Here we go...first day of Champs and Europa League group stage matches. Plus probable Suamericana and CONCACAF matches coming this afternoon.
CHAMPS
PSV/Manchester United U2.5 -120, 2 units
Shakhtar +2 -105/Real Madrid, 1 unit
Monchengladbach +1 -113/Sevilla, 1 unit
FUTURES (to win group, all one unit)
CSKA Moscow, Group B, +600
Benfica, Group C, +275
Porto, Group G, +300
Zenit, Group H, +250
Record: 377.5-428, +32.91
CHAMPS
PSV/Manchester United U2.5 -120, 2 units
Shakhtar +2 -105/Real Madrid, 1 unit
Monchengladbach +1 -113/Sevilla, 1 unit
FUTURES (to win group, all one unit)
CSKA Moscow, Group B, +600
Benfica, Group C, +275
Porto, Group G, +300
Zenit, Group H, +250
Record: 377.5-428, +32.91
Hey ac... Great job on taking the time to post your plays ere at rx. I would like to know how do you quantify your bets? Like example, on the draw bets, since the returns are higher, do you bet less or the same amount?
Like for me, it's $50 on every game I bet. But I only bet Asian handicap and totals. But at times I play $100 if I'm really confident. Im thinking If I should play $50 on every game instead of taking bigger risks sometimes n laying $100. But I'm trying to figure if I were to follow your draw plays, how much should I be betting? Lol I suck in maths and I'm cracking my head trying to figure out the calculations
Like for me, it's $50 on every game I bet. But I only bet Asian handicap and totals. But at times I play $100 if I'm really confident. Im thinking If I should play $50 on every game instead of taking bigger risks sometimes n laying $100. But I'm trying to figure if I were to follow your draw plays, how much should I be betting? Lol I suck in maths and I'm cracking my head trying to figure out the calculations
My plays are based on a 1-5 unit system in national matches, and 1-3 units in international play (because there's less comparable data). My draw bets are usually two units nationally and one internationally. Sometimes in national plays I drop it down to a one-unit bet based on the three-way line. Essentially, if the book makes the match a PK and my numbers see a draw, it's two units. If the book makes the line -.25 and I see a draw, I bet one unit.
If I were following me and knew $100 was my top bet, I'd bet $20 a unit. You're not going to see a lot of 5-unit plays from me (or 3-unit internationally--Chelsea was rare today). I also make a lot of bets in a day, so the strategy is to make a little every day. If my only bet options were $50 and $100, I wouldn't make all the bets I make. Betting half your max bet for most bets doesn't give you much variance depending on how much you like a match.
If I were following me and knew $100 was my top bet, I'd bet $20 a unit. You're not going to see a lot of 5-unit plays from me (or 3-unit internationally--Chelsea was rare today). I also make a lot of bets in a day, so the strategy is to make a little every day. If my only bet options were $50 and $100, I wouldn't make all the bets I make. Betting half your max bet for most bets doesn't give you much variance depending on how much you like a match.
THURSDAY
EUROPA (10 a.m. matches)
Bordeaux/Liverpool DRAW +230, 1 unit
Groningen/Marseille U2.5 -131, 1 unit
Liberec/Braga DRAW +231, 1 unit
Midtjylland -.5 +128/Legia, 1 unit
Napoli -1 -143/Club Brugge, 2 units
Rapid Vienna +.5 -143/Villarreal, 1 unit
Later Europa matches, Brazil, Sudamericana and CONCACAF coming later.
EUROPA (10 a.m. matches)
Bordeaux/Liverpool DRAW +230, 1 unit
Groningen/Marseille U2.5 -131, 1 unit
Liberec/Braga DRAW +231, 1 unit
Midtjylland -.5 +128/Legia, 1 unit
Napoli -1 -143/Club Brugge, 2 units
Rapid Vienna +.5 -143/Villarreal, 1 unit
Later Europa matches, Brazil, Sudamericana and CONCACAF coming later.
BRAZIL
Avai/Sao Paulo DRAW +232, 2 units
Vasco da Gama -.25 -113/Sport Recife, 1 unit
Chapacoense/Cruziero DRAW +210, 2 units
Atletico PR PK +115/Coritiba, 2 units
COLOMBIA
Once Caldes -1 -113/Tolima, 3 units
Cucuta/Jaguares DRAW +209, 1 unit
Millonarios -1.5 -124/U. Autonoma, 3 units
Atletico Nacional .5 -128/Cortalua, 3 units
Avai/Sao Paulo DRAW +232, 2 units
Vasco da Gama -.25 -113/Sport Recife, 1 unit
Chapacoense/Cruziero DRAW +210, 2 units
Atletico PR PK +115/Coritiba, 2 units
COLOMBIA
Once Caldes -1 -113/Tolima, 3 units
Cucuta/Jaguares DRAW +209, 1 unit
Millonarios -1.5 -124/U. Autonoma, 3 units
Atletico Nacional .5 -128/Cortalua, 3 units
TUESDAY
ENGLAND (Cap One)
Hull PK -105/Swansea, 1 unit
Preston/Bournemouth U2.5 -125, 1 unit
TO WIN CAP ONE CUP--Crystal Palace +2750, 1 unit
Crystal Palace is just a few years removed from the Championship and already one of the top teams not playing European soccer. The lighter schedule and newness to Premier League gives them time and desire to win the Cup. Plus they received a great draw in this round, facing mid-pack Championship side Charleton at home.
Possible Colombia, Sudamericana and CONCACAF coming later.
Record: 396.5-452, +37.35
ENGLAND (Cap One)
Hull PK -105/Swansea, 1 unit
Preston/Bournemouth U2.5 -125, 1 unit
TO WIN CAP ONE CUP--Crystal Palace +2750, 1 unit
Crystal Palace is just a few years removed from the Championship and already one of the top teams not playing European soccer. The lighter schedule and newness to Premier League gives them time and desire to win the Cup. Plus they received a great draw in this round, facing mid-pack Championship side Charleton at home.
Possible Colombia, Sudamericana and CONCACAF coming later.
Record: 396.5-452, +37.35
