Diego Chargers 4-5-0 3-1-0 1-4-0 6-3-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 7-2-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 San Francisco 49ers 1-7-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 1-7-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 6-2-0 3-2-0 3-0-0 Seattle Seahawks 4-2-1 3-0-0 1-2-1 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-4-0 2-1-0 1-3-0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-5-0 0-4-0 3-1-0 3-5-0 0-4-0 3-1-0 5-3-0 3-1-0 2-2-0 Tennessee Titans 4-5-0 2-3-0 2-2-0 3-6-0 1-4-0 2-2-0 7-2-0 4-1-0 3-1-0 Washington Redskins 4-3-1 2-2-0 2-1-1 5-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0 6-2-0 4-0-0 2-2-0

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this site has Dallas at 7-0-1[/FONT]

 

[texansfan]

Dude, I've done the same so many times. Listen to a bunch of guys on here and just shit the bed because the pick was trendy. I'd rather go tonight with the better D, better offensive line (statistically speaking), better QB, better coach at home.

I've seen no evidence of a defense from Seattle , o-line is terrible as well.

 

[rubennbl]

I totally agree. I've been making a killing on 3-4 team ML Parlays/Teasers on College + NFL Teams that are basically 90% likely to win week in week out in the lopsided games. I don't even bother to bet on shitty teams like Cleveland etc. That's just pushing your luck and odds... Hit on Cowboys, Chiefs, Saints, Chargers, Alabama & Penn State this weekend and didn't touch any other game. It is kinda boring.. but oh well, It works.

 

[tool21]

It's easy to say in hindsight that betting on the 'obvious' plays have profited big time. But by this time NE, Bama, Dal should be over valued and betting on them is not a smart play. Take New England for example back in 2007. They started 8-0 ATS and had spreads in the 20s. What did they finish after 8-0? 2-9. There's a certain point in which covering adjustments go too far and you must go the other way. Teams make adjustments. Injuries happen. Great ATS records are more often than not , not sustainable.

 

[Willie99]

It's easy to say in hindsight that betting on the 'obvious' plays have profited big time. But by this time NE, Bama, Dal should be over valued and betting on them is not a smart play. Take New England for example back in 2007. They started 8-0 ATS and had spreads in the 20s. What did they finish after 8-0? 2-9. There's a certain point in which covering adjustments go too far and you must go the other way. Teams make adjustments. Injuries happen. Great ATS records are not sustainable.

I concur, and when they start laying 15 to 22 points per game, I'll back off

 

[Enfuego]

I've seen no evidence of a defense from Seattle , o-line is terrible as well.

#6 D in the league and according to NFL.com, better offensive line statistically than Buffalo.