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Retired; APRIL 2014 Thank You Gambling
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OK Man! Hope it works out. Of course I understand your concerns on the offshore. Have at it Man. Tear em up!

cheers man,,, I am super confident,,, this hobby has been a labor of love and hate for 15 years,, lol,,, the last 4 I have really worked on Honing my eye, and discipline,, I may lose everything,,, thats the risk,,, I am putting it out there only because I think its cool for people to see someone win (and/or Lose) If I crash,, then so be it,,, I doubt that will happen,,,
(g0 Packers)
 

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Sounds like someone is counting their chickens before they hatch. Good luck with that.
 

Retired; APRIL 2014 Thank You Gambling
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Sounds like someone is counting their chickens before they hatch. Good luck with that.

I'm a baller shot caller moocow... that makes what I'm doing that much more impressive...

Or halarious if i lose. Lol

IAm not going into this thinking I will lose
 

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Good luck tater. I respect you for taking your shot and wish you the best. You going to be releasing your picks during your run?
 

Retired; APRIL 2014 Thank You Gambling
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Good luck tater. I respect you for taking your shot and wish you the best. You going to be releasing your picks during your run?

Im not sure about NBA,,, I am 99% sure yes on preseason NFL, and reg season NFL,,,
 

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So, you're telling me you are this good but you don't post any plays for the posters here? You just come here and bullshit and keep your plays to yourself? That's cool.

I'd love to see you go pro then your plays will be documented. I'm not saying I don't believe you but I highly doubt it.

I don't believe him mostly because I know how hard it is to win consistently at sports betting (no offense Tater, but given I knew 100% reliability I'd pretty much book anyones action over a large sample and make them prove to me they were winners at -110 and WA) but why would he need to post plays here?

Unless you are trying to go tout or something there really isn't any upside that I can see. Other than having a few degens praising you I just don't really see a reason to do that.


Also just wanna clarify when I say I don't believe him. I don't remotely think he is lying, I just think he probably caught the good end of variance over a small sample.

btw GL in Laughlin but why go there if you are serious? Just go to LV
 

Retired; APRIL 2014 Thank You Gambling
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I don't believe him mostly because I know how hard it is to win consistently at sports betting (no offense Tater, but given I knew 100% reliability I'd pretty much book anyones action over a large sample and make them prove to me they were winners at -110 and WA) but why would he need to post plays here?

Unless you are trying to go tout or something there really isn't any upside that I can see. Other than having a few degens praising you I just don't really see a reason to do that.


Also just wanna clarify when I say I don't believe him. I don't remotely think he is lying, I just think he probably caught the good end of variance over a small sample.

btw GL in Laughlin but why go there if you are serious? Just go to LV


Pat,,, you are 1000% correct,,, I am certain I caught some lightening,, last year,,, thats why my goal is to just catch 10 units,,, Ive done that with NFL for the last 4 years,,, (NBA the last 2.5) with these techniques,, no offense taken,,,

and I DONT want to sell plays, and I just dont want to be that guy,,, and as the joke goes,,, Id rather be the guy that makes his own money than sell to people who bet 50 bucks and hund bucks,, and complain and get mad cause I go 55-58% lol,,,, (no offense to those that bet smaller)

about las vegas,,, I do have a contact that I am going to work with there,,, I think I may have to postpone it till NFL,, I have a 12 year best friend who gambles in Laughlin professionally,,, I trust him 100% and its closer to me being from phoenix,, and I can stay at any casino comped,,, so to be honnest, my Overhead is Tons lower by going to laughlin,,
 

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I don't believe him mostly because I know how hard it is to win consistently at sports betting (no offense Tater, but given I knew 100% reliability I'd pretty much book anyones action over a large sample and make them prove to me they were winners at -110 and WA) but why would he need to post plays here?

Unless you are trying to go tout or something there really isn't any upside that I can see. Other than having a few degens praising you I just don't really see a reason to do that.


Also just wanna clarify when I say I don't believe him. I don't remotely think he is lying, I just think he probably caught the good end of variance over a small sample.

btw GL in Laughlin but why go there if you are serious? Just go to LV

All I was referring to was throwing the poster's here a bone once in awhile if your picks are so good. That's it.
 

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All I was referring to was throwing the poster's here a bone once in awhile if your picks are so good. That's it.

Yeah I agree in terms of discussion. I.e there is a thread about a game and coming in and saying who you are on and why, etc. This board could use more sports/game discussion rather than what people are having for dinner.

To go to a sub-forum and post a bunch of plays I've just never had any interest in though. Can only speak for myself but just seems kinda useless saying oh I'm on wizards +3 and no discussion, etc
 

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I can 100% guarantee you any real pro is not posting his/her picks on a forum. There would be way too many drawbacks and zero benefits.
 

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Also, good luck on a 56-57% win rate in any major enough sport to bet $3000+.... If you hit 56% long term you are a billionaire very quickly. It's damn hard to hit 53% in major sports at books with decent limits and fast changing lines.

Sean
which is the point of my post, anyone who says they are winning at 60% is either lying or very rich
 

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which is the point of my post, anyone who says they are winning at 60% is either lying or very rich


Someone could easily hit 60% and lose in the long run because of bad money management
 

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plenty of pros have posted here, fezzik , krackman, buffetgambler for instance
one of them posted an analysis showing the effect of a winning rate of 60%, and how you would quickly outgrow your ability to get down the appropriate amounts
 

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Someone could easily hit 60% and lose in the long run because of bad money management

yes that is possible, but anyone capable of hitting 60% would likely not be that stupid
see my post above, using kelly you would be a billionaire in short order, wish someone could find that post maybe it could help explain this much better than i can
 

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Many are not straight bettors. They work good lines and numbers. Find bad numbers or weeknesses/middles and expose them. Along with some REAL inside info and a lot of things learned from years of experience in the trenches.


At times they can not lose or have an advantage play that they can hedge out of as well.


One should still work a minimal job, even casinos and bookies don’t always win.

in order to win 100k, I would imagine one would have to have a lot of credit, money tied up at shops and a bankroll/and credit of at least a million dollars to work out of.
 

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