Allstar's NFL Football Playoff Selections

[DIRTYDOG]

Dude..

If you are going to rip off another writers analysis as well as take credit for their selection at least "Cut and Paste" the entire piece!!


Football Picks for 01/06/2004 - 01/12/2004

Games for 01/10/2004

Feist Badlands Guardian Guaranty
CAR Panthers 45½ 45½ 45½
STL Rams 7 7 7

What a difference a month made for the Carolina (12-5 SU, 7-10 ATS; R: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) Panthers following their Nov. 23 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. This time around, Jake Delhomme passed for 273 yards and a touchdown and RB Stephen Davis had an effective game on the ground as the Carolina Panthers rolled to a 29-10 victory over the Dallas Cowboys in the NFC wild card round. Bring on the Rams. John Fox's formula is simple: run the ball (130.9 yds rushing pg), control the clock and play good defense. RB Davis complemented Delhomme by rushing for 104 yards and a touchdown. The Panthers' defense also was effective, holding the Cowboys to a field goal and 140 total yards through three quarters. But now the defense will be really tested as Carolina gave up just 184 ypg in the air, a number the Rams have put up in a half more than once. The Rams have had two weeks to think about the embarrassing 30-20 loss at Detroit, but now St. Louis is home where they are (8-0 SU, 6-1-1 ATS). The Rams have won 14 straight home games and outscore opponents by a 33-16 average at home this year. In Detroit, Marc Bulger finished 18-of-31 for just 170 yards and one touchdown, before being sidelined with a forearm injury listed as not serious. RB Marshall Faulk will once again be the tangible difference in their attack. Remember that the Panthers are 1-2 SU, ATS on artificial surfaces while the Rams are 8-0 SU, 6-1-1 ATS on their home surface this season. The Rams played one team at home this season similar to the Panthers, and that was the Ravens. St. Louis won the game 33-22, but that score was misleading as the Rams had 122 total yards, while the Ravens ran for 145 yards (3.8 yds per carry). Baltimore had the edge in yards 267-121, but coughed the ball up 7 times. RB Jamal Lewis had 111 yards, 4.1 yds per carry. Speaking of which, the Rams led the NFL in turnovers with 39. Carolina played a team similar to the Rams when they went to Indy and won 23-20 in the Dome on turf against Peyton Manning.

Projected Score: STL Rams 30, CAR Panthers 21

 

[kevinla]

DD:

I hear you. But the fact is, All-Star's postings have made a lot of people A LOT of money. Thats all that really matters.

KLA

 

[ReggieB]

Kevin,

I usually just lurk and really do not post much, but I've got to disagree with you, why didn't Allstar simply include a notation that he was posting someone else's plays, much the same as others post service plays?

The General does a great job of posting different items of interest that he finds on the net but ALWAYS gives credit to the source.

Its quite obvious that he was trying to steal credit for someone else's body of work...its called plagiarism in the real world and is TOTALLY dishonest and decietful.

Reggie

 

[BettorsLock]

ahh shut the **** up u piece of shit. no1 gives a **** what u think. GL Allstar... keep bringing the winners i dont give a **** where they come from.

 

[Allstar]

DIRTYDOG,

Who in the hell do you think you are (Dude)??? I work for the company "PigskinProphet" and we are outsourced by the "Jim Feist Sports Network". What that means is that Jim Feist purchases the write up's from "The Pigskinprohet Company". The two companies are not associated with each other. I work with a group of six other different cappers and we all the write ups for the site "Pigskinprophet". I have worked for them for almost ten years now, and yes, they do pay me well!!! I'm glad to see you have purchased the football write up's and your wallet is to $$$ I'm sure. The selections that I make are of my own, and in no way am I associated with Jim Feist Sports Network. This is all I have to say about this and if you do not like my post please don't read them!!! I hope that you have a great (profitable) night tonight. The reason I edited the post form the original write up is to make my point more clear. If you’re ever in Vegas I'd be happy to show you around the office.

P.S.S. This is also on the site "Also note that unless specifically stated otherwise, games and opinions are solely the opinion of the Pigskin Prophet staff and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of featured handicappers (ie Jim Feist, Dave Cokin, Glenn McGrew, and Scott Spreitzer).

ALLSTAR

[This message was edited by Allstar on January 10, 2004 at 08:43 PM.]

 

[Allstar]

ReggieB,

Just me and my boys (Pigskinprophet Staff)!!!


ALLSTAR

 

[Allstar]

15 Units New England Patriots -6 -112

20 Units New England Patriots UNDER 34 -118

Note that this game will start at 8pm East Coast time and end close to midnight, it is likely to be mighty cold in New England that late at night in January!!! Update: It's expected to be around 0 degrees at kickoff. The Patriots' stadium is outdoors, and the last time they played a home playoff game was two years ago late at night in the infamous Blizzard Bowl against Oakland (which went UNDER the total). Neither team will be able to run the ball this game, so it will likely come down to the QBs and passing games. The Titans and Patriots rank 25th and 26th in the NFL rushing the football, and both have dominant defensive front lines. Tennessee mauled RB Jamal Lewis (35 yds, 14 carries) in Tennessee's 20-17 win over Baltimore on Saturday. So it will be a battle of defense and QBs Steve McNair against Tom Brady. Lost in the shuffle of Tennessee's win is that McNair had 3 interceptions and one TD, and while RB Eddie George had 88 yards, he averaged just 3.5 yds per rush. McNair won't find the going any easier against New England's defense (7th in the NFL). Tennessee's weak spot is pass defense, allowing 225 yds per game and they allowed 23.8 points pg on the road (6-3 SU/5-4 ATS away from home). The Patriots are 8-0 SU/ATS at home where they outscore teams by a 21 to 8.5 average!!! Don't look for a lot of points in the freezing, New England cold, which means the visitors can keep this close but will they score???

Good Luck Tonight My FriendS,

ALLSTAR

 

[DIRTYDOG]

Dude..

If you are in fact who you claim to be, wouldn't it have been ALOT simpler to identify yourself to avoid having others think that you were STEALING another handicappers work?

I have been subscribing to the Pigskin Prophet for quite a few years now and view them as a great source of information, I have also found the staff at Pigskin Prophet to be nothing short of courteous and helpful.

Thus, I do not believe that they would take kindly to someone passing off the Pigskin Prophet's work and expertise as their own.

With that being said, I forwarded to the Pigskin Prophet staff, a copy of your response to me in which you claim to be one of the writers.

If you are indeed the fraud that I believe you to be, it would not be tooooooo awful hard for them to track you down via your IP address and prosecute the hell out of you.

have a nice day

DD

[This message was edited by DIRTYDOG on January 11, 2004 at 09:09 AM.]

 

[DIRTYDOG]

Allstar..

Don't mind me, I just wanted to "Bump" this thread back to the top so that the Pigskin Prophet staff could find this thread easier as they have indeed been notified of your PLAGAIRISM doings.

have an nice day

DD

 

[BoZZi]

Dirtydog how about contributing to the site in a way, like posting ur picks?

 

[DIRTYDOG]

BoZZi..

Sure, be happy to my friend, this is what I have going for today:

MONEYLINE PARLAY

Philly & Kc

3***Play Selection

History said that one of the four home teams participating in the Divisional round would in all likely hood lose in straight up fashion because of the fact that it has happened 8 times since 1990, which is a span of 13 years, however, since 1990 only ONCE has two home teams lost in this round in the same year which was in 1995!!!

The Rams of St Louis got bounced from the playoffs in straight up fashion due to the idiotic play calling in the red zone by HC Mike Martz, including Martz's refusal to go for the win when on the Carolina 19 yard line with plenty of time to take three shots at the end zone to avoid over time.

If history is a good barometer of possible things to come, then a "Money Line" Parlay on the two remaining home teams is a good way to go, in addition NFC top seeds have posted an eye opening mark of 15-0 straight up and 13-2 ATS in opening playoff games!!

take care and be well my friend

Jim

 

[Allstar]

10 Units Kansas City Chiefs -3 -110

10 Units Kansas City Chiefs OVER 51.5 -110

Evenly matched game in Kansas City. Both teams have high powered offenses: KC averages 30 points per game, while Indy average 28 ppg. The key here will be defense and the weather. Kansas City is 29th in the NFL on defense (29th against the run, allowing 146 yds rushing pg, 13th against the pass). The Colts are 11th in the NFL on defense (21st against the run, 2nd against the pass). Indy wins with QB Peyton Manning and 261 passing yards per game, though forget about last week's 41-10 rout of Denver, that game was at home with a fired up crowd in a revenge spot. Still, Indy is 7-1 SU/5-2-1 ATS on the road, while KC is 8-0 SU/5-2-1 ATS at home where they average 34 ppg. The Colts have a weak run defense (123.8 yds rushing pg allowed) that KC's spread offense will exploit behind rested RB Priest Holmes. But KC is no defensive dynamo against the run, either, giving up 146.5 yds rushing per game!!! Indy will likely to go with a more balanced attack this game with RB Edgerrin James (78 yds last week, 4.6 yds per carry). 10 of the last 14 Colts games have gone OVER the total, while the Chiefs are on a 5-1 OVER run. Tough game to call, but KC has had had two weeks to prepare and hasn't lost a game at home all season.

Good Luck Today My Friends,

ALLSTAR

 

[Allstar]

DIRTYDOG,

Thanks you for your concern and good luck today my friend. Although you have been hear longer then me, what have you contributed since joining??? Nothing. . . I only wish you the best of luck today and I'm sure that a person such as yourself would change the way you treat other RX members!!! We are all trying to money and beat the offshore sports books, if you are not hear for that you are at the wrong place. I don't bash other posters and like to pick fights so I will stop replying to you posts.


"If you are in fact who you claim to be, wouldn't it have been ALOT simpler to identify yourself to avoid having others think that you were STEALING another handicappers work?"


P.S.S I almost forgot. . . there are 1200 members plus here at the RX and you come along point fingers after 820 post??? Most of the members hear alread know who I am and we all enjoy the winner. Why can't we all just get along???

ALLSTAR

[This message was edited by Allstar on January 11, 2004 at 01:33 PM.]

 

[oldmanTED]

Alstar:

Good luck today. I'm on the same side and total with you.

 

[Allstar]

oldmanTED,

Someone need to wake up the KC!!! Good luck today my friend!!!

ALLSTAR

 

[Allstar]

10 Units Green Bay Packers +4.5 -110

20 Units Green Bay Packers OVER 43 -105

The Packers may be a lot more than just QB Brett Favre, but Favre made nothing but excellent decisions last weekend when they held on, waiting for another wisp of fate to take them into the the NFC Conference Playoff game. Favre had plenty of help of course (i.e. Al Harris) but he completed 26 of 38 passes for 319 yards and had a passer rating of 102.9, not bad for a guy going through traumatic times. The Packers defense didn't have a great day as QB Tim Hasselbeck moved the ball in the air almost all game long, while the Seattle ground attack was slowed. After a week off, the Eagles are ready to soar. QB Donovan McNabb is the main reason the Eagles owned one of the league's hottest offenses in the second half of the season. In the Eagles' last 10 games, McNabb has a .640 completion percentage and has averaged 8.2 yards per attempt. Philly suffered a blow when they lost RB Michael Westbrook. They still have RBs Correll Buckhalter and Deuce Staley, but they don't have his speed. Expect the Packers to be ready for Donovan McNabb with control blitzing and an Ahman Green-ball control offense. The Packers didn't fare too well on artificial surfaces, 1-2 SU, ATS. Also, remember that the Eagles defeated the Packers in a low scoring 17-14 game back in early November in Green Bay. Many said that the Packers had an angel on the field in Lambeau the last two weeks, will that angel make the trip to Philly??? A great game in store one way or another. Green Bay is 5-3 SU/ATS on the road, where the offense averages 27 ppg, while Philly is 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS at home. The Eagles went 6-1 OVER the total at home, and are on a 5-1 OVER run coming into this game. Green Bay has the No. 9 run defense in the NFL, while Philly was weak against the run (22nd) giving up 129 yds rushing pg!!! Packer RB Ahman Green will take advantage, and remember when these teams met in November, Green had 192 yards rushing, 6.6 yds per carry! 3 Green Bay turnovers were the difference, but Philly had better improve their run defense or Green Bay will be advancing.

Good Luck Today My Friends,

ALLSTAR

 

[Allstar]

Here are the results:

Green Bay Packers +4.5 WON 17-20 +10 UNITS

Green Bay Packers OVER 43 LOST 17-20 -21 UNITS

Kansas City Chiefs -3 LOST 31-38 -11 UNITS

Kansas City Chiefs OVER 51.5 WON 31-30 +10 UNITS

New England Patriots -6 LOST 14-17 -16.80 UNITS

New England Patriots UNDER 34 WON 14-17 +20 UNITS

St Louis Rams -7.5 LOST 23-29 -30 UNITS

St Louis Rams OVER 45 WON 23-29 +20 UNITS

See you all soon

 

[Allstar]

NFL PLAYOFFS 8-6 +4.36 UNITS

Here are todays selections:

AFC Championship Game, Foxboro, MA

30 Units New England -3 -113 @ BESTLINESPORTS

It will be Peyton Manning and the red-hot offense of the Colts (39.5 points per game in the playoffs) against New England's super-defense (7th in the NFL, 8.5 points per game allowed at home during the regular season). A cold front is expected in the Northeast, and temperatures will be around 30 degrees at kickoff. Neither ream runs the ball well (Indy is 19th in rushing, the Pats are 27th), so it will be a battle of QBs Tom Brady and Manning along with tough defenses. The Colts have the No. 1 passing offense in pro football (261 yards passing pg), while the Pats are 9th with 214.5 yards passing pg. Indy has been super on the road (8-1 SU/6-2 ATS) and they attack opponents with the great trio of QB Manning, WR Marvin Harrison and RB Edgerrin James. But the wintry weather should curb the Colts' passing offense a bit -- as well as New England's defense. Patriots coach Bill Belichick said this is the best secondary he's ever had -- which is something, considering his defensive resume -- and they will put up a much better fight against Manning/Harrison than KC's awful defense did, or Denver's did two weeks ago (the Colts were at home and in a revenge situation.) So don't expect the Colts to put up 30+ points on the board -- half that is more likely. Belichick devised a game plan that shut down the Rams great air attack two years ago in the Super Bowl, and that game was indoors. Also, Belichick has been in charge of defenses nine times against Peyton Manning's Colts, and Manning has 15 TDs, 14 INTs in those games. And the Patriots' defense intercepted 29 passes in 16 regular season games (tops in the NFL)! If the Colts are going to advance to the Super Bowl, they're going to have to really earn it. In the earlier meeting, Pats QB Tom Brady carved up the Colts secondary: 26-of-35 for 236 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs, though that game is remembered for the Colts comeback that was stopped by a brilliant Patriots' goal line stand. The Patriots (15-2 SU, 13-3-1 ATS) are home where they are now 9-0 SU and 8-1 against the spread. The Colts' defense was awful last week, allowing 408 yards and a whopping 196 rushing yards, 6.5 yards per carry!!! New England doesn't have someone like RB Priest Holmes, of course, but against a soft 'D' like that; the Pats should be able to move the ball by land and in the air. Remember, New England's two RBs Antoine Smith and Kevin Faulk averaged 4.3 and 4.4 yards per carry last week against Tennessee's No. 1 run defense. The Colts played a game in cool weather against a strong Buffalo defense on November 23rd and scored 17 points. On the surface, this AFC title clash appears to be a close game, but the match-ups (coaching, defenses, cold weather and home field) suggests a New England victory by anywhere from 6-10 points.

Good Luck Today My Friends,

ALLSTAR

[This message was edited by Allstar on January 18, 2004 at 01:34 PM.]

 

[Co-Captain]

Solid selection and writeup as always, Allstar. Good luck to you, Aloha CC.

 

[Allstar]

20 Units Carolina Panthers Over 35.5 -103

20 Units Carolina Panthers +4.5 -102 @ MEGASB

Both survived overtime last week to get here. The weather will be cold and both teams prefer to run the ball and play tough defense, so this might be an old-fashioned, grind-it-out game. The Panthers and Eagles met on November 30th, with Philadelphia winning 25-16. In that game Philly passed for only 159 yards while running for 124. The Panthers managed 200 in the air and 136 on the ground. Both teams will look to run first in this scrum. RB Stephen Davis ran for 115 yards in the first meeting but the Panthers still aren't sure if he will play Sunday (hamstring). If Davis can't go, the Panthers will start DeShaun Foster, who proved again to be a suitable replacement running for 95 yards on 21 carries against the Rams. Remember that Philly's defense (129 yards rushing allowed per game) was just 22nd in the NFL at stopping the run, so Carolina will try and exploit that deficiency. The Panthers rushing attack is 7th in the NFL and is the best of the remaining playoff teams. This would also take pressure off young QB Jake Delhomme, who has played error free, and last week completed 11 of 17 passes for 228 yards and a touchdown after halftime. The Panther defense, of course, is the key to this game. Stopping the multi-dimensional QB Donovan McNabb will determine their fate. The Panthers will look to duplicate their three interceptions of a week ago, a feat that they can reach if they shut down the Philly ground attack. RBs Duce Staley and Correll Buckhalter ran the ball just 14 times for 57 yards against the Packers last week, but McNabb was the difference, rushing for 107 yards! The Eagles rushing attack is 9th in the NFL but speedy RB Brian Westbrook is injured. Carolina is 6-3 SU/5-4 ATS on the road and the last three games the Panthers have been a dog, yet won all three (two playoff wins). Philly is 6-3 SU/5-4 ATS at home. Expect a grind-it-out affair with the Panthers controlling the ball early and McNabb rallying (like last week) and holding on late.

Good luck today my friends,

ALLSTAR