anyone else love LSU +6? OPINIONS?

[MajorGCG]

If LSU struggled beat UF in BR with UFs crappy defense last year, what makes anyone think they will do it in Gainesville this year with a much better UF defense and LSU sporting a rookie QB?

 

[spreadproof]

Putting aside the "running dogs" theory. Florida is going to destroy LSU.

Strong Trends for Florida:
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">Play Against - A road team (LSU) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival.
(300-197 since 1992.) (60.4%, +83.3 units. Rating = 2*)</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">Play Against - A road team (LSU) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, undefeated on the season.
(82-41 over the last 10 seasons.) (66.7%, +36.9 units. Rating = 2*)</td></tr><tr><td class="matchupCells Text">Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game.
(144-87 over the last 10 seasons.) (62.3%, +48.3 units. Rating = 2*)</td></tr></tbody></table>---
FLORIDA is 10-6 against the spread versus LSU since 1992
FLORIDA is 11-5 straight up against LSU since 1992
---
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons

Last year LSU was the -7.5 point favorite and won the game by 4. Florida covered the spread.

The power rating I have is Florida -8, statistically it gets better.

Current Seasons Statistics
------------------LSU .../... Florida
Offense (All Games) 35.5 / 36
Opponents Defensive Avg. 31.4 / 27.5
Offense Road / Home Games 26 / 37.3
Defense All Games 15.2 / 11.4
Opponents Offensive Avg. 15.2 / 23.4
Defense Road / Home Games 21 / 14.7

Avg. Power Rating of opponents played: LSU 23.8, Florida 41.6

As you can see Florida overpowers their opponents avg. defense by 9 points and cuts their opponents offense by 10-12 points. LSU has been defending at the offensive average of their opponents giving them full room to score and actually giving up extra points on the road.

I think the final score will be LSU 17, Florida 35.:monsters-

 

[Moneyline_Monster]

let the line hit 6' to 7 and i am all in.miles will run scott down there throat.the play action to dixson.

I've never seen a game where two plays beats a good team.

 

[SECFan]

I've never seen a game where two plays beats a good team.

Dolphins @ Pats this year??

LOL jk just playing devils advocate

 

[Moneyline_Monster]

Dolphins @ Pats this year??

LOL jk just playing devils advocate

Devil's advocate is fine lol, but the Pats aren't a good team, without Tom Brady at least.

 

[TTinCO]

I'm leaning towards Florida, but not excited about giving that many points.

 

[AlistairCookie]

This Looks Way To Easy To Me! Florida Hasnt Played 1 Good Game All Year! Home Or Away. No One Is Fooled By Tebow This Year. Percy Harvin Is Banged Up Up, They Have Zero Run Game!

They Have No Field Goal Kicker At All! Urban Meyers Arrogance Has Gotten To Him! Havent Seen Florida Run A Trick Play Or Misdirection All Year! He Thinks They Can Go Threw The Motions And Beat Teams And That Is Not The Case!

This Is A Team That Was Beaten 4 Times Last Year And Has Not Improved At All Since Then! There Best De Is Out For The Year.

I Think The Wrong Team Is Favored. I Know Lsu Lacks Exp. At Qb And They Lost A Lot On Defense, But I Think The Athleticism Differentcial Is Not Even Close!

Love Lsu +6 And Ml As Well!

Any Thoughts?

I'm More Curious As to Why You Capitalize The First Letter Of Every Sentence. Rather Inefficient If You Ask Me. You Do Something That Stupid, Probably Best To Go The Other Way.

UF -6!

 

[shootsmokey]

Lsu wins by a touchdown I think. Hard to bet against miles.

 

[spreadproof]

I hope everyone took my advice to heart, victory!

 

[hognosticator]

This is proof to never listen to someone rationalize why to bet on his own team.

I agree with you. I just don't see how anyone can rationalize UF giving up 6 points to LSU. I don't think UF will win the game ....much less cover a TD point spread.

I can understand the reluctance to wager on LSU because of their opponents thus far, but we have all seen UF play like crap against some pretty weak competition.

In my opinion, it's either a NO play or take the points and bet the defending National Champions.....who, by the way, are 12-3 (under Miles) on the road in the SEC.