Picture and Director appropriate odds, Moonlight and Jenkins maybe 5% shot at upset. Actor being perceived as toss up between Denzel and Affleck, no real betting opinion here. Stone very likely winner but seems rather evident Huppert is the main competition and it may not be impossible. If you can get over 7-1 worth a small bet. Supporting Actress 99% lock with Davis and Sup Actor probably Ali but odds maybe not reflective of how close it is. If you can oppose Ali at near 10-1 again worth a small bet, not sure if Bridges or Patel closer.
Adapted = Moonlight, odds correct. Original for me 60-40 for Manchester, odds about right.
Foreign Film a good bet with The Salesman around -130 and with Man Called Ove around 7-1. Doesn't seem like Toni Erdmann has played well to this demo, get the feeling it should be about a 25% shot to win here. Man called ove fits the wheelhouse of voters more but The Salesman and the political talk around the director making a fuss of not attending may have gotten (it has) extra votes with the Hollywood crowd.
La La going to win a bunch but some of the categories the odds stretched a bit. It could lose Editing to Hacksaw or even Arrival. And in Production Design Fantastic Beasts and again Arrival could win. If you can straight oppose La La at near 10-1 that's worth it.
If you can bet on the Shorts may be some value as little attention paid here. Documentary may offer value as the listed fav Extremis is unlikely to win. Sounds like winner between Joe's Violin, White Helmets and Watani. Odds wise if you can get White Helmets around 3-1 and Watani at anywhere near 10-1 that's a good combo, latter probably the best value. And in Live Action La Femme at 10-1 or better is worth a bet, votes appear to be all over the place here. La Femme lighthearted and has a recognizable actress, may standout to older voters.