16-11 +~11 units
Still waiting on a part for my computer to update my spreadsheet, but that should be pretty close to correct.
** Virginia / Wake Over 39.5
This is a pretty strong total play for me, I feel like we are getting a low number in this game due to some offensive struggles lately for both teams, but after looking at some numbers for this game it appears that both teams offensive strengths match-up well with defensive weaknesses. Both defenses have given up over 5 ypp in their last 3 games.
Wake Forest gets Josh Adams back for this game, as well as a few crucial offensive linemen. I expect WF to spend alot of time running the ball and normally this leads to unders but I think they will have alot of success moving the ball. UVA is allowing 4 ypc over the last 3 games as teams have been able to move the ball on the ground.
UVA, by contrast, has been an excellent passing team. They thrive in the short passing game, and Wake Forest is exploitable in this regard. Wake has allowed over 250 ypg in the air and although UVA likes to run the ball with Peerman a good bit, they are going to have enough success throwing the ball to set up the ground game.
In short, these are two struggling offenses that are going up against suspect defenses. I think both offenses get back on track in this game and we end up with around 50 points.
Lean to UVA but line looks pretty tight. No play at the moment.
BOL everyone